Villanova vs Providence Volleyball: Providence Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Villanova 57.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Providence beat visiting Villanova 3-1 (25-20, 19-25, 25-18, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Sophia Adkins and Macy Taylor led Providence with 12 kills each; Villanova's Campbell McKinnon had a match-high 23.

Data through Nov 4, 3:35 PM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
NOVA	20	25	18	20	1
PROV	25	19	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Aubrey Easterwood, and Providence needed each of them.

The match turned twice; each line shows Providence's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Villanova was RallyIQ's 57% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 4 · Villanova 11–9 Providence
5 straight Providence points turned a 9–11 deficit into a 14–11 lead.
Providence 64% → 85%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · Villanova 17–18 Providence
Providence scored 4 straight to stretch an 18–17 lead to 22–17.
Providence 79% → 98%

Providence above 50Villanova belowMax swing 5.9%

VillanovaProvidence

Sideout %: Villanova 51.6·Providence 58.3
Break %: Villanova 41.7·Providence 48.4
Hitting: Villanova .161·Providence .207
Longest run: Villanova 5·Providence 9

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Providence above 50 · Villanova below

Biggest swing: 5.9% to Providence — set 4, NOVA 17-20 PROV. Providence ace. PROV win probability 84% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NOVA 54.2%45.8% PROV

Villanova wins

3-0

14.3%

3-1

20.5%

3-2

19.4%

Providence wins

3-0

10.8%

3-1

17.0%

3-2

18.0%

NOVA break %: 43.1% vs this opp
PROV break %: 42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
ProvidenceAce+5.9%
Providence ace
Set 4 · NOVA 17-20 PROV · PROV 84% → 90%
02
Lyric BerryKill+5.3%
Kill by Lyric Berry
Set 3 · NOVA 16-19 PROV · PROV 56% → 62%
03
Campbell McKinnonKill+5.3%
Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Alyssa Nelson)
Set 4 · NOVA 16-17 PROV · NOVA 16% → 21%
04
Miller McDonaldKill+5.2%
Kill by Miller McDonald (set by Alyssa Nelson)
Set 4 · NOVA 14-17 PROV · PROV 82% → 87%
05
ProvidenceAce+4.9%
Providence ace on Cat Young
Set 4 · NOVA 11-13 PROV · PROV 76% → 81%
06
Sophia AdkinsAttack error+4.9%
Attack error by Sophia Adkins
Set 4 · NOVA 14-15 PROV · NOVA 17% → 22%
07
Lyla BuserKill+4.9%
Kill by Lyla Buser (set by Sarah Musial)
Set 4 · NOVA 17-19 PROV · PROV 79% → 84%
08
Sophia AdkinsKill+4.8%
Kill by Sophia Adkins (set by Alyssa Nelson)
Set 4 · NOVA 11-12 PROV · PROV 71% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Villanovaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
0Campbell McKinnonMB	4	23	2	56	.375	0	0	2	15	1	1	0.5	23.5
4Taylor LewisOH	4	9	5	29	.138	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	10
11Michelle EburuohMB	4	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
8Marikate RitterbuschL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	7	4	0	0	1
7Alyssa NelsonS	4	0	0	3	.000	44	0	2	14	0	0	0	0
25Annika VeurinkMB	3	4	3	10	.100	0	0	1	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
6Chloe KellyOH	4	6	7	29	-.034	0	0	0	4	0	3	1.5	7.5
2Ava HarrisS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	2
9Cat YoungOH	4	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	0	6	3	0	0	0
21Mina DiggsL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	13	1	0	0	0
20Sophia StalcupOPP	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
44Reagan McGivernMB	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
13Lola Buck-TaylorL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	24	149	.161	47	4	8	70	12	8	4	83

Providencehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Sophia AdkinsOH	4	12	5	37	.189	0	2	3	14	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
15Macy TaylorOH	4	12	2	35	.286	0	0	0	7	2	1	2	2	14
0Aubrey EasterwoodMB	4	7	2	15	.333	0	4	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
11Lyric BerryMB	4	5	3	16	.125	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	4.5	9.5
9Tori OtterMB	4	5	4	19	.053	1	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
1Miller McDonaldS	4	2	1	3	.333	17	3	1	7	0	0	0	0	5
6Ava DyerL/DS	4	0	0	2	.000	3	2	2	18	0	0	0	0	2
20Sarah MusialS	4	0	0	0	–	20	1	3	4	0	0	0	0	1
32Lyla BuserOH	3	7	1	12	.500	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	8
7Shea DupuisOH	2	0	2	6	-.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
Team totals		50	20	145	.207	42	12	10	57	4	3	16	11	94

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Villanova vs Providence

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Providence at Villanova · Villanova won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Villanova at Providence · Providence won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NOVA · PROV 9

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 NOVAPROV 9

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 5 NOVAPROV 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 NOVAPROV 4

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 4 NOVAPROV 5

Bars above the line = Providence leads, below = Villanova leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Villanova

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	14%1/7
2	55%6/11	50%7/14
3	86%6/7	54%7/13
4	50%6/12	40%4/10
5	55%6/11	50%6/12
6	26%5/19	40%4/10
All	53%36/68	44%29/66

Providence

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	54%7/13
2	46%6/13	0%0/6
3	46%6/13	45%5/11
4	55%6/11	25%2/8
5	50%6/12	54%7/13
6	75%6/8	65%11/17
All	56%37/66	47%32/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#	NOVA-PROV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Marikate Ritterbusch	+2.5
2	1-1	PROV	NOVA	Attack err	Aubrey Easterwood		+1.8
3	1-2	NOVA	PROV	Attack err	Annika Veurink		+1.9
4	2-2	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Michelle Eburuoh	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.8
5	2-3	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Ava Dyer	+1.9
6	3-3	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.9
7	3-4	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+2.0
8	3-5	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence		+2.7
9	4-5	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Michelle Eburuoh	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.9
10	4-6	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+2.0
11	5-6	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Chloe Kelly	set Mina Diggs	+1.9
12	5-7	NOVA	PROV×9	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+2.1
13	5-8	PROV	PROV×9	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Shea Dupuis	+2.8
14	5-9	PROV	PROV×9	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+2.6
15	5-10	PROV	PROV×9	Ace	Providence	aced Taylor Lewis	+2.3
16	5-11	PROV	PROV×9	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+2.0
17	5-12	PROV	PROV×9	Attack err	Chloe Kelly		+1.6
18	5-13	PROV	PROV×9	Ace	Providence	aced Mina Diggs	+1.2
19	5-14	PROV	PROV×9	Blocked	Chloe Kelly	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis	+0.9
20	5-15	PROV	PROV×9	Blocked	Taylor Lewis	blk Aubrey Easterwood, Macy Taylor	+0.6
21	6-15	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Annika Veurink	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.3
22	6-16	NOVA	PROV	Attack err	Cat Young		+0.4
23	7-16	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.2
24	7-17	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+0.4
25	8-17	PROV	NOVA	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+0.2
26	9-17	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+0.4
27	9-18	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+0.5
28	10-18	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.2
29	11-18	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Michelle Eburuoh	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.5
30	11-19	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+0.6
31	12-19	PROV	NOVA×3	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Taylor Lewis	+0.3
32	13-19	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Chloe Kelly	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.7
33	14-19	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Shea Dupuis		+1.1
34	14-20	NOVA	PROV×3	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+1.2
35	14-21	PROV	PROV×3	Blocked	Chloe Kelly	blk Lyric Berry, Shea Dupuis	+1.0
36	14-22	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+0.5
37	15-22	PROV	NOVA×3	Kill	Chloe Kelly	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.1
38	16-22	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.3
39	17-22	NOVA	NOVA×3	Blocked	Macy Taylor	blk Chloe Kelly, Annika Veurink	+0.6
40	17-23	NOVA	PROV	Blocked	Chloe Kelly	blk Lyric Berry, Macy Taylor	+0.8
41	18-23	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.3
42	18-24	NOVA	PROV	Serve err	Villanova		+0.6
43	19-24	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.1
44	20-24	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Michelle Eburuoh	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.4
45	20-25	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Miller McDonald		+0.6
Set 2
1	0-1	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+2.0
2	1-1	PROV	NOVA	Blocked	Tori Otter	blk Campbell McKinnon, Annika Veurink	+2.0
3	1-2	NOVA	PROV×4	Serve err	Villanova		+2.0
4	1-3	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced Marikate Ritterbusch	+2.8
5	1-4	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced Marikate Ritterbusch	+2.7
6	1-5	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced Marikate Ritterbusch	+2.6
7	2-5	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.7
8	3-5	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Lyric Berry		+2.6
9	3-6	NOVA	PROV	Blocked	Campbell McKinnon	blk Tori Otter, Lyric Berry	+2.1
10	4-6	PROV	NOVA×3	Serve err	Providence		+1.9
11	5-6	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Chloe Kelly	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.8
12	6-6	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+3.0
13	6-7	NOVA	PROV	Serve err	Villanova		+2.3
14	6-8	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Michelle Eburuoh		+3.1
15	7-8	PROV	NOVA×4	Serve err	Providence		+2.2
16	8-8	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Lyric Berry		+3.1
17	9-8	NOVA	NOVA×4	Blocked	Shea Dupuis	blk Chloe Kelly, Annika Veurink	+3.2
18	10-8	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Macy Taylor		+3.1
19	10-9	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+2.2
20	11-9	PROV	NOVA	Serve err	Providence		+2.4
21	11-10	NOVA	PROV	Attack err	Campbell McKinnon		+2.3
22	12-10	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Annika Veurink	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.5
23	13-10	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Annika Veurink	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.1
24	13-11	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+2.1
25	14-11	PROV	NOVA×5	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.4
26	15-11	NOVA	NOVA×5	Ace	Ava Harris	aced Macy Taylor	+2.8
27	16-11	NOVA	NOVA×5	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.2
28	17-11	NOVA	NOVA×5	Ace	Ava Harris	aced Macy Taylor	+1.7
29	18-11	NOVA	NOVA×5	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+1.1
30	18-12	NOVA	PROV	Attack err	Cat Young		+0.5
31	19-12	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.8
32	20-12	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Marikate Ritterbusch	+0.6
33	20-13	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+0.2
34	20-14	PROV	PROV	Blocked	Michelle Eburuoh	blk Lyric Berry	+0.5
35	21-14	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.6
36	22-14	NOVA	NOVA	Blocked	Lyric Berry	blk Chloe Kelly, Michelle Eburuoh	+0.4
37	22-15	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Sarah Musial	+0.1
38	23-15	PROV	NOVA	Serve err	Providence		+0.2
39	23-16	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Lyla Buser	set Sarah Musial	+0.1
40	24-16	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.1
41	24-17	NOVA	PROV×3	Kill	Lyla Buser	set Sarah Musial	·
42	24-18	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Annika Veurink		+0.1
43	24-19	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Ava Dyer	+0.1
44	25-19	PROV	NOVA	Serve err	Providence		+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.4
2	1-1	NOVA	PROV×3	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+2.4
3	1-2	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Michelle Eburuoh		+3.4
4	1-3	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Taylor Lewis		+3.4
5	2-3	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Michelle Eburuoh	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.4
6	2-4	NOVA	PROV×4	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+2.6
7	2-5	PROV	PROV×4	Blocked	Taylor Lewis	blk Lyric Berry	+3.5
8	2-6	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Tori Otter	+3.3
9	2-7	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Sophia Adkins		+3.0
10	3-7	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Michelle Eburuoh	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.9
11	4-7	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Annika Veurink	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.0
12	4-8	NOVA	PROV×3	Blocked	Taylor Lewis	blk Sophia Adkins, Lyric Berry	+2.5
13	4-9	PROV	PROV×3	Attack err	Chloe Kelly		+3.1
14	4-10	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Lyric Berry	set Sarah Musial	+2.6
15	5-10	PROV	NOVA	Serve err	Providence		+1.6
16	5-11	NOVA	PROV	Attack err	Annika Veurink		+2.0
17	6-11	PROV	NOVA×3	Serve err	Providence		+1.5
18	7-11	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.6
19	8-11	NOVA	NOVA×3	Ace	Marikate Ritterbusch		+3.1
20	8-12	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+2.7
21	9-12	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.3
22	9-13	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+2.8
23	10-13	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.3
24	11-13	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.7
25	11-14	NOVA	PROV	Serve err	Villanova		+3.2
26	11-15	PROV	PROV	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+3.9
27	12-15	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.4
28	13-15	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Tori Otter		+3.9
29	13-16	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+3.5
30	14-16	PROV	NOVA	Serve err	Providence		+2.9
31	15-16	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Miller McDonald		+4.7
32	15-17	NOVA	PROV	Serve err	Villanova		+4.0
33	16-17	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.6
34	16-18		PROV	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+4.3
35	16-19	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Lyric Berry		+5.3
36	16-20	PROV	PROV×4	Blocked	Chloe Kelly	blk Lyric Berry, Lyla Buser	+4.3
37	16-21	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence	aced Campbell McKinnon	+3.0
38	17-21	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Chloe Kelly	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.3
39	17-22	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Sarah Musial	+2.1
40	18-22	PROV	NOVA	Attack err	Aubrey Easterwood		+1.0
41	18-23	NOVA	PROV×3	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Sarah Musial	+1.8
42	18-24	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Aubrey Easterwood	+1.0
43	18-25	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Aubrey Easterwood	set Miller McDonald	+0.2
Set 4
1	0-1	NOVA	PROV	Attack err	Reagan McGivern		+2.6
2	1-1	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.6
3	2-1	NOVA	NOVA	Bad set	Miller McDonald		+3.5
4	2-2	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+2.6
5	2-3	PROV	PROV	Ace	Providence	aced Cat Young	+3.7
6	3-3	PROV	NOVA×4	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.7
7	4-3	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Tori Otter		+3.7
8	5-3	NOVA	NOVA×4	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.6
9	6-3	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Tori Otter		+3.4
10	6-4	NOVA	PROV	Serve err	Villanova		+2.4
11	7-4	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.6
12	7-5	NOVA	PROV	Serve err	Villanova		+2.4
13	7-6	PROV	PROV	Kill	Lyla Buser	set Sarah Musial	+3.7
14	8-6	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.9
15	9-6	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.7
16	9-7	NOVA	PROV×3	Kill	Lyla Buser	set Sarah Musial	+2.5
17	9-8	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Macy Taylor		+3.9
18	9-9	PROV	PROV×3	Kill	Lyla Buser	set Sarah Musial	+4.3
19	10-9	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.2
20	11-9	NOVA	NOVA	Ace	Taylor Lewis		+4.3
21	11-10	NOVA	PROV×5	Blocked	Chloe Kelly	blk Lyla Buser, Aubrey Easterwood	+3.0
22	11-11	PROV	PROV×5	Ace	Providence	aced Cat Young	+4.5
23	11-12	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Alyssa Nelson	+4.8
24	11-13	PROV	PROV×5	Ace	Providence	aced Cat Young	+4.9
25	11-14	PROV	PROV×5	Kill	Tori Otter	set Miller McDonald	+4.7
26	12-14	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Chloe Kelly	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.0
27	12-15	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Macy Taylor	set Miller McDonald	+3.6
28	13-15	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.1
29	14-15	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Sophia Adkins		+4.9
30	14-16	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+4.1
31	14-17	PROV	PROV	Kill	Miller McDonald	set Alyssa Nelson	+5.2
32	15-17	PROV	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.2
33	16-17	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+5.3
34	16-18	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Sophia Adkins	set Miller McDonald	+4.6
35	17-18	PROV	NOVA	Serve err	Providence		+4.0
36	17-19	NOVA	PROV×4	Kill	Lyla Buser	set Sarah Musial	+4.9
37	17-20	PROV	PROV×4	Ace	Providence		+5.9
38	17-21	PROV	PROV×4	Blocked	Taylor Lewis	blk Macy Taylor	+4.6
39	17-22	PROV	PROV×4	Kill	Lyric Berry		+3.0
40	18-22	PROV	NOVA	Attack err	Lyla Buser		+1.1
41	18-23	NOVA	PROV	Kill	Lyla Buser	set Sarah Musial	+2.0
42	18-24	PROV	PROV	Attack err	Ava Harris		+1.1
43	19-24	PROV	NOVA	Serve err	Providence		+0.2
44	20-24	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.5
45	20-25	NOVA	PROV	Serve err	Villanova		+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Villanova first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Providence def. Villanova 3–1

4 aces from Aubrey Easterwood, and Providence needed each of them.