Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Tarleton St. def. Denver 3–2

Tarleton St. beat visiting Denver 3-2 (25-23, 23-25, 25-17, 14-25, 15-8) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. LaNeah Lara led Tarleton St. with 16 kills; Denver's Jamia Johnson had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set12345Sets
DENVER2325172582
TARLET25232514153

Win probability

Tarleton St. above 50 · Denver below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+10.2% TARLETrally 200 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.2% to Tarleton St. — set 5, DENVER 5-8 TARLET. Kill by Onita Davis (set by Kingsley Minus). TARLET win probability 67% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DENVER 59.7%40.3% TARLET

Denver wins

3-0
17.0%
3-1
22.8%
3-2
19.9%

Tarleton St. wins

3-0
8.9%
3-1
14.7%
3-2
16.7%
DENVER break %
44.0% vs this opp
TARLET break %
42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Onita DavisKill+10.2%

    Kill by Onita Davis (set by Kingsley Minus)

    Set 5 · DENVER 5-8 TARLET · TARLET 67% → 77%

  2. 02
    Elise HartAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Elise Hart

    Set 5 · DENVER 3-5 TARLET · TARLET 55% → 65%

  3. 03
    Lily Van HalBad set+9.3%

    Bad set by Lily Van Hal

    Set 5 · DENVER 2-3 TARLET · TARLET 45% → 54%

  4. 04
    Jamia JohnsonAttack error+8.9%

    Attack error by Jamia Johnson

    Set 5 · DENVER 7-11 TARLET · TARLET 81% → 90%

  5. 05
    Onita DavisKill+8.5%

    Kill by Onita Davis (set by Kingsley Minus)

    Set 5 · DENVER 7-10 TARLET · TARLET 72% → 81%

  6. 06

    Attack error by Madison Natori Rice-Locket

    Set 5 · DENVER 1-0 TARLET · DENVER 53% → 62%

  7. 07
    LaNeah LaraKill+8.3%

    Kill by LaNeah Lara (set by Kingsley Minus)

    Set 5 · DENVER 5-7 TARLET · TARLET 59% → 67%

  8. 08

    Kill by Madison Natori Rice-Locket (set by Alexa Earle)

    Set 5 · DENVER 6-9 TARLET · TARLET 71% → 79%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Denveraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
511452.135140120010.515.5
56823-.08724100031.511.5
54716-.188101120010.54.5
52011.18234011500002
3000–1011900000
1103.333000100001
518749.2240002004220
5000–10013300000
44211.18210000031.55.5
38525.120000000008
26012.500000100006
2000–802200000
1012-.500000000000
Team totals6034204.1275887971012698
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516856.14300040031.517.5
57121.28600230275.512.5
511541.146002153010.511.5
55220.150000000638
5001.00028012300000
1102.500000000001
59430.16700010052.511.5
58120.3500002004210
5000–111530001
5003.0002000800000
5000–6023310000
Team totals5721194.186551894822615102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 DENVER · TARLET 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 DENVERTARLET 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 DENVERTARLET 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 DENVERTARLET 5

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 6 DENVERTARLET 3

Set 5

8-15

Longest run 1 DENVERTARLET 4

Bars above the line = Tarleton St. leads, below = Denver leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Denver

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
53%10/19
2
56%9/16
50%10/20
3
67%8/12
18%2/11
4
41%7/17
46%6/13
5
86%6/7
50%6/12
6
67%6/9
14%1/7
All
61%46/76
43%35/82

Tarleton St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%10/23
36%4/11
2
63%10/16
23%3/13
3
67%8/12
43%6/14
4
58%7/12
53%9/17
5
50%6/12
42%5/12
6
86%6/7
33%3/9
All
57%47/82
39%30/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

200 rallies

#DENVER-TARLETSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TARLETTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+2.4
21-1TARLETDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+1.8
32-1DENVERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Elise Hart+2.4
42-2DENVERTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+1.8
53-2TARLETDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Madison Winkler+1.9
63-3DENVERTARLETKillTaylynn Biggsset Alexis Massey+1.9
74-3TARLETDENVERAttack errLaNeah Lara+1.9
84-4DENVERTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+1.9
94-5TARLETTARLETBlockedJamia Johnsonblk LaNeah Lara, Madison Frank+2.7
105-5TARLETDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van Hal+2.0
115-6DENVERTARLETBlockedElise Hartblk Madison Frank+2.1
126-6TARLETDENVERServe errTarleton St.+2.0
137-6DENVERDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Madison Winkler+2.7
147-7DENVERTARLET×3BlockedRomi Chlebecekblk Onita Davis, Madison Frank+2.1
157-8TARLETTARLET×3Attack errElise Hart+2.9
167-9TARLETTARLET×3BlockedRomi Chlebecekblk Onita Davis, Alyssa Dinh+2.9
178-9TARLETDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+2.1
188-10DENVERTARLETServe errDenver+2.3
198-11TARLETTARLETBlockedElise Hartblk Madison Natori Rice-Locket, Alyssa Dinh+3.0
209-11TARLETDENVER×4KillAlicia Thibodeauset Elise Hart+2.0
2110-11DENVERDENVER×4KillLily Van Halset Alicia Thibodeau+2.9
2211-11DENVERDENVER×4AceDenveraced Alexa Earle+3.1
2312-11DENVERDENVER×4KillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+3.2
2412-12DENVERTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+2.4
2513-12TARLETDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+2.5
2613-13DENVERTARLETAttack errJamia Johnson+2.5
2714-13TARLETDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+2.6
2815-13DENVERDENVER×3Attack errLaNeah Lara+3.4
2916-13DENVERDENVER×3KillRomi Chlebecekset Madison Winkler+3.1
3016-14DENVERTARLET×5KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+2.0
3116-15TARLETTARLET×5KillLaNeah Laraset Kingsley Minus+3.3
3216-16TARLETTARLET×5KillMadison Frank+3.8
3316-17TARLETTARLET×5KillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+4.2
3416-18TARLETTARLET×5BlockedRomi Chlebecekblk Onita Davis, Madison Frank+4.2
3517-18TARLETDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+2.9
3618-18DENVERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+4.4
3718-19DENVERTARLETKillMadison Frankset Kingsley Minus+3.6
3819-19TARLETDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+3.5
3919-20DENVERTARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+4.0
4020-20TARLETDENVERServe errTarleton St.+3.8
4121-20DENVERDENVERAttack errOnita Davis+5.6
4221-21DENVERTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Kingsley Minus+4.2
4321-22TARLETTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+6.6
4422-22TARLETDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+4.8
4522-23DENVERTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+6.0
4622-24TARLETTARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+7.7
4723-24TARLETDENVERKillIzabela Molinaset Lily Van Hal+3.3
4823-25DENVERTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+7.9
Set 2
10-1DENVERTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+2.1
21-1TARLETDENVER×3Serve errTarleton St.+2.0
32-1DENVERDENVER×3KillKatelyn Landisset Lily Van Hal+2.7
43-1DENVERDENVER×3KillLily Van Halset Kayla Patel+2.6
53-2DENVERTARLET×3Bad setEmersen Werger+1.9
63-3TARLETTARLET×3Attack errKayla Patel+2.8
73-4TARLETTARLET×3Attack errKatelyn Landis+2.9
84-4TARLETDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+2.1
95-4DENVERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+2.9
105-5DENVERTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Alexis Massey+2.2
116-5TARLETDENVERServe errTarleton St.+2.2
126-6DENVERTARLETKillMadison Frankset Alexis Massey+2.3
136-7TARLETTARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+3.1
147-7TARLETDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+2.3
158-7DENVERDENVERBlockedLaNeah Larablk Jamia Johnson, Elise Hart+3.1
168-8DENVERTARLETKillMadison Frankset Kingsley Minus+2.4
179-8TARLETDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van Hal+2.4
189-9DENVERTARLETAttack errElise Hart+2.4
1910-9TARLETDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+2.5
2010-10DENVERTARLETAttack errElise Hart+2.5
2110-11TARLETTARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Leddy Rae Guinn+3.5
2211-11TARLETDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+2.6
2312-11DENVERDENVERAttack errAlyssa Dinh+3.6
2412-12DENVERTARLETBlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Alyssa Dinh, Breannah Peterson+2.7
2513-12TARLETDENVERServe errTarleton St.+2.8
2613-13DENVERTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Leddy Rae Guinn+2.8
2713-14TARLETTARLETBlockedKatelyn Landisblk Madison Frank+4.0
2814-14TARLETDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+2.9
2915-14DENVERDENVER×3AceDenver+4.0
3016-14DENVERDENVER×3KillRomi Chlebecek+3.9
3116-15DENVERTARLET×4KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+2.8
3216-16TARLETTARLET×4Attack errJamia Johnson+4.3
3316-17TARLETTARLET×4BlockedRomi Chlebecekblk Onita Davis, Madison Frank+4.7
3416-18TARLETTARLET×4Attack errJamia Johnson+4.7
3517-18TARLETDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van Hal+3.2
3618-18DENVERDENVERBlockedLaNeah Larablk Jamia Johnson, Elise Hart+4.9
3718-19DENVERTARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+4.1
3819-19TARLETDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+3.9
3919-20DENVERTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+4.4
4020-20TARLETDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van Hal+4.3
4120-21DENVERTARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+4.9
4221-21TARLETDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+4.7
4322-21DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Alexa Earle+7.1
4422-22DENVERTARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+5.3
4523-22TARLETDENVERKillKatelyn Landisset Lily Van Hal+6.3
4624-22DENVERDENVERBlockedBreannah Petersonblk Katelyn Landis, Alicia Thibodeau+7.8
4724-23DENVERTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Leddy Rae Guinn+3.4
4825-23TARLETDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+7.7
Set 3
10-1TARLETTARLETAttack errElise Hart+3.3
21-1TARLETDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+2.4
32-1DENVERDENVERAttack errBreannah Peterson+3.2
42-2DENVERTARLET×5Serve errDenver+2.5
52-3TARLETTARLET×5Attack errKayla Patel+3.4
62-4TARLETTARLET×5BlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Breannah Peterson, Alyssa Dinh+3.5
72-5TARLETTARLET×5KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+3.5
82-6TARLETTARLET×5Attack errAlicia Thibodeau+3.3
93-6TARLETDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Madison Winkler+2.2
103-7DENVERTARLET×3KillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+2.6
113-8TARLETTARLET×3BlockedJamia Johnsonblk Madison Frank, LaNeah Lara+3.1
123-9TARLETTARLET×3KillBreannah Petersonset Leddy Rae Guinn+2.7
134-9TARLETDENVER×3BlockedLaNeah Larablk Jamia Johnson, Katelyn Landis+1.7
145-9DENVERDENVER×3Attack errLaNeah Lara+2.6
156-9DENVERDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+3.1
166-10DENVERTARLETBlockedRomi Chlebecekblk Breannah Peterson, Madison Frank+2.7
177-10TARLETDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van Hal+2.3
187-11DENVERTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Kingsley Minus+2.8
197-12TARLET
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.2
208-12TARLETDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Katelyn Landis+2.0
218-13DENVERTARLETServe errDenver+2.5
229-13TARLETDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+2.0
239-14DENVERTARLET×3Attack errElise Hart+2.5
249-15TARLETTARLET×3KillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+2.7
259-16TARLETTARLET×3Attack errKayla Patel+2.0
2610-16TARLETDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Emersen Werger+1.0
2711-16DENVERDENVERAttack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket+1.9
2811-17DENVERTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexis Massey+2.0
2911-18TARLETTARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+1.8
3012-18TARLETDENVERServe errTarleton St.+0.9
3113-18DENVERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+1.7
3213-19DENVERTARLET×3KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+1.8
3313-20TARLETTARLET×3BlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Madison Frank, Breannah Peterson+1.6
3413-21TARLETTARLET×3KillMadison Frankset Alexis Massey+0.9
3514-21TARLETDENVERServe errTarleton St.+0.3
3614-22DENVERTARLETKillMadison Frankset Leddy Rae Guinn+0.5
3714-23TARLETTARLETAttack errQuinlan Jones+0.3
3815-23TARLETDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal·
3916-23DENVERDENVER×3Attack errLaNeah Lara+0.1
4017-23DENVERDENVER×3Attack errMadison Frank+0.3
4117-24DENVERTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Kingsley Minus+0.4
4217-25TARLETTARLETKillOnita Davisset Leddy Rae Guinn+0.1
Set 4
11-0DENVERDENVER×6Attack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket+3.5
22-0DENVERDENVER×6BlockedMadison Natori Rice-Locketblk Katelyn Landis, Jamia Johnson+3.4
33-0DENVERDENVER×6AceDenveraced Madison Natori Rice-Locket+3.2
44-0DENVERDENVER×6KillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+3.0
55-0DENVERDENVER×6KillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+2.6
66-0DENVERDENVER×6AceDenveraced Leddy Rae Guinn+2.3
76-1DENVERTARLETAttack errKayla Patel+1.5
87-1TARLETDENVERKillKatelyn Landisset Lily Van Hal+1.7
97-2DENVERTARLETAttack errKayla Patel+1.5
108-2TARLETDENVERBlockedBreannah Petersonblk Kayla Patel, Elise Hart+1.7
118-3DENVERTARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Leddy Rae Guinn+1.5
129-3TARLETDENVERAttack errBreannah Peterson+1.7
139-4DENVERTARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+1.4
1410-4TARLETDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+1.7
1510-5DENVERTARLETKillMadison Frankset Kingsley Minus+1.4
1611-5TARLETDENVERKillKatelyn Landisset Ilayda Eren+1.7
1711-6DENVERTARLETServe errDenver+1.4
1811-7TARLETTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+2.4
1912-7TARLETDENVER×3Attack errAlyssa Dinh+2.1
2013-7DENVERDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+2.3
2114-7DENVERDENVER×3AceDenveraced Alexa Earle+1.7
2214-8DENVERTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+1.0
2315-8TARLETDENVER×3Attack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket+1.3
2416-8DENVERDENVER×3Bad setAlexis Massey+1.2
2517-8DENVERDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+0.7
2617-9DENVERTARLETServe errDenver+0.3
2718-9TARLETDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+0.5
2818-10DENVERTARLET×3Serve errDenver+0.3
2918-11TARLETTARLET×3KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+0.6
3018-12TARLETTARLET×3Attack errKayla Patel+0.9
3119-12TARLETDENVER×3KillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+1.0
3220-12DENVERDENVER×3KillHailey Goebel+0.8
3321-12DENVERDENVER×3KillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+0.4
3421-13DENVERTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+0.1
3521-14TARLETTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Kingsley Minus+0.3
3622-14TARLETDENVER×4KillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+0.4
3723-14DENVERDENVER×4AceDenveraced Madison Natori Rice-Locket+0.2
3824-14DENVERDENVER×4AceDenveraced Madison Natori Rice-Locket·
3925-14DENVERDENVER×4Attack errLaNeah Lara+1.0
Set 5
11-0DENVERDENVERAttack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket+8.4
21-1DENVERTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Kingsley Minus+6.4
32-1TARLETDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+6.5
42-2DENVERTARLETBlockedKayla Patelblk Alyssa Dinh, Breannah Peterson+6.6
52-3TARLETTARLETBad setLily Van Hal+9.3
63-3TARLETDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+6.9
73-4DENVERTARLETServe errDenver+7.4
83-5TARLETTARLETAttack errElise Hart+9.9
94-5TARLETDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+6.9
104-6DENVERTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+7.9
115-6TARLETDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+7.1
125-7DENVERTARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Kingsley Minus+8.3
135-8TARLETTARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+10.2
146-8TARLETDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+6.3
156-9DENVERTARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Alexa Earle+8.1
167-9TARLETDENVERServe errTarleton St.+6.4
177-10DENVERTARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+8.5
187-11TARLETTARLETAttack errJamia Johnson+8.9
198-11TARLETDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+4.3
208-12DENVERTARLET×4KillBreannah Petersonset Alexis Massey+6.7
218-13TARLETTARLET×4KillLaNeah Laraset Alexis Massey+5.2
228-14TARLETTARLET×4BlockedJamia Johnsonblk LaNeah Lara, Alyssa Dinh+2.2
238-15TARLETTARLET×4Bad setLily Van Hal+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Denver first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).