FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

Northern Colo. def. Denver 3–0

Northern Colo. beat visiting Denver 3-0 (25-22, 25-21, 25-20) on Thu, Sep 17, 2026. Northern Colo.'s Gillian Walton led with 19 kills, and Bella LePore added 14 digs.

Data through · final Sep 17

Set123Sets
DENVER2221200
N COLO2525253

Win probability

Northern Colo. above 50 · Denver below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.6% DENVERrally 138 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.6% to Denver — set 1, DENVER 10-10 N COLO. Alayna Tessena stuffed by Quinlan Jones. N COLO win probability 74% → 72%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DENVER 27.5%72.5% N COLO

Denver wins

3-0
5.0%
3-1
9.5%
3-2
12.9%

Northern Colo. wins

3-0
25.1%
3-1
27.8%
3-2
19.6%
DENVER break %
40.5% vs this opp
N COLO break %
45.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Quinlan JonesBlock+2.6%

    Alayna Tessena stuffed by Quinlan Jones

    Set 1 · DENVER 10-10 N COLO · DENVER 26% → 28%

  2. 02

    Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 1 · DENVER 11-13 N COLO · N COLO 74% → 76%

  3. 03
    Jamia JohnsonAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Jamia Johnson

    Set 1 · DENVER 12-15 N COLO · N COLO 76% → 79%

  4. 04

    Kill by Katelyn Landis (set by Lily Van Hal)

    Set 1 · DENVER 4-3 N COLO · DENVER 28% → 30%

  5. 05

    Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)

    Set 1 · DENVER 22-25 N COLO · N COLO 82% → 85%

  6. 06
    DenverAce+2.2%

    Denver ace

    Set 1 · DENVER 8-9 N COLO · DENVER 23% → 26%

  7. 07
    Maddie RinkKill+2.2%

    Kill by Maddie Rink

    Set 1 · DENVER 4-5 N COLO · N COLO 72% → 74%

  8. 08

    Kill by Alicia Thibodeau (set by Madison Winkler)

    Set 1 · DENVER 1-0 N COLO · DENVER 27% → 30%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Denveraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311233.2731002100011
37420.1500219102110
38319.26300010010.58.5
3409.444000100004
3001.0001512600001
2307.429000000214
3309.333100011014
3002.0001411900001
3000–4001400000
2000–100000000
1306.500000000003
1013-.33300000111.51.5
Team totals3910109.266364442426563
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
319528.50000040010.519.5
313329.3451216000015
36018.33300010212.58.5
3618.6253801801017
35112.33310110010.55.5
3001.000112800001
35220.15000010010.55.5
3000–5101400001
3000–000710000
2002.000000000000
Team totals5412118.356464550434575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 DENVER · N COLO 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 DENVERN COLO 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 DENVERN COLO 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 6 DENVERN COLO 5

Bars above the line = Northern Colo. leads, below = Denver leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Denver

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
27%3/11
2
37%7/19
22%2/9
3
67%6/9
30%3/10
4
50%6/12
60%9/15
5
46%6/13
54%7/13
6
100%6/6
14%1/7
All
52%38/73
38%25/65

Northern Colo.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
25%2/8
2
78%7/9
56%9/16
3
50%7/14
56%9/16
4
40%6/15
33%3/9
5
67%6/9
63%10/16
6
75%6/8
25%2/8
All
62%40/65
48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#DENVER-N COLOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DENVERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Madison Winkler+2.2
21-1DENVERN COLOServe errDenver+1.5
31-2N COLON COLOAceNorthern Colo.aced Alicia Thibodeau+2.0
42-2N COLODENVERAttack errKylie Cackovic+1.6
52-3DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.5
63-3N COLODENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+1.6
74-3DENVERDENVERKillKatelyn Landisset Lily Van Hal+2.3
84-4DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.7
94-5N COLON COLOKillMaddie Rink+2.2
105-5N COLODENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+1.7
115-6DENVERN COLO×4BlockedKayla Patelblk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.7
125-7N COLON COLO×4KillMaddie Rink+2.1
135-8N COLON COLO×4KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
145-9N COLON COLO×4KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Ilayda Eren+1.7
156-9N COLODENVER×3Serve errNorthern Colo.+1.2
167-9DENVERDENVER×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.9
178-9DENVERDENVER×3AceDenver+2.2
188-10DENVERN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.7
199-10N COLODENVERKillKatelyn Landisset Ilayda Eren+1.7
2010-10DENVERDENVERBlockedAlayna Tessenablk Quinlan Jones+2.6
2110-11DENVERN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.0
2211-11N COLODENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Madison Winkler+2.0
2311-12DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.0
2411-13N COLON COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.6
2512-13N COLODENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+1.9
2612-14DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.0
2712-15N COLON COLOAttack errJamia Johnson+2.4
2813-15N COLODENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+1.6
2913-16DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.8
3014-16N COLODENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+1.7
3114-17DENVERN COLO×3KillKylie Cackovicset Bella LePore+1.9
3214-18N COLON COLO×3KillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.1
3314-19N COLON COLO×3KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.5
3415-19N COLODENVERAttack errAlayna Tessena+0.8
3515-20DENVERN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
3615-21N COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Alayna Tessena+0.9
3716-21N COLODENVERAttack errAlayna Tessena+0.3
3816-22DENVERN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.6
3917-22N COLODENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.3
4017-23DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.5
4118-23N COLODENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Madison Winkler+0.2
4219-23DENVERDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+0.5
4320-23DENVERDENVER×3Bad setSummer Snead+1.0
4420-24DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.3
4521-24N COLODENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+0.4
4622-24DENVERDENVERBlockedGillian Waltonblk Kayla Patel, Katelyn Landis+1.3
4722-25DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+2.3
Set 2
10-1N COLON COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.6
20-2N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.5
31-2N COLODENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+1.1
41-3DENVERN COLO×5KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+1.1
51-4N COLON COLO×5Bad setLily Van Hal+1.4
61-5N COLON COLO×5BlockedKayla Patelblk Summer Snead, Gillian Walton+1.3
71-6N COLON COLO×5BlockedJamia Johnsonblk Summer Snead+1.1
81-7N COLON COLO×5KillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
92-7N COLODENVERAttack errGillian Walton+0.6
102-8DENVERN COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.7
113-8N COLODENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+0.6
124-8DENVERDENVERAttack errGillian Walton+1.0
134-9DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.8
144-10N COLON COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Maddie Rink+0.9
155-10N COLODENVERKillQuinlan Jonesset Ilayda Eren+0.6
165-11DENVERN COLO×6Serve errDenver+0.7
175-12N COLON COLO×6Attack errAlicia Thibodeau+0.7
185-13N COLON COLO×6KillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Lily Van Hal+0.5
195-14N COLON COLO×6AceNorthern Colo.+0.3
205-15N COLON COLO×6Attack errAlicia Thibodeau+0.2
215-16N COLON COLO×6KillAlayna Tessenaset Bella LePore+0.1
226-16N COLODENVERServe errNorthern Colo.+0.1
236-17DENVERN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
247-17N COLODENVERKillQuinlan Jonesset Ilayda Eren·
258-17DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Jasmine Ogren+0.1
268-18DENVERN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
279-18N COLODENVERServe errNorthern Colo.+0.1
289-19DENVERN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
2910-19N COLODENVERKillKayla Patelset Emersen Werger·
3010-20DENVERN COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
3110-21N COLON COLOAttack errKayla Patel·
3211-21N COLODENVER×4KillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal·
3312-21DENVERDENVER×4KillKayla Patel·
3413-21DENVERDENVER×4AceDenver+0.1
3514-21DENVERDENVER×4BlockedGillian Waltonblk Katelyn Landis, Kayla Patel+0.1
3614-22DENVERN COLOKillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.1
3715-22N COLODENVER×5KillQuinlan Jonesset Ilayda Eren+0.1
3816-22DENVERDENVER×5Attack errMaddie Rink+0.1
3917-22DENVERDENVER×5KillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.3
4018-22DENVERDENVER×5AceDenver+0.5
4119-22DENVERDENVER×5KillAlicia Thibodeauset Quinlan Jones+1.0
4219-23DENVERN COLOKillNerea Alvarez-Jorgeset Ilayda Eren+1.2
4320-23N COLODENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.6
4420-24DENVERN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
4521-24N COLODENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.3
4621-25DENVERN COLOBlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Summer Snead+0.7
Set 3
11-0DENVERDENVERBad setNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.0
21-1DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.7
32-1N COLODENVERServe errNorthern Colo.+0.8
42-2DENVERN COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.7
52-3N COLON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
62-4N COLON COLO×4KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
72-5N COLON COLO×4KillMaddie Rinkset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.8
83-5N COLODENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.6
94-5DENVERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.9
104-6DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.7
114-7N COLON COLOAttack errKayla Patel+0.9
125-7N COLODENVER×6KillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.6
136-7DENVERDENVER×6KillKayla Patelset Alicia Thibodeau+0.9
147-7DENVERDENVER×6KillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+1.1
158-7DENVERDENVER×6KillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van Hal+1.2
169-7DENVERDENVER×6KillRomi Chlebecek+1.2
1710-7DENVERDENVER×6KillElise Hart+1.2
1810-8DENVERN COLOKillKylie Cackovicset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.8
1911-8N COLODENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van Hal+1.0
2011-9DENVERN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.8
2111-10N COLON COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.2
2212-10N COLODENVERServe errNorthern Colo.+1.0
2312-11DENVERN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Leila Ballard+0.9
2413-11N COLODENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+1.1
2513-12DENVERN COLOServe errDenver+1.0
2614-12N COLODENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.1
2714-13DENVERN COLO×5KillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.0
2814-14N COLON COLO×5BlockedJamia Johnsonblk Kylie Cackovic, Maddie Rink+1.4
2914-15N COLON COLO×5KillGillian Waltonset Bella LePore+1.4
3014-16N COLON COLO×5Bad setIlayda Eren+1.3
3114-17N COLON COLO×5AceNorthern Colo.aced Quinlan Jones+1.2
3215-17N COLODENVERBlockedKylie Cackovicblk Jamia Johnson, Izabela Molina+0.8
3315-18DENVERN COLOKillGillian Waltonset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+0.9
3416-18N COLODENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.8
3516-19DENVERN COLOServe errDenver+0.9
3617-19N COLODENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+0.8
3718-19DENVERDENVERAttack errNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.4
3818-20DENVERN COLOKillAlayna Tessenaset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.3
3919-20N COLODENVERBad setNerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.1
4019-21DENVERN COLOKillSummer Sneadset Nerea Alvarez-Jorge+1.4
4120-21N COLODENVERBlockedGillian Waltonblk Izabela Molina+1.2
4220-22DENVERN COLO×4Attack errIzabela Molina+1.5
4320-23N COLON COLO×4KillSummer Snead+1.5
4420-24N COLON COLO×4AceNorthern Colo.aced Kayla Patel+0.8
4520-25N COLON COLO×4KillKylie Cackovicset Bella LePore+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Denver first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).