Valparaiso def. Canisius 3–1
Valparaiso won at Canisius 3-1 (25-14, 13-25, 25-17, 25-13) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Valparaiso's Jordyn Gove led with 20 kills, and Rylee Bumgardner added 18 digs.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALPO | 25 | 13 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| CANISI | 14 | 25 | 17 | 13 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 2.0% to Canisius — set 3, VALPO 3-5 CANISI. Canisius ace on Rylee Bumgardner. CANISI win probability 12% → 14%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Valparaiso wins
Canisius wins
- VALPO break %
- 50.2% vs this opp
- CANISI break %
- 37.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01CanisiusAce+2.0%
Canisius ace on Rylee Bumgardner
Set 3 · VALPO 3-5 CANISI · CANISI 12% → 14%
- 02
- 03CanisiusAce+1.7%
Canisius ace
Set 3 · VALPO 2-3 CANISI · CANISI 10% → 12%
- 04Jordyn GoveKill+1.6%
Kill by Jordyn Gove (set by Olivia Wagner)
Set 3 · VALPO 7-6 CANISI · VALPO 89% → 91%
- 05Mckenna Corcoran&Emma IsroffBlock+1.5%
Jordyn Gove stuffed by Mckenna Corcoran & Emma Isroff
Set 3 · VALPO 0-1 CANISI · CANISI 10% → 11%
- 06Emily HelmersKill+1.5%
Kill by Emily Helmers (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)
Set 3 · VALPO 5-6 CANISI · CANISI 11% → 12%
- 07CanisiusAce+1.5%
Canisius ace on Jordyn Gove
Set 3 · VALPO 9-8 CANISI · CANISI 8% → 9%
- 08ValparaisoService error+1.4%
Valparaiso service error
Set 3 · VALPO 3-4 CANISI · CANISI 10% → 12%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 20 | 5 | 41 | .366 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | |
| 4 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .476 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 29 | .069 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .211 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 1 | 12 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 53 | 15 | 124 | .306 | 45 | 8 | 6 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 88 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 28 | .250 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 27 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | .083 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .313 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .286 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 | .167 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 39 | 15 | 113 | .212 | 36 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 69 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-14
Set 2
13-25
Set 3
25-17
Set 4
25-13
Bars above the line = Canisius leads, below = Valparaiso leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Valparaiso
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40%4/10 | 0%0/3 |
| 2 | 36%4/11 | 20%1/5 |
| 3 | 80%4/5 | 20%1/5 |
| 4 | 100%4/4 | 43%3/7 |
| 5 | 50%4/8 | 60%6/10 |
| 6 | 75%3/4 | 50%4/8 |
| All | 55%23/42 | 39%15/38 |
Canisius
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80%4/5 | 40%2/5 |
| 2 | 100%4/4 | 67%8/12 |
| 3 | 50%4/8 | 56%5/9 |
| 4 | 44%4/9 | 0%0/4 |
| 5 | 44%4/9 | 20%1/5 |
| 6 | 100%3/3 | 43%3/7 |
| All | 61%23/38 | 45%19/42 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
157 rallies
| # | VALPO-CANISI | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CANISI | VALPO | Blocked | Emma Isroff | blk Maddie Steele, Maggie Uhwat | +0.4 |
| 2 | 2-0 | VALPO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 3 | 2-1 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.4 |
| 4 | 3-1 | CANISI | VALPO | Serve err | Canisius | +0.4 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Julia Lenik | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.4 |
| 6 | 3-3 | CANISI | CANISI | Ace | Canisius | aced Maggie Uhwat | +0.6 |
| 7 | 4-3 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Mia Mccall | +0.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CANISI | VALPO×4 | Kill | Mia Mccall | set Rylee Bumgardner | +0.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Mia Mccall | +0.5 |
| 11 | 7-4 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Attack err | Hannah Kos | +0.4 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Attack err | Emily Helmers | +0.4 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Emily Helmers | set Anna Rich | +0.3 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Mia Mccall | +0.3 |
| 15 | 9-6 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Anna Rich | +0.3 |
| 16 | 9-7 | CANISI | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Mckenna Corcoran | +0.5 |
| 17 | 10-7 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Maddie Steele | set Olivia Wagner | +0.4 |
| 18 | 10-8 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Hannah Kos | +0.4 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | CANISI | CANISI | Ace | Canisius | aced Rylee Bumgardner | +0.7 |
| 20 | 11-9 | CANISI | VALPO×3 | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +0.5 |
| 21 | 12-9 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Ava Helming | +0.5 |
| 22 | 13-9 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Ace | Valparaiso | +0.4 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.3 |
| 24 | 14-10 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Olivia Wagner | +0.3 |
| 25 | 14-11 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Mckenna Corcoran | +0.3 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | CANISI | VALPO×5 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Mia Mccall | +0.3 |
| 27 | 16-11 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Olivia Wagner | +0.3 |
| 28 | 17-11 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Mia Mccall | +0.2 |
| 29 | 18-11 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Madison Cowan | +0.1 |
| 30 | 19-11 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Kill | Jessica Pickett | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 19-12 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | · |
| 32 | 20-12 | CANISI | VALPO×3 | Attack err | Emily Helmers | set Julia Lenik | · |
| 33 | 21-12 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Attack err | Hannah Kos | · | |
| 34 | 22-12 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Rylee Bumgardner | · |
| 35 | 22-13 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Emily Helmers | set Anna Rich | · |
| 36 | 23-13 | CANISI | VALPO | Serve err | Canisius | · | |
| 37 | 24-13 | VALPO | VALPO | Attack err | Alli Farmer | · | |
| 38 | 24-14 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Hannah Kos | set Anna Rich | · |
| 39 | 25-14 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Maddie Steele | set Olivia Wagner | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.3 |
| 2 | 0-2 | CANISI | CANISI | Blocked | Ava Helming | blk Mckenna Corcoran, Emma Isroff | +0.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Maddie Kmetz | +0.3 |
| 4 | 1-3 | VALPO | CANISI×4 | Kill | Emma Isroff | +0.4 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | CANISI | CANISI×4 | Blocked | Ava Helming | blk Emily Helmers, Julia Lenik | +0.6 |
| 6 | 1-5 | CANISI | CANISI×4 | Blocked | Maddie Steele | blk Emily Helmers, Julia Lenik | +0.6 |
| 7 | 1-6 | CANISI | CANISI×4 | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.7 |
| 8 | 2-6 | CANISI | VALPO | Serve err | Canisius | +0.4 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | VALPO | CANISI | Blocked | Ava Helming | blk Emily Helmers, Julia Lenik | +0.6 |
| 10 | 3-7 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Maddie Kmetz | +0.4 |
| 11 | 3-8 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Emily Helmers | set Anna Rich | +0.6 |
| 12 | 4-8 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Mara Thomas | +0.4 |
| 13 | 4-9 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Hannah Kos | +0.6 |
| 14 | 4-10 | CANISI | CANISI | Ace | Canisius | aced Jordyn Gove | +0.7 |
| 15 | 5-10 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Mara Thomas | +0.4 |
| 16 | 5-11 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | +0.6 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Mara Thomas | +0.4 |
| 18 | 6-12 | VALPO | CANISI×5 | Serve err | Valparaiso | +0.6 | |
| 19 | 6-13 | CANISI | CANISI×5 | Kill | Julia Lenik | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.7 |
| 20 | 6-14 | CANISI | CANISI×5 | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.6 |
| 21 | 6-15 | CANISI | CANISI×5 | Attack err | Ava Helming | +0.5 | |
| 22 | 6-16 | CANISI | CANISI×5 | Ace | Canisius | aced Jordyn Gove | +0.4 |
| 23 | 7-16 | CANISI | VALPO | Serve err | Canisius | +0.2 | |
| 24 | 7-17 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Mckenna Corcoran | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.3 |
| 25 | 7-18 | CANISI | CANISI | Kill | Emma Isroff | +0.2 | |
| 26 | 8-18 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Maddie Steele | set Mia Mccall | +0.1 |
| 27 | 9-18 | VALPO | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Mia Mccall | +0.2 |
| 28 | 9-19 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Julia Lenik | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.2 |
| 29 | 10-19 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | +0.1 | |
| 30 | 10-20 | VALPO | CANISI | Serve err | Valparaiso | +0.2 | |
| 31 | 11-20 | CANISI | VALPO | Serve err | Canisius | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 12-20 | VALPO | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Julia Lenik | +0.1 |
| 33 | 12-21 | VALPO | CANISI×3 | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Anna Rich | +0.2 |
| 34 | 12-22 | CANISI | CANISI×3 | Attack err | Jordyn Gove | +0.1 | |
| 35 | 12-23 | CANISI | CANISI×3 | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Julia Lenik | +0.1 |
| 36 | 13-23 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Mia Mccall | · |
| 37 | 13-24 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Anna Rich | · |
| 38 | 13-25 | CANISI | CANISI | Kill | Mckenna Corcoran | · | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CANISI | CANISI | Blocked | Jordyn Gove | blk Mckenna Corcoran, Emma Isroff | +1.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +1.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | VALPO | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Rylee Bumgardner | +1.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | VALPO | CANISI | Bad set | Olivia Wagner | +1.1 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | CANISI | CANISI | Ace | Canisius | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +1.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | VALPO | CANISI | Serve err | Valparaiso | +1.4 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | CANISI | CANISI | Ace | Canisius | aced Rylee Bumgardner | +2.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Olivia Wagner | +1.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | VALPO | VALPO | Attack err | Emma Isroff | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Emily Helmers | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +1.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | CANISI | VALPO×4 | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Olivia Wagner | +1.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Olivia Wagner | +1.6 |
| 14 | 8-6 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Madison Cowan | +1.3 |
| 15 | 9-6 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Blocked | Emily Helmers | blk Jessica Pickett, Jordyn Gove | +1.1 |
| 16 | 9-7 | VALPO | CANISI | Serve err | Valparaiso | +0.9 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | CANISI | CANISI | Ace | Canisius | aced Jordyn Gove | +1.5 |
| 18 | 10-8 | CANISI | VALPO×5 | Kill | Jessica Pickett | +1.1 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +1.2 |
| 20 | 12-8 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Olivia Wagner | +0.9 |
| 21 | 13-8 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Ace | Valparaiso | +0.7 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Kill | Maddie Steele | set Olivia Wagner | +0.5 |
| 23 | 14-9 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Julia Lenik | +0.3 |
| 24 | 15-9 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Maddie Steele | set Olivia Wagner | +0.4 |
| 25 | 15-10 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Hannah Kos | set Anna Rich | +0.3 |
| 26 | 16-10 | CANISI | VALPO | Bad set | Mckenna Corcoran | +0.4 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | VALPO | CANISI×3 | Attack err | Maggie Uhwat | set Ava Helming | +0.3 |
| 28 | 16-12 | CANISI | CANISI×3 | Blocked | Ava Helming | blk Mckenna Corcoran, Julia Lenik | +0.6 |
| 29 | 16-13 | CANISI | CANISI×3 | Kill | Julia Lenik | +1.0 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | CANISI | VALPO | Serve err | Canisius | +0.9 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Julia Lenik | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.8 |
| 32 | 18-14 | CANISI | VALPO×3 | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Brenda Reynaga | +0.9 |
| 33 | 19-14 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Olivia Wagner | +0.8 |
| 34 | 20-14 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +0.5 |
| 35 | 20-15 | VALPO | CANISI | Attack err | Jordyn Gove | set Olivia Wagner | +0.2 |
| 36 | 21-15 | CANISI | VALPO×3 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Olivia Wagner | +0.3 |
| 37 | 22-15 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Attack err | Emily Helmers | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 23-15 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | +0.1 | |
| 39 | 23-16 | VALPO | CANISI | Blocked | Jessica Pickett | blk Emily Helmers, Julia Lenik | · |
| 40 | 24-16 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Olivia Wagner | · |
| 41 | 24-17 | VALPO | CANISI | Attack err | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | · |
| 42 | 25-17 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Olivia Wagner | · |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | VALPO | VALPO×7 | Blocked | Alli Farmer | blk Jessica Pickett, Olivia Wagner | +0.9 |
| 2 | 2-0 | VALPO | VALPO×7 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Olivia Wagner | +0.7 |
| 3 | 3-0 | VALPO | VALPO×7 | Attack err | Alli Farmer | +0.6 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | VALPO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 5 | 5-0 | VALPO | VALPO×7 | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Alli Farmer | +0.4 |
| 6 | 6-0 | VALPO | VALPO×7 | Ace | Valparaiso | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 7-0 | VALPO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.2 | |||
| 8 | 7-1 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.2 |
| 9 | 8-1 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Olivia Wagner | +0.2 |
| 10 | 8-2 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Hannah Kos | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.2 |
| 11 | 8-3 | CANISI | CANISI | Attack err | Jordyn Gove | +0.3 | |
| 12 | 9-3 | CANISI | VALPO | Attack err | Hannah Kos | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.2 |
| 13 | 9-4 | VALPO | CANISI | Serve err | Valparaiso | +0.2 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | CANISI | CANISI | Kill | Hannah Kos | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.4 |
| 15 | 10-5 | CANISI | VALPO | Serve err | Canisius | +0.3 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Hannah Kos | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.3 |
| 17 | 11-6 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Maddie Steele | +0.4 |
| 18 | 11-7 | VALPO | CANISI | Blocked | Jordyn Gove | blk Emily Helmers | +0.3 |
| 19 | 12-7 | CANISI | VALPO×3 | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +0.4 |
| 20 | 13-7 | VALPO | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.3 | |||
| 21 | 14-7 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Brenda Reynaga | +0.2 |
| 22 | 14-8 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.1 |
| 23 | 14-9 | CANISI | CANISI | Attack err | Ava Helming | +0.3 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Olivia Wagner | +0.3 |
| 25 | 16-9 | VALPO | VALPO | Ace | Valparaiso | +0.2 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | +0.1 |
| 27 | 17-10 | CANISI | VALPO×3 | Blocked | Mckenna Corcoran | blk Jessica Pickett | +0.2 |
| 28 | 18-10 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Blocked | Emma Isroff | blk Maddie Steele, Jordyn Gove | +0.1 |
| 29 | 19-10 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Olivia Wagner | +0.1 |
| 30 | 19-11 | VALPO | CANISI | Serve err | Valparaiso | · | |
| 31 | 20-11 | CANISI | VALPO×3 | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | · |
| 32 | 21-11 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Maddie Steele | · | |
| 33 | 22-11 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | · | |
| 34 | 22-12 | VALPO | CANISI | Bad set | Olivia Wagner | · | |
| 35 | 23-12 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | · | |
| 36 | 23-13 | VALPO | CANISI | Kill | Emily Helmers | set Kenslie Warmbrodt | · |
| 37 | 24-13 | CANISI | VALPO | Kill | Maddie Steele | set Olivia Wagner | · |
| 38 | 25-13 | VALPO | VALPO | Blocked | Alli Farmer | blk Jessica Pickett, Ava Helming | · |
Score shown after each rally, Valparaiso first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).