Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

American def. Holy Cross 3–2

American won at Holy Cross 3-2 (22-25, 17-25, 25-22, 26-24, 15-12) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Carly Sciborski led American with 16 kills; Holy Cross' Emma Sorensen had a match-high 23.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set12345Sets
AMER22172526153
HOLYCR25252224122

Win probability

Holy Cross above 50 · American below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+16.9% AMERrally 213 · set 5

Biggest swing: 16.9% to American — set 4, AMER 25-24 HOLYCR. American ace on KK Green. HOLYCR win probability 58% → 41%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AMER 90.7%9.3% HOLYCR

American wins

3-0
45.6%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.5%

Holy Cross wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.8%
3-2
5.3%
AMER break %
48.9% vs this opp
HOLYCR break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    AmericanAce+16.9%

    American ace on KK Green

    Set 4 · AMER 25-24 HOLYCR · AMER 42% → 59%

  2. 02
    Lacey MurphyKill+16.2%

    Kill by Lacey Murphy (set by Tuana Ozarpaci)

    Set 4 · AMER 23-24 HOLYCR · HOLYCR 58% → 74%

  3. 03
    Sam McMillanKill+16.2%

    Kill by Sam McMillan (set by Deniz Dakak)

    Set 4 · AMER 24-24 HOLYCR · AMER 26% → 42%

  4. 04
    AmericanAce+14.9%

    American ace on KK Green

    Set 4 · AMER 23-23 HOLYCR · AMER 27% → 42%

  5. 05
    Salme HollasKill+12.6%

    Kill by Salme Hollas (set by Sam McMillan)

    Set 4 · AMER 26-24 HOLYCR · AMER 59% → 71%

  6. 06
    KK GreenKill+12.1%

    Kill by KK Green (set by Tuana Ozarpaci)

    Set 5 · AMER 5-8 HOLYCR · HOLYCR 52% → 64%

  7. 07
    Tuana OzarpaciKill+11.8%

    Kill by Tuana Ozarpaci

    Set 4 · AMER 21-23 HOLYCR · HOLYCR 69% → 81%

  8. 08

    Lacey Murphy stuffed by Elise Sterling & Salme Hollas

    Set 5 · AMER 8-8 HOLYCR · AMER 54% → 65%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515641.2202416402120
516429.41400010010.516.5
510528.17915100111.516.5
59012.7500001002110
5215.20044031100002
48830.000100310008
5012-.5000111020001
5001.000100110000
5000–5002600000
2316.333000001014
2203.667000000002
2000–021200002
2000–500200000
Team totals6526157.24859127638265105
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514539.2311113402116
58418.22200110052.510.5
56114.3571203012210
5329.11110030031.54.5
5203.6672001600002
1000–000000000
523555.32722011200025
57120.300000001229
5001.000122200002
5102.5002103900001
5000–6002020000
4001.000100210000
1002.000010110001
Team totals6418164.280548861122149108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

American vs Holy Cross

Season series · American leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 AMER · HOLYCR 10

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 AMERHOLYCR 6

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 AMERHOLYCR 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 AMERHOLYCR 10

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 4 AMERHOLYCR 6

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 6 AMERHOLYCR 2

Bars above the line = Holy Cross leads, below = American leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

American

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%12/16
42%8/19
2
85%11/13
61%17/28
3
44%11/25
27%4/15
4
53%8/15
40%6/15
5
40%8/20
38%5/13
6
42%8/19
47%7/15
All
54%58/108
45%47/105

Holy Cross

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%12/26
47%8/17
2
55%11/20
14%2/14
3
83%10/12
31%5/16
4
50%9/18
55%12/22
5
73%8/11
67%16/24
6
44%8/18
47%7/15
All
55%58/105
46%50/108

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

213 rallies

#AMER-HOLYCRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0HOLYCRAMER×5KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.7
22-0AMERAMER×5BlockedLacey Murphyblk Prinzez Zeck, Salme Hollas+0.8
33-0AMERAMER×5Attack errSarahya College+0.7
44-0AMERAMER×5AceAmericanaced KK Green+0.6
55-0AMERAMER×5KillCarly Sciborskiset Bella Marrero+0.5
65-1AMERHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Tuana Ozarpaci+0.4
76-1HOLYCRAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.4
86-2AMERHOLYCR×3KillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+0.4
96-3HOLYCRHOLYCR×3KillEmma Sorensenset Sarahya College+0.6
106-4HOLYCRHOLYCR×3Attack errCarly Sciborski+0.8
117-4HOLYCRAMERKillCarly Sciborski+0.6
127-5AMERHOLYCRAttack errElise Sterling+0.6
138-5HOLYCRAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.6
149-5AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.7
159-6AMERHOLYCRBlockedSam McMillanblk Kat Teepe, Kyla Harris+0.5
169-7HOLYCRHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Elizabeth Hall+0.8
1710-7HOLYCRAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.7
1811-7AMERAMERAttack errKK Green+0.7
1911-8AMERHOLYCR×6Serve errAmerican+0.5
2011-9HOLYCRHOLYCR×6Attack errSam McMillan+0.9
2111-10HOLYCRHOLYCR×6AceHoly Crossaced Salme Hollas+1.2
2211-11HOLYCRHOLYCR×6AceHoly Crossaced Salme Hollas+1.4
2311-12HOLYCRHOLYCR×6Attack errDeniz Dakak+1.7
2411-13HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillKK Greenset Deniz Dakak+1.9
2512-13HOLYCRAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+1.3
2613-13AMERAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.7
2713-14AMERHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Keira Mullen+1.5
2814-14HOLYCRAMERKillCarly Sciborski+1.3
2915-14AMERAMERKillPrinzez Zeck+1.6
3015-15AMERHOLYCRBlockedSalme Hollasblk Sarahya College, Lacey Murphy+1.4
3116-15HOLYCRAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.3
3216-16AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+1.5
3316-17HOLYCRHOLYCRAttack errElise Sterling+2.2
3417-17HOLYCRAMERKillSalme Hollasset Elise Sterling+1.6
3517-18AMERHOLYCR×3KillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+1.9
3617-19HOLYCRHOLYCR×3BlockedSalme Hollasblk Kat Teepe, Kyla Harris+2.7
3717-20HOLYCRHOLYCR×3KillEmma Sorensenset Keira Mullen+2.8
3818-20HOLYCRAMER×3Serve errHoly Cross+1.6
3919-20AMERAMER×3AceAmericanaced Savannah Baron+2.5
4020-20AMERAMER×3KillPrinzez Zeckset Olivia Miller+2.7
4120-21AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Keira Mullen+2.6
4220-22HOLYCRHOLYCRAttack errSam McMillan+3.6
4321-22HOLYCRAMERKillElise Sterlingset Lexie Richards+2.1
4421-23AMERHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Keira Mullen+3.4
4521-24HOLYCRHOLYCRKillLacey Murphy+3.6
4622-24HOLYCRAMERKillEmma Blankenshipset Lexie Richards+1.1
4722-25AMERHOLYCRServe errAmerican+2.8
Set 2
10-1AMERHOLYCRServe errAmerican+1.8
20-2HOLYCRHOLYCRAttack errAlex Ioannou+2.6
31-2HOLYCRAMERServe errHoly Cross+1.8
42-2AMERAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+2.2
52-3AMERHOLYCRAttack errSalme Hollas+1.9
62-4HOLYCRHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Keira Mullen+2.7
73-4HOLYCRAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.9
83-5AMERHOLYCRKillKyla Harrisset Savannah Baron+2.3
94-5HOLYCRAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+2.0
104-6AMERHOLYCRBad setEmma Blankenship+2.3
115-6HOLYCRAMERKillEmma Blankenshipset Deniz Dakak+2.0
125-7AMERHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Keira Mullen+2.4
136-7HOLYCRAMERBlockedSarahya Collegeblk Emma Blankenship+2.1
146-8AMERHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Tuana Ozarpaci+2.5
157-8HOLYCRAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+2.2
167-9AMERHOLYCRKillSarahya Collegeset Elizabeth Hall+2.6
178-9HOLYCRAMERAttack errEmma Sorensen+2.3
188-10AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Elizabeth Hall+2.7
199-10HOLYCRAMERServe errHoly Cross+2.3
209-11AMERHOLYCRAttack errElise Sterling+2.8
219-12HOLYCRHOLYCRKillKyla Harris+3.8
2210-12HOLYCRAMERKillSydney Guerrierset Lexie Richards+2.5
2310-13AMERHOLYCRKillKyla Harrisset Keira Mullen+3.2
2410-14HOLYCRHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Alana Whitwell+4.1
2511-14HOLYCRAMERKillEmma Blankenshipset Lexie Richards+2.5
2611-15AMERHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Keira Mullen+3.4
2712-15HOLYCRAMERKillSydney Guerrierset Lexie Richards+2.5
2812-16AMERHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Tuana Ozarpaci+3.5
2913-16HOLYCRAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.6
3014-16AMERAMERBlockedEmma Sorensenblk Carly Sciborski, Prinzez Zeck+3.8
3114-17AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+3.9
3215-17HOLYCRAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+3.0
3315-18AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+4.1
3416-18HOLYCRAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+3.1
3516-19AMERHOLYCR×5Attack errSalme Hollas+4.3
3616-20HOLYCRHOLYCR×5AceHoly Crossaced Alex Ioannou+5.0
3716-21HOLYCRHOLYCR×5KillKK Greenset Keira Mullen+4.0
3816-22HOLYCRHOLYCR×5KillKyla Harrisset Keira Mullen+2.7
3916-23HOLYCRHOLYCR×5KillKK Greenset Keira Mullen+1.4
4017-23HOLYCRAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.3
4117-24AMERHOLYCRServe errAmerican+0.8
4217-25HOLYCRHOLYCRAttack errEmma Blankenship+0.2
Set 3
11-0HOLYCRAMER×5Serve errHoly Cross+1.9
22-0AMERAMER×5AceAmerican+2.2
33-0AMERAMER×5Attack errEmma Sorensen+1.9
44-0AMERAMER×5Attack errKK Green+1.6
55-0AMERAMER×5Attack errLacey Murphy+1.3
65-1AMERHOLYCRKillTuana Ozarpaciset KK Green+1.0
76-1HOLYCRAMER×3Serve errHoly Cross+1.0
87-1AMERAMER×3Attack errEmma Sorensen+1.0
98-1AMERAMER×3Attack errKK Green+0.8
108-2AMERHOLYCRServe errAmerican+0.5
118-3HOLYCRHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Keira Mullen+0.9
129-3HOLYCRAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.8
139-4AMERHOLYCRAttack errCarly Sciborski+0.8
1410-4HOLYCRAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.8
1511-4AMERAMERAttack errKyla Harris+0.8
1611-5AMERHOLYCR×10KillKK Greenset Keira Mullen+0.5
1711-6HOLYCRHOLYCR×10KillKK Greenset Keira Mullen+0.9
1811-7HOLYCRHOLYCR×10AceHoly Crossaced Alex Ioannou+1.3
1911-8HOLYCRHOLYCR×10KillKat Teepeset Emma Sorensen+1.8
2011-9HOLYCRHOLYCR×10Attack errElise Sterling+2.4
2111-10HOLYCRHOLYCR×10AceHoly Crossaced Salme Hollas+3.1
2211-11HOLYCRHOLYCR×10KillKK Green+3.8
2311-12HOLYCRHOLYCR×10BlockedCarly Sciborskiblk Lacey Murphy, KK Green+4.5
2411-13HOLYCRHOLYCR×10Attack errElise Sterling+5.1
2511-14HOLYCRHOLYCR×10Bad setDeniz Dakak+5.5
2612-14HOLYCRAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Salme Hollas+3.5
2713-14AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Keira Mullen+4.8
2813-15AMERHOLYCRKillKeira Mullenset Deniz Dakak+4.5
2914-15HOLYCRAMER×5KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+3.8
3015-15AMERAMER×5AceAmericanaced Emma Sorensen+5.0
3116-15AMERAMER×5Attack errKK Green+4.7
3217-15AMERAMER×5KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+4.1
3318-15AMERAMER×5AceAmericanaced KK Green+3.4
3418-16AMERHOLYCR×4KillLacey Murphyset Tuana Ozarpaci+2.4
3518-17HOLYCRHOLYCR×4Attack errSam McMillan+4.2
3618-18HOLYCRHOLYCR×4AceHoly Crossaced Salme Hollas+5.7
3718-19HOLYCRHOLYCR×4BlockedSam McMillanblk Lacey Murphy, Sarahya College+7.0
3819-19HOLYCRAMER×3KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+5.0
3920-19AMERAMER×3KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+6.5
4021-19AMERAMER×3AceAmericanaced Georgia Murphy+5.6
4121-20AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Elizabeth Hall+4.0
4221-21HOLYCRHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+7.5
4322-21HOLYCRAMERServe errHoly Cross+6.3
4423-21AMERAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+7.1
4523-22AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+4.2
4624-22HOLYCRAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+6.2
4725-22AMERAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+4.0
Set 4
11-0AMERAMERBlockedLacey Murphyblk Elise Sterling+3.3
21-1AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+2.8
32-1HOLYCRAMER×3KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.5
43-1AMERAMER×3AceAmericanaced Elizabeth Hall+3.0
54-1AMERAMER×3AceAmericanaced Elizabeth Hall+2.6
64-2AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+2.1
75-2HOLYCRAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+2.0
85-3AMERHOLYCR×5KillEmma Sorensenset Keira Mullen+2.1
95-4HOLYCRHOLYCR×5AceHoly Crossaced Sam McMillan+3.3
105-5HOLYCRHOLYCR×5Serve errHoly Cross+3.9
115-6HOLYCRHOLYCR×5BlockedSam McMillanblk Kat Teepe+4.6
125-7HOLYCRHOLYCR×5BlockedSam McMillanblk Kyla Harris+5.2
136-7HOLYCRAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Bella Marrero+3.6
147-7AMERAMER×3KillSalme Hollasset Bella Marrero+4.5
158-7AMERAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Bella Marrero+4.1
168-8AMERHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Keira Mullen+3.5
179-8HOLYCRAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+3.3
189-9AMERHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Keira Mullen+3.7
1910-9HOLYCRAMERServe errHoly Cross+3.4
2010-10AMERHOLYCR×6KillLacey Murphyset Tuana Ozarpaci+3.8
2110-11HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillSarahya Collegeset Tuana Ozarpaci+5.6
2210-12HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillEmma Sorensenset Elizabeth Hall+6.4
2310-13HOLYCRHOLYCR×6BlockedSalme Hollasblk Lacey Murphy, Sarahya College+6.8
2410-14HOLYCRHOLYCR×6KillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+7.0
2510-15HOLYCRHOLYCR×6AceHoly Crossaced Olivia Miller+6.7
2611-15HOLYCRAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+3.8
2711-16AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+5.4
2812-16HOLYCRAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+3.8
2912-17AMERHOLYCRKillSarahya Collegeset Emma Sorensen+5.5
3013-17HOLYCRAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Salme Hollas+3.7
3114-17AMERAMERAttack errEmma Sorensen+5.8
3214-18AMERHOLYCRAttack errSam McMillan+6.4
3315-18HOLYCRAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+4.5
3416-18AMERAMER×4Attack errKat Teepe+6.9
3517-18AMERAMER×4KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+7.7
3618-18AMERAMER×4Bad setSarahya College+8.0
3718-19AMERHOLYCR×3KillKK Greenset Kyla Harris+7.4
3818-20HOLYCRHOLYCR×3BlockedCarly Sciborskiblk KK Green, Lacey Murphy+10.4
3918-21HOLYCRHOLYCR×3Attack errSalme Hollas+10.4
4019-21HOLYCRAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+5.6
4120-21AMERAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+9.3
4220-22AMERHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Keira Mullen+10.3
4321-22HOLYCRAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+7.6
4421-23AMERHOLYCRKillTuana Ozarpaci+11.8
4522-23HOLYCRAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+8.0
4623-23AMERAMERAceAmericanaced KK Green+14.9
4723-24AMERHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Tuana Ozarpaci+16.2
4824-24HOLYCRAMER×3KillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+16.2
4925-24AMERAMER×3AceAmericanaced KK Green+16.9
5026-24AMERAMER×3KillSalme Hollasset Sam McMillan+12.6
Set 5
10-1AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Tuana Ozarpaci+6.3
21-1HOLYCRAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+5.6
32-1AMERAMERServe errAmerican+6.9
42-2AMERHOLYCRKillKyla Harrisset Tuana Ozarpaci+5.8
53-2HOLYCRAMERServe errHoly Cross+5.5
63-3AMERHOLYCRServe errAmerican+6.1
73-4HOLYCRHOLYCRKillKyla Harris+9.1
84-4HOLYCRAMERKillSam McMillanset Bella Marrero+6.5
94-5AMERHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Keira Mullen+7.7
104-6HOLYCRHOLYCRKillLacey Murphy+10.9
115-6HOLYCRAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+7.3
125-7AMERHOLYCRKillKat Teepeset Keira Mullen+9.2
135-8HOLYCRHOLYCRKillKK Greenset Tuana Ozarpaci+12.1
146-8HOLYCRAMER×6KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+7.3
157-8AMERAMER×6AceAmericanaced Emma Sorensen+10.7
168-8AMERAMER×6BlockedLacey Murphyblk Elise Sterling, Salme Hollas+11.1
179-8AMERAMER×6Attack errKK Green+10.7
1810-8AMERAMER×6KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+9.3
1911-8AMERAMER×6AceAmerican+7.2
2011-9AMERHOLYCRServe errAmerican+4.5
2112-9HOLYCRAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Emma Sorensen+5.7
2212-10AMERHOLYCRKillLacey Murphyset Deniz Dakak+4.3
2313-10HOLYCRAMERKillSam McMillan+6.0
2413-11AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Elizabeth Hall+3.8
2514-11HOLYCRAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+6.1
2614-12AMERHOLYCRKillEmma Sorensenset Keira Mullen+2.7
2715-12HOLYCRAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+5.5

Score shown after each rally, American first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).