FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayMVC

3:0

HomeNEC

Valparaiso def. Le Moyne 3–0

(25-23, 25-16, 25-13)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
VALPO	25	25	25	3
LEMOYN	23	16	13	0

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LEMOYN above 50 · VALPO below

Biggest swing: 0.3% to Le Moyne — set 1, VALPO 23-23 LEMOYN. Kill by Branwyn Lupton. LEMOYN win probability 0% → 1%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

VALPO 99.8%0.2% LEMOYN

Valparaiso wins

3-0

86.1%

3-1

12.6%

3-2

1.2%

Le Moyne wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.0%

3-2

0.1%

VALPO break %: 55.6% vs this opp
LEMOYN break %: 33.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Branwyn LuptonKill+0.3%
Kill by Branwyn Lupton
Set 1 · VALPO 23-23 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 0% → 1%
02
Jordyn GoveKill+0.3%
Kill by Jordyn Gove (set by Mia Mccall)
Set 1 · VALPO 24-23 LEMOYN · VALPO 99% → 100%
03
VALPO serverAce+0.2%
Valparaiso ace on Aubrey Kimball
Set 1 · VALPO 25-23 LEMOYN · VALPO 100% → 100%
04
Keira LucasAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Keira Lucas
Set 1 · VALPO 23-22 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 0% → 0%
05
LEMOYN serverAce+0.1%
Le Moyne ace on Maggie Uhwat
Set 1 · VALPO 17-17 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 0% → 0%
06
VALPO serverService error+0.1%
Valparaiso service error
Set 1 · VALPO 18-18 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 0% → 0%
07
VALPO serverAce+0.1%
Valparaiso ace on TEAM
Set 1 · VALPO 20-18 LEMOYN · VALPO 100% → 100%
08
Maggie UhwatKill+0.1%
Kill by Maggie Uhwat (set by Maddie Kmetz)
Set 1 · VALPO 19-18 LEMOYN · VALPO 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Valparaisoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Maggie UhwatOH	3	14	3	23	.478	0	3	0	6	1	0	2	1	18
10Ava HelmingOH	3	10	2	21	.381	0	1	2	3	0	1	0	1	12
12Maddie SteeleMB	3	7	4	17	.176	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
4Jordyn GoveOH	3	6	2	16	.250	1	2	4	7	1	0	0	0	8
27Jessica PickettMB	3	3	1	7	.286	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
2Olivia WagnerS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
1Rylee BumgardnerL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	2	1	13	0	0	0	0	3
6Mia MccallS	3	1	2	5	-.200	22	1	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Keira LucasOH	3	2	2	9	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
18Maddie KmetzS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
7Mara ThomasS	3	0	0	1	.000	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
17Danica GochDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
5Drew GlaserOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Kyla BellichMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Lindley MartinDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
31Mia LibertiDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
21Sarah PippinOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	16	101	.277	43	14	14	46	4	1	6	4	75

Le Moynehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Branwyn LuptonOH	3	6	1	24	.208	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	7
22Alise EvansMB	3	4	3	10	.100	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
8Nina SalasOH	3	3	1	15	.133	0	1	1	3	5	0	0	4
7Avery StrombergDS	3	1	1	10	.000	1	2	0	8	2	1	0.5	3.5
11Eiley SchneiderMB	3	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
3Skylar JehlenS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
18Gabriella SchemidtOPP	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	4
4Katie BarbourS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
19Payton HoranOH	3	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
1Aubrey KimballDS	3	0	0	3	.000	0	0	2	14	2	0	0	0
20Alana SurigaoS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Amani LearryMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Cami ZajacL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Grace TurrellMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Haley BuescherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Jazmin RodriguezOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Jules MasonS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Piper HooeyOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
16Sadie LuptonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Taliah BensonOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		18	11	80	.087	18	4	5	33	14	10	5	52

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 VALPO · LEMOYN 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 VALPOLEMOYN 5

Set 2*

25-16

Longest run 5 VALPOLEMOYN 3

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 8 VALPOLEMOYN 3

Bars above the line = Le Moyne leads, below = Valparaiso leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Valparaiso

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%5/6	50%3/6
2	38%5/13	44%4/9
3	57%4/7	50%4/8
4	67%4/6	60%6/10
5	100%3/3	70%7/10
6	100%3/3	40%2/5
All	63%24/38	54%26/48

Le Moyne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	17%1/6
2	50%4/8	62%8/13
3	40%4/10	43%3/7
4	30%3/10	33%2/6
5	60%3/5	0%0/3
6	50%3/6	0%0/3
All	46%22/48	37%14/38

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

127 rallies

Rally log

#	VALPO-LEMOYN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LEMOYN	VALPO×4	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+0.0
2	2-0	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+0.0
3	3-0	VALPO	VALPO×4	Ace	VALPO server	aced Nina Salas	+0.0
4	4-0	VALPO	VALPO×4	Ace	VALPO server	aced Nina Salas	+0.0
5	4-1	VALPO	LEMOYN	Attack err	Jordyn Gove	blk Branwyn Lupton, Eiley Schneider	+0.0
6	5-1	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Rylee Bumgardner	+0.0
7	6-1	VALPO	VALPO	Ace	VALPO server	aced Aubrey Kimball	+0.0
8	6-2	VALPO	LEMOYN	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
9	7-2	LEMOYN	VALPO×3	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.0
10	8-2	VALPO	VALPO×3	Ace	VALPO server	aced Piper Hooey	+0.0
11	9-2	VALPO	VALPO×3	Ace	VALPO server	aced Piper Hooey	+0.0
12	9-3	VALPO	LEMOYN	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
13	10-3	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Kmetz		+0.0
14	10-4	VALPO	LEMOYN	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
15	11-4	LEMOYN	VALPO	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.0
16	11-5	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
17	12-5	LEMOYN	VALPO	Attack err	Alise Evans	blk Ava Helming	+0.0
18	12-6	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
19	13-6	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+0.0
20	13-7	VALPO	LEMOYN×5	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
21	13-8	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×5	Attack err	Maddie Steele		+0.0
22	13-9	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×5	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Keira Lucas	+0.0
23	13-10	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×5	Attack err	Maddie Steele	blk Eiley Schneider, Branwyn Lupton	+0.0
24	13-11	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×5	Attack err	Keira Lucas		+0.0
25	14-11	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Keira Lucas	set Olivia Wagner	+0.0
26	15-11	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Nina Salas		+0.0
27	15-12	VALPO	LEMOYN×3	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
28	15-13	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Maddie Steele		+0.0
29	15-14	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Maddie Steele		+0.1
30	16-14	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Keira Lucas	set Maddie Kmetz	+0.0
31	17-14	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Alise Evans	blk Mia Mccall, Maddie Steele	+0.0
32	17-15	VALPO	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Alise Evans		+0.0
33	17-16	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Mia Mccall		+0.1
34	17-17	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Maggie Uhwat	+0.1
35	18-17	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Maddie Kmetz	+0.1
36	18-18	VALPO	LEMOYN	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.1
37	19-18	LEMOYN	VALPO×3	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Maddie Kmetz	+0.1
38	20-18	VALPO	VALPO×3	Ace	VALPO server	aced TEAM	+0.1
39	21-18	VALPO	VALPO×3	Attack err	Gabriella Schemidt	blk Jessica Pickett, Maggie Uhwat	+0.1
40	21-19	VALPO	LEMOYN	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
41	22-19	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Mia Mccall	+0.1
42	22-20	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Avery Stromberg	+0.0
43	23-20	LEMOYN	VALPO	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.1
44	23-21	VALPO	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Eiley Schneider	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
45	23-22	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Keira Lucas		+0.1
46	23-23	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Branwyn Lupton		+0.3
47	24-23	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Mia Mccall	+0.3
48	25-23	VALPO	VALPO	Ace	VALPO server	aced Aubrey Kimball	+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+0.0
2	2-0	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Eiley Schneider		+0.0
3	2-1	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton		+0.0
4	3-1	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+0.0
5	3-2	VALPO	LEMOYN	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
6	3-3	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
7	4-3	LEMOYN	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+0.0
8	5-3	VALPO	VALPO×4	Ace	VALPO server	aced Nina Salas	+0.0
9	6-3	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton	blk Jessica Pickett, Maggie Uhwat	+0.0
10	7-3	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Jessica Pickett	+0.0
11	7-4	VALPO	LEMOYN	Attack err	Jessica Pickett	set Avery Stromberg	+0.0
12	8-4	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+0.0
13	9-4	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
14	9-5	VALPO	LEMOYN×3	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
15	9-6	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced TEAM	+0.0
16	9-7	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Maggie Uhwat	blk Alise Evans, Gabriella Schemidt	+0.0
17	10-7	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
18	10-8	VALPO	LEMOYN	Attack err	Jordyn Gove	set Rylee Bumgardner	+0.0
19	11-8	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
20	12-8	VALPO	VALPO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
21	12-9	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
22	13-9	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
23	14-9	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Eiley Schneider		+0.0
24	14-10	VALPO	LEMOYN	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
25	15-10	LEMOYN	VALPO×5	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
26	16-10	VALPO	VALPO×5	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
27	17-10	VALPO	VALPO×5	Kill	Ava Helming	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
28	18-10	VALPO	VALPO×5	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
29	19-10	VALPO	VALPO×5	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
30	19-11	VALPO	LEMOYN×3	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
31	19-12	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Alise Evans	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
32	19-13	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Ava Helming		+0.0
33	20-13	LEMOYN	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
34	21-13	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
35	22-13	VALPO	VALPO×3	Ace	VALPO server	aced Payton Horan	+0.0
36	22-14	VALPO	LEMOYN	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
37	23-14	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
38	24-14	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Payton Horan		+0.0
39	24-15	VALPO	LEMOYN	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
40	24-16	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Attack err	Maggie Uhwat	blk Alise Evans, Gabriella Schemidt	+0.0
41	25-16	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Avery Stromberg	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
2	1-1	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Rylee Bumgardner	set Jordyn Gove	+0.0
3	1-2	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
4	2-2	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Mara Thomas	+0.0
5	3-2	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Mia Mccall	set Mara Thomas	+0.0
6	3-3	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
7	4-3	LEMOYN	VALPO	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.0
8	5-3	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
9	5-4	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
10	6-4	LEMOYN	VALPO×8	Serve err	LEMOYN server		+0.0
11	7-4	VALPO	VALPO×8	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
12	8-4	VALPO	VALPO×8	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
13	9-4	VALPO	VALPO×8	Ace	VALPO server	aced Nina Salas	+0.0
14	10-4	VALPO	VALPO×8	Ace	VALPO server	aced TEAM	+0.0
15	11-4	VALPO	VALPO×8	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
16	12-4	VALPO	VALPO×8	Ace	VALPO server	aced Nina Salas	+0.0
17	13-4	VALPO	VALPO×8	Kill	Ava Helming	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
18	13-5	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
19	14-5	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
20	14-6	VALPO	LEMOYN	Attack err	Ava Helming	blk Alise Evans, Avery Stromberg	+0.0
21	15-6	LEMOYN	VALPO×4	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Mia Mccall	+0.0
22	16-6	VALPO	VALPO×4	Ace	VALPO server	aced Avery Stromberg	+0.0
23	17-6	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Avery Stromberg		+0.0
24	18-6	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Gabriella Schemidt		+0.0
25	18-7	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Katie Barbour	+0.0
26	19-7	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Mara Thomas	+0.0
27	20-7	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Mara Thomas	+0.0
28	20-8	VALPO	LEMOYN×3	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.0
29	20-9	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Mia Mccall		+0.0
30	20-10	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	LEMOYN server	aced Jordyn Gove	+0.0
31	21-10	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mara Thomas	+0.0
32	21-11	VALPO	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
33	21-12	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
34	22-12	LEMOYN	VALPO×3	Attack err	Alise Evans	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.0
35	23-12	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+0.0
36	24-12	VALPO	VALPO×3	Ace	VALPO server	aced Avery Stromberg	+0.0
37	24-13	VALPO	LEMOYN	Attack err	Maggie Uhwat	set Danica Goch	+0.0
38	25-13	LEMOYN	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Valparaiso first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.