East Carolina vs Charlotte: East Carolina Wins 3-0 (Oct 7)

FinalWed, Oct 7, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: East Carolina 78.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 7, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

East Carolina won at Charlotte 3-0 (25-19, 25-13, 25-18) on Wed, Oct 7, 2026. East Carolina's Ellie Pate led with 16 kills, and Emma Ortiz added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 7

Set	1	2	3	Sets
E CAR	25	25	25	3
CHAR	19	13	18	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ellie Pate needed just 3 sets for 16 kills. East Carolina swept Charlotte.

Win probability never moved more than 2.9 points on one rally; Charlotte topped out at 25% in Set 1. East Carolina went in as RallyIQ's 78% pick.

East CarolinaCharlotte

Break %+25.7 pts
47.321.6
35 of 74 on serve vs 11 of 51, so Charlotte's sideout was 52.7%.
Hitting+.265
.382.117
46 K / 7 E against 31 K / 19 E.
Longest run+2
64
East Carolina scored 6 straight in the second set to open the set 6–0. Final score of the set: 25–13.

Charlotte above 50East Carolina belowMax swing 2.9%

East CarolinaCharlotte

Aces: East Carolina 3·Charlotte 1
Serve err: East Carolina 10·Charlotte 6
Blocks: East Carolina 9·Charlotte 12 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 2 BA
Digs: East Carolina 46·Charlotte 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Charlotte above 50 · East Carolina below

Biggest swing: 2.9% to East Carolina — set 1, E CAR 18-16 CHAR. Attack error by Sofia Locadia. CHAR win probability 20% → 18%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E CAR 84.0%16.0% CHAR

East Carolina wins

3-0

35.8%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

17.0%

Charlotte wins

3-0

2.4%

3-1

5.2%

3-2

8.4%

E CAR break %: 44.4% vs this opp
CHAR break %: 36.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sofia LocadiaAttack error+2.9%
Attack error by Sofia Locadia
Set 1 · E CAR 18-16 CHAR · E CAR 80% → 82%
02
Sara MarinkovicKill+2.9%
Kill by Sara Marinkovic (set by Chloe Maughan)
Set 1 · E CAR 12-13 CHAR · CHAR 22% → 25%
03
Angeles AldereteBlock+2.7%
Cassidy Flakes stuffed by Angeles Alderete
Set 1 · E CAR 14-13 CHAR · E CAR 77% → 80%
04
Sara MarinkovicKill+2.5%
Kill by Sara Marinkovic (set by Harper Hall)
Set 1 · E CAR 12-12 CHAR · CHAR 20% → 22%
05
Ellie PateKill+2.4%
Kill by Ellie Pate (set by Taryn Gilreath)
Set 1 · E CAR 19-16 CHAR · E CAR 82% → 85%
06
Ekwe AnwahKill+2.2%
Kill by Ekwe Anwah (set by Taryn Gilreath)
Set 1 · E CAR 17-16 CHAR · E CAR 77% → 80%
07
Gia McGrewKill+2.2%
Kill by Gia McGrew (set by Harper Hall)
Set 1 · E CAR 16-16 CHAR · CHAR 20% → 23%
08
East CarolinaAce+2.1%
East Carolina ace on Gia McGrew
Set 1 · E CAR 7-6 CHAR · E CAR 78% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

East Carolinaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Ellie PateOH	3	16	3	35	.371	1	0	1	9	0	1	3	2.5	18.5
12Aulie HuffOH	3	11	2	21	.429	0	1	2	4	0	0	2	1	13
3Angeles AldereteOH	3	7	0	16	.438	0	1	3	10	1	1	0	1	9
6Ekwe AnwahMB	3	6	0	12	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
11Kai BaileyMB	3	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	6
1Taryn GilreathS	3	1	2	9	-.111	33	0	2	4	0	0	2	1	2
4Emma OrtizL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	15	0	0	0	0	1
7Nina EdwardsMB	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
8Allison ButrumL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Jaci HallOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Lhogan WrightOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
16Clara CloningerDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	7	102	.382	37	3	10	46	1	2	14	9	75

Charlottehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Sara MarinkovicOH	3	12	3	25	.360	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	12
18Gia McGrewOH	3	7	2	28	.179	0	0	0	3	2	1	0.5	7.5
19Sofia LocadiaMB	3	7	3	14	.286	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7
6Cassidy FlakesMB	3	3	4	11	-.091	0	0	2	2	0	1	0.5	3.5
14Jovana AnticMB	3	1	4	16	-.188	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1
3Harper HallS	3	0	0	0	–	25	1	1	7	0	0	0	1
9Chloe MaughanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	10	0	0	0	0
15Mariam MushkudianiOH	2	0	3	6	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Erin LehmanL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
16Kennedy EarlsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
2Clara BrileyOH	1	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
1Dixie GaydenS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
13Milena LopezS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	19	103	.117	31	1	6	44	3	2	1	50

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

East Carolina vs Charlotte

Season series · East Carolina leads 2-0

Wed, Sep 23, 2026Charlotte at East Carolina · East Carolina won 3-0Result →
Wed, Oct 7, 2026East Carolina at Charlotte · East Carolina won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 E CAR · CHAR 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 E CARCHAR 3

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 6 E CARCHAR 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 E CARCHAR 2

Bars above the line = Charlotte leads, below = East Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

East Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	36%4/11
2	89%8/9	53%9/17
3	88%7/8	53%8/15
4	67%6/9	50%6/12
5	67%6/9	33%3/9
6	83%5/6	50%5/10
All	78%40/51	47%35/74

Charlotte

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	33%3/9
2	73%8/11	0%0/8
3	38%6/16	11%1/9
4	75%6/8	40%4/10
5	67%6/9	0%0/6
6	42%5/12	33%3/9
All	53%39/74	22%11/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#	E CAR-CHAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+1.4
2	1-1	CHAR	E CAR	Blocked	Jovana Antic	blk Ellie Pate	+1.3
3	1-2	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Gia McGrew	set Harper Hall	+1.4
4	2-2	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.3
5	2-3	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+1.5
6	3-3	CHAR	E CAR	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic		+1.4
7	3-4	E CAR	CHAR	Attack err	Ellie Pate		+1.5
8	4-4	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.4
9	4-5	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+1.6
10	5-5	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.4
11	5-6	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Cassidy Flakes	set Harper Hall	+1.6
12	6-6	CHAR	E CAR	Attack err	Cassidy Flakes		+1.5
13	7-6	E CAR	E CAR	Ace	East Carolina	aced Gia McGrew	+2.1
14	7-7	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+1.5
15	8-7	CHAR	E CAR	Serve err	Charlotte		+1.5
16	9-7	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Harper Hall	+2.0
17	9-8	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Gia McGrew	set Chloe Maughan	+1.4
18	10-8	CHAR	E CAR	Serve err	Charlotte		+1.4
19	10-9	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+1.4
20	11-9	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.5
21	11-10	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+1.5
22	12-10	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Emma Ortiz	+1.5
23	12-11	E CAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+1.5
24	12-12	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+2.5
25	12-13	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Chloe Maughan	+2.9
26	13-13	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.9
27	14-13	E CAR	E CAR	Blocked	Cassidy Flakes	blk Angeles Alderete	+2.7
28	14-14	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+2.0
29	15-14	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+2.0
30	15-15	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+2.1
31	16-15	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+2.1
32	16-16	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Gia McGrew	set Harper Hall	+2.2
33	17-16	CHAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+2.2
34	18-16	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Sofia Locadia		+2.9
35	19-16	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+2.4
36	19-17	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Gia McGrew	set Harper Hall	+1.4
37	20-17	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.7
38	20-18	E CAR	CHAR	Attack err	Aulie Huff		+1.4
39	21-18	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+1.8
40	21-19	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+1.4
41	22-19	CHAR	E CAR×4	Bad set	Harper Hall		+1.9
42	23-19	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Cassidy Flakes		+1.6
43	24-19	E CAR	E CAR×4	Blocked	Sara Marinkovic	blk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath	+0.7
44	25-19	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Emma Ortiz	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	CHAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.9
2	2-0	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Emma Ortiz	+1.3
3	3-0	E CAR	E CAR×6	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic		+1.1
4	4-0	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Harper Hall	+1.0
5	5-0	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Harper Hall	+0.8
6	6-0	E CAR	E CAR×6	Blocked	Jovana Antic	blk Ellie Pate, Ekwe Anwah	+0.7
7	6-1	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.4
8	7-1	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
9	8-1	E CAR	E CAR	Blocked	Jovana Antic	blk Ellie Pate	+0.5
10	8-2	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Jovana Antic	set Harper Hall	+0.3
11	9-2	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.4
12	10-2	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.4
13	10-3	E CAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Gia McGrew	set Harper Hall	+0.2
14	10-4	CHAR	CHAR×4	Attack err	Ellie Pate		+0.4
15	10-5	CHAR	CHAR×4	Bad set	Taryn Gilreath		+0.6
16	10-6	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.8
17	11-6	CHAR	E CAR	Attack err	Jovana Antic		+0.6
18	11-7	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.5
19	12-7	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.6
20	12-8	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.5
21	13-8	CHAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Taryn Gilreath	set Chloe Maughan	+0.6
22	14-8	E CAR	E CAR×3	Blocked	Mariam Mushkudiani	blk Ellie Pate, Kai Bailey	+0.7
23	15-8	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Angeles Alderete	+0.5
24	15-9	E CAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Milena Lopez	+0.2
25	15-10	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.5
26	15-11	CHAR	CHAR×3	Ace	Harper Hall	aced Angeles Alderete	+0.7
27	16-11	CHAR	E CAR×4	Serve err	Harper Hall		+0.6
28	17-11	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.6
29	18-11	E CAR	E CAR×4	Ace	East Carolina	aced Gia McGrew	+0.4
30	19-11	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
31	19-12	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.1
32	20-12	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
33	21-12	E CAR	E CAR	Blocked	Gia McGrew	blk Aulie Huff, Nina Edwards	+0.1
34	21-13	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Cassidy Flakes	set Harper Hall	·
35	22-13	CHAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	·
36	23-13	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Sofia Locadia		·
37	24-13	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Nina Edwards		·
38	25-13	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Ellie Pate	·
Set 3
1	1-0	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Cassidy Flakes		+0.7
2	1-1	E CAR	CHAR	Serve err	East Carolina		+0.5
3	2-1	CHAR	E CAR	Blocked	Gia McGrew	blk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
4	2-2	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.5
5	3-2	CHAR	E CAR×4	Serve err	Charlotte		+0.5
6	4-2	E CAR	E CAR×4	Blocked	Sofia Locadia	blk Ekwe Anwah, Aulie Huff	+0.7
7	5-2	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.6
8	6-2	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
9	6-3	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.3
10	6-4	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.6
11	7-4	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.4
12	7-5	E CAR	CHAR	Attack err	Aulie Huff		+0.4
13	8-5	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.4
14	8-6	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.4
15	9-6	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
16	9-7	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.4
17	9-8	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Cassidy Flakes	set Harper Hall	+0.8
18	10-8	CHAR	E CAR	Serve err	Charlotte		+0.5
19	10-9	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Gia McGrew	set Chloe Maughan	+0.6
20	11-9	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.6
21	11-10	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Gia McGrew	set Harper Hall	+0.6
22	11-11	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Ellie Pate		+1.0
23	12-11	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.7
24	13-11	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.9
25	13-12	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.6
26	14-12	CHAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.6
27	15-12	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.8
28	16-12	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+0.6
29	16-13	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Chloe Maughan	+0.4
30	17-13	CHAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Ekwe Anwah	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
31	18-13	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.5
32	19-13	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+0.3
33	20-13	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
34	20-14	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.1
35	20-15	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.2
36	21-15	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.2
37	22-15	E CAR	E CAR	Ace	East Carolina	aced Erin Lehman	+0.1
38	22-16	E CAR	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Chloe Maughan	·
39	23-16	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Taryn Gilreath	+0.1
40	23-17	E CAR	CHAR	Blocked	Taryn Gilreath	blk Cassidy Flakes, Gia McGrew	·
41	24-17	CHAR	E CAR	Serve err	Charlotte		·
42	24-18	E CAR	CHAR	Attack err	Taryn Gilreath		·
43	25-18	CHAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Taryn Gilreath	·

Score shown after each rally, East Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

East Carolina def. Charlotte 3–0

Ellie Pate needed just 3 sets for 16 kills. East Carolina swept Charlotte.