Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on YouTube

Utah St. def. Fresno St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Utah St. 73.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Utah St. beat visiting Fresno St. 3-1 (25-11, 25-16, 23-25, 25-21) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Utah St.'s Sami Blackett led with 16 kills, and Lily LaFlesch added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set1234Sets
FRESNO111625211
UT ST252523253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Utah St. held Fresno St. to .080 hitting.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.5 points, and Fresno St.'s high was 26% in Set 4. The gap came from these numbers. Utah St. went in as RallyIQ's 74% pick.

Fresno St.Utah St.
  • Break %+16.4 pts
    35.151.5

    Points won on own serve: 50 of 97 vs 26 of 74. Fresno St. sided out 48.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.188
    .080.268

    58 kills, 21 errors vs 38 kills, 27 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    5 straight Utah St. points in the first set stretched a 3–2 lead to 8–2. Final score of the set: 25–11.

Utah St. above 50Fresno St. belowMax swing 4.5%

Fresno St.Utah St.

Aces
Fresno St. 5·Utah St. 5
Serve err
Fresno St. 4·Utah St. 7
Blocks
Fresno St. 9·Utah St. 161 BS · 16 BA vs 1 BS · 30 BA
Digs
Fresno St. 46·Utah St. 62

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Utah St. above 50 · Fresno St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.5% FRESNOrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Fresno St. — set 3, FRESNO 25-23 UT ST. Fresno St. ace. UT ST win probability 90% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FRESNO 17.0%83.0% UT ST

Fresno St. wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
8.8%

Utah St. wins

3-0
34.7%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.3%
FRESNO break %
38.4% vs this opp
UT ST break %
45.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Fresno St.Ace+4.5%

    Fresno St. ace

    Set 3 · FRESNO 25-23 UT ST · FRESNO 10% → 14%

  2. 02
    Sami BlackettKill+3.9%

    Kill by Sami Blackett (set by Olivia Tukuafu)

    Set 4 · FRESNO 20-23 UT ST · UT ST 94% → 97%

  3. 03
    Fresno St.Service error+3.8%

    Fresno St. service error

    Set 4 · FRESNO 20-22 UT ST · UT ST 90% → 94%

  4. 04

    Isabel Smart stuffed by Sami Blackett & Solia Angilau

    Set 4 · FRESNO 14-14 UT ST · UT ST 80% → 84%

  5. 05

    Sophie Scott stuffed by Brooklyn Washington

    Set 4 · FRESNO 14-11 UT ST · FRESNO 22% → 26%

  6. 06
    Olivia RuyKill+3.7%

    Kill by Olivia Ruy (set by Lily LaFlesch)

    Set 4 · FRESNO 14-15 UT ST · UT ST 84% → 87%

  7. 07
    Olivia TukuafuBad set+3.7%

    Bad set by Olivia Tukuafu

    Set 4 · FRESNO 18-19 UT ST · FRESNO 7% → 11%

  8. 08
    Ava NakaiAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Ava Nakai

    Set 4 · FRESNO 12-10 UT ST · FRESNO 18% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411946.04313270010.514.5
49528.1430003002110
43313.000000200636
44310.100000001226
4112.000120080010.51.5
2000–000100000
48428.143012820009
42210.000000400424
4000–1610600001
4000–300720000
Team totals3827137.0803254465116973
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416542.2623117106320
412333.2730005106315
4619.55600010174.510.5
4618.62542221100219
44410.000001200848
36520.05000000010.56.5
4000–5202000002
4000–301610000
4000–102700000
28216.375000300008
Team totals5821138.26854576251301698

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Fresno St. vs Utah St.

Season series · Utah St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 FRESNO · UT ST 5

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 2 FRESNOUT ST 5

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 4 FRESNOUT ST 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 FRESNOUT ST 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 FRESNOUT ST 5

Bars above the line = Utah St. leads, below = Fresno St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Fresno St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
27%3/11
2
43%9/21
44%7/16
3
36%8/22
31%4/13
4
78%7/9
20%2/10
5
64%7/11
36%4/11
6
50%6/12
46%6/13
All
48%47/97
35%26/74

Utah St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
56%10/18
2
60%9/15
55%12/22
3
80%8/10
60%12/20
4
89%8/9
47%7/15
5
47%7/15
30%3/10
6
75%6/8
50%6/12
All
65%48/74
52%50/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#FRESNO-UT STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FRESNOUT STKillAddy Cookset Olivia Tukuafu+1.4
20-2UT STUT STBlockedKiley Deveryblk Sami Blackett, Sophie Scott+1.9
31-2UT STFRESNOKillBrooklyn Washingtonset Gabby Lombardi+1.4
41-3FRESNOUT STAttack errJenna Legault+1.3
52-3UT STFRESNOAttack errSolia Angilau+1.4
62-4FRESNOUT ST×5KillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+1.4
72-5UT STUT ST×5BlockedAndee Mayblk Solia Angilau, Sami Blackett+1.8
82-6UT STUT ST×5BlockedBrooke Jenkinsblk Olivia Tukuafu, Solia Angilau+1.5
92-7UT STUT ST×5KillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+1.3
102-8UT STUT ST×5KillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+1.1
113-8UT STFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+0.7
123-9FRESNOUT STKillOlivia Tukuafuset Justyna Novakova+0.8
134-9UT STFRESNOAttack errSami Blackett+0.7
145-9FRESNOFRESNOBlockedAddy Cookblk Gabby Lombardi, Andee May+1.2
155-10FRESNOUT ST×3KillOlivia Tukuafuset Sami Blackett+1.0
165-11UT STUT ST×3Attack errJenna Legault+1.1
175-12UT STUT ST×3BlockedGabby Lombardiblk Addy Cook, Sophie Scott+0.8
186-12UT STFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Anna Bolich+0.4
196-13FRESNOUT ST×4KillSophie Scottset Olivia Tukuafu+0.6
206-14UT STUT ST×4Bad setAnna Bolich+0.5
216-15UT STUT ST×4BlockedJenna Legaultblk Olivia Ruy, Sophie Scott+0.3
226-16UT STUT ST×4AceUtah St.+0.2
237-16UT STFRESNOKillGabby Lombardiset Anna Bolich+0.1
247-17FRESNOUT STKillSophie Scottset Olivia Tukuafu+0.1
257-18UT STUT STKillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+0.1
268-18UT STFRESNOKillBrooklyn Washingtonset Gabby Lombardi·
279-18FRESNOFRESNOAceFresno St.aced Justyna Novakova+0.1
289-19FRESNOUT STServe errFresno St.+0.1
2910-19UT STFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi·
3010-20FRESNOUT ST×3KillSolia Angilauset Olivia Tukuafu+0.1
3110-21UT STUT ST×3BlockedAndee Mayblk Olivia Tukuafu, Solia Angilau·
3210-22UT STUT ST×3Bad setGabby Lombardi·
3311-22UT STFRESNOAttack errSami Blackett·
3411-23FRESNOUT ST×3KillSolia Angilauset Olivia Tukuafu·
3511-24UT STUT ST×3AceUtah St.aced Olivia Lombardi·
3611-25UT STUT ST×3Attack errBrooke Jenkins·
Set 2
10-1UT STUT ST×3KillAddy Cookset Olivia Tukuafu+1.6
20-2UT STUT ST×3AceUtah St.aced Olivia Lombardi+1.5
30-3UT STUT ST×3KillOlivia Ruyset Lily LaFlesch+1.3
41-3UT STFRESNOAttack errAddy Cook+0.9
51-4FRESNOUT ST×5KillAddy Cookset Olivia Tukuafu+1.0
61-5UT STUT ST×5BlockedBrooklyn Washingtonblk Sophie Scott+1.2
71-6UT STUT ST×5KillSami Blackett+1.0
81-7UT STUT ST×5BlockedJenna Legaultblk Sophie Scott, Olivia Ruy+0.8
91-8UT STUT ST×5KillSophie Scottset Gabby Lombardi+0.7
102-8UT STFRESNOKillBrooklyn Washingtonset Gabby Lombardi+0.4
113-8FRESNOFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Jenna Legault+0.7
123-9FRESNOUT STKillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+0.6
133-10UT STUT STBad setGabby Lombardi+0.6
144-10UT STFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Justyna Novakova+0.4
155-10FRESNOFRESNOKillBrooke Jenkinsset Anna Bolich+0.7
165-11FRESNOUT STKillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+0.6
176-11UT STFRESNOKillBrooke Jenkinsset Anna Bolich+0.5
186-12FRESNOUT STKillOlivia Tukuafuset Lily LaFlesch+0.6
197-12UT STFRESNO×4KillJenna Legaultset Olivia Lombardi+0.5
208-12FRESNOFRESNO×4BlockedAddy Cookblk Isabel Smart, Brooklyn Washington+0.9
219-12FRESNOFRESNO×4Attack errAddy Cook+1.2
2210-12FRESNOFRESNO×4KillBrooklyn Washingtonset Anna Bolich+1.5
2310-13FRESNOUT STKillAddy Cookset Olivia Tukuafu+1.2
2411-13UT STFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Anna Bolich+1.2
2511-14FRESNOUT ST×4KillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+1.3
2611-15UT STUT ST×4KillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+1.5
2711-16UT STUT ST×4Attack errKiley Devery+1.1
2811-17UT STUT ST×4BlockedJenna Legaultblk Olivia Ruy, Sophie Scott+0.8
2912-17UT STFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Gabby Lombardi+0.4
3012-18FRESNOUT STKillOlivia Ruyset Jenna Legault+0.6
3112-19UT STUT STBlockedBrooke Jenkinsblk Olivia Ruy, Sophie Scott+0.5
3213-19UT STFRESNOKillBrooke Jenkinsset Gabby Lombardi+0.2
3313-20FRESNOUT STBlockedKiley Deveryblk Sami Blackett, Sophie Scott+0.3
3414-20UT STFRESNOKillBrooke Jenkinsset Gabby Lombardi+0.2
3514-21FRESNOUT STKillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+0.3
3615-21UT STFRESNOServe errUtah St.+0.1
3715-22FRESNOUT STKillOlivia Tukuafuset Justyna Novakova+0.2
3816-22UT STFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Anna Bolich+0.1
3916-23FRESNOUT ST×3KillAddy Cookset Lily LaFlesch+0.2
4016-24UT STUT ST×3KillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+0.1
4116-25UT STUT ST×3KillOlivia Tukuafuset Sadie Warren·
Set 3
11-0FRESNOFRESNOAceFresno St.aced Olivia Ruy+0.9
21-1FRESNOUT STKillAddy Cookset Olivia Tukuafu+0.7
32-1UT STFRESNOKillBrooke Jenkinsset Anna Bolich+0.7
42-2FRESNOUT ST×4KillSophie Scottset Olivia Tukuafu+0.7
52-3UT STUT ST×4KillSolia Angilauset Olivia Tukuafu+0.9
62-4UT STUT ST×4AceUtah St.aced Brooke Jenkins+0.9
72-5UT STUT ST×4AceUtah St.aced Brooke Jenkins+0.8
83-5UT STFRESNOBlockedSolia Angilaublk Jenna Legault, Andee May+0.5
94-5FRESNOFRESNOAttack errSami Blackett+0.9
104-6FRESNOUT STKillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+0.6
114-7UT STUT STKillSami Blackett+0.8
125-7UT STFRESNOKillIsabel Smartset Anna Bolich+0.6
136-7FRESNOFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Gabby Lombardi+0.9
146-8FRESNOUT STKillSolia Angilauset Olivia Tukuafu+0.7
157-8UT STFRESNO×4KillKiley Deveryset Olivia Tukuafu+0.7
168-8FRESNOFRESNO×4AceFresno St.aced Sami Blackett+1.1
179-8FRESNOFRESNO×4AceFresno St.+1.2
1810-8FRESNOFRESNO×4Attack errSolia Angilau+1.2
1910-9FRESNOUT STAttack errBrooklyn Washington+0.8
2011-9UT STFRESNO×3KillKiley Deveryset Olivia Lombardi+0.9
2112-9FRESNOFRESNO×3Attack errOlivia Tukuafu+1.3
2213-9FRESNOFRESNO×3BlockedAddy Cookblk Kiley Devery, Andee May+1.2
2313-10FRESNOUT STKillAva Nakaiset Olivia Tukuafu+0.7
2414-10UT STFRESNOAttack errOlivia Ruy+0.9
2515-10FRESNOFRESNOKillAndee May+1.1
2615-11FRESNOUT STKillAva Nakaiset Olivia Tukuafu+0.6
2715-12UT STUT STAttack errBrooke Jenkins+1.0
2816-12UT STFRESNOAttack errSami Blackett+1.0
2917-12FRESNOFRESNOBlockedSami Blackettblk Isabel Smart, Andee May+1.1
3017-13FRESNOUT ST×3KillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+0.6
3117-14UT STUT ST×3Attack errIsabel Smart+1.0
3217-15UT STUT ST×3BlockedJenna Legaultblk Olivia Ruy, Solia Angilau+1.3
3318-15UT STFRESNOKillAndee Mayset Anna Bolich+1.2
3418-16FRESNOUT STBad setAnna Bolich+0.9
3519-16UT STFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Anna Bolich+1.2
3619-17FRESNOUT STKillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+0.9
3720-17UT STFRESNOServe errUtah St.+1.3
3820-18FRESNOUT STAttack errJenna Legault+0.9
3920-19UT STUT STAttack errKiley Devery+1.7
4021-19UT STFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+1.6
4121-20FRESNOUT STKillSophie Scottset Olivia Tukuafu+1.3
4222-20UT STFRESNOServe errUtah St.+1.8
4323-20FRESNOFRESNOBlockedOlivia Ruyblk Isabel Smart, Andee May+2.1
4423-21FRESNOUT ST×3KillAva Nakaiset Lily LaFlesch+0.8
4523-22UT STUT ST×3KillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+2.0
4623-23UT STUT ST×3KillSophie Scottset Olivia Tukuafu+3.0
4724-23UT STFRESNOKillAndee Mayset Anna Bolich+2.9
4825-23FRESNOFRESNOAceFresno St.+4.5
Set 4
10-1UT STUT STKillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+2.4
21-1UT STFRESNO×3KillBrooke Jenkinsset Anna Bolich+1.8
32-1FRESNOFRESNO×3BlockedOlivia Ruyblk Isabel Smart, Andee May+2.6
43-1FRESNOFRESNO×3Bad setOlivia Tukuafu+2.8
53-2FRESNOUT STAttack errAndee May+1.9
64-2UT STFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Anna Bolich+2.1
75-2FRESNOFRESNOKillJenna Legault+2.9
85-3FRESNOUT ST×3KillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+1.9
95-4UT STUT ST×3KillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+2.7
105-5UT STUT ST×3BlockedJenna Legaultblk Olivia Ruy, Solia Angilau+2.8
116-5UT STFRESNOKillIsabel Smartset Anna Bolich+2.1
126-6FRESNOUT STKillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+2.0
137-6UT STFRESNOServe errUtah St.+2.2
147-7FRESNOUT STServe errFresno St.+2.1
158-7UT STFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+2.3
168-8FRESNOUT STKillOlivia Tukuafuset Sami Blackett+2.1
178-9UT STUT STKillAva Nakaiset Olivia Tukuafu+2.9
189-9UT STFRESNOServe errUtah St.+2.2
199-10FRESNOUT STKillAva Nakaiset Olivia Tukuafu+2.2
2010-10UT STFRESNO×3KillBrooke Jenkinsset Anna Bolich+2.3
2111-10FRESNOFRESNO×3KillJenna Legaultset Olivia Lombardi+3.4
2212-10FRESNOFRESNO×3Attack errAva Nakai+3.6
2312-11FRESNOUT STServe errFresno St.+2.4
2413-11UT STFRESNOServe errUtah St.+2.8
2514-11FRESNOFRESNOBlockedSophie Scottblk Brooklyn Washington+3.7
2614-12FRESNOUT ST×5KillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+2.3
2714-13UT STUT ST×5BlockedBrooklyn Washingtonblk Sami Blackett, Solia Angilau+3.6
2814-14UT STUT ST×5BlockedIsabel Smartblk Sami Blackett, Solia Angilau+3.8
2914-15UT STUT ST×5KillOlivia Ruyset Lily LaFlesch+3.7
3014-16UT STUT ST×5KillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+3.5
3115-16UT STFRESNOAttack errSolia Angilau+2.4
3215-17FRESNOUT STKillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+2.6
3316-17UT STFRESNOKillKiley Deveryset Gabby Lombardi+2.5
3416-18FRESNOUT STBlockedKiley Deveryblk Sami Blackett, Solia Angilau+2.8
3516-19UT STUT STKillAva Nakaiset Olivia Tukuafu+3.3
3617-19UT STFRESNOBlockedAva Nakaiblk Brooklyn Washington, Kiley Devery+2.0
3718-19FRESNOFRESNOBad setOlivia Tukuafu+3.7
3818-20FRESNOUT STKillAva Nakaiset Sami Blackett+3.2
3919-20UT STFRESNOKillBrooke Jenkinsset Gabby Lombardi+2.9
4019-21FRESNOUT STKillAva Nakaiset Olivia Tukuafu+3.4
4120-21UT STFRESNOServe errUtah St.+3.0
4220-22FRESNOUT ST×3Serve errFresno St.+3.8
4320-23UT STUT ST×3KillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+3.9
4420-24UT STUT ST×3Attack errJenna Legault+2.0
4521-24UT STFRESNOKillJenna Legaultset Anna Bolich+0.4
4621-25FRESNOUT STKillSami Blackettset Justyna Novakova+1.0

Score shown after each rally, Fresno St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).