Georgetown vs Providence Volleyball: Providence Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Georgetown 51.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Providence beat visiting Georgetown 3-1 on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Providence's Aubrey Easterwood led with 13 kills, and Ava Dyer added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 3:35 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1*	2	3	4	Sets
GTOWN	14	16	25	17	1
PROV	18	25	23	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play stops before this set ended, so the score is partial. The set winner comes from the official result.

Win probability

Providence above 50 · Georgetown below

Biggest swing: 6.8% to Providence — set 1, GTOWN 14-18 PROV. Kill by Lyric Berry (set by Sarah Musial). PROV win probability 67% → 73%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GTOWN 44.2%55.8% PROV

Georgetown wins

3-0

10.2%

3-1

16.3%

3-2

17.7%

Providence wins

3-0

15.1%

3-1

21.2%

3-2

19.5%

GTOWN break %: 42.1% vs this opp
PROV break %: 43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Lyric BerryKill+6.8%
Kill by Lyric Berry (set by Sarah Musial)
Set 1 · GTOWN 14-18 PROV · PROV 67% → 73%
02
GeorgetownAce+4.5%
Georgetown ace on Sophia Adkins
Set 3 · GTOWN 24-22 PROV · GTOWN 15% → 19%
03
Katherine McGregorKill+4.5%
Kill by Katherine McGregor (set by Juleigh Urbina)
Set 3 · GTOWN 25-23 PROV · GTOWN 17% → 22%
04
Kamryn Lee-CaracciAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Kamryn Lee-Caracci
Set 4 · GTOWN 9-11 PROV · PROV 81% → 85%
05
GeorgetownAce+3.8%
Georgetown ace
Set 4 · GTOWN 9-9 PROV · GTOWN 18% → 22%
06
Aubrey Easterwood&Shea DupuisBlock+3.8%
Avery Lewis stuffed by Aubrey Easterwood & Shea Dupuis
Set 3 · GTOWN 22-22 PROV · PROV 85% → 89%
07
Maria FilippovaKill+3.7%
Kill by Maria Filippova (set by Olivia Penske)
Set 4 · GTOWN 16-18 PROV · GTOWN 8% → 12%
08
Macy TaylorKill+3.7%
Kill by Macy Taylor (set by Sarah Musial)
Set 4 · GTOWN 17-21 PROV · PROV 92% → 96%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Georgetownaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Katherine McGregorOH	4	6	4	18	.111	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	8
9Kamryn Lee-CaracciMB	4	3	2	14	.071	2	0	2	1	0	1	4	3	6
13Berkeley PloderMB	4	3	1	12	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
20Juleigh UrbinaS	4	0	0	0	–	13	1	2	5	0	0	0	0	1
22Dionna MitchellOH	3	4	1	13	.231	1	1	0	8	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
1Alexis AndersonOH	3	4	1	15	.200	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	4
2Maria FilippovaOH	4	4	5	18	-.056	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4
14Bella McGirrL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	3	1	2	12	4	0	0	0	1
4Avery LewisOPP	3	7	1	17	.353	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	0	7
12Olivia PenskeS	2	0	0	0	–	7	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
7Natalie NguyenS	2	0	2	2	-1.000	3	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
15Grace AlbaughOH	1	0	2	7	-.286	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
5Jessica LeeL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
3Taylor MercadoDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	19	117	.103	30	4	8	50	10	1	10	6	72

Providencehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Aubrey EasterwoodMB	4	13	2	22	.500	1	2	4	1	0	0	3	1.5	16.5
21Sophia AdkinsOH	4	10	6	27	.148	0	3	3	13	1	0	1	0.5	13.5
9Tori OtterMB	4	10	3	22	.318	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	10
11Lyric BerryMB	4	9	1	16	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
15Macy TaylorOH	4	6	3	22	.136	2	0	1	6	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
1Miller McDonaldS	4	0	1	3	-.333	19	2	1	9	0	0	0	0	2
7Shea DupuisOH	4	3	4	15	-.067	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	4
6Ava DyerL/DS	4	0	0	2	.000	5	1	2	15	1	0	0	0	1
20Sarah MusialS	4	0	0	0	–	17	1	4	6	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		51	20	129	.240	45	9	15	57	4	1	8	5	91

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Georgetown vs Providence

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Sat, Oct 3, 2026Providence at Georgetown · Georgetown won 3-1Result →
Fri, Oct 30, 2026Georgetown at Providence · Providence won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 GTOWN · PROV 6

Set 1

14-18

Longest run 4 GTOWNPROV 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 GTOWNPROV 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 GTOWNPROV 4

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 4 GTOWNPROV 6

Bars above the line = Providence leads, below = Georgetown leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Georgetown

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%5/5	20%1/5
2	67%4/6	43%3/7
3	44%4/9	60%6/10
4	44%4/9	33%2/6
5	30%3/10	50%4/8
6	33%3/9	50%3/6
All	48%23/48	45%19/42

Providence

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%4/6	50%4/8
2	44%4/9	20%1/5
3	57%4/7	60%6/10
4	44%4/9	33%2/6
5	100%4/4	50%4/8
6	43%3/7	73%8/11
All	55%23/42	52%25/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

163 rallies

#	GTOWN-PROV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	PROV	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Aubrey Easterwood	+2.4
2	1-1	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+1.8
3	1-2	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.8
4	2-2	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+1.9
5	2-3	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.9
6	2-4	PROV	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Macy Taylor	+2.5
7	3-4	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+1.8
8	3-5	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+1.9
9	3-6	PROV	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Bella McGirr	+2.4
10	4-6	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+1.7
11	4-7	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+1.8
12–13	5-8		GTOWN · PROV	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.8
14	6-8	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Alexis Anderson	set Natalie Nguyen	+2.4
15	6-9	GTOWN	PROV×3	Serve err	Georgetown		+1.9
16	6-10	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Katherine McGregor		+2.4
17	6-11	PROV	PROV×3	Serve err	Providence		+2.0
18	7-11	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+1.3
19	7-12	GTOWN	PROV	Serve err	Georgetown		+1.5
20	8-12	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+1.3
21	8-13	GTOWN	PROV	Serve err	Georgetown		+1.5
22	9-13	PROV	GTOWN×4	Attack err	Macy Taylor		+1.3
23	10-13	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Attack err	Aubrey Easterwood		+2.1
24	11-13	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+2.6
25	12-13	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Dionna Mitchell	+3.0
26	12-14	GTOWN	PROV×4	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+2.5
27	12-15	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+3.1
28	12-16	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+2.7
29	12-17	PROV	PROV×4	Bad set	Natalie Nguyen		+2.1
30	13-17	PROV	GTOWN	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+1.2
31	14-17	GTOWN	GTOWN	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+2.1
32	14-18	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+6.8
Set 2
1	0-1	GTOWN	PROV×5	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+1.7
2	0-2	PROV	PROV×5	Attack err	Grace Albaugh		+2.3
3	0-3	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+2.2
4	0-4	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Ava Dyer	+2.0
5	0-5	PROV	PROV×5	Attack err	Grace Albaugh		+1.8
6	1-5	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+1.2
7	2-5	GTOWN	GTOWN	Blocked	Sophia Adkins	blk Kamryn Lee-Caracci, Katherine McGregor	+1.8
8	2-6	GTOWN	PROV	Attack err	Katherine McGregor		+1.5
9	3-6	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+1.4
10	3-7	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Miller McDonald	+1.6
11	4-7	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+1.4
12	5-7	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Alexis Anderson	set Natalie Nguyen	+2.2
13	5-8	GTOWN	PROV	Attack err	Maria Filippova		+1.8
14–15	6-9		GTOWN · PROV	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.7
16	7-9	GTOWN	GTOWN	Blocked	Miller McDonald	blk Kamryn Lee-Caracci	+2.3
17	7-10	GTOWN	PROV	Serve err	Georgetown		+1.9
18	7-11	PROV	PROV	Blocked	Natalie Nguyen	blk Shea Dupuis, Aubrey Easterwood	+2.3
19	8-11	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+1.5
20	9-11	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Maria Filippova	set Bella McGirr	+2.4
21	9-12	GTOWN	PROV	Serve err	Georgetown		+2.0
22	10-12	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Natalie Nguyen	+1.8
23	10-13	GTOWN	PROV×4	Attack err	Kamryn Lee-Caracci		+2.0
24	10-14	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Juleigh Urbina	+2.4
25	10-15	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Shea Dupuis	+2.0
26	10-16	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.5
27	11-16	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.8
28	11-17	GTOWN	PROV	Attack err	Katherine McGregor		+1.1
29	12-17	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+0.8
30	13-17	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Berkeley Ploder	set Juleigh Urbina	+1.5
31	13-18	GTOWN	PROV	Blocked	Katherine McGregor	blk Lyric Berry, Sophia Adkins	+1.5
32	13-19	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Alexis Anderson		+1.4
33	14-19	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+0.6
34	14-20	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+1.0
35	15-20	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Alexis Anderson	set Bella McGirr	+0.6
36	15-21	GTOWN	PROV×3	Attack err	Natalie Nguyen		+0.9
37	15-22	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood		+0.6
38	15-23	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Natalie Nguyen	+0.2
39	16-23	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		·
40	16-24	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+0.1
41	16-25	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Bella McGirr	·
Set 3
1	1-0	PROV	GTOWN×3	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Juleigh Urbina	+1.1
2	2-0	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Attack err	Aubrey Easterwood		+1.5
3	3-0	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Attack err	Macy Taylor		+1.4
4	3-1	GTOWN	PROV	Serve err	Georgetown		+1.0
5	4-1	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Bella McGirr	+1.1
6	5-1	GTOWN	GTOWN	Attack err	Tori Otter		+1.4
7	5-2	GTOWN	PROV×3	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+0.9
8	5-3	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Dionna Mitchell		+1.4
9	5-4	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.5
10	6-4	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+1.2
11	6-5	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+1.1
12	6-6	PROV	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+1.6
13	7-6	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+1.3
14	8-6	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Avery Lewis	set Olivia Penske	+1.7
15	8-7	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+1.2
16	8-8	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Bella McGirr	+1.7
17	9-8	PROV	GTOWN	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+1.3
18	9-9	GTOWN	PROV	Serve err	Georgetown		+1.3
19	9-10	PROV	PROV	Blocked	Maria Filippova	blk Macy Taylor	+1.8
20	10-10	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Maria Filippova	set Olivia Penske	+1.3
21	10-11	GTOWN	PROV	Serve err	Georgetown		+1.4
22	11-11	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Avery Lewis	set Juleigh Urbina	+1.4
23	11-12	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+1.4
24	11-13	PROV	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+1.9
25	12-13	PROV	GTOWN×4	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+1.3
26	13-13	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Kill	Berkeley Ploder		+2.0
27	14-13	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+2.1
28	15-13	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Blocked	Tori Otter	blk Dionna Mitchell, Berkeley Ploder	+2.1
29	15-14	GTOWN	PROV×4	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+1.5
30	15-15	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Tori Otter	set Macy Taylor	+2.2
31	15-16	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced Avery Lewis	+2.3
32	15-17	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced Avery Lewis	+2.3
33	16-17	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+1.5
34	17-17	GTOWN	GTOWN	Ace	Georgetown	aced Ava Dyer	+2.4
35	17-18	GTOWN	PROV	Attack err	Maria Filippova		+1.9
36	17-19	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Avery Lewis	+2.5
37	18-19	PROV	GTOWN×4	Serve err	Providence		+1.7
38	19-19	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Kill	Avery Lewis	set Olivia Penske	+2.8
39	20-19	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Ace	Georgetown		+3.1
40	21-19	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Kill	Avery Lewis	set Olivia Penske	+3.1
41	21-20	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+1.9
42	22-20	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Avery Lewis	set Olivia Penske	+2.5
43	22-21	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+2.0
44	22-22	PROV	PROV	Blocked	Avery Lewis	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis	+3.8
45	23-22	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Maria Filippova	set Olivia Penske	+3.5
46	24-22	GTOWN	GTOWN	Ace	Georgetown	aced Sophia Adkins	+4.5
47	24-23	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Ava Dyer	+1.9
48	25-23	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+4.5
Set 4
1	0-1	GTOWN	PROV	Serve err	Georgetown		+2.3
2	1-1	PROV	GTOWN	Blocked	Sophia Adkins	blk Kamryn Lee-Caracci, Katherine McGregor	+2.3
3	2-1	GTOWN	GTOWN	Blocked	Sophia Adkins	blk Kamryn Lee-Caracci, Katherine McGregor	+3.2
4	2-2	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+2.4
5	3-2	PROV	GTOWN	Blocked	Sophia Adkins	blk Kamryn Lee-Caracci, Katherine McGregor	+2.5
6	3-3	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Miller McDonald	+2.4
7	4-3	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Berkeley Ploder	set Juleigh Urbina	+2.5
8	4-4	GTOWN	PROV×4	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+2.5
9	4-5	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+3.4
10	4-6	PROV	PROV×4	Attack err	Maria Filippova		+3.3
11	4-7	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced Bella McGirr	+3.2
12	5-7	PROV	GTOWN	Serve err	Providence		+2.2
13	5-8	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Shea Dupuis	set Sarah Musial	+2.4
14	5-9	PROV	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+2.9
15	6-9	PROV	GTOWN×4	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+2.0
16	7-9	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Kill	Avery Lewis	set Maria Filippova	+3.1
17	8-9	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+3.5
18	9-9	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Ace	Georgetown		+3.8
19	9-10	GTOWN	PROV×5	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+2.9
20	9-11	PROV	PROV×5	Attack err	Kamryn Lee-Caracci		+3.8
21	9-12	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Ava Dyer	+3.6
22	9-13	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Tori Otter	set Ava Dyer	+3.2
23	9-14	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Macy Taylor		+2.7
24	10-14	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Avery Lewis	set Kamryn Lee-Caracci	+1.6
25	10-15	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Ava Dyer	+2.0
26	11-15	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Alexis Anderson	set Kamryn Lee-Caracci	+1.6
27	11-16	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+2.0
28	11-17	PROV	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Miller McDonald	+2.0
29	12-17	PROV	GTOWN×3	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+1.0
30	13-17	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Attack err	Lyric Berry		+2.0
31	14-17	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Attack err	Tori Otter		+2.7
32	14-18	GTOWN	PROV	Serve err	Georgetown		+2.6
33	15-18	PROV	GTOWN	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+2.0
34	16-18	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Maria Filippova	set Olivia Penske	+3.7
35	16-19	GTOWN	PROV	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+3.4
36	17-19	PROV	GTOWN	Attack err	Macy Taylor		+2.8
37	17-20	GTOWN	PROV×6	Attack err	Berkeley Ploder		+3.6
38	17-21	PROV	PROV×6	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+3.7
39	17-22	PROV	PROV×6	Blocked	Maria Filippova	blk Macy Taylor, Aubrey Easterwood	+2.3
40	17-23	PROV	PROV×6	Ace	Providence	aced Bella McGirr	+1.1
41	17-24	PROV	PROV×6	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+0.4
42	17-25	PROV	PROV×6	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Georgetown first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Providence def. Georgetown 3–1