Charlotte vs East Carolina: East Carolina Wins 3-0 (Sep 23)

FinalWed, Sep 23, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: East Carolina 81.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Sep 22, 9:25 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

East Carolina beat visiting Charlotte 3-0 (25-18, 25-19, 25-21) on Wed, Sep 23, 2026. East Carolina's Ellie Pate led with 13 kills, and Emma Ortiz added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 23

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CHAR	18	19	21	0
E CAR	25	25	25	3

Win probability

East Carolina above 50 · Charlotte below

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Charlotte — set 1, CHAR 5-3 E CAR. Bad set by Taryn Gilreath. E CAR win probability 90% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHAR 8.6%91.4% E CAR

Charlotte wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.6%

3-2

4.9%

East Carolina wins

3-0

47.1%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.0%

CHAR break %: 35.5% vs this opp
E CAR break %: 45.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Taryn GilreathBad set+1.4%
Bad set by Taryn Gilreath
Set 1 · CHAR 5-3 E CAR · CHAR 10% → 11%
02
Ellie PateAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Ellie Pate
Set 1 · CHAR 3-1 E CAR · CHAR 10% → 11%
03
Clara BrileyAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Clara Briley
Set 1 · CHAR 5-5 E CAR · E CAR 89% → 91%
04
East CarolinaAce+1.2%
East Carolina ace on Kennedy Earls
Set 1 · CHAR 7-8 E CAR · E CAR 90% → 92%
05
Aulie HuffAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Aulie Huff
Set 1 · CHAR 2-1 E CAR · CHAR 9% → 10%
06
Mariam MushkudianiAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Mariam Mushkudiani
Set 1 · CHAR 3-3 E CAR · E CAR 90% → 91%
07
Angeles AldereteKill+1.0%
Kill by Angeles Alderete (set by Taryn Gilreath)
Set 1 · CHAR 7-9 E CAR · E CAR 92% → 93%
08
CharlotteAce+1.0%
Charlotte ace on Ellie Pate
Set 1 · CHAR 17-19 E CAR · CHAR 6% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Charlotteaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Sofia LocadiaMB	3	10	2	14	.571	1	1	0	3	0	1	0	1	12
8Milan CannonMB	3	6	3	17	.176	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
2Clara BrileyOH	3	5	3	21	.095	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	6
15Mariam MushkudianiOH	3	4	4	18	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4
3Harper HallS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	17	0	0	9	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
7Elena KovacevicOH	1	0	3	5	-.600	1	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
14Jovana AnticMB	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
13Milena LopezS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
9Chloe MaughanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
10Sara MarinkovicOH	2	1	2	7	-.143	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
4Erin LehmanL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Kennedy EarlsL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
18Gia McGrewOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	21	98	.092	29	5	3	35	2	1	2	2	58

East Carolinahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Ellie PateOH	3	13	3	26	.385	0	1	2	11	2	0	1	0.5	14.5
12Aulie HuffOH	3	10	1	20	.450	0	1	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
11Kai BaileyMB	3	10	3	16	.438	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
3Angeles AldereteOH	3	11	2	25	.360	1	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	11
1Taryn GilreathS	3	2	0	7	.286	44	0	3	4	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
7Nina EdwardsMB	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
2Brooklyn AllisonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Clara CloningerDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
4Emma OrtizL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	0
6Ekwe AnwahMB	2	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
8Allison ButrumL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	11	101	.366	46	2	9	41	5	1	10	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Charlotte vs East Carolina

Season series · East Carolina leads 2-0

Wed, Sep 23, 2026Charlotte at East Carolina · East Carolina won 3-0This match
Wed, Oct 7, 2026East Carolina at Charlotte · East Carolina won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CHAR · E CAR 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 CHARE CAR 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 CHARE CAR 6

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 CHARE CAR 5

Bars above the line = East Carolina leads, below = Charlotte leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Charlotte

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%8/8	0%0/7
2	67%8/12	27%3/11
3	44%7/16	50%8/16
4	40%6/15	22%2/9
5	38%6/16	14%1/7
6	83%5/6	40%4/10
All	55%40/73	30%18/60

East Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%8/8	0%0/6
2	57%8/14	0%0/8
3	57%8/14	47%7/15
4	86%6/7	65%11/17
5	86%6/7	45%5/11
6	60%6/10	63%10/16
All	70%42/60	45%33/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#	CHAR-E CAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CHAR	E CAR	Serve err	Charlotte		+0.6
2	1-1	E CAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.7
3	2-1	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Aulie Huff		+1.1
4	3-1	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Ellie Pate		+1.3
5	3-2	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Taryn Gilreath		+0.8
6	3-3	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+1.1
7	4-3	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Chloe Maughan	+0.9
8	5-3	CHAR	CHAR	Bad set	Taryn Gilreath		+1.4
9	5-4	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.8
10	5-5	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Clara Briley		+1.2
11	6-5	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.9
12	6-6	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.8
13	7-6	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+1.0
14	7-7	CHAR	E CAR×5	Attack err	Harper Hall		+0.9
15	7-8	E CAR	E CAR×5	Ace	East Carolina	aced Kennedy Earls	+1.2
16	7-9	E CAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.0
17	7-10	E CAR	E CAR×5	Blocked	Elena Kovacevic	blk Taryn Gilreath, Kai Bailey	+0.9
18	7-11	E CAR	E CAR×5	Blocked	Elena Kovacevic	blk Taryn Gilreath, Kai Bailey	+0.7
19	8-11	E CAR	CHAR	Blocked	Angeles Alderete	blk Harper Hall, Milan Cannon	+0.4
20	8-12	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
21	9-12	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+0.4
22	9-13	CHAR	E CAR	Serve err	Charlotte		+0.5
23	10-13	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.5
24	10-14	CHAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Angeles Alderete	+0.5
25	10-15	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Emma Ortiz	+0.5
26	10-16	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+0.4
27	11-16	E CAR	CHAR×4	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.2
28	12-16	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.4
29	13-16	CHAR	CHAR×4	Ace	Charlotte	aced Ellie Pate	+0.7
30	14-16	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+1.0
31	14-17	CHAR	E CAR	Serve err	Charlotte		+0.8
32	14-18	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+0.8
33	15-18	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.5
34	15-19	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.6
35	16-19	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Elena Kovacevic	+0.4
36	17-19	CHAR	CHAR	Ace	Charlotte	aced Ellie Pate	+1.0
37	17-20	CHAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.9
38	17-21	E CAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.9
39	17-22	E CAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
40	17-23	E CAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
41	17-24	E CAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
42	18-24	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Jovana Antic	set Milena Lopez	·
43	18-25	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Taryn Gilreath		·
Set 2
1	1-0	E CAR	CHAR	Attack err	Kai Bailey		+0.5
2	1-1	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
3	2-1	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.5
4	2-2	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
5	3-2	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Milena Lopez	+0.6
6	4-2	CHAR	CHAR	Ace	Charlotte	aced Angeles Alderete	+0.9
7	4-3	CHAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
8	4-4	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.8
9	4-5	E CAR	E CAR×6	Ace	East Carolina		+0.7
10	4-6	E CAR	E CAR×6	Bad set	Milena Lopez		+0.6
11	4-7	E CAR	E CAR×6	Attack err	Sofia Locadia		+0.5
12	4-8	E CAR	E CAR×6	Blocked	Gia McGrew	blk Nina Edwards, Aulie Huff	+0.4
13	5-8	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.3
14	5-9	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
15	6-9	E CAR	CHAR	Attack err	Kai Bailey		+0.3
16	6-10	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
17	6-11	E CAR	E CAR	Blocked	Sara Marinkovic	blk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
18	7-11	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.2
19	7-12	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
20	8-12	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+0.2
21	8-13	CHAR	E CAR	Attack err	Sofia Locadia		+0.2
22	9-13	E CAR	CHAR×3	Bad set	Taryn Gilreath		+0.2
23	10-13	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Nina Edwards		+0.4
24	11-13	CHAR	CHAR×3	Ace	Charlotte	aced Angeles Alderete	+0.6
25	11-14	CHAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.4
26	11-15	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
27	11-16	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.4
28	12-16	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.2
29	12-17	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
30	13-17	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Milena Lopez	+0.2
31	13-18	CHAR	E CAR	Attack err	Jovana Antic		+0.2
32	13-19	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
33	14-19	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.1
34	14-20	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
35	15-20	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.1
36	15-21	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
37	16-21	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.1
38	16-22	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
39	17-22	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	·
40	18-22	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Jovana Antic	set Sofia Locadia	+0.2
41	18-23	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
42	18-24	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
43	19-24	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		·
44	19-25	CHAR	E CAR	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic		·
Set 3
1	0-1	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
2	1-1	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.2
3	1-2	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
4	2-2	E CAR	CHAR	Blocked	Ellie Pate	blk Sofia Locadia	+0.2
5	2-3	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
6	2-4	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
7	3-4	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Jovana Antic	set Harper Hall	+0.2
8	3-5	CHAR	E CAR	Blocked	Milan Cannon	blk Ekwe Anwah	+0.2
9	4-5	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.2
10	4-6	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
11	4-7	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
12	5-7	E CAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Clara Briley		+0.2
13	6-7	CHAR	CHAR×3	Ace	Charlotte		+0.3
14	7-7	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Angeles Alderete		+0.4
15	7-8	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
16	8-8	E CAR	CHAR	Attack err	Ellie Pate		+0.3
17	8-9	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
18	9-9	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.3
19	9-10	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
20	10-10	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Jovana Antic	set Harper Hall	+0.3
21	10-11	CHAR	E CAR	Blocked	Jovana Antic	blk Ekwe Anwah, Ellie Pate	+0.3
22	10-12	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Milan Cannon		+0.4
23	11-12	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Chloe Maughan	+0.3
24	12-12	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Ekwe Anwah		+0.5
25	12-13	CHAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
26	12-14	E CAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.4
27	12-15	E CAR	E CAR×5	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+0.3
28	12-16	E CAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
29	12-17	E CAR	E CAR×5	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+0.2
30	13-17	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Milena Lopez	+0.1
31	13-18	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
32	14-18	E CAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Milena Lopez	+0.1
33	15-18	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Milena Lopez	+0.2
34	16-18	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Kai Bailey		+0.3
35	16-19	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
36	17-19	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Milena Lopez	+0.2
37	17-20	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.3
38	18-20	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.2
39	19-20	CHAR	CHAR	Bad set	Taryn Gilreath		+0.5
40	19-21	CHAR	E CAR	Attack err	Clara Briley		+0.4
41	19-22	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Clara Briley		+0.5
42	20-22	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.2
43	21-22	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Milan Cannon	+0.6
44	21-23	CHAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
45	21-24	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Milan Cannon		+0.5
46	21-25	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Charlotte first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

East Carolina def. Charlotte 3–0