Fresno State vs Boise State Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026YouTube

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Fresno St. (7-16) at Boise St. (15-11), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 1:00 PM CT on YouTube. RallyIQ gives Boise St. a 90% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Boise St. won 3-0 on Oct 10.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT

Match prediction

FRESNO 10.4%89.6% BOISE

Fresno St. wins

3-0

1.4%

3-1

3.2%

3-2

5.8%

Boise St. wins

3-0

43.7%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.3%

FRESNO break %: 38.4% vs this opp
BOISE break %: 48.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.