Final · 4 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Marquette def. Villanova 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Marquette 81.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Marquette won at Villanova 3-1 (25-22, 25-23, 22-25, 25-20) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Marquette's Carson Tyler led with 24 kills, and Emi Juric added 22 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set1234Sets
MARQ252522253
NOVA222325201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Marquette pulled away set by set.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.7 points, and Villanova's high was 21% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. RallyIQ gave Marquette 82% before first serve.

No single phase cleared the thresholds (8 pts of break %, .080 of hitting, a 5-point run).

Villanova above 50Marquette belowMax swing 4.7%

MarquetteVillanova

Hitting
Marquette .238·Villanova .204
Aces
Marquette 3·Villanova 2
Serve err
Marquette 11·Villanova 13
Blocks
Marquette 7·Villanova 7.52 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 15 BA
Digs
Marquette 69·Villanova 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Villanova above 50 · Marquette below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.7% MARQrally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.7% to Marquette — set 1, MARQ 24-22 NOVA. Kill by Carson Tyler (set by Allie Beers). NOVA win probability 17% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARQ 82.1%17.9% NOVA

Marquette wins

3-0
33.7%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
17.7%

Villanova wins

3-0
2.8%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
9.2%
MARQ break %
45.2% vs this opp
NOVA break %
38.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Carson TylerKill+4.7%

    Kill by Carson Tyler (set by Allie Beers)

    Set 1 · MARQ 24-22 NOVA · MARQ 83% → 88%

  2. 02
    Carson TylerAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Carson Tyler

    Set 1 · MARQ 22-22 NOVA · NOVA 16% → 21%

  3. 03
    Abby HarrellAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Abby Harrell

    Set 2 · MARQ 23-22 NOVA · MARQ 88% → 92%

  4. 04
    Carson TylerKill+4.0%

    Kill by Carson Tyler (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 1 · MARQ 23-22 NOVA · MARQ 79% → 83%

  5. 05
    Molly WelgeKill+3.7%

    Kill by Molly Welge

    Set 2 · MARQ 22-22 NOVA · MARQ 84% → 88%

  6. 06
    Avery HelmsAce+3.6%

    Ace by Avery Helms

    Set 1 · MARQ 22-20 NOVA · MARQ 82% → 86%

  7. 07
    Emma ParksKill+3.4%

    Kill by Emma Parks (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 2 · MARQ 24-22 NOVA · MARQ 92% → 95%

  8. 08
    Emma ParksKill+3.2%

    Kill by Emma Parks (set by Luanna Markus)

    Set 2 · MARQ 25-23 NOVA · MARQ 94% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
424852.308013141010.525.5
47215.333002000429
45628-.03610030010.55.5
41110.0004100150233.54.5
43310.000000000003
4001.000212300001
418331.48400050010.518.5
4000–9132200001
4000–100700000
3000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5823147.23854311692210797
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410019.5260043004212
49537.10810140031.510.5
49116.50000010031.510.5
44322.04511270010.55.5
4000–2800700000
4000–100710000
4131040.07500350010.513.5
49323.26100010031.510.5
4000–3121310001
4000–1601600000
Team totals5422157.204502135430157.590

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Marquette vs Villanova

Season series · Marquette leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MARQ · NOVA 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 MARQNOVA 2

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 MARQNOVA 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 2 MARQNOVA 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 MARQNOVA 3

Bars above the line = Villanova leads, below = Marquette leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marquette

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
35%6/17
2
63%12/19
40%8/20
3
85%11/13
39%7/18
4
83%10/12
17%2/12
5
71%10/14
38%6/16
6
75%9/12
31%4/13
All
70%64/91
34%33/96

Villanova

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
33%5/15
2
67%12/18
43%9/21
3
55%11/20
33%6/18
4
83%10/12
15%2/13
5
53%9/17
17%2/12
6
82%9/11
25%3/12
All
66%63/96
30%27/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#MARQ-NOVASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Emi Juric+1.1
22-0MARQMARQAceCarson Tyleraced Marikate Ritterbusch+1.4
32-1MARQNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.1
43-1NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+1.1
53-2MARQNOVAServe errEmi Juric+1.1
64-2NOVAMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+1.1
74-3MARQNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+1.1
84-4NOVANOVAKillChloe Kellyset Abby Harrell+1.7
95-4NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+1.3
105-5MARQNOVAServe errAvery Helms+1.4
115-6NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.0
126-6NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Mina Diggs+1.4
136-7MARQNOVAServe errMolly Welge+1.6
147-7NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.5
158-7MARQMARQKillTani Juricset Emi Juric+1.9
168-8MARQNOVAKillMichelle Eburuohset Alyssa Nelson+1.5
179-8NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Avery Helms+1.4
189-9MARQNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.5
1910-9NOVAMARQBlockedAbby Harrellblk Tani Juric, Emma Parks+1.5
2010-10MARQNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Selah O'Connor+1.6
2111-10NOVAMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+1.5
2212-10MARQMARQAttack errCampbell McKinnon+1.9
2312-11MARQNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+1.4
2413-11NOVAMARQBlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Luanna Markus+1.5
2513-12MARQNOVAKillMichelle Eburuohset Selah O'Connor+1.5
2614-12NOVAMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+1.5
2715-12MARQMARQBad setAlyssa Nelson+1.8
2815-13MARQNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
2915-14NOVANOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Mina Diggs+2.1
3016-14NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+1.7
3116-15MARQNOVAKillMichelle Eburuohset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
3216-16NOVANOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+2.8
3317-16NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+2.1
3418-16MARQMARQAttack errTaylor Lewis+2.6
3518-17MARQNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
3618-18NOVANOVAAttack errEmma Parks+3.1
3719-18NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.4
3819-19MARQNOVAAttack errCarson Tyler+2.6
3920-19NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.6
4020-20MARQNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+2.8
4121-20NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.9
4222-20MARQMARQAceAvery Helms+3.6
4322-21MARQNOVAKillMichelle Eburuohset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
4422-22NOVANOVAAttack errCarson Tyler+4.6
4523-22NOVAMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+4.0
4624-22MARQMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Allie Beers+4.7
4725-22MARQMARQ×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+2.3
Set 2
11-0MARQMARQAttack errAbby Harrell+1.1
21-1MARQNOVAAttack errJulia Stanev+0.9
32-1NOVAMARQ×3KillCarson Tylerset Avery Helms+0.9
43-1MARQMARQ×3KillEmma Parksset Emi Juric+1.1
54-1MARQMARQ×3Attack errTaylor Lewis+1.0
64-2MARQNOVA×4KillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.7
74-3NOVANOVA×4Attack errJulia Stanev+1.1
84-4NOVANOVA×4BlockedEmma Parksblk Chloe Kelly, Reagan McGivern+1.3
94-5NOVANOVA×4KillChloe Kellyset Taylor Lewis+1.4
105-5NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+1.0
116-5MARQMARQAttack errChloe Kelly+1.3
126-6MARQNOVAAttack errTani Juric+1.0
137-6NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+1.0
147-7MARQNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+1.1
158-7NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+1.0
168-8MARQNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+1.1
178-9NOVANOVAKillTaylor Lewis+1.6
189-9NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Emi Juric+1.1
199-10MARQNOVAKillMichelle Eburuohset Alyssa Nelson+1.3
209-11NOVANOVAKillMichelle Eburuohset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
2110-11NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Campbell McKinnon+1.2
2211-11MARQMARQAttack errTaylor Lewis+1.7
2311-12MARQNOVAAttack errJulia Stanev+1.4
2411-13NOVANOVAAceMina Diggs+2.0
2512-13NOVAMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+1.3
2612-14MARQNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.6
2713-14NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+1.4
2814-14MARQMARQAttack errChloe Kelly+1.9
2914-15MARQNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Luanna Markus+1.6
3015-15NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.5
3115-16MARQNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+1.7
3216-16NOVAMARQBlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Molly Welge, Luanna Markus+1.6
3316-17MARQNOVABlockedCarson Tylerblk Chloe Kelly, Michelle Eburuoh+1.8
3417-17NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.7
3517-18MARQNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
3618-18NOVAMARQKillLuanna Markus+1.8
3718-19MARQNOVA×3BlockedTani Juricblk Taylor Lewis, Abby Harrell, Michelle Eburuoh+2.1
3818-20NOVANOVA×3Attack errCarson Tyler+3.0
3918-21NOVANOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Marikate Ritterbusch+2.8
4019-21NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+1.5
4120-21MARQMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.7
4220-22MARQNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+2.7
4321-22NOVAMARQ×4KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.0
4422-22MARQMARQ×4KillMolly Welge+3.7
4523-22MARQMARQ×4Attack errAbby Harrell+4.1
4624-22MARQMARQ×4KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+3.4
4724-23MARQNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Selah O'Connor+1.5
4825-23NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+3.2
Set 3
11-0NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Emi Juric+0.4
21-1MARQNOVAServe errCarson Tyler+0.5
32-1NOVAMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.4
42-2MARQNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+0.5
53-2NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Tani Juric+0.5
63-3MARQNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+0.5
74-3NOVAMARQKillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+0.5
84-4MARQNOVAKillMichelle Eburuohset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
95-4NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.5
105-5MARQNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Mina Diggs+0.5
116-5NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.5
126-6MARQNOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
136-7NOVANOVA×3BlockedCarson Tylerblk Chloe Kelly, Reagan McGivern+0.8
146-8NOVANOVA×3BlockedTani Juricblk Abby Harrell, Reagan McGivern+0.9
157-8NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.6
167-9MARQNOVABlockedTani Juricblk Abby Harrell, Reagan McGivern+0.7
178-9NOVAMARQKillTani Juricset Luanna Markus+0.6
188-10MARQNOVA×3Attack errCarson Tyler+0.7
198-11NOVANOVA×3Attack errMolly Welge+1.0
208-12NOVANOVA×3Attack errTani Juric+0.9
219-12NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.6
2210-12MARQMARQBlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Luanna Markus, Molly Welge+0.9
2310-13MARQNOVAKillMichelle Eburuohset Selah O'Connor+0.8
2410-14NOVANOVABlockedMolly Welgeblk Campbell McKinnon, Michelle Eburuoh+1.0
2511-14NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.6
2611-15MARQNOVAServe errAvery Helms+0.8
2712-15NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.6
2813-15MARQMARQAttack errAbby Harrell+0.9
2913-16MARQNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.9
3014-16NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+0.7
3115-16MARQMARQKillCarson Tylerset Emi Juric+1.1
3215-17MARQNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.0
3316-17NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.8
3416-18MARQNOVA×3Serve errCarson Tyler+1.0
3516-19NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnon+1.3
3616-20NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
3717-20NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.6
3817-21MARQNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.9
3918-21NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+0.5
4018-22MARQNOVAKillMichelle Eburuohset Alyssa Nelson+0.9
4119-22NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+0.5
4220-22MARQMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.0
4320-23MARQNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.3
4421-23NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+0.7
4521-24MARQNOVAServe errAnnika Kowalski+1.3
4622-24NOVAMARQKillJulia Stanevset Luanna Markus+0.5
4722-25MARQNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
Set 4
10-1MARQNOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.6
20-2NOVANOVA×3KillChloe Kellyset Mina Diggs+2.3
30-3NOVANOVA×3Attack errLuanna Markus+2.5
41-3NOVAMARQKillTani Juricset Emi Juric+1.6
52-3MARQMARQBlockedAbby Harrellblk Luanna Markus, Molly Welge+2.2
62-4MARQNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Selah O'Connor+1.9
73-4NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Emi Juric+1.7
84-4MARQMARQBlockedChloe Kellyblk Molly Welge, Carson Tyler+2.2
94-5MARQNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+1.8
105-5NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+1.7
115-6MARQNOVAServe errMolly Welge+1.9
126-6NOVAMARQKillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.7
137-6MARQMARQAttack errCampbell McKinnon+2.2
147-7MARQNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
158-7NOVAMARQServe errVillanova+1.7
168-8MARQNOVAServe errCarson Tyler+1.8
179-8NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.7
189-9MARQNOVAServe errEmi Juric+1.9
1910-9NOVAMARQ×3KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+1.8
2011-9MARQMARQ×3KillMolly Welgeset Luanna Markus+2.3
2112-9MARQMARQ×3KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+2.0
2212-10MARQNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+1.4
2313-10NOVAMARQAttack errCampbell McKinnon+1.5
2413-11MARQNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+1.4
2514-11NOVAMARQAttack errCampbell McKinnon+1.6
2614-12MARQNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+1.5
2715-12NOVAMARQ×4KillJulia Stanevset Luanna Markus+1.6
2816-12MARQMARQ×4KillCarson Tylerset Luanna Markus+1.8
2917-12MARQMARQ×4Attack errMichelle Eburuoh+1.3
3018-12MARQMARQ×4Attack errCampbell McKinnon+0.9
3118-13MARQNOVAAttack errTani Juric+0.5
3218-14NOVANOVAAttack errCarson Tyler+1.0
3319-14NOVAMARQKillJulia Stanevset Luanna Markus+0.9
3419-15MARQNOVAAttack errCarson Tyler+0.7
3519-16NOVANOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.4
3620-16NOVAMARQ×3KillEmma Parksset Emi Juric+1.4
3721-16MARQMARQ×3KillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.2
3822-16MARQMARQ×3AceEmi Juricaced Mina Diggs+0.6
3922-17MARQNOVAServe errEmi Juric+0.2
4022-18NOVANOVAAceTaylor Lewisaced Carson Tyler+0.6
4123-18NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+0.7
4223-19MARQNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+0.3
4323-20NOVANOVAAttack errEmma Parks+0.9
4424-20NOVAMARQKillEmma Parksset Luanna Markus+1.2
4525-20MARQMARQBlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Luanna Markus+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Marquette first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).