Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Liberty def. Middle Tenn. 3–1

Liberty beat visiting Middle Tenn. 3-1 (25-19, 25-15, 13-25, 25-15) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Paige Overcash led Liberty with 13 kills; Middle Tenn.'s Sophia Henry had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set1234Sets
MIDTEN191525151
LIBRTY252513253

Win probability

Liberty above 50 · Middle Tenn. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.3% LIBRTYrally 162 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.3% to Liberty — set 4, MIDTEN 4-5 LIBRTY. Kill by Carly O'Brien (set by Molly Littlefield). LIBRTY win probability 79% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIDTEN 40.7%59.3% LIBRTY

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
9.0%
3-1
14.9%
3-2
16.8%

Liberty wins

3-0
16.8%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
19.8%
MIDTEN break %
41.6% vs this opp
LIBRTY break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Carly O'BrienKill+3.3%

    Kill by Carly O'Brien (set by Molly Littlefield)

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 4-5 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 79% → 82%

  2. 02

    Kill by Michaela Dlouhá

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 3-1 LIBRTY · MIDTEN 23% → 27%

  3. 03
    LibertyAce+3.2%

    Liberty ace on Sophia Henry

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 4-6 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 82% → 85%

  4. 04

    Kill by Paige Overcash (set by Alison Bierwagen)

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 3-3 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 76% → 79%

  5. 05
    Gabrielle ClinkscaleAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Gabrielle Clinkscale

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 5-8 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 85% → 88%

  6. 06
    LibertyAce+2.8%

    Liberty ace on Addison Burks

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 5-9 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 88% → 91%

  7. 07
    Logan CarrKill+2.5%

    Kill by Logan Carr (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 1 · MIDTEN 1-0 LIBRTY · MIDTEN 41% → 43%

  8. 08
    Jaslyn ReedAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Jaslyn Reed

    Set 1 · MIDTEN 1-2 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 59% → 61%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415946.13000183010.515.5
414230.40000140111.515.5
47321.19000010010.57.5
44013.308000000426
4118.000333070010.54.5
3000–001510000
48626.077000500219
4000–012410001
4001.0005001210000
3000–120400002
3011-1.000300300000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals4923147.1774265537110674
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413228.39300000052.515.5
410218.4440213006315
411331.25800030010.511.5
49231.226000131111.510.5
4428.25000020111.55.5
4000–2632900003
44110.300000000004
41011.0001111110002
4011-1.0002310600001
4001.0001001630000
3000–001100000
11011.000000000001
Team totals5313130.3085175646214988

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Middle Tenn. vs Liberty

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MIDTEN · LIBRTY 8

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 7 MIDTENLIBRTY 8

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 MIDTENLIBRTY 4

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 5 MIDTENLIBRTY 4

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 3 MIDTENLIBRTY 6

Bars above the line = Liberty leads, below = Middle Tenn. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
53%8/15
2
47%9/19
18%2/11
3
47%7/15
56%10/18
4
50%6/12
36%4/11
5
43%6/14
25%2/8
6
63%5/8
50%6/12
All
48%42/87
43%32/75

Liberty

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
42%5/12
2
75%9/12
59%13/22
3
39%7/18
50%8/16
4
78%7/9
50%7/14
5
60%6/10
65%11/17
6
56%5/9
17%1/6
All
57%43/75
52%45/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

162 rallies

#MIDTEN-LIBRTYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MIDTENMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+2.5
21-1MIDTENLIBRTY×8KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
31-2LIBRTYLIBRTY×8Attack errJaslyn Reed+2.4
41-3LIBRTYLIBRTY×8KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.4
51-4LIBRTYLIBRTY×8KillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+2.3
61-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×8BlockedSophia Henryblk Paige Overcash, Laney Daniell+2.1
71-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×8Attack errSophia Henry+1.8
81-7LIBRTYLIBRTY×8Attack errJaslyn Reed+1.6
91-8LIBRTYLIBRTY×8BlockedSophia Henryblk Paige Overcash, Laney Daniell+1.3
102-8LIBRTYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.8
112-9MIDTENLIBRTY×4KillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.9
122-10LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+1.0
132-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+0.7
142-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×4AceLibertyaced Sophia Henry+0.5
153-12LIBRTYMIDTEN×7KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.2
164-12MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.5
175-12MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.7
186-12MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillSophia Henryset Melis Ural+0.9
197-12MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+1.2
208-12MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.6
219-12MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillMichaela Dlouhá+2.0
229-13MIDTENLIBRTY×3KillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
239-14LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errSophia Henry+2.0
249-15LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+1.5
2510-15LIBRTYMIDTEN×3BlockedPaige Overcashblk Michaela Dlouhá, Sophia Henry+0.8
2611-15MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.6
2712-15MIDTENMIDTEN×3Bad setAlison Bierwagen+2.1
2812-16MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.9
2913-16LIBRTYMIDTENKillCaroline Macanderset Molly Littlefield+1.5
3013-17MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+1.9
3114-17LIBRTYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+1.5
3214-18MIDTENLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.9
3314-19LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Jenna Otts, Laney Daniell+2.0
3414-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.3
3515-20LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.6
3616-20MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+1.2
3716-21MIDTENLIBRTYServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.4
3817-21LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.8
3917-22MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.3
4018-22LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.6
4118-23MIDTENLIBRTYServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.1
4218-24LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedCaroline Macanderblk Layla Collins+0.6
4319-24LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.1
4419-25MIDTENLIBRTYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.2
Set 2
11-0LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.7
21-1MIDTENLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+1.6
31-2LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+2.2
41-3LIBRTYLIBRTY×3AceLibertyaced Kendall Mignerey+2.2
52-3LIBRTYMIDTENAttack errLaney Daniell+1.6
62-4MIDTENLIBRTYServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.6
73-4LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.6
84-4MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouhá+2.3
94-5MIDTENLIBRTYKillMolly Littlefieldset Caroline Macander+1.8
105-5LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty+1.8
115-6MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
125-7LIBRTYLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+2.4
136-7LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.7
146-8MIDTENLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Charli Crowson+1.8
156-9LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+2.3
167-9LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.6
177-10MIDTENLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.7
188-10LIBRTYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.6
198-11MIDTENLIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.8
208-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×3AceLibertyaced Sophia Henry+2.1
218-13LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
229-13LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.1
239-14MIDTENLIBRTY×4KillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.3
249-15LIBRTYLIBRTY×4Attack errSophia Henry+1.4
259-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×4BlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Carly O'Brien+1.0
269-17LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.7
2710-17LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.3
2810-18MIDTENLIBRTYBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash+0.4
2911-18LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+0.3
3011-19MIDTENLIBRTY×3KillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+0.4
3111-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+0.3
3211-21LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errDanielle Lee+0.1
3312-21LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Danit Cohen·
3412-22MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errJaslyn Reed+0.1
3513-22LIBRTYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander·
3613-23MIDTENLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson·
3714-23LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander·
3814-24MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson·
3915-24LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander·
4015-25MIDTENLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen·
Set 3
11-0MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errPaige Overcash+1.4
22-0MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.4
33-0MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Melis Ural+1.4
44-0MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errJenna Otts+1.4
54-1MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.9
65-1LIBRTYMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.0
76-1MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.3
87-1MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedLaney Daniellblk Michaela Dlouhá+1.1
97-2MIDTENLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.7
108-2LIBRTYMIDTEN×3Serve errLiberty+0.8
119-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.0
1210-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Molly Littlefield+0.8
1310-3MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.4
1410-4LIBRTYLIBRTYAceLibertyaced Marianne Garcia+0.7
1511-4LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.7
1611-5MIDTENLIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.5
1711-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+0.9
1811-7LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+1.1
1911-8LIBRTYLIBRTY×4BlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Carly O'Brien, Layla Collins+1.3
2012-8LIBRTYMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.2
2113-8MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedCharli Morrisblk Logan Carr, Gabrielle Clinkscale+1.4
2214-8MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errLayla Collins+1.1
2314-9MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+0.6
2415-9LIBRTYMIDTEN×5KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.8
2516-9MIDTENMIDTEN×5AceMiddle Tenn.aced Melis Ural+0.8
2617-9MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+0.6
2718-9MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errLayla Collins+0.4
2819-9MIDTENMIDTEN×5AceMiddle Tenn.+0.2
2919-10MIDTENLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.1
3020-10LIBRTYMIDTEN×3BlockedJenna Ottsblk Logan Carr, Gabrielle Clinkscale+0.1
3121-10MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedJenna Ottsblk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed+0.1
3222-10MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Carly O'Brien·
3322-11MIDTENLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson·
3423-11LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty·
3523-12MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errDanit Cohen·
3623-13LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedSophia Henryblk Paige Overcash, Laney Daniell·
3724-13LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Ellie Watts·
3825-13MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouhá·
Set 4
11-0LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty+2.3
21-1MIDTENLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+2.2
32-1LIBRTYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+2.3
43-1MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouhá+3.2
53-2MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.2
63-3LIBRTYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+3.2
74-3LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.4
84-4MIDTENLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.4
94-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillCarly O'Brienset Molly Littlefield+3.3
104-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×3AceLibertyaced Sophia Henry+3.2
115-6LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.3
125-7MIDTENLIBRTY×6KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.4
135-8LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errGabrielle Clinkscale+3.1
145-9LIBRTYLIBRTY×6AceLibertyaced Addison Burks+2.8
155-10LIBRTYLIBRTY×6KillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+2.4
165-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errSophia Henry+2.0
175-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errSophia Henry+1.5
186-12LIBRTYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+0.9
196-13MIDTENLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+1.1
207-13LIBRTYMIDTENAttack errCharli Crowson+0.8
217-14MIDTENLIBRTY×4KillLayla Collinsset Charli Crowson+1.1
227-15LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.0
237-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.7
247-17LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+0.4
258-17LIBRTYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.2
268-18MIDTENLIBRTY×3KillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+0.3
278-19LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedSophia Henryblk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash+0.2
288-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×3AceLiberty+0.1
299-20LIBRTYMIDTENServe errLiberty·
309-21MIDTENLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen·
3110-21LIBRTYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander·
3211-21MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia·
3311-22MIDTENLIBRTYAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale·
3411-23LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale·
3512-23LIBRTYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander·
3612-24MIDTENLIBRTYServe errMiddle Tenn.·
3713-24LIBRTYMIDTEN×3BlockedCarly O'Brienblk Logan Carr, Caroline Macander·
3814-24MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Melis Ural·
3915-24MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errCarly O'Brien·
4015-25MIDTENLIBRTYKillJana Thymesset Charli Crowson·

Score shown after each rally, Middle Tenn. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).