UNC Greensboro def. East Carolina 3–2
UNC Greensboro beat East Carolina 3-2 (21-25, 25-17, 21-25, 25-21, 15-10) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026 at a neutral site. Allie Sweet led UNC Greensboro with 23 kills; East Carolina's Ellie Pate had a match-high 25.
Data through · final Sep 6
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E CAR | 25 | 17 | 25 | 21 | 10 | 2 |
| UNC G | 21 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 12.9% to UNC Greensboro — set 5, E CAR 8-11 UNC G. Attack error by Lhogan Wright. UNC G win probability 69% → 82%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
East Carolina wins
UNC Greensboro wins
- E CAR break %
- 42.7% vs this opp
- UNC G break %
- 38.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Lhogan WrightAttack error+12.9%
Attack error by Lhogan Wright
Set 5 · E CAR 8-11 UNC G · UNC G 69% → 82%
- 02Kai BaileyKill+10.5%
Kill by Kai Bailey (set by Brook Watkins)
Set 5 · E CAR 6-7 UNC G · E CAR 33% → 43%
- 03Brook WatkinsAttack error+10.4%
Attack error by Brook Watkins
Set 5 · E CAR 3-6 UNC G · UNC G 61% → 71%
- 04Allie SweetKill+9.9%
Kill by Allie Sweet (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 5 · E CAR 8-10 UNC G · UNC G 59% → 69%
- 05
- 06Allie SweetKill+9.7%
Kill by Allie Sweet (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 5 · E CAR 1-4 UNC G · UNC G 59% → 68%
- 07Allie SweetKill+9.6%
Kill by Allie Sweet (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 5 · E CAR 8-12 UNC G · UNC G 82% → 92%
- 08Allie SweetKill+9.4%
Kill by Allie Sweet (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 5 · E CAR 1-2 UNC G · UNC G 40% → 49%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 25 | 7 | 62 | .290 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 28 | |
| 5 | 11 | 3 | 20 | .400 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 14 | |
| 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | .042 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | .067 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 43 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 25 | 150 | .207 | 53 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 98 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 23 | 7 | 64 | .250 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 26.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8 | 29 | .172 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | .313 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 15 | 5 | 39 | .256 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 66 | 24 | 158 | .266 | 64 | 7 | 9 | 62 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 107 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-21
Set 2
17-25
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
21-25
Set 5
10-15
Bars above the line = UNC Greensboro leads, below = East Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
East Carolina
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58%11/19 | 52%11/21 |
| 2 | 47%7/15 | 50%9/18 |
| 3 | 70%7/10 | 22%2/9 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 53%8/15 |
| 5 | 64%7/11 | 22%2/9 |
| 6 | 44%7/16 | 30%3/10 |
| All | 57%46/81 | 43%35/82 |
UNC Greensboro
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52%11/21 | 50%8/16 |
| 2 | 50%8/16 | 55%12/22 |
| 3 | 50%7/14 | 30%3/10 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 42%5/12 |
| 5 | 78%7/9 | 30%3/10 |
| 6 | 58%7/12 | 36%4/11 |
| All | 57%47/82 | 43%35/81 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
205 rallies
| # | E CAR-UNC G | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UNC G | E CAR | Serve err | UNC Greensboro | +1.5 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +1.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UNC G | E CAR | Serve err | UNC Greensboro | +1.6 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | E CAR | UNC G×3 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Chloe Nussbaum | +1.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Attack err | Nina Edwards | +2.5 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +2.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | UNC G | E CAR×3 | Kill | Nina Edwards | set Brook Watkins | +1.6 |
| 9 | 4-5 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +2.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Attack err | Kendall Lanclos | +2.5 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Connore' Siler-Nixon | set Izora Gragg | +1.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Nina Edwards | set Brook Watkins | +1.7 |
| 13 | 6-7 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +1.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Angeles Alderete | +1.8 |
| 15 | 7-8 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +1.9 |
| 16 | 7-9 | UNC G | UNC G | Attack err | Ekwe Anwah | +2.9 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | UNC G | E CAR×4 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +1.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Attack err | Allie Sweet | +2.8 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Blocked | Hailey Clifton | blk Ekwe Anwah, Angeles Alderete | +2.8 |
| 20 | 11-9 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Ace | East Carolina | aced Ella Burd | +2.6 |
| 21 | 11-10 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +1.7 |
| 22 | 12-10 | UNC G | E CAR×6 | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Brook Watkins | +1.8 |
| 23 | 13-10 | E CAR | E CAR×6 | Kill | Nina Edwards | +2.4 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | E CAR | E CAR×6 | Attack err | Hailey Clifton | +2.0 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | E CAR | E CAR×6 | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Brook Watkins | +1.6 |
| 26 | 16-10 | E CAR | E CAR×6 | Ace | East Carolina | aced Ella Burd | +1.1 |
| 27 | 17-10 | E CAR | E CAR×6 | Blocked | Allie Sweet | blk Nina Edwards, Aulie Huff | +0.7 |
| 28 | 17-11 | E CAR | UNC G | Attack err | Aulie Huff | +0.3 | |
| 29 | 18-11 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Nina Edwards | set Brook Watkins | +0.5 |
| 30 | 18-12 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Connore' Siler-Nixon | set Izora Gragg | +0.3 |
| 31 | 19-12 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Nina Edwards | set Brook Watkins | +0.4 |
| 32 | 19-13 | E CAR | UNC G | Attack err | Ellie Pate | +0.2 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | UNC G | UNC G | Ace | UNC Greensboro | aced Allison Butrum | +0.6 |
| 34 | 20-14 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +0.6 |
| 35 | 20-15 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Akila Hardie | set Izora Gragg | +0.4 |
| 36 | 21-15 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +0.6 |
| 37 | 21-16 | E CAR | UNC G×5 | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +0.3 |
| 38 | 21-17 | UNC G | UNC G×5 | Kill | Chloe Nussbaum | set Brook Watkins | +0.8 |
| 39 | 21-18 | UNC G | UNC G×5 | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +1.4 |
| 40 | 21-19 | UNC G | UNC G×5 | Kill | Akila Hardie | +2.3 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | UNC G | UNC G×5 | Attack err | Ekwe Anwah | +3.6 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +3.2 |
| 43 | 23-20 | E CAR | E CAR | Blocked | Allie Sweet | blk Aulie Huff | +3.5 |
| 44 | 23-21 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +1.3 |
| 45 | 24-21 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Brook Watkins | +2.4 |
| 46 | 25-21 | E CAR | E CAR | Ace | East Carolina | aced Allie Sweet | +1.2 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UNC G | E CAR | Serve err | UNC Greensboro | +1.2 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +1.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UNC G | E CAR×3 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Aulie Huff | +1.2 |
| 4 | 3-1 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Ace | East Carolina | aced Allie Sweet | +1.7 |
| 5 | 4-1 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Attack err | Hailey Clifton | +1.6 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +1.0 |
| 7 | 5-2 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Brook Watkins | +1.1 |
| 8 | 5-3 | E CAR | UNC G | Serve err | East Carolina | +1.1 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | UNC G | UNC G | Kill | Connore' Siler-Nixon | set Izora Gragg | +1.8 |
| 10 | 6-4 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +1.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +1.3 |
| 12 | 6-6 | UNC G | UNC G | Blocked | Kai Bailey | blk Kendall Lanclos, Akila Hardie | +2.0 |
| 13 | 7-6 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Brook Watkins | set Ellie Pate | +1.4 |
| 14 | 8-6 | E CAR | E CAR | Blocked | Kendall Lanclos | blk Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff | +2.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | E CAR | UNC G | Serve err | East Carolina | +1.3 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | UNC G | UNC G | Blocked | Ellie Pate | blk Hailey Clifton, Akila Hardie | +2.2 |
| 17 | 9-8 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Brook Watkins | +1.5 |
| 18 | 10-8 | E CAR | E CAR | Ace | East Carolina | aced Kendall Lanclos | +2.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | E CAR | UNC G×3 | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Chloe Nussbaum | +1.4 |
| 20 | 10-10 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +2.3 |
| 21 | 10-11 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +2.5 |
| 22 | 11-11 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Brook Watkins | +1.7 |
| 23 | 11-12 | E CAR | UNC G×3 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +1.8 |
| 24 | 11-13 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Attack err | Nina Edwards | +2.7 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +2.7 |
| 26 | 12-14 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Brook Watkins | +1.6 |
| 27 | 12-15 | E CAR | UNC G×3 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +1.9 |
| 28 | 12-16 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Kill | Connore' Siler-Nixon | set Izora Gragg | +2.5 |
| 29 | 12-17 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Attack err | Angeles Alderete | +2.1 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Nina Edwards | set Ellie Pate | +1.0 |
| 31 | 13-18 | E CAR | UNC G | Serve err | East Carolina | +1.5 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | UNC G | UNC G | Blocked | Ellie Pate | blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg | +1.5 |
| 33 | 14-19 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Nina Edwards | +0.6 |
| 34 | 15-19 | E CAR | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Brook Watkins | +1.3 |
| 35 | 15-20 | E CAR | UNC G | Blocked | Ellie Pate | blk Connore' Siler-Nixon | +1.4 |
| 36 | 16-20 | UNC G | E CAR | Serve err | UNC Greensboro | +0.8 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | E CAR | UNC G×4 | Serve err | East Carolina | +1.3 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | UNC G | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.1 | |||
| 39 | 16-23 | UNC G | UNC G×4 | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +0.5 |
| 40 | 16-24 | UNC G | UNC G×4 | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +0.1 |
| 41 | 17-24 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Ellie Pate | · |
| 42 | 17-25 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Akila Hardie | set Izora Gragg | +2.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Emma Ortiz | +2.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | E CAR | E CAR | Blocked | Hailey Clifton | blk Angeles Alderete, Kai Bailey | +3.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +2.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | UNC G | E CAR | Attack err | Hailey Clifton | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | E CAR | E CAR | Attack err | Connore' Siler-Nixon | +3.0 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | E CAR | UNC G | Serve err | East Carolina | +2.1 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | UNC G | UNC G | Blocked | Allie Sweet | blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg | +3.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Nina Edwards | set Brook Watkins | +2.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +2.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | UNC G | E CAR | Blocked | Kendall Lanclos | blk Nina Edwards, Brook Watkins | +2.3 |
| 12 | 7-5 | E CAR | E CAR | Ace | East Carolina | +3.3 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | E CAR | UNC G×3 | Kill | Connore' Siler-Nixon | set Izora Gragg | +2.2 |
| 14 | 7-7 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Bad set | Allison Butrum | +3.6 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Ace | UNC Greensboro | +3.9 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | UNC G | E CAR | Serve err | UNC Greensboro | +2.6 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | E CAR | E CAR | Attack err | Allie Sweet | +3.8 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Akila Hardie | set Izora Gragg | +2.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | UNC G | E CAR | Serve err | UNC Greensboro | +2.6 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | E CAR | E CAR | Attack err | Hailey Clifton | +3.7 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | E CAR | UNC G×3 | Blocked | Ellie Pate | blk Hailey Clifton, Akila Hardie | +2.4 |
| 22 | 11-11 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Ace | UNC Greensboro | aced Angeles Alderete | +4.1 |
| 23 | 11-12 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +4.5 |
| 24 | 12-12 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Emma Ortiz | +3.0 |
| 25 | 12-13 | E CAR | UNC G | Serve err | East Carolina | +3.2 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | UNC G | UNC G | Blocked | Aulie Huff | blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Allie Sweet | +4.9 |
| 27 | 13-14 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Brook Watkins | +3.0 |
| 28 | 14-14 | E CAR | E CAR | Attack err | Connore' Siler-Nixon | +4.8 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Mia Nicklas | set Chloe Nussbaum | +3.6 |
| 30 | 15-15 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +3.4 |
| 31 | 15-16 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +3.8 |
| 32 | 16-16 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Nina Edwards | set Brook Watkins | +3.5 |
| 33 | 17-16 | E CAR | E CAR | Ace | East Carolina | aced Allie Sweet | +5.3 |
| 34 | 17-17 | E CAR | UNC G | Serve err | East Carolina | +3.7 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | UNC G | E CAR×3 | Blocked | Akila Hardie | blk Ellie Pate, Nina Edwards | +3.8 |
| 36 | 19-17 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Clara Cloninger | +5.3 |
| 37 | 20-17 | E CAR | E CAR×3 | Attack err | Kendall Lanclos | +4.4 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Chloe Nussbaum | +2.3 |
| 39 | 21-18 | UNC G | E CAR×4 | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Brook Watkins | +3.1 |
| 40 | 22-18 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +3.0 |
| 41 | 23-18 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +1.6 |
| 42 | 24-18 | E CAR | E CAR×4 | Blocked | Kendall Lanclos | blk Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff | +0.5 |
| 43 | 24-19 | E CAR | UNC G×3 | Attack err | Aulie Huff | +0.1 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Ace | UNC Greensboro | aced Angeles Alderete | +0.3 |
| 45 | 24-21 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +0.7 |
| 46 | 25-21 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | +1.1 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UNC G | E CAR | Serve err | UNC Greensboro | +1.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | E CAR | UNC G×5 | Attack err | Angeles Alderete | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UNC G | UNC G×5 | Kill | Connore' Siler-Nixon | set Izora Gragg | +2.8 |
| 4 | 1-3 | UNC G | UNC G×5 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Chloe Nussbaum | +3.0 |
| 5 | 1-4 | UNC G | UNC G×5 | Attack err | Aulie Huff | +3.0 | |
| 6 | 1-5 | UNC G | UNC G×5 | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +3.0 |
| 7 | 2-5 | UNC G | E CAR | Serve err | UNC Greensboro | +1.8 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | E CAR | UNC G | Attack err | Nina Edwards | +2.1 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | UNC G | E CAR×5 | Bad set | Mia Nicklas | +1.8 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | E CAR | E CAR×5 | Kill | Nina Edwards | set Brook Watkins | +2.9 |
| 11 | 5-6 | E CAR | E CAR×5 | Kill | Angeles Alderete | set Brook Watkins | +3.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | E CAR | E CAR×5 | Kill | Nina Edwards | +3.1 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | E CAR | E CAR×5 | Ace | East Carolina | aced Mia Nicklas | +3.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | E CAR | UNC G×3 | Kill | Connore' Siler-Nixon | set Izora Gragg | +2.1 |
| 15 | 7-8 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Ace | UNC Greensboro | aced Allison Butrum | +3.3 |
| 16 | 7-9 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +3.5 |
| 17 | 8-9 | UNC G | E CAR | Blocked | Connore' Siler-Nixon | blk Nina Edwards, Angeles Alderete | +2.2 |
| 18 | 8-10 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +2.5 |
| 19 | 8-11 | UNC G | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Bloom Princell | +3.6 |
| 20 | 9-11 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +2.1 |
| 21 | 9-12 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +2.6 |
| 22 | 9-13 | UNC G | UNC G | Kill | Hailey Clifton | set Izora Gragg | +3.5 |
| 23 | 10-13 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +1.9 |
| 24 | 11-13 | E CAR | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Brook Watkins | +3.3 |
| 25 | 11-14 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +2.7 |
| 26 | 12-14 | UNC G | E CAR | Blocked | Hailey Clifton | blk Ellie Pate, Kai Bailey | +2.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +2.8 |
| 28 | 12-16 | UNC G | UNC G | Attack err | Lhogan Wright | +3.7 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | UNC G | E CAR | Attack err | Allie Sweet | +1.9 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | E CAR | UNC G | Serve err | East Carolina | +2.6 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | UNC G | E CAR | Attack err | Allie Sweet | +1.9 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | E CAR | E CAR | Blocked | Allie Sweet | blk Brook Watkins, Nina Edwards | +3.6 |
| 33 | 15-18 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +3.2 |
| 34 | 16-18 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Lhogan Wright | set Brook Watkins | +2.5 |
| 35 | 16-19 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +3.3 |
| 36 | 16-20 | UNC G | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +4.0 |
| 37 | 17-20 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +1.8 |
| 38 | 17-21 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +2.8 |
| 39 | 17-22 | UNC G | UNC G | Ace | UNC Greensboro | aced Angeles Alderete | +2.6 |
| 40 | 18-22 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +0.8 |
| 41 | 19-22 | E CAR | E CAR | Attack err | Hailey Clifton | +2.1 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Kendall Lanclos | set Izora Gragg | +2.6 |
| 43 | 19-24 | UNC G | UNC G | Blocked | Kai Bailey | blk Allie Sweet | +1.8 |
| 44 | 20-24 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +0.3 |
| 45 | 21-24 | E CAR | E CAR | Kill | Lhogan Wright | set Brook Watkins | +0.9 |
| 46 | 21-25 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +3.0 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | E CAR | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Allison Butrum | +8.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | E CAR | UNC G×4 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Chloe Nussbaum | +5.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UNC G | UNC G×4 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +9.4 |
| 4 | 1-3 | UNC G | UNC G×4 | Attack err | Ellie Pate | +9.8 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | UNC G | UNC G×4 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +9.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Nina Edwards | set Brook Watkins | +5.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | E CAR | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +9.3 |
| 8 | 3-5 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Chloe Nussbaum | +7.4 |
| 9 | 3-6 | UNC G | UNC G | Attack err | Brook Watkins | +10.4 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +5.8 |
| 11 | 4-7 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Connore' Siler-Nixon | set Izora Gragg | +7.5 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Aulie Huff | set Brook Watkins | +6.0 |
| 13 | 6-7 | E CAR | E CAR | Kill | Kai Bailey | set Brook Watkins | +10.5 |
| 14 | 6-8 | E CAR | UNC G | Blocked | Aulie Huff | blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Kendall Lanclos | +8.7 |
| 15 | 7-8 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Lhogan Wright | set Brook Watkins | +7.4 |
| 16 | 7-9 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Izora Gragg | set Mia Nicklas | +9.3 |
| 17 | 8-9 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Lhogan Wright | set Brook Watkins | +7.7 |
| 18 | 8-10 | E CAR | UNC G×3 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +9.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Attack err | Lhogan Wright | +12.9 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | UNC G | UNC G×3 | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +9.6 |
| 21 | 9-12 | UNC G | E CAR | Serve err | UNC Greensboro | +3.5 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +6.4 |
| 23 | 10-13 | UNC G | E CAR | Kill | Ellie Pate | set Brook Watkins | +2.7 |
| 24 | 10-14 | E CAR | UNC G | Kill | Allie Sweet | set Izora Gragg | +5.6 |
| 25 | 10-15 | UNC G | UNC G | Blocked | Ellie Pate | blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg | +2.4 |
Score shown after each rally, East Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).