Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Georgetown def. Providence 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Georgetown 69.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Georgetown beat visiting Providence 3-1 (25-17, 25-22, 22-25, 25-14) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Georgetown's Katherine McGregor led with 15 kills, and Bella McGirr added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
PROV172225141
GTOWN252522253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 10–0 run in the first set broke it open for Georgetown.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.2 points, and Providence's high was 34% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Georgetown at 69%.

ProvidenceGeorgetown
  • Break %+12.0 pts
    38.050.0

    On serve: 48/96 against 30/79 (Providence sideout 50.0%).

  • Longest run+6
    410

    10 straight Georgetown points in the first set turned a 9–10 deficit into a 19–10 lead. Final score of the set: 25–17.

Georgetown above 50Providence belowMax swing 5.2%

ProvidenceGeorgetown

Hitting
Providence .164·Georgetown .232
Aces
Providence 3·Georgetown 11
Serve err
Providence 11·Georgetown 11
Blocks
Providence 11·Georgetown 45 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Providence 54·Georgetown 67

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Georgetown above 50 · Providence below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.2% GTOWNrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.2% to Georgetown — set 2, PROV 22-24 GTOWN. Georgetown ace on Sophia Adkins. GTOWN win probability 86% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PROV 40.7%59.3% GTOWN

Providence wins

3-0
9.0%
3-1
14.9%
3-2
16.8%

Georgetown wins

3-0
16.8%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
19.8%
PROV break %
41.8% vs this opp
GTOWN break %
43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    GeorgetownAce+5.2%

    Georgetown ace on Sophia Adkins

    Set 2 · PROV 22-24 GTOWN · GTOWN 86% → 91%

  2. 02
    Katherine McGregorAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Katherine McGregor

    Set 2 · PROV 22-22 GTOWN · PROV 14% → 19%

  3. 03

    Kill by Katherine McGregor (set by Bella McGirr)

    Set 2 · PROV 22-23 GTOWN · GTOWN 81% → 86%

  4. 04
    Tori OtterKill+3.2%

    Kill by Tori Otter (set by Miller McDonald)

    Set 2 · PROV 21-22 GTOWN · PROV 11% → 14%

  5. 05
    Lyric BerryBlock+3.0%

    Berkeley Ploder stuffed by Lyric Berry

    Set 3 · PROV 23-21 GTOWN · PROV 10% → 13%

  6. 06
    Berkeley PloderAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Berkeley Ploder

    Set 3 · PROV 22-21 GTOWN · PROV 7% → 10%

  7. 07

    Kill by Fielding Mayhugh (set by Aubrey Easterwood)

    Set 1 · PROV 10-9 GTOWN · PROV 31% → 34%

  8. 08
    Katherine McGregorAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Katherine McGregor

    Set 4 · PROV 5-5 GTOWN · PROV 13% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415530.3331001012217
45011.455000003249
47433.09100381010.57.5
47729.00010283010.57.5
43213.077113501437
4103.3332212900002
45218.167000100216
4001.0004111340001
4002.0001100700000
4000–000220000
1000–000010000
Team totals4320140.1644031154115121178
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415533.30300040010.515.5
412324.3750002012214
48433.1211319100011
46312.25010130010.56.5
46422.091101300006
4003.00023351200003
4417.429000200215
4000–1430600003
4002.0004011910000
3000–222100002
3000–000500000
1102.500000110001
Team totals5220138.23246111167316497

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Providence vs Georgetown

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 PROV · GTOWN 10

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 PROVGTOWN 10

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 PROVGTOWN 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 PROVGTOWN 3

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 4 PROVGTOWN 4

Bars above the line = Georgetown leads, below = Providence leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Providence

SlotSideout %Break %
1
32%10/31
47%8/17
2
67%10/15
29%4/14
3
41%7/17
47%8/17
4
50%7/14
30%3/10
5
88%7/8
30%3/10
6
64%7/11
36%4/11
All
50%48/96
38%30/79

Georgetown

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
68%17/25
2
75%9/12
41%7/17
3
47%9/19
44%7/16
4
70%7/10
65%13/20
5
70%7/10
22%2/9
6
58%7/12
22%2/9
All
62%49/79
50%48/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#PROV-GTOWNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GTOWNGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Juleigh Urbina+2.1
21-1GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+1.6
31-2PROVGTOWNServe errProvidence+1.6
42-2GTOWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.6
52-3PROVGTOWNKillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+1.6
63-3GTOWNPROVKillLyric Berryset Sarah Musial+1.7
73-4PROVGTOWN×3KillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Juleigh Urbina+1.7
83-5GTOWNGTOWN×3Attack errSophia Adkins+2.2
93-6GTOWNGTOWN×3AceGeorgetownaced Gwenyth Koss+2.0
104-6GTOWNPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.4
115-6PROVPROVAceProvidenceaced Dionna Mitchell+2.2
125-7PROVGTOWNAttack errShea Dupuis+1.7
136-7GTOWNPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Macy Taylor+1.7
147-7PROVPROVKillSophia Adkins+2.5
157-8PROVGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Olivia Penske+1.8
167-9GTOWNGTOWNAttack errTori Otter+2.4
178-9GTOWNPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.7
189-9PROVPROV×3KillFielding Mayhughset Miller McDonald+2.7
1910-9PROVPROV×3KillFielding Mayhughset Aubrey Easterwood+2.9
2010-10PROVGTOWN×10KillDionna Mitchellset Olivia Penske+2.1
2110-11GTOWNGTOWN×10KillDionna Mitchellset Juleigh Urbina+2.8
2210-12GTOWNGTOWN×10KillKatherine McGregorset Dionna Mitchell+2.7
2310-13GTOWNGTOWN×10Attack errTori Otter+2.4
2410-14GTOWNGTOWN×10Bad setMiller McDonald+2.0
2510-15GTOWNGTOWN×10BlockedSophia Adkinsblk Katherine McGregor, Berkeley Ploder+1.6
2610-16GTOWNGTOWN×10Attack errAubrey Easterwood+1.2
2710-17GTOWNGTOWN×10AceGeorgetownaced Sophia Adkins+0.8
2810-18GTOWNGTOWN×10AceGeorgetownaced Macy Taylor+0.5
2910-19GTOWNGTOWN×10KillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+0.3
3011-19GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+0.1
3111-20PROVGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Juleigh Urbina+0.2
3212-20GTOWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+0.1
3312-21PROVGTOWNKillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+0.1
3413-21GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+0.1
3514-21PROVPROVBlockedKamryn Lee-Caracciblk Lyric Berry+0.1
3614-22PROVGTOWNKillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+0.2
3715-22GTOWNPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.1
3815-23PROVGTOWNKillGrace Albaughset Olivia Penske+0.1
3916-23GTOWNPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial·
4016-24PROVGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Olivia Penske+0.1
4117-24GTOWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald·
4217-25PROVGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Olivia Penske·
Set 2
11-0PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.9
22-0PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.0
33-0PROVPROV×3KillMiller McDonaldset Macy Taylor+2.0
43-1PROVGTOWNKillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+1.3
54-1GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+1.5
64-2PROVGTOWN×5KillBerkeley Ploderset Juleigh Urbina+1.4
74-3GTOWNGTOWN×5Bad setMiller McDonald+2.0
84-4GTOWNGTOWN×5KillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+2.0
94-5GTOWNGTOWN×5KillKatherine McGregorset Bella McGirr+2.0
104-6GTOWNGTOWN×5Attack errTori Otter+1.9
115-6GTOWNPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.4
125-7PROVGTOWNServe errProvidence+1.4
136-7GTOWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.4
146-8PROVGTOWNKillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+1.4
157-8GTOWNPROVAttack errAddie Lloyd+1.4
167-9PROVGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Olivia Penske+1.5
178-9GTOWNPROVKillFielding Mayhughset Sarah Musial+1.5
188-10PROVGTOWNServe errProvidence+1.5
199-10GTOWNPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+1.5
209-11PROVGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Bella McGirr+1.6
2110-11GTOWNPROVKillFielding Mayhughset Tori Otter+1.5
2211-11PROVPROVKillTori Otterset Macy Taylor+2.4
2311-12PROVGTOWNServe errProvidence+1.8
2412-12GTOWNPROVAttack errKatherine McGregor+1.8
2513-12PROVPROVBlockedGrace Albaughblk Tori Otter+2.7
2613-13PROVGTOWN×3KillDionna Mitchellset Juleigh Urbina+1.9
2713-14GTOWNGTOWN×3AceGeorgetownaced Megan Weldon+2.7
2813-15GTOWNGTOWN×3Attack errSophia Adkins+2.5
2914-15GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+1.8
3014-16PROVGTOWNKillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Juleigh Urbina+1.9
3114-17GTOWNGTOWNAceGeorgetownaced Megan Weldon+2.3
3215-17GTOWNPROVKillLyric Berryset Sarah Musial+1.5
3315-18PROVGTOWNKillGrace Albaughset Kamryn Lee-Caracci+1.7
3416-18GTOWNPROVKillLyric Berryset Olivia Penske+1.5
3516-19PROVGTOWNKillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Olivia Penske+1.8
3617-19GTOWNPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+1.5
3718-19PROVPROVAttack errDionna Mitchell+2.8
3818-20PROVGTOWNKillAddie Lloydset Olivia Penske+2.4
3918-21GTOWNGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Juleigh Urbina+2.7
4019-21GTOWNPROVKillFielding Mayhughset Miller McDonald+1.5
4119-22PROVGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Juleigh Urbina+2.1
4220-22GTOWNPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.4
4321-22PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+3.2
4422-22PROVPROV×3Attack errKatherine McGregor+4.8
4522-23PROVGTOWN×3KillKatherine McGregorset Bella McGirr+4.2
4622-24GTOWNGTOWN×3AceGeorgetownaced Sophia Adkins+5.2
4722-25GTOWNGTOWN×3Bad setMiller McDonald+2.7
Set 3
10-1GTOWNGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploder+1.0
21-1GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+0.7
31-2PROVGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Juleigh Urbina+0.7
42-2GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+0.8
52-3PROVGTOWN×3KillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+0.7
62-4GTOWNGTOWN×3KillGrace Albaughset Sydney Mercado+1.0
72-5GTOWNGTOWN×3KillGrace Albaughset Sydney Mercado+0.9
83-5GTOWNPROV×3KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial+0.6
94-5PROVPROV×3BlockedKamryn Lee-Caracciblk Lyric Berry+1.0
105-5PROVPROV×3BlockedKatherine McGregorblk Lyric Berry, Fielding Mayhugh+1.1
115-6PROVGTOWN×3Serve errProvidence+0.8
125-7GTOWNGTOWN×3Attack errFielding Mayhugh+1.1
135-8GTOWNGTOWN×3AceGeorgetownaced Macy Taylor+1.0
146-8GTOWNPROVKillShea Dupuisset Macy Taylor+0.7
156-9PROVGTOWNKillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Olivia Penske+0.7
167-9GTOWNPROV×3KillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial+0.7
178-9PROVPROV×3AceProvidenceaced Bella McGirr+1.1
189-9PROVPROV×3BlockedDionna Mitchellblk Tori Otter, Aubrey Easterwood+1.2
199-10PROVGTOWNServe errProvidence+0.9
2010-10GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+0.9
2111-10PROVPROVBlockedDionna Mitchellblk Tori Otter, Aubrey Easterwood+1.4
2211-11PROVGTOWN×3Serve errProvidence+1.0
2311-12GTOWNGTOWN×3Attack errSophia Adkins+1.3
2411-13GTOWNGTOWN×3AceGeorgetownaced Macy Taylor+1.3
2512-13GTOWNPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+0.9
2612-14PROVGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Juleigh Urbina+1.0
2713-14GTOWNPROVKillTori Otterset Sophia Adkins+0.9
2813-15PROVGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Juleigh Urbina+1.0
2914-15GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+1.0
3014-16PROVGTOWNServe errProvidence+1.1
3114-17GTOWNGTOWNBlockedFielding Mayhughblk Kamryn Lee-Caracci, Addie Lloyd+1.3
3215-17GTOWNPROV×3Attack errKamryn Lee-Caracci+0.8
3316-17PROVPROV×3BlockedGrace Albaughblk Shea Dupuis, Aubrey Easterwood+1.4
3417-17PROVPROV×3Attack errGrace Albaugh+1.7
3517-18PROVGTOWNKillGrace Albaughset Olivia Penske+1.3
3618-18GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+1.4
3718-19PROVGTOWNKillAddie Lloydset Olivia Penske+1.4
3819-19GTOWNPROVKillFielding Mayhughset Miller McDonald+1.5
3920-19PROVPROVBlockedBerkeley Ploderblk Aubrey Easterwood+2.3
4020-20PROVGTOWNServe errProvidence+1.6
4120-21GTOWNGTOWNKillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+2.4
4221-21GTOWNPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+1.8
4322-21PROVPROV×3Attack errBerkeley Ploder+2.9
4423-21PROVPROV×3BlockedBerkeley Ploderblk Lyric Berry+3.0
4523-22PROVGTOWNKillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+1.5
4624-22GTOWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.6
4725-22PROVPROVBlockedGrace Albaughblk Shea Dupuis, Lyric Berry+2.1
Set 4
10-1PROVGTOWN×4KillKatherine McGregorset Grace Albaugh+1.9
20-2GTOWNGTOWN×4AceGeorgetownaced Fielding Mayhugh+2.4
30-3GTOWNGTOWN×4Attack errTori Otter+2.3
40-4GTOWNGTOWN×4AceGeorgetownaced Sophia Adkins+2.0
51-4GTOWNPROVBad setJuleigh Urbina+1.4
61-5PROVGTOWNAttack errSophia Adkins+1.5
72-5GTOWNPROV×4KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.4
83-5PROVPROV×4KillFielding Mayhughset Miller McDonald+2.2
94-5PROVPROV×4KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald+2.6
105-5PROVPROV×4Attack errKatherine McGregor+2.9
115-6PROVGTOWN×4Attack errFielding Mayhugh+2.1
125-7GTOWNGTOWN×4KillAddie Lloydset Bella McGirr+2.8
135-8GTOWNGTOWN×4KillGrace Albaughset Bella McGirr+2.5
145-9GTOWNGTOWN×4KillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Kamryn Lee-Caracci+2.2
156-9GTOWNPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald+1.5
166-10PROVGTOWNKillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Olivia Penske+1.6
176-11GTOWNGTOWNAttack errSophia Adkins+1.9
187-11GTOWNPROVKillLyric Berryset Sarah Musial+1.2
197-12PROVGTOWNKillAddie Lloydset Olivia Penske+1.4
207-13GTOWNGTOWNBlockedFielding Mayhughblk Berkeley Ploder, Addie Lloyd+1.5
218-13GTOWNPROVKillLyric Berryset Sarah Musial+0.9
229-13PROVPROVAttack errDionna Mitchell+1.6
239-14PROVGTOWN×4KillBerkeley Ploderset Olivia Penske+1.4
249-15GTOWNGTOWN×4Attack errShea Dupuis+1.5
259-16GTOWNGTOWN×4BlockedAubrey Easterwoodblk Berkeley Ploder+1.0
269-17GTOWNGTOWN×4KillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+0.7
2710-17GTOWNPROVServe errGeorgetown+0.3
2810-18PROVGTOWN×4Serve errProvidence+0.4
2910-19GTOWNGTOWN×4KillBerkeley Ploder+0.3
3010-20GTOWNGTOWN×4AceGeorgetownaced Macy Taylor+0.2
3110-21GTOWNGTOWN×4Attack errTori Otter+0.1
3211-21GTOWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald·
3312-21PROVPROVBlockedKatherine McGregorblk Sophia Adkins, Aubrey Easterwood·
3412-22PROVGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Juleigh Urbina+0.1
3512-23GTOWNGTOWNAttack errSophia Adkins·
3613-23GTOWNPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald·
3714-23PROVPROVAceProvidenceaced Alexis Anderson·
3814-24PROVGTOWNServe errProvidence·
3914-25GTOWNGTOWNKillAlexis Andersonset Olivia Penske·

Score shown after each rally, Providence first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).