Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UConn def. Villanova 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Villanova 69.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UConn beat visiting Villanova 3-1 (29-27, 14-25, 25-23, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Sydney Borowy led UConn with 14 kills; Villanova's Taylor Lewis had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
NOVA272523191
UCONN291425253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Maja Daca, and UConn needed each of them.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are UConn's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Villanova was RallyIQ's 69% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Villanova 26–26 UConn

    UConn won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 29–27 and lead 1–0. The match swung to UConn.

    UConn 34% → 51%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Villanova 22–22 UConn

    UConn closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 2–1. The match swung to UConn.

    UConn 39% → 63%

UConn above 50Villanova belowMax swing 10.7%

VillanovaUConn

Sideout %
Villanova 60.9·UConn 60.0
Break %
Villanova 40.0·UConn 39.1
Hitting
Villanova .264·UConn .265
Longest run
Villanova 6·UConn 4

Hailey Maes
11 kills on .280, 12.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UConn above 50 · Villanova below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.7% UCONNrally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.7% to UConn — set 3, NOVA 23-25 UCONN. Kill by Hailey Maes (set by Isabella Sohl). UCONN win probability 53% → 63%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NOVA 65.5%34.5% UCONN

Villanova wins

3-0
20.3%
3-1
25.1%
3-2
20.1%

UConn wins

3-0
7.0%
3-1
12.3%
3-2
15.2%
NOVA break %
43.5% vs this opp
UCONN break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Hailey MaesKill+10.7%

    Kill by Hailey Maes (set by Isabella Sohl)

    Set 3 · NOVA 23-25 UCONN · UCONN 53% → 63%

  2. 02
    Hailey MaesKill+10.7%

    Kill by Hailey Maes (set by Isabella Sohl)

    Set 3 · NOVA 22-24 UCONN · UCONN 46% → 57%

  3. 03
    Chloe KellyAttack error+10.3%

    Attack error by Chloe Kelly

    Set 1 · NOVA 27-29 UCONN · UCONN 41% → 51%

  4. 04
    VillanovaAce+8.5%

    Villanova ace on Sydney Borowy

    Set 3 · NOVA 22-22 UCONN · NOVA 53% → 61%

  5. 05
    Hailey MaesKill+7.7%

    Kill by Hailey Maes (set by Isabella Sohl)

    Set 3 · NOVA 22-23 UCONN · UCONN 39% → 46%

  6. 06
    Taylor LewisKill+7.1%

    Kill by Taylor Lewis (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 1 · NOVA 23-23 UCONN · NOVA 59% → 66%

  7. 07

    Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 1 · NOVA 24-24 UCONN · NOVA 59% → 66%

  8. 08
    Sydney BorowyKill+6.9%

    Kill by Sydney Borowy (set by Isabella Sohl)

    Set 1 · NOVA 24-25 UCONN · UCONN 34% → 41%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421543.3720013004223
415939.15410372111.516.5
412630.2000001000012
46211.364000000006
4002.00047011600000
4000–102700000
46114.35700020052.58.5
4000–222210002
4001.0002102230001
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6023140.2645339608110694
UConnhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414531.29000023010.514.5
49217.41200010052.511.5
47020.3500123022311
4115.000043400005
4102.5000021200001
2002.000600300000
411425.28000010031.512.5
47322.182000200218
4116.000011300002
4002.000421040010.51.5
4000–1021100000
2000–000100000
1000–010000001
Team totals5116132.26549810473214993

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Villanova vs UConn

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NOVA · UCONN 4

Set 1

27-29

Longest run 6 NOVAUCONN 4

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 6 NOVAUCONN 2

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 NOVAUCONN 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 NOVAUCONN 3

Bars above the line = UConn leads, below = Villanova leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Villanova

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
40%4/10
2
88%7/8
68%15/22
3
58%7/12
36%4/11
4
70%7/10
30%3/10
5
64%7/11
22%2/9
6
46%6/13
22%2/9
All
60%41/68
42%30/71

UConn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
63%10/16
2
41%7/17
22%2/9
3
64%7/11
36%4/11
4
78%7/9
22%2/9
5
78%7/9
30%3/10
6
75%6/8
46%6/13
All
58%41/71
40%27/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#NOVA-UCONNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NOVAUCONNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+1.7
21-1UCONNNOVA×6KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+1.6
32-1NOVANOVA×6Attack errJordyn Hughes+2.2
43-1NOVANOVA×6Attack errJordyn Hughes+2.1
54-1NOVANOVA×6Bad setAudrey Jensen+1.9
65-1NOVANOVA×6AceVillanovaaced Sydney Borowy+1.7
76-1NOVANOVA×6KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.5
86-2NOVAUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Audrey Jensen+1.0
97-2UCONNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.1
107-3NOVAUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+1.0
118-3UCONNNOVAServe errUConn+1.1
128-4NOVAUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Isabella Sohl+1.0
138-5UCONNUCONNBlockedReagan McGivernblk Olivia Pasternak, Courtney Grayson+1.6
149-5UCONNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Marikate Ritterbusch+1.3
159-6NOVAUCONN×3Serve errVillanova+1.2
169-7UCONNUCONN×3KillOlivia Pasternakset Audrey Jensen+2.0
179-8UCONNUCONN×3KillCourtney Graysonset Audrey Jensen+2.3
1810-8UCONNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
1910-9NOVAUCONN×4BlockedAnnika Veurinkblk Courtney Grayson+1.8
2010-10UCONNUCONN×4KillSydney Borowy+2.7
2110-11UCONNUCONN×4AceUConnaced Mina Diggs+3.0
2210-12UCONNUCONN×4KillSydney Borowy+3.1
2311-12UCONNNOVA×3Serve errUConn+2.1
2412-12NOVANOVA×3Bad setAudrey Jensen+3.0
2513-12NOVANOVA×3Attack errMaja Daca+3.0
2613-13NOVAUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Audrey Jensen+2.3
2714-13UCONNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.3
2814-14NOVAUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Audrey Jensen+2.4
2915-14UCONNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.4
3016-14NOVANOVABlockedSydney Borowyblk Taylor Lewis, Reagan McGivern+3.1
3116-15NOVAUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+2.2
3216-16UCONNUCONNAceUConnaced Mina Diggs+3.5
3317-16UCONNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.7
3417-17NOVAUCONNKillOlivia Pasternakset Isabella Sohl+2.8
3517-18UCONNUCONNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+4.2
3618-18UCONNNOVAServe errUConn+3.0
3718-19NOVAUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+3.4
3818-20UCONNUCONNKillOlivia Pasternakset Isabella Sohl+4.7
3919-20UCONNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+2.9
4019-21NOVAUCONNKillGrace Mariaset Isabella Sohl+3.8
4120-21UCONNNOVAServe errUConn+3.0
4220-22NOVAUCONNServe errVillanova+4.2
4320-23UCONNUCONNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+4.7
4421-23UCONNNOVA×3KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
4522-23NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewis+4.6
4623-23NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+7.1
4723-24NOVAUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+6.9
4824-24UCONNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+6.9
4924-25NOVAUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+6.9
5025-25UCONNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+6.9
5125-26NOVAUCONNAttack errTaylor Lewis+6.9
5226-26UCONNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+6.9
5326-27NOVAUCONNKillMaja Dacaset Isabella Sohl+6.9
5427-27UCONNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+6.9
5527-28NOVAUCONNServe errVillanova+6.9
5627-29UCONNUCONNAttack errChloe Kelly+10.3
Set 2
11-0UCONNNOVA×3Serve errHelena Einarsdottir+1.9
22-0NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.6
33-0NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.4
43-1NOVAUCONNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+1.7
54-1UCONNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
65-1NOVANOVAAceVillanovaaced Sydney Borowy+2.2
75-2NOVAUCONNServe errVillanova+1.5
86-2UCONNNOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.6
97-2NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
108-2NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Sydney Borowy+1.5
118-3NOVAUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Audrey Jensen+1.0
129-3UCONNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.1
139-4NOVAUCONNBlockedChloe Kellyblk Hailey Maes, Jordyn Hughes+1.0
1410-4UCONNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Campbell McKinnon+1.1
1510-5NOVAUCONNBlockedChloe Kellyblk Hailey Maes, Jordyn Hughes+0.9
1611-5UCONNNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+1.1
1711-6NOVAUCONNKillOlivia Pasternakset Isabella Sohl+0.9
1812-6UCONNNOVA×6KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.1
1913-6NOVANOVA×6KillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
2014-6NOVANOVA×6KillTaylor Lewisset Mina Diggs+0.8
2115-6NOVANOVA×6Bad setAudrey Jensen+0.5
2216-6NOVANOVA×6KillTaylor Lewisset Mina Diggs+0.3
2317-6NOVANOVA×6KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.2
2417-7NOVAUCONNBlockedAnnika Veurinkblk Courtney Grayson+0.1
2518-7UCONNNOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.1
2619-7NOVANOVA×3Attack errSydney Borowy+0.1
2720-7NOVANOVA×3Attack errSydney Borowy·
2820-8NOVAUCONNServe errVillanova·
2920-9UCONNUCONNAceCourtney Graysonaced Marikate Ritterbusch·
3021-9UCONNNOVABlockedGrace Mariablk Reagan McGivern, Taylor Lewis·
3121-10NOVAUCONNServe errVillanova·
3222-10UCONNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson·
3322-11NOVAUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Isabella Sohl·
3422-12UCONNUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Isabella Sohl·
3523-12UCONNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson·
3623-13NOVAUCONNAttack errCampbell McKinnon·
3723-14UCONNUCONNAttack errChloe Kelly·
3824-14UCONNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson·
3925-14NOVANOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson·
Set 3
10-1NOVAUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Isabella Sohl+2.4
20-2UCONNUCONNBad setAlyssa Nelson+3.3
31-2UCONNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Mina Diggs+2.3
42-2NOVA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.2
52-3NOVAUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+2.5
63-3UCONNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.3
74-3NOVANOVABlockedSydney Borowyblk Reagan McGivern, Taylor Lewis+3.2
84-4NOVAUCONN×3Attack errJordyn Hughes+2.4
94-5UCONNUCONN×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+3.5
104-6UCONNUCONN×3Attack errTaylor Lewis+3.7
115-6UCONNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+2.5
125-7NOVAUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Isabella Sohl+2.8
135-8UCONNUCONNKillHailey Maesset Hazuna Akishige+3.8
146-8UCONNNOVA×3KillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+2.5
157-8NOVANOVA×3Attack errHailey Maes+3.6
168-8NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+3.7
178-9NOVAUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Isabella Sohl+2.9
188-10UCONNUCONNKillOlivia Pasternakset Isabella Sohl+4.1
199-10UCONNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+2.8
209-11NOVAUCONNKillOlivia Pasternakset Isabella Sohl+3.1
219-12UCONNUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+4.2
2210-12UCONNNOVAServe errMaja Daca+2.7
2310-13NOVAUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Isabella Sohl+3.2
2411-13UCONNNOVAServe errCourtney Grayson+2.7
2512-13NOVANOVABad setIsabella Sohl+4.2
2612-14NOVAUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+3.5
2713-14UCONNNOVAAttack errSydney Borowy+3.1
2813-15NOVAUCONNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+3.7
2913-16UCONNUCONNAceAbigail Buckneraced Mina Diggs+4.8
3014-16UCONNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.9
3115-16NOVANOVAKillReagan McGivern+4.7
3215-17NOVAUCONNBlockedTaylor Lewisblk Jordyn Hughes, Olivia Pasternak+4.0
3316-17UCONNNOVAAttack errOlivia Pasternak+3.5
3416-18NOVAUCONNBad setReagan McGivern+4.3
3517-18UCONNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+3.7
3617-19NOVAUCONNServe errVillanova+4.6
3717-20UCONNUCONNKillHelena Einarsdottirset Isabella Sohl+5.7
3818-20UCONNNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+3.1
3919-20NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+5.6
4019-21NOVAUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Isabella Sohl+5.3
4120-21UCONNNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Maja Daca+4.3
4220-22NOVAUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+5.9
4321-22UCONNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+4.5
4422-22NOVANOVAAceVillanovaaced Sydney Borowy+8.5
4522-23NOVAUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+7.7
4622-24UCONNUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+10.7
4723-24UCONNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+4.3
4823-25NOVAUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+10.7
Set 4
10-1UCONNUCONN×3KillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+3.9
20-2UCONNUCONN×3KillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+4.1
30-3UCONNUCONN×3AceMaja Daca+4.2
41-3UCONNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.7
52-3NOVANOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+4.0
62-4NOVAUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+3.2
73-4UCONNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+2.9
83-5NOVAUCONN×3KillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+3.2
93-6UCONNUCONN×3AceIsabella Sohlaced Campbell McKinnon+4.4
103-7UCONNUCONN×3BlockedChloe Kellyblk Jordyn Hughes, Hailey Maes+4.3
114-7UCONNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Cat Young+2.7
125-7NOVANOVAAttack errHailey Maes+4.1
135-8NOVAUCONNKillSydney Borowyset Isabella Sohl+3.4
145-9UCONNUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Isabella Sohl+4.5
156-9UCONNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.8
166-10NOVAUCONNKillOlivia Pasternakset Isabella Sohl+3.4
177-10UCONNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.8
187-11NOVAUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+3.5
197-12UCONNUCONNAttack errTaylor Lewis+4.2
208-12UCONNNOVABlockedOlivia Pasternakblk Reagan McGivern, Taylor Lewis+2.5
219-12NOVANOVABad setIsabella Sohl+4.0
229-13NOVAUCONN×3Serve errVillanova+3.6
239-14UCONNUCONN×3AceMaja Dacaaced Campbell McKinnon+4.3
249-15UCONNUCONN×3BlockedTaylor Lewisblk Isabella Sohl, Courtney Grayson+3.6
2510-15UCONNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
2610-16NOVAUCONNKillCourtney Graysonset Isabella Sohl+2.6
2710-17UCONNUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Isabella Sohl+2.6
2811-17UCONNNOVAServe errCourtney Grayson+1.2
2911-18NOVAUCONNBlockedChloe Kellyblk Jordyn Hughes, Sydney Borowy+1.8
3011-19UCONNUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+1.6
3112-19UCONNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
3212-20NOVAUCONNKillJordyn Hughesset Isabella Sohl+1.0
3313-20UCONNNOVA×3Attack errOlivia Pasternak+0.5
3414-20NOVANOVA×3BlockedHailey Maesblk Campbell McKinnon+1.1
3515-20NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
3615-21NOVAUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+2.1
3716-21UCONNNOVA×3Serve errUConn+1.0
3817-21NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Marikate Ritterbusch+2.3
3918-21NOVANOVA×3BlockedHailey Maesblk Campbell McKinnon, Reagan McGivern+3.6
4018-22NOVAUCONNKillHailey Maesset Isabella Sohl+4.2
4118-23UCONNUCONNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+3.4
4219-23UCONNNOVAServe errUConn+0.9
4319-24NOVAUCONNServe errVillanova+2.0
4419-25UCONNUCONNAceMaja Daca+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Villanova first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).