Final · 5 setsSun, Sep 6, 2026

AwayAMERICAN

2:3

HomeSOCON

UNC Greensboro def. East Carolina 3–2

(21-25, 25-17, 21-25, 25-21, 15-10)

Set	1	2*	3	4	5	Sets
E CAR	25	17	25	21	10	2
UNC G	21	25	21	25	15	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UNC G above 50 · E CAR below

Biggest swing: 11.0% to UNC Greensboro — set 5, E CAR 8-11 UNC G. Attack error by Lhogan Wright. UNC G win probability 75% → 86%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E CAR 47.5%52.5% UNC G

East Carolina wins

3-0

11.5%

3-1

17.7%

3-2

18.3%

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0

13.6%

3-1

19.8%

3-2

19.1%

E CAR break %: 40.7% vs this opp
UNC G break %: 41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lhogan WrightAttack error+11.0%
Attack error by Lhogan Wright
Set 5 · E CAR 8-11 UNC G · UNC G 75% → 86%
02
Kai BaileyKill+9.8%
Kill by Kai Bailey (set by Brook Watkins)
Set 5 · E CAR 6-7 UNC G · E CAR 26% → 36%
03
Allie SweetKill+9.2%
Kill by Allie Sweet (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 5 · E CAR 1-2 UNC G · UNC G 50% → 59%
04
Ellie PateAttack error+9.1%
Attack error by Ellie Pate
Set 5 · E CAR 1-3 UNC G · UNC G 59% → 68%
05
Allie SweetKill+9.0%
Kill by Allie Sweet (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 5 · E CAR 8-10 UNC G · UNC G 66% → 75%
06
Brook WatkinsAttack error+9.0%
Attack error by Brook Watkins
Set 5 · E CAR 3-6 UNC G · UNC G 69% → 78%
07
Ellie PateKill+9.0%
Kill by Ellie Pate (set by Allison Butrum)
Set 5 · E CAR 1-0 UNC G · E CAR 48% → 56%
08
Ellie PateKill+8.8%
Kill by Ellie Pate (set by Brook Watkins)
Set 5 · E CAR 3-4 UNC G · E CAR 29% → 38%

Official NCAA box

Box score

East Carolinaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Ellie PateOH	5	25	7	62	.290	3	2	1	8	0	0	2	1	28
7Nina EdwardsMB	5	11	3	20	.400	1	0	0	1	0	0	6	3	14
12Aulie HuffOH	5	6	5	24	.042	1	2	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
3Angeles AldereteOH	5	3	2	15	.067	1	2	3	13	3	0	3	1.5	6.5
22Brook WatkinsS	5	1	1	5	.000	43	0	2	6	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
6Ekwe AnwahMB	1	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
2Brooklyn AllisonL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	12	0	0	0	0	2
8Allison ButrumL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	0
4Emma OrtizL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
11Kai BaileyMB	4	6	3	13	.231	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	8
16Clara CloningerDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Lhogan WrightOH	2	4	2	9	.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
21Jaci HallOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		56	25	150	.207	53	8	8	57	7	1	22	12	98

UNC Greensborohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Allie SweetOH	5	23	7	64	.250	0	1	0	16	3	2	1	2.5	26.5
17Hailey CliftonOH	5	13	8	29	.172	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	14.5
44Connore' Siler-NixonMB	5	8	3	16	.313	0	1	1	4	0	0	7	3.5	12.5
21Akila HardieMB	5	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
3Izora GraggS	5	1	0	1	1.000	55	2	1	7	0	0	4	2	5
5Ella BurdL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	0
18Kendall LanclosOH	5	15	5	39	.256	0	2	3	5	1	0	2	1	18
10Chloe NussbaumL/DS	5	1	0	1	1.000	7	0	2	15	0	0	0	0	1
9Mia NicklasDS	5	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	1	7	1	0	0	0	1
1Bloom PrincellS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		66	24	158	.266	64	7	9	62	8	2	20	12	107

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 E CAR · UNC G 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 6 E CARUNC G 5

Set 2*

17-25

Longest run 3 E CARUNC G 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 E CARUNC G 3

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 5 E CARUNC G 5

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 2 E CARUNC G 4

Bars above the line = UNC Greensboro leads, below = East Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

East Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%11/19	52%11/21
2	47%7/15	50%9/18
3	70%7/10	22%2/9
4	70%7/10	53%8/15
5	64%7/11	22%2/9
6	44%7/16	30%3/10
All	57%46/81	43%35/82

UNC Greensboro

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	52%11/21	50%8/16
2	50%8/16	55%12/22
3	50%7/14	30%3/10
4	70%7/10	42%5/12
5	78%7/9	30%3/10
6	58%7/12	36%4/11
All	57%47/82	43%35/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

205 rallies

Rally log

#	E CAR-UNC G	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.8
2	1-1	UNC G	E CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+1.8
3	1-2	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.8
4	2-2	UNC G	E CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+1.8
5	2-3	E CAR	UNC G×3	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Chloe Nussbaum	+1.9
6	2-4	UNC G	UNC G×3	Attack err	Nina Edwards		+2.6
7	2-5	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+2.5
8	3-5	UNC G	E CAR×3	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Brook Watkins	+1.6
9	4-5	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+2.6
10	5-5	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos		+2.8
11	5-6	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+2.0
12	6-6	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Brook Watkins	+2.0
13	6-7	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+2.0
14	7-7	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Angeles Alderete	+2.0
15	7-8	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+2.1
16	7-9	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ekwe Anwah		+3.0
17	8-9	UNC G	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+2.0
18	9-9	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+3.1
19	10-9	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Hailey Clifton	blk Ekwe Anwah, Angeles Alderete	+3.2
20	11-9	E CAR	E CAR×4	Ace	E CAR server	aced Ella Burd	+3.2
21	11-10	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+2.1
22	12-10	UNC G	E CAR×6	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Brook Watkins	+2.3
23	13-10	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Nina Edwards		+3.2
24	14-10	E CAR	E CAR×6	Attack err	Hailey Clifton		+2.8
25	15-10	E CAR	E CAR×6	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Brook Watkins	+2.3
26	16-10	E CAR	E CAR×6	Ace	E CAR server	aced Ella Burd	+1.8
27	17-10	E CAR	E CAR×6	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Nina Edwards, Aulie Huff	+1.3
28	17-11	E CAR	UNC G	Attack err	Aulie Huff		+0.5
29	18-11	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Brook Watkins	+0.8
30	18-12	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+0.5
31	19-12	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Brook Watkins	+0.8
32	19-13	E CAR	UNC G	Attack err	Ellie Pate		+0.4
33	19-14	UNC G	UNC G	Ace	UNC G server	aced Allison Butrum	+1.0
34	20-14	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+1.0
35	20-15	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Akila Hardie	set Izora Gragg	+0.6
36	21-15	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+0.9
37	21-16	E CAR	UNC G×5	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+0.5
38	21-17	UNC G	UNC G×5	Kill	Chloe Nussbaum	set Brook Watkins	+1.2
39	21-18	UNC G	UNC G×5	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.9
40	21-19	UNC G	UNC G×5	Kill	Akila Hardie		+3.0
41	21-20	UNC G	UNC G×5	Attack err	Ekwe Anwah		+4.4
42	22-20	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+4.1
43	23-20	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Aulie Huff	+4.6
44	23-21	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.7
45	24-21	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Brook Watkins	+3.3
46	25-21	E CAR	E CAR	Ace	E CAR server	aced Allie Sweet	+1.8
Set 2
1	1-0	UNC G	E CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+1.8
2	1-1	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.8
3	2-1	UNC G	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Aulie Huff	+1.9
4	3-1	E CAR	E CAR×3	Ace	E CAR server	aced Allie Sweet	+2.7
5	4-1	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Hailey Clifton		+2.6
6	4-2	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+1.7
7	5-2	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Brook Watkins	+1.9
8	5-3	E CAR	UNC G	Serve err	E CAR server		+1.7
9	5-4	UNC G	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+2.7
10	6-4	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+2.0
11	6-5	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+1.9
12	6-6	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Kai Bailey	blk Kendall Lanclos, Akila Hardie	+2.9
13	7-6	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Brook Watkins	set Ellie Pate	+2.1
14	8-6	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff	+3.0
15	8-7	E CAR	UNC G	Serve err	E CAR server		+2.0
16	8-8	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ellie Pate	blk Hailey Clifton, Akila Hardie	+3.1
17	9-8	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Brook Watkins	+2.2
18	10-8	E CAR	E CAR	Ace	E CAR server	aced Kendall Lanclos	+3.2
19	10-9	E CAR	UNC G×3	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Chloe Nussbaum	+2.1
20	10-10	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+3.3
21	10-11	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+3.4
22	11-11	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Brook Watkins	+2.4
23	11-12	E CAR	UNC G×3	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+2.5
24	11-13	UNC G	UNC G×3	Attack err	Nina Edwards		+3.5
25	11-14	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+3.2
26	12-14	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Brook Watkins	+2.0
27	12-15	E CAR	UNC G×3	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+2.3
28	12-16	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+2.9
29	12-17	UNC G	UNC G×3	Attack err	Angeles Alderete		+2.3
30	13-17	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Ellie Pate	+1.1
31	13-18	E CAR	UNC G	Serve err	E CAR server		+1.6
32	13-19	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ellie Pate	blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg	+1.5
33	14-19	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Nina Edwards	+0.6
34	15-19	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Brook Watkins	+1.4
35	15-20	E CAR	UNC G	Attack err	Ellie Pate	blk Connore' Siler-Nixon	+1.5
36	16-20	UNC G	E CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+0.9
37	16-21	E CAR	UNC G×4	Serve err	E CAR server		+1.4
38	16-22	UNC G	UNC G×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.1
39	16-23	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+0.5
40	16-24	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+0.1
41	17-24	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Ellie Pate	+0.0
42	17-25	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Akila Hardie	set Izora Gragg	+2.4
2	1-1	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Emma Ortiz	+2.4
3	2-1	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Hailey Clifton	blk Angeles Alderete, Kai Bailey	+3.5
4	2-2	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+2.4
5	3-2	UNC G	E CAR	Attack err	Hailey Clifton		+2.5
6	4-2	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Connore' Siler-Nixon		+3.6
7	4-3	E CAR	UNC G	Serve err	E CAR server		+2.4
8	4-4	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg	+3.6
9	5-4	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Brook Watkins	+2.6
10	5-5	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+2.6
11	6-5	UNC G	E CAR	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Nina Edwards, Brook Watkins	+2.7
12	7-5	E CAR	E CAR	Ace	E CAR server	aced Team	+3.9
13	7-6	E CAR	UNC G×3	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+2.6
14	7-7	UNC G	UNC G×3	Bad set	Allison Butrum		+3.9
15	7-8	UNC G	UNC G×3	Ace	UNC G server	aced Team	+4.0
16	8-8	UNC G	E CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+2.8
17	9-8	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+4.2
18	9-9	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Akila Hardie	set Izora Gragg	+2.9
19	10-9	UNC G	E CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+3.0
20	11-9	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Hailey Clifton		+4.3
21	11-10	E CAR	UNC G×3	Attack err	Ellie Pate	blk Hailey Clifton, Akila Hardie	+2.8
22	11-11	UNC G	UNC G×3	Ace	UNC G server	aced Angeles Alderete	+4.4
23	11-12	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+4.6
24	12-12	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Emma Ortiz	+3.2
25	12-13	E CAR	UNC G	Serve err	E CAR server		+3.3
26	12-14	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Aulie Huff	blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Allie Sweet	+4.7
27	13-14	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Brook Watkins	+3.1
28	14-14	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Connore' Siler-Nixon		+5.0
29	14-15	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Mia Nicklas	set Chloe Nussbaum	+3.6
30	15-15	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+3.6
31	15-16	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+3.8
32	16-16	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Brook Watkins	+3.8
33	17-16	E CAR	E CAR	Ace	E CAR server	aced Allie Sweet	+5.9
34	17-17	E CAR	UNC G	Serve err	E CAR server		+4.0
35	18-17	UNC G	E CAR×3	Attack err	Akila Hardie	blk Ellie Pate, Nina Edwards	+4.4
36	19-17	E CAR	E CAR×3	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Clara Cloninger	+6.2
37	20-17	E CAR	E CAR×3	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos		+5.5
38	20-18	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Chloe Nussbaum	+2.8
39	21-18	UNC G	E CAR×4	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Brook Watkins	+4.0
40	22-18	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+4.1
41	23-18	E CAR	E CAR×4	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+2.3
42	24-18	E CAR	E CAR×4	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff	+0.9
43	24-19	E CAR	UNC G×3	Attack err	Aulie Huff		+0.1
44	24-20	UNC G	UNC G×3	Ace	UNC G server	aced Angeles Alderete	+0.4
45	24-21	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+1.0
46	25-21	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate		+1.6
Set 4
1	1-0	UNC G	E CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+2.4
2	1-1	E CAR	UNC G×5	Attack err	Angeles Alderete		+2.4
3	1-2	UNC G	UNC G×5	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+3.6
4	1-3	UNC G	UNC G×5	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Chloe Nussbaum	+3.5
5	1-4	UNC G	UNC G×5	Attack err	Aulie Huff		+3.4
6	1-5	UNC G	UNC G×5	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+3.1
7	2-5	UNC G	E CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+1.9
8	2-6	E CAR	UNC G	Attack err	Nina Edwards		+2.2
9	3-6	UNC G	E CAR×5	Bad set	Mia Nicklas		+2.0
10	4-6	E CAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Brook Watkins	+3.3
11	5-6	E CAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Angeles Alderete	set Brook Watkins	+3.6
12	6-6	E CAR	E CAR×5	Kill	Nina Edwards		+3.9
13	7-6	E CAR	E CAR×5	Ace	E CAR server	aced Mia Nicklas	+4.1
14	7-7	E CAR	UNC G×3	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+2.8
15	7-8	UNC G	UNC G×3	Ace	UNC G server	aced Allison Butrum	+4.1
16	7-9	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+4.1
17	8-9	UNC G	E CAR	Attack err	Connore' Siler-Nixon	blk Nina Edwards, Angeles Alderete	+2.7
18	8-10	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+2.9
19	8-11	UNC G	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Bloom Princell	+4.0
20	9-11	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+2.5
21	9-12	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+2.8
22	9-13	UNC G	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+3.6
23	10-13	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+2.1
24	11-13	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Brook Watkins	+3.7
25	11-14	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+3.0
26	12-14	UNC G	E CAR	Attack err	Hailey Clifton	blk Ellie Pate, Kai Bailey	+2.6
27	12-15	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+3.1
28	12-16	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Lhogan Wright		+3.8
29	13-16	UNC G	E CAR	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+2.1
30	13-17	E CAR	UNC G	Serve err	E CAR server		+2.7
31	14-17	UNC G	E CAR	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+2.1
32	15-17	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Brook Watkins, Nina Edwards	+4.0
33	15-18	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+3.4
34	16-18	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Lhogan Wright	set Brook Watkins	+2.8
35	16-19	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+3.6
36	16-20	UNC G	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+4.0
37	17-20	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+1.9
38	17-21	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+2.8
39	17-22	UNC G	UNC G	Ace	UNC G server	aced Angeles Alderete	+2.5
40	18-22	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+0.8
41	19-22	E CAR	E CAR	Attack err	Hailey Clifton		+2.2
42	19-23	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+2.6
43	19-24	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Kai Bailey	blk Allie Sweet	+1.7
44	20-24	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+0.3
45	21-24	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Lhogan Wright	set Brook Watkins	+0.9
46	21-25	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+2.9
Set 5
1	1-0	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Allison Butrum	+9.0
2	1-1	E CAR	UNC G×4	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Chloe Nussbaum	+6.2
3	1-2	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+9.2
4	1-3	UNC G	UNC G×4	Attack err	Ellie Pate		+9.1
5	1-4	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+8.4
6	2-4	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Nina Edwards	set Brook Watkins	+5.1
7	3-4	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+8.8
8	3-5	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Chloe Nussbaum	+6.8
9	3-6	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Brook Watkins		+9.0
10	4-6	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+5.3
11	4-7	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+6.5
12	5-7	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Aulie Huff	set Brook Watkins	+5.4
13	6-7	E CAR	E CAR	Kill	Kai Bailey	set Brook Watkins	+9.8
14	6-8	E CAR	UNC G	Attack err	Aulie Huff	blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Kendall Lanclos	+7.9
15	7-8	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Lhogan Wright	set Brook Watkins	+7.1
16	7-9	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Izora Gragg	set Mia Nicklas	+8.4
17	8-9	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Lhogan Wright	set Brook Watkins	+7.4
18	8-10	E CAR	UNC G×3	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+9.0
19	8-11	UNC G	UNC G×3	Attack err	Lhogan Wright		+11.0
20	8-12	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+7.8
21	9-12	UNC G	E CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+3.0
22	9-13	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+5.1
23	10-13	UNC G	E CAR	Kill	Ellie Pate	set Brook Watkins	+2.3
24	10-14	E CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+4.5
25	10-15	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ellie Pate	blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg	+1.8

Score shown after each rally, East Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.