Fresno State vs Colorado State Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 12, 2026

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Fresno St. (7-16) at Colorado St. (20-3), Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 8:00 PM CT. RallyIQ gives Colorado St. a 99% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Colorado St. won 3-0 on Oct 29.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT

Match prediction

FRESNO 0.5%99.5% CO ST

Fresno St. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.4%

Colorado St. wins

3-0

79.2%

3-1

17.8%

3-2

2.5%

FRESNO break %: 33.7% vs this opp
CO ST break %: 53.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.