FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

Providence def. Manhattan 3–0

Providence beat visiting Manhattan 3-0 (25-14, 25-13, 25-9) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Providence's Sophia Adkins and Macy Taylor led with 9 kills each, and Ava Dyer added 17 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
MANHAT141390
PROV2525253

Win probability

Providence above 50 · Manhattan below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 111 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Providence stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MANHAT 0.6%99.4% PROV

Manhattan wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.4%

Providence wins

3-0
78.2%
3-1
18.5%
3-2
2.7%
MANHAT break %
32.9% vs this opp
PROV break %
52.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35316.125001400005
33417-.05901062010.54.5
33210.10000100010.53.5
3339.000000110003
3000–1100200000
2025-.400000000000
37423.130000100007
3000–000630000
3000–802000000
2022-1.000100000000
2000–001100000
1023-.667000000000
1001.000001000000
1000–001000000
Team totals212286-.012201721602136
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39014.64300030010.59.5
3718.75000110052.59.5
39017.529000300009
3427.28600000132.56.5
34210.20000020031.55.5
3001.0001351400005
33110.200100100425
31011.0001302300001
3000–6111700001
3000–102410000
1203.667000100002
11011.000000000001
1002.000000100000
1000–000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals40674.4593567401116975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 MANHAT · PROV 8

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 MANHATPROV 6

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 3 MANHATPROV 4

Set 3

9-25

Longest run 2 MANHATPROV 8

Bars above the line = Providence leads, below = Manhattan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Manhattan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
24%6/25
20%1/5
2
45%5/11
14%1/7
3
50%5/10
0%0/5
4
42%5/12
44%4/9
5
31%4/13
29%2/7
6
100%3/3
0%0/4
All
38%28/74
22%8/37

Providence

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
75%15/20
2
100%5/5
58%7/12
3
63%5/8
50%5/10
4
83%5/6
64%9/14
5
71%5/7
58%7/12
6
75%3/4
50%3/6
All
78%29/37
62%46/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

111 rallies

#MANHAT-PROVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0PROVMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger
22-0MANHATMANHATBlockedLyric Berryblk Abby Morreale, Emma Francesconi
32-1MANHATPROVServe errManhattan
43-1PROVMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Ori Briger
53-2MANHATPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald
63-3PROVPROVAttack errEmma Francesconi
74-3PROVMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Ori Briger
85-3MANHATMANHATAttack errTori Otter
95-4MANHATPROVServe errManhattan
106-4PROVMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar
116-5MANHATPROVBlockedHelenn Montillablk Shea Dupuis, Aubrey Easterwood
127-5PROVMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar
137-6MANHATPROVServe errManhattan
148-6PROVMANHATKillBrooke Johnsonset Aubrey Easterwood
158-7MANHATPROV×6KillMacy Taylorset Ava Dyer
168-8PROVPROV×6AceProvidenceaced Anna Duncan
178-9PROVPROV×6AceProvidenceaced Emma Francesconi
188-10PROVPROV×6BlockedBrooke Johnsonblk Lyric Berry, Tori Otter
198-11PROVPROV×6Attack errEmma Francesconi
208-12PROVPROV×6BlockedKatie Powersblk Tori Otter, Lyric Berry
219-12PROVMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger
229-13MANHATPROVKillMacy Taylorset Gwenyth Koss
2310-13PROVMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger
2410-14MANHATPROVServe errManhattan
2511-14PROVMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger
2612-14MANHATMANHATBad setMiller McDonald
2712-15MANHATPROV×4KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald
2812-16PROVPROV×4KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial
2912-17PROVPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial
3012-18PROVPROV×4KillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer
3113-18PROVMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar
3213-19MANHATPROV×6KillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial
3313-20PROVPROV×6KillMacy Taylor
3413-21PROVPROV×6BlockedBrooke Johnsonblk Shea Dupuis, Aubrey Easterwood
3513-22PROVPROV×6KillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial
3613-23PROVPROV×6Attack errHelenn Montilla
3713-24PROVPROV×6KillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial
3814-24PROVMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar
3914-25MANHATPROVKillSarah Musialset Emilia Kuzniar
Set 2
10-1MANHATPROVKillTori Otterset Miller McDonald
20-2PROVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer
31-2PROVMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger
41-3MANHATPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwoodset Miller McDonald
51-4PROVPROV×4Attack errKatie Powers
61-5PROVPROV×4BlockedLyla Authblk Aubrey Easterwood, Sophia Adkins
71-6PROVPROV×4Attack errKatie Powers
82-6PROVMANHATServe errProvidence
92-7MANHATPROV×3KillSophia Adkinsset Sarah Musial
102-8PROVPROV×3BlockedEmma Francesconiblk Aubrey Easterwood, Shea Dupuis
112-9PROVPROV×3KillMacy Taylor
123-9PROVMANHATServe errProvidence
133-10MANHATPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial
144-10PROVMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar
154-11MANHATPROV×4KillMacy Taylorset Sarah Musial
164-12PROVPROV×4KillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald
174-13PROVPROV×4Attack errHanna Kaczynska
184-14PROVPROV×4AceProvidenceaced Anna Duncan
195-14PROVMANHATKillBrooke Johnsonset Emilia Kuzniar
205-15MANHATPROVKillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald
216-15PROVMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar
226-16MANHATPROV×4KillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald
236-17PROVPROV×4Attack errLyla Auth
246-18PROVPROV×4AceProvidenceaced Emma Francesconi
256-19PROVPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwood
267-19PROVMANHATServe errProvidence
277-20MANHATPROVServe errManhattan
288-20PROVMANHATServe errProvidence
298-21MANHATPROVKillAubrey Easterwoodset Sarah Musial
308-22PROVPROVBlockedEmma Francesconiblk Shea Dupuis, Aubrey Easterwood
319-22PROVMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger
3210-22MANHATMANHATAttack errShea Dupuis
3310-23MANHATPROVServe errManhattan
3410-24PROVPROVKillFielding Mayhughset Sarah Musial
3511-24PROVMANHAT×3Serve errProvidence
3612-24MANHATMANHAT×3AceEmma Francesconiaced Gwenyth Koss
3713-24MANHATMANHAT×3Attack errLyric Berry
3813-25MANHATPROVKillFielding Mayhughset Sarah Musial
Set 3
10-1PROVPROV×3AceProvidenceaced Brooke Johnson
20-2PROVPROV×3BlockedHanna Kaczynskablk Tori Otter, Lyric Berry
30-3PROVPROV×3KillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald
41-3PROVMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger
51-4MANHATPROV×3KillMacy Taylorset Ava Dyer
61-5PROVPROV×3Attack errAbby Morreale
71-6PROVPROV×3KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald
82-6PROVMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger
92-7MANHATPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Miller McDonald
102-8PROVPROVAttack errHanna Kaczynska
113-8PROVMANHATAttack errAubrey Easterwood
124-8MANHATMANHATAttack errTori Otter
134-9MANHATPROV×4KillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer
144-10PROVPROV×4KillAubrey Easterwood
154-11PROVPROV×4Attack errMargaret OBrien
164-12PROVPROV×4Attack errMargaret OBrien
175-12PROVMANHATKillKatie Powersset Lyla Auth
185-13MANHATPROVServe errManhattan
195-14PROVPROVKillMacy Taylorset Shea Dupuis
206-14PROVMANHATServe errProvidence
216-15MANHATPROVKillShea Dupuisset Sarah Musial
227-15PROVMANHATKillBrooke Johnsonset Emilia Kuzniar
238-15MANHATMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Ori Briger
248-16MANHATPROV×8KillMacy Taylorset Sarah Musial
258-17PROVPROV×8KillLyric Berryset Miller McDonald
268-18PROVPROV×8KillMacy Taylorset Miller McDonald
278-19PROVPROV×8KillTori Otterset Miller McDonald
288-20PROVPROV×8Attack errBrooke Johnson
298-21PROVPROV×8BlockedAbby Morrealeblk Lyric Berry
308-22PROVPROV×8Attack errHanna Kaczynska
318-23PROVPROV×8AceProvidenceaced Anna Duncan
329-23PROVMANHATServe errProvidence
339-24MANHATPROVKillLyla Buserset Kelsey Holmes
349-25PROVPROVKillSophia Adkinsset Ava Dyer

Score shown after each rally, Manhattan first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).