Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 25, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Middle Tenn. def. Liberty 3–2

Middle Tenn. won at Liberty 3-2 (18-25, 25-14, 21-25, 25-22, 15-13) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Middle Tenn.'s Sophia Henry led with 20 kills, and Marianne Garcia added 16 digs.

Data through · final Sep 25

Set12345Sets
MIDTEN18252125153
LIBRTY25142522132

Win probability

Liberty above 50 · Middle Tenn. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+21.0% MIDTENrally 203 · set 5

Biggest swing: 21.0% to Middle Tenn. — set 5, MIDTEN 15-13 LIBRTY. Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander). LIBRTY win probability 21% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIDTEN 40.7%59.3% LIBRTY

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
9.0%
3-1
14.9%
3-2
16.8%

Liberty wins

3-0
16.8%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
19.8%
MIDTEN break %
41.6% vs this opp
LIBRTY break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sophia HenryKill+21.0%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 5 · MIDTEN 15-13 LIBRTY · MIDTEN 79% → 100%

  2. 02
    Sophia HenryKill+15.7%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 5 · MIDTEN 14-12 LIBRTY · MIDTEN 72% → 88%

  3. 03
    Jenna OttsAttack error+13.3%

    Attack error by Jenna Otts

    Set 5 · MIDTEN 10-8 LIBRTY · MIDTEN 59% → 72%

  4. 04

    Kill by Michaela Dlouhá

    Set 5 · MIDTEN 13-10 LIBRTY · MIDTEN 77% → 90%

  5. 05
    Laney DaniellBlock+12.8%

    Michaela Dlouhá stuffed by Laney Daniell

    Set 5 · MIDTEN 13-12 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 15% → 28%

  6. 06
    Charli MorrisKill+12.0%

    Kill by Charli Morris (set by Melis Ural)

    Set 5 · MIDTEN 8-8 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 39% → 51%

  7. 07
    Sophia HenryKill+11.8%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 5 · MIDTEN 12-10 LIBRTY · MIDTEN 65% → 77%

  8. 08
    Jaslyn ReedKill+10.7%

    Kill by Jaslyn Reed (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 5 · MIDTEN 11-9 LIBRTY · MIDTEN 63% → 74%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520649.286211101031.522.5
513329.34502120010520
59530.1330002004211
55013.385000100216
5317.28646111500215
5013-.3332011010000
514537.24300003031.515.5
5001.0002211000002
5000–5211610002
Team totals6421169.254578666602412104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514122.5910143022318
514735.2000013000014
513441.22000018000013
511535.17110030010.511.5
54113.231000200215
5001.0003402800000
59317.35300040031.510.5
51011.0003321370004
5001.0002611900001
5000–010910001
5000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6621166.2716461072828699

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Middle Tenn. vs Liberty

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MIDTEN · LIBRTY 8

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 MIDTENLIBRTY 8

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 4 MIDTENLIBRTY 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 6 MIDTENLIBRTY 4

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 MIDTENLIBRTY 3

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 3 MIDTENLIBRTY 3

Bars above the line = Liberty leads, below = Middle Tenn. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
10%1/10
2
58%11/19
54%13/24
3
73%11/15
52%12/23
4
71%10/14
33%5/15
5
60%9/15
40%6/15
6
30%6/20
53%9/17
All
59%58/99
44%46/104

Liberty

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
65%15/23
2
50%11/22
27%4/15
3
52%11/21
45%9/20
4
64%9/14
27%4/15
5
53%8/15
36%5/14
6
57%8/14
33%4/12
All
56%58/104
41%41/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#MIDTEN-LIBRTYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errSophia Henry+1.8
21-1LIBRTYMIDTEN×3Serve errLiberty+1.8
32-1MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedPaige Overcashblk Michaela Dlouhá, Jaslyn Reed+2.5
43-1MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Melis Ural+2.6
53-2MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
63-3LIBRTYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.5
74-3LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.0
84-4MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+1.9
95-4LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty+2.0
105-5MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.0
116-5LIBRTYMIDTENBlockedCharli Morrisblk Gabrielle Clinkscale, Michaela Dlouhá+2.1
127-5MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.8
137-6MIDTENLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+2.0
148-6LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.2
159-6MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+2.8
169-7MIDTENLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Charli Crowson+1.9
179-8LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Jenna Otts+2.8
1810-8LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty+2.3
1910-9MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+2.1
2011-9LIBRTYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+2.4
2111-10MIDTENLIBRTY×3Serve errMiddle Tenn.+2.2
2211-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+3.2
2311-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+3.2
2412-12LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.4
2512-13MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.5
2612-14LIBRTYLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+3.3
2713-14LIBRTYMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.3
2814-14MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Sophia Henry+3.5
2915-14MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Molly Littlefield+3.8
3015-15MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.7
3115-16LIBRTYLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Layla Collins+3.9
3216-16LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.9
3317-16MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Addison Burks+4.2
3417-17MIDTENLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+3.1
3518-17LIBRTYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+3.4
3618-18MIDTENLIBRTY×8KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+3.2
3718-19LIBRTYLIBRTY×8KillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+4.7
3818-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×8AceLibertyaced Gabrielle Clinkscale+4.5
3918-21LIBRTYLIBRTY×8BlockedJaslyn Reedblk Laney Daniell, Charli Morris+3.8
4018-22LIBRTYLIBRTY×8KillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+2.7
4118-23LIBRTYLIBRTY×8AceLibertyaced Gabrielle Clinkscale+1.5
4218-24LIBRTYLIBRTY×8KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.6
4318-25LIBRTYLIBRTY×8Attack errGabrielle Clinkscale+0.1
Set 2
11-0LIBRTYMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.7
22-0MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Melis Ural+2.3
33-0MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.3
43-1MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.5
53-2LIBRTYLIBRTYAceLibertyaced Kendall Mignerey+2.2
64-2LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.8
75-2MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.4
85-3MIDTENLIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.6
95-4LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errSophia Henry+2.3
105-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.4
116-5LIBRTYMIDTEN×3Serve errLiberty+1.9
127-5MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedPaige Overcashblk Michaela Dlouhá, Gabrielle Clinkscale+2.6
138-5MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillCaroline Macander+2.5
148-6MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errSophia Henry+1.7
159-6LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.9
1610-6MIDTENMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+2.4
1710-7MIDTENLIBRTYServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.5
1810-8LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errCaroline Macander+2.4
1911-8LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.0
2012-8MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+2.5
2112-9MIDTENLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.6
2213-9LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty+1.9
2314-9MIDTENMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+2.2
2414-10MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.3
2515-10LIBRTYMIDTEN×4KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.7
2616-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+1.8
2717-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4BlockedPaige Overcashblk Jaslyn Reed, Michaela Dlouhá+1.3
2818-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errJenna Otts+0.9
2918-11MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.4
3019-11LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.6
3120-11MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Melis Ural+0.4
3220-12MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.1
3321-12LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty+0.2
3421-13MIDTENLIBRTYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.1
3522-13LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty+0.2
3623-13MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Melis Ural+0.1
3723-14MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson·
3824-14LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Addison Burks·
3925-14MIDTENMIDTENAttack errLayla Collins·
Set 3
10-1MIDTENLIBRTY×4Serve errMiddle Tenn.+2.4
20-2LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+3.1
30-3LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+3.0
40-4LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+2.7
51-4LIBRTYMIDTENBad setLaney Daniell+1.9
61-5MIDTENLIBRTY×3BlockedSophia Henryblk Laney Daniell, Jenna Otts+2.0
71-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Laney Daniell+2.5
81-7LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errKendall Mignerey+2.1
92-7LIBRTYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.3
102-8MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.5
112-9LIBRTYLIBRTYAceLibertyaced Marianne Garcia+1.7
123-9LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Kendall Mignerey+1.0
133-10MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+1.2
144-10LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.0
154-11MIDTENLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Charli Crowson+1.2
165-11LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.0
175-12MIDTENLIBRTY×4KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.2
185-13LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.2
195-14LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+0.8
205-15LIBRTYLIBRTY×4AceLibertyaced Gabrielle Clinkscale+0.5
216-15LIBRTYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.2
226-16MIDTENLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.4
237-16LIBRTYMIDTEN×3Serve errLiberty+0.2
248-16MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouhá+0.4
259-16MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedPaige Overcashblk Michaela Dlouhá, Jaslyn Reed+0.7
269-17MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.7
279-18LIBRTYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.6
2810-18LIBRTYMIDTEN×6BlockedPaige Overcashblk Michaela Dlouhá, Sophia Henry+0.2
2911-18MIDTENMIDTEN×6KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.5
3012-18MIDTENMIDTEN×6KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.8
3113-18MIDTENMIDTEN×6BlockedCarly O'Brienblk Michaela Dlouhá, Caroline Macander+1.3
3214-18MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceMiddle Tenn.aced Melis Ural+1.9
3315-18MIDTENMIDTEN×6KillSophia Henry+2.7
3415-19MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+2.7
3516-19LIBRTYMIDTENKillCaroline Macanderset Kendall Mignerey+2.0
3616-20MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+2.7
3717-20LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.9
3817-21MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+2.7
3917-22LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+2.3
4018-22LIBRTYMIDTEN×4Attack errJenna Otts+0.9
4119-22MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+2.1
4220-22MIDTENMIDTEN×4BlockedJenna Ottsblk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed+3.6
4321-22MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errCharli Morris+5.8
4421-23MIDTENLIBRTY×3BlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Charli Morris, Layla Collins+6.0
4521-24LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errJaslyn Reed+5.7
4621-25LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+2.2
Set 4
11-0LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.3
22-0MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+3.1
32-1MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.2
43-1LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.4
53-2MIDTENLIBRTYServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.2
64-2LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.4
74-3MIDTENLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+2.3
84-4LIBRTYLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+3.2
95-4LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.5
105-5MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+2.4
116-5LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.6
127-5MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Melis Ural+3.5
137-6MIDTENLIBRTYServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.5
147-7LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+3.5
158-7LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.7
168-8MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errJaslyn Reed+2.6
178-9LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errJaslyn Reed+3.6
189-9LIBRTYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+2.7
1910-9MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+3.9
2010-10MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.8
2111-10LIBRTYMIDTEN×4KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+3.0
2212-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+4.1
2313-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillMichaela Dlouhá+3.9
2414-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errCarly O'Brien+3.6
2514-11MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.2
2615-11LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty+2.7
2715-12MIDTENLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+2.2
2816-12LIBRTYMIDTENBlockedCarly O'Brienblk Michaela Dlouhá, Caroline Macander+2.8
2917-12MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Melis Ural+3.1
3017-13MIDTENLIBRTY×3KillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+1.6
3117-14LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillMelis Uralset Caroline Macander+3.0
3217-15LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Charli Morris, Layla Collins+3.8
3318-15LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+3.5
3419-15MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+4.0
3519-16MIDTENLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+2.1
3620-16LIBRTYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+3.0
3720-17MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+2.0
3820-18LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+3.9
3921-18LIBRTYMIDTENAttack errLaney Daniell+4.0
4021-19MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errSophia Henry+2.9
4122-19LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+4.2
4222-20MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.7
4323-20LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+4.4
4424-20MIDTENMIDTENAttack errCarly O'Brien+3.4
4524-21MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.8
4624-22LIBRTYLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+2.4
4725-22LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty+3.1
Set 5
10-1MIDTENLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+6.2
21-1LIBRTYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Sophia Henry+6.3
32-1MIDTENMIDTENAttack errJenna Otts+9.1
42-2MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+6.6
53-2LIBRTYMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+7.0
64-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedPaige Overcashblk Sophia Henry, Michaela Dlouhá+9.6
75-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedPaige Overcashblk Michaela Dlouhá, Sophia Henry+9.2
85-3MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+5.8
96-3LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+7.0
106-4MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errMichaela Dlouhá+5.9
116-5LIBRTYLIBRTYAceLibertyaced Sophia Henry+9.5
127-5LIBRTYMIDTENKillCaroline Macanderset Marianne Garcia+8.2
138-5MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+10.3
148-6MIDTENLIBRTY×3KillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+6.2
158-7LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+10.4
168-8LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillCharli Morrisset Melis Ural+12.0
179-8LIBRTYMIDTENBlockedCharli Morrisblk Gabrielle Clinkscale, Logan Carr+9.8
1810-8MIDTENMIDTENAttack errJenna Otts+13.3
1910-9MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errSophia Henry+8.4
2011-9LIBRTYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+10.7
2111-10MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errJaslyn Reed+8.8
2212-10LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+11.8
2313-10MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouhá+12.9
2413-11MIDTENLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+5.3
2513-12LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Laney Daniell+12.8
2614-12LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+15.7
2714-13MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+8.7
2815-13LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+21.0

Score shown after each rally, Middle Tenn. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).