Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Valparaiso def. UIC 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Valparaiso 64.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Sep 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Valparaiso beat visiting UIC 3-1 (25-21, 26-24, 22-25, 25-22) on Wed, Sep 30, 2026. Valparaiso's Ava Helming led with 16 kills.

Data through · final Sep 30

Set1234Sets
UIC212425221
VALPO252622253

Win probability

Valparaiso above 50 · UIC below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.5% VALPOrally 190 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.5% to Valparaiso — set 2, UIC 24-25 VALPO. Attack error by Emma Colombari. VALPO win probability 70% → 80%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UIC 45.3%54.7% VALPO

UIC wins

3-0
10.6%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
17.9%

Valparaiso wins

3-0
14.6%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
19.4%
UIC break %
41.5% vs this opp
VALPO break %
42.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma ColombariAttack error+9.5%

    Attack error by Emma Colombari

    Set 2 · UIC 24-25 VALPO · VALPO 70% → 80%

  2. 02
    ValparaisoAce+9.3%

    Valparaiso ace

    Set 2 · UIC 24-26 VALPO · VALPO 80% → 89%

  3. 03
    Maddie SteeleKill+8.2%

    Kill by Maddie Steele (set by Mia McCall)

    Set 4 · UIC 21-23 VALPO · VALPO 84% → 92%

  4. 04
    Tamara KisicAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Tamara Kisic

    Set 4 · UIC 20-21 VALPO · VALPO 76% → 83%

  5. 05
    Gabi PeterKill+7.0%

    Kill by Gabi Peter (set by Paulina Ströh)

    Set 2 · UIC 24-23 VALPO · UIC 30% → 37%

  6. 06

    Kill by Jessica Pickett (set by Rylee Bumgardner)

    Set 2 · UIC 24-24 VALPO · VALPO 63% → 70%

  7. 07
    Mia McCallAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Mia McCall

    Set 4 · UIC 20-19 VALPO · UIC 22% → 29%

  8. 08
    UICAce+6.5%

    UIC ace on Maggie Uhwat

    Set 2 · UIC 22-21 VALPO · UIC 27% → 34%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UICaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415942.14300110112217
413328.35700020031.514.5
44414.000000000848
43823-.217011132010.54.5
4000–2221600002
1003.000000000211
410317.4120003006313
4000–2122400002
27Ava YoungL/DS
4001.0004001110000
3409.44411200233.58.5
3000–001210000
2000–001000000
1113.00000000010.51.5
1000–000000000
Team totals5028140.15748695163261692
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414742.16704113000018
4161343.07010013002117
45217.17600020132.57.5
4316.33300010031.54.5
4213.3332001300002
2000–000010000
411528.21412332010.513.5
4102.500260010031.52.5
4000–200700000
4000–000310000
4000–1001210000
2113.000000000001
2000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5330144.1605166586112798

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UIC vs Valparaiso

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UIC · VALPO 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 UICVALPO 5

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 7 UICVALPO 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 UICVALPO 3

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 UICVALPO 7

Bars above the line = Valparaiso leads, below = UIC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UIC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
30%3/10
2
35%7/20
50%8/16
3
54%7/13
46%6/13
4
67%6/9
33%3/9
5
55%6/11
25%2/8
6
83%5/6
63%10/16
All
54%39/72
44%32/72

Valparaiso

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
40%4/10
2
44%8/18
33%4/12
3
60%6/10
67%14/21
4
60%6/10
33%3/9
5
86%6/7
33%3/9
6
35%6/17
45%5/11
All
56%40/72
46%33/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

190 rallies

#UIC-VALPOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0VALPOUICAttack errJessica Pickett+1.8
21-1UICVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+1.8
32-1VALPOUICKillRobyn Wardset Paulina Ströh+1.9
42-2UICVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+1.8
53-2VALPOUICKillEmma Colombariset Judy Asar+1.9
64-2UICUICAttack errAva Helming+2.7
74-3UICVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+1.8
85-3VALPOUIC×3KillRobyn Wardset Judy Asar+2.0
96-3UICUIC×3KillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+2.6
107-3UICUIC×3BlockedAva Helmingblk Tamara Kisic, Maryam Hussein+2.5
117-4UICVALPO×3KillMaddie Steeleset Olivia Wagner+1.6
127-5VALPOVALPO×3Attack errTamara Kisic+2.5
137-6VALPOVALPO×3Attack errTamara Kisic+2.7
148-6VALPOUICBlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Sasha Pellettieri, Maryam Hussein+2.1
158-7UICVALPO×5Serve errUIC+2.0
168-8VALPOVALPO×5KillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+3.0
178-9VALPOVALPO×5AceValparaisoaced Ava Young+3.0
188-10VALPOVALPO×5AceValparaisoaced Emma Colombari+3.0
198-11VALPOVALPO×5KillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+2.8
209-11VALPOUIC×4Serve errValparaiso+1.8
2110-11UICUIC×4KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.9
2211-11UICUIC×4Attack errJordyn Gove+3.2
2312-11UICUIC×4Attack errAva Helming+3.4
2412-12UICVALPOKillMaddie Steeleset Mia McCall+2.4
2513-12VALPOUICKillEmma Colombariset Paulina Ströh+2.6
2613-13UICVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+2.5
2713-14VALPO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.6
2814-14VALPOUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.6
2915-14UICUIC×3BlockedJordyn Goveblk Robyn Ward, Sasha Pellettieri+3.9
3016-14UICUIC×3AceUICaced Keira Lucas+3.9
3116-15UICVALPO×3KillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+2.6
3216-16VALPOVALPO×3Attack errEmma Colombari+4.0
3316-17VALPOVALPO×3KillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+4.2
3417-17VALPOUICKillEmma Colombariset Judy Asar+3.0
3517-18UICVALPOKillMia McCallset Rylee Bumgardner+3.3
3618-18VALPOUICKillRobyn Wardset Judy Asar+3.2
3718-19UICVALPOAttack errTamara Kisic+3.5
3819-19VALPOUICServe errValparaiso+3.5
3919-20UICVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+3.8
4020-20VALPOUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+3.8
4120-21UICVALPOServe errUIC+4.2
4220-22VALPOVALPOAttack errEmma Colombari+5.6
4321-22VALPOUICKillEmma Colombariset Paulina Ströh+3.2
4421-23UICVALPO×3Serve errUIC+4.6
4521-24VALPOVALPO×3Attack errGabi Peter+4.4
4621-25VALPOVALPO×3KillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+1.7
Set 2
10-1UICVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+1.7
20-2VALPOVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+2.3
31-2VALPOUIC×4Attack errAva Helming+1.6
42-2UICUIC×4BlockedJordyn Goveblk Robyn Ward, Gabi Peter+2.4
53-2UICUIC×4KillEmma Colombariset Paulina Ströh+2.5
64-2UICUIC×4AceUICaced Mia Liberti+2.5
74-3UICVALPO×3Serve errUIC+1.7
84-4VALPOVALPO×3AceValparaisoaced Martina Cerrato+2.5
94-5VALPOVALPO×3BlockedEmma Colombariblk Olivia Wagner, Jessica Pickett+2.6
105-5VALPOUICAttack errMaggie Uhwat+1.9
116-5UICUICKillEmma Colombariset Judy Asar+2.7
126-6UICVALPOServe errUIC+1.9
137-6VALPOUICServe errValparaiso+2.0
147-7UICVALPOServe errUIC+2.0
157-8VALPOVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+2.8
168-8VALPOUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+2.0
178-9UICVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+2.1
188-10VALPOVALPOKillJordyn Gove+2.8
199-10VALPOUIC×7KillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+2.0
2010-10UICUIC×7KillElizabeth Kingset Jillian Gibbons+3.0
2111-10UICUIC×7BlockedMaddie Steeleblk Jillian Gibbons+3.1
2212-10UICUIC×7KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+3.2
2313-10UICUIC×7BlockedSarah Pippinblk Elizabeth King, Jillian Gibbons+3.0
2414-10UICUIC×7BlockedJordyn Goveblk Gabi Peter, Jillian Gibbons+2.7
2515-10UICUIC×7BlockedJordyn Goveblk Jillian Gibbons, Gabi Peter+2.3
2615-11UICVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+1.3
2715-12VALPOVALPOAttack errElizabeth King+2.2
2816-12VALPOUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.0
2916-13UICVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+1.6
3017-13VALPOUICKillEmma Colombariset Ava Young+2.1
3117-14UICVALPOBlockedEmma Colombariblk Olivia Wagner, Jessica Pickett+1.6
3218-14VALPOUICKillEmma Colombariset Ava Young+2.1
3318-15UICVALPO×4KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+1.6
3418-16VALPOVALPO×4KillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+2.9
3518-17VALPOVALPO×4KillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+3.7
3618-18VALPOVALPO×4Attack errRobyn Ward+4.3
3719-18VALPOUICKillEmma Colombariset Judy Asar+3.4
3819-19UICVALPOBad setJudy Asar+3.3
3920-19VALPOUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+3.7
4020-20UICVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+3.6
4120-21VALPOVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+5.6
4221-21VALPOUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+4.0
4322-21UICUICAceUICaced Maggie Uhwat+6.5
4422-22UICVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+4.5
4523-22VALPOUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+5.6
4623-23UICVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+5.2
4724-23VALPOUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+7.0
4824-24UICVALPO×3KillJessica Pickettset Rylee Bumgardner+7.0
4924-25VALPOVALPO×3Attack errEmma Colombari+9.5
5024-26VALPOVALPO×3AceValparaiso+9.3
Set 3
10-1VALPOVALPOAttack errGabi Peter+1.5
21-1VALPOUICKillJillian Gibbonsset Paulina Ströh+1.1
31-2UICVALPOServe errUIC+1.1
42-2VALPOUICKillEmma Colombariset Paulina Ströh+1.1
52-3UICVALPOAttack errRobyn Ward+1.1
62-4VALPOVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+1.5
73-4VALPOUICServe errValparaiso+1.1
83-5UICVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+1.1
94-5VALPOUIC×3KillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+1.1
105-5UICUIC×3KillTamara Kisicset Ava Young+1.6
116-5UICUIC×3Attack errAva Helming+1.7
126-6UICVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+1.2
137-6VALPOUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+1.3
148-6UICUICAceUICaced Maggie Uhwat+1.7
158-7UICVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+1.2
169-7VALPOUICServe errValparaiso+1.3
1710-7UICUICAceUIC+1.7
1810-8UICVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+1.1
1911-8VALPOUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+1.3
2012-8UICUICAttack errAva Helming+1.6
2112-9UICVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+1.0
2213-9VALPOUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Ava Young+1.2
2314-9UICUIC×3BlockedJordyn Goveblk Robyn Ward, Sasha Pellettieri+1.4
2415-9UICUIC×3AceUICaced Rylee Bumgardner+1.1
2515-10UICVALPOAttack errEmma Colombari+0.6
2616-10VALPOUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+0.8
2716-11UICVALPOAttack errSasha Pellettieri+0.6
2817-11VALPOUICKillRobyn Wardset Judy Asar+0.8
2917-12UICVALPOAttack errTamara Kisic+0.5
3018-12VALPOUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+0.8
3118-13UICVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+0.5
3219-13VALPOUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+0.7
3320-13UICUICAttack errAva Helming+0.6
3420-14UICVALPO×3Attack errGabi Peter+0.2
3520-15VALPOVALPO×3KillJordyn Goveset Danica Goch+0.5
3620-16VALPOVALPO×3Bad setPaulina Ströh+0.8
3721-16VALPOUICKillEmma Colombariset Paulina Ströh+0.9
3821-17UICVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+0.5
3921-18VALPOVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+1.2
4021-19VALPOVALPO×3KillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+1.8
4122-19VALPOUICKillEmma Colombariset Ava Young+1.9
4223-19UICUICAttack errAva Helming+1.8
4323-20UICVALPO×3KillOlivia Wagnerset Danica Goch+0.6
4423-21VALPOVALPO×3KillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+1.6
4523-22VALPOVALPO×3Attack errSasha Pellettieri+2.8
4624-22VALPOUICBlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Sasha Pellettieri, Robyn Ward+3.4
4725-22UICUICBlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Robyn Ward, Sasha Pellettieri+2.6
Set 4
10-1UICVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+2.3
21-1VALPOUIC×3KillJillian Gibbonsset Paulina Ströh+2.3
32-1UICUIC×3Attack errJordyn Gove+3.3
43-1UICUIC×3BlockedJessica Pickettblk Robyn Ward, Emma Colombari+3.3
53-2UICVALPO×7KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+2.3
63-3VALPOVALPO×7BlockedEmma Colombariblk Olivia Wagner, Jessica Pickett+3.4
73-4VALPOVALPO×7KillJordyn Goveset Maggie Uhwat+3.4
83-5VALPOVALPO×7AceValparaisoaced Tamara Kisic+3.4
93-6VALPOVALPO×7KillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+3.2
103-7VALPOVALPO×7BlockedRobyn Wardblk Jessica Pickett+2.9
113-8VALPOVALPO×7KillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+2.6
124-8VALPOUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+1.6
135-8UICUIC×3KillEmma Colombariset Judy Asar+2.6
146-8UICUIC×3Attack errAva Helming+3.1
156-9UICVALPOServe errUIC+2.5
167-9VALPOUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+2.3
177-10UICVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+2.5
187-11VALPOVALPOAttack errRobyn Ward+3.2
198-11VALPOUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+2.0
208-12UICVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+2.3
218-13VALPOVALPOBlockedTamara Kisicblk Ava Helming, Maddie Steele+2.7
229-13VALPOUIC×3Serve errValparaiso+1.6
2310-13UICUIC×3BlockedAva Helmingblk Jillian Gibbons+2.8
2411-13UICUIC×3KillJillian Gibbonsset Paulina Ströh+3.4
2511-14UICVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+2.8
2612-14VALPOUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.5
2713-14UICUICAttack errAva Helming+4.1
2813-15UICVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+3.3
2913-16VALPOVALPOAttack errEmma Colombari+4.2
3014-16VALPOUIC×3KillJillian Gibbonsset Paulina Ströh+2.6
3115-16UICUIC×3BlockedAva Helmingblk Robyn Ward, Emma Colombari+4.4
3216-16UICUIC×3KillEmma Colombari+5.1
3316-17UICVALPOServe errUIC+3.9
3416-18VALPOVALPOAceValparaisoaced Tamara Kisic+5.3
3517-18VALPOUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+3.5
3617-19UICVALPOAttack errEmma Colombari+4.1
3718-19VALPOUIC×3KillEmma Colombariset Judy Asar+3.6
3819-19UICUIC×3KillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+6.2
3920-19UICUIC×3Attack errMia McCall+6.9
4020-20UICVALPOBlockedSasha Pellettieriblk Maggie Uhwat, Maddie Steele+4.9
4120-21VALPOVALPOAttack errTamara Kisic+7.6
4221-21VALPOUICBlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Sasha Pellettieri, Robyn Ward+5.3
4321-22UICVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+6.2
4421-23VALPOVALPO×3KillMaddie Steeleset Mia McCall+8.2
4521-24VALPOVALPO×3Attack errTamara Kisic+5.7
4622-24VALPOUICAttack errAva Helming+1.6
4722-25UICVALPOBlockedTamara Kisicblk Ava Helming, Maddie Steele+3.7

Score shown after each rally, UIC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).