Liberty vs Kennesaw State: Kennesaw State Wins 3-0 (Oct 30)

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Liberty 57.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kennesaw St. beat visiting Liberty 3-0 (25-23, 25-17, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Haley Patterson led Kennesaw St. with 11 kills; Liberty's Paige Overcash had a match-high 14.

Data through Nov 3, 9:20 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LIBRTY	23	17	22	0
KENSAW	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kennesaw St. swept Liberty without a set decided by more than eight and led every phase.

The biggest single-rally swing was 7.4 points, and Liberty's high was 62% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Pre-match, Liberty was RallyIQ's 58% pick.

LibertyKennesaw St.

Break %+11.3 pts
33.344.6
33 of 74 on serve vs 21 of 63, so Liberty's sideout was 55.4%.

Kennesaw St. above 50Liberty belowMax swing 7.4%

LibertyKennesaw St.

Hitting: Liberty .158·Kennesaw St. .230
Aces: Liberty 3·Kennesaw St. 6
Serve err: Liberty 11·Kennesaw St. 9
Blocks: Liberty 6·Kennesaw St. 70 BS · 12 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA
Digs: Liberty 40·Kennesaw St. 34

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Kennesaw St. above 50 · Liberty below

Biggest swing: 7.4% to Kennesaw St. — set 1, LIBRTY 23-25 KENSAW. Liberty service error. KENSAW win probability 55% → 63%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIBRTY 55.8%44.2% KENSAW

Liberty wins

3-0

15.1%

3-1

21.2%

3-2

19.5%

Kennesaw St. wins

3-0

10.2%

3-1

16.3%

3-2

17.7%

LIBRTY break %: 41.8% vs this opp
KENSAW break %: 40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
LibertyService error+7.4%
Liberty service error
Set 1 · LIBRTY 23-25 KENSAW · KENSAW 55% → 63%
02
Paige OvercashAttack error+5.6%
Attack error by Paige Overcash
Set 1 · LIBRTY 22-24 KENSAW · KENSAW 53% → 58%
03
Paige OvercashKill+4.7%
Kill by Paige Overcash (set by Alison Bierwagen)
Set 1 · LIBRTY 22-23 KENSAW · LIBRTY 43% → 47%
04
LibertyService error+4.3%
Liberty service error
Set 3 · LIBRTY 22-24 KENSAW · KENSAW 92% → 97%
05
Haley PattersonKill+3.7%
Kill by Haley Patterson (set by Addison Hart)
Set 3 · LIBRTY 21-23 KENSAW · KENSAW 91% → 95%
06
Jana Thymes&Addison HartBlock+3.4%
Haley Patterson stuffed by Jana Thymes & Addison Hart
Set 3 · LIBRTY 20-21 KENSAW · LIBRTY 6% → 10%
07
Gracie PynesAce+3.4%
Ace by Gracie Pynes on Melis Ural
Set 3 · LIBRTY 22-25 KENSAW · KENSAW 97% → 100%
08
Paige OvercashAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Paige Overcash
Set 1 · LIBRTY 10-12 KENSAW · KENSAW 46% → 49%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Libertyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
25Paige OvercashOH	3	14	8	40	.150	0	0	2	7	2	3	1.5	15.5
0Laney DaniellMB	3	7	3	12	.333	0	0	2	1	0	5	2.5	9.5
11Alison BierwagenS	3	0	0	0	–	16	3	1	5	0	1	0.5	3.5
7Addison HartOH	3	2	4	9	-.222	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
22Molly LittlefieldL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
24Layla CollinsMB	2	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
8Jenna OttsOH	3	8	1	22	.318	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8
15Charli MorrisS	3	3	2	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
16Charli CrowsonS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	3	4	0	0	0	0
5Melis UralL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	14	4	0	0	0
4Addie FielderS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Kayla O'BrienL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
3VB TrostOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
19Jana ThymesMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		35	20	95	.158	34	3	11	40	6	12	6	62

Kennesaw St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Haley PattersonMB	3	11	3	28	.286	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
16Ashlyn AndersonOH	3	9	2	19	.368	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	10.5
14Olivia BurrageMB	3	6	4	17	.118	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	8
6Kourtney BrownS	3	2	2	7	.000	26	1	3	2	0	2	1	4
7Ava GarnerMB	3	2	1	8	.125	3	0	2	1	0	3	1.5	3.5
13Ashley TheissOH	3	1	1	6	.000	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	1
1Anna OfenheusleOH	3	4	1	13	.231	0	2	0	3	0	1	0.5	6.5
12Gracie PynesDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	3	1	6	0	0	0	4
5Alexis SowersDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	4	0	0	11	0	0	0	1
18Ava HoltzDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
3Hannah PearceOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0
Team totals		37	14	100	.230	34	6	9	34	3	14	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Liberty vs Kennesaw St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 30, 2026Liberty at Kennesaw St. · Kennesaw St. won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Liberty at Kennesaw St. · Liberty won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LIBRTY · KENSAW 4

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 LIBRTYKENSAW 3

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 LIBRTYKENSAW 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 LIBRTYKENSAW 4

Bars above the line = Kennesaw St. leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Liberty

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%6/11	17%1/6
2	45%5/11	33%3/9
3	71%5/7	50%5/10
4	50%4/8	0%0/5
5	80%4/5	0%0/4
6	57%4/7	43%3/7
All	57%28/49	29%12/41

Kennesaw St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%6/9	29%2/7
2	55%6/11	54%7/13
3	83%5/6	44%4/9
4	100%4/4	50%4/8
5	67%4/6	20%1/5
6	80%4/5	43%3/7
All	71%29/41	43%21/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#	LIBRTY-KENSAW	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Serve err	Kennesaw St.		+1.7
2	1-1	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Alexis Sowers	+1.8
3	2-1	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.8
4	2-2	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Ashlyn Anderson	set Kourtney Brown	+1.8
5	3-2	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.8
6	3-3	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Ashlyn Anderson	set Kourtney Brown	+1.8
7	3-4	KENSAW	KENSAW	Kill	Anna Ofenheusle	set Kourtney Brown	+2.7
8	4-4	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+1.9
9	4-5	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Ava Garner	set Kourtney Brown	+2.0
10	5-5	KENSAW	LIBRTY×3	Serve err	Kennesaw St.		+1.9
11	6-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Ace	Alison Bierwagen	aced Ashley Theiss	+2.8
12	7-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Ace	Alison Bierwagen	aced Hannah Pearce	+2.7
13	7-6	LIBRTY	KENSAW×3	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Kourtney Brown	+1.8
14	7-7	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Kill	Olivia Burrage	set Kourtney Brown	+2.9
15	7-8	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Blocked	Addison Hart	blk Kourtney Brown, Olivia Burrage	+3.0
16	8-8	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Serve err	Kennesaw St.		+2.1
17	8-9	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Ashley Theiss	set Kourtney Brown	+2.2
18	9-9	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Serve err	Kennesaw St.		+2.1
19	10-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Blocked	Ashlyn Anderson	blk Paige Overcash, Laney Daniell	+3.1
20	10-10	LIBRTY	KENSAW×3	Kill	Olivia Burrage	set Kourtney Brown	+2.2
21	10-11	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Kill	Ashlyn Anderson	set Kourtney Brown	+3.3
22	10-12	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+3.4
23	11-12	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Addison Hart	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.2
24	11-13	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Serve err	Liberty		+2.5
25	11-14	KENSAW	KENSAW	Kill	Ashlyn Anderson	set Kourtney Brown	+3.3
26	12-14	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+2.0
27	12-15	LIBRTY	KENSAW×3	Kill	Ashlyn Anderson	set Kourtney Brown	+2.4
28	12-16	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Kill	Anna Ofenheusle	set Kourtney Brown	+3.0
29	12-17	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Kill	Kourtney Brown	set Ava Garner	+2.4
30	13-17	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.2
31	13-18	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Bad set	Paige Overcash		+1.7
32	14-18	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+1.2
33	14-19	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Ava Garner	+1.7
34	15-19	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Serve err	Kennesaw St.		+1.1
35	15-20	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Kourtney Brown	+1.6
36	15-21	KENSAW	KENSAW	Kill	Ashlyn Anderson	set Alexis Sowers	+1.5
37	16-21	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Molly Littlefield	+0.5
38	17-21	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Bad set	Kourtney Brown		+1.2
39	17-22	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Kourtney Brown	+1.5
40	17-23	KENSAW	KENSAW	Attack err	Addison Hart		+1.0
41	18-23	KENSAW	LIBRTY×5	Attack err	Olivia Burrage		+0.2
42	19-23	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Blocked	Ashlyn Anderson	blk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash	+0.7
43	20-23	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Blocked	Ashley Theiss	blk Laney Daniell, Alison Bierwagen	+1.4
44	21-23	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Attack err	Olivia Burrage		+2.6
45	22-23	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+4.7
46	22-24	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+5.6
47	23-24	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Blocked	Ava Garner	blk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash	+3.0
48	23-25	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Serve err	Liberty		+7.4
Set 2
1	0-1	LIBRTY	KENSAW×3	Serve err	Liberty		+2.0
2	0-2	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Attack err	Layla Collins		+2.8
3	0-3	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+2.8
4	1-3	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.8
5	2-3	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Olivia Burrage		+2.7
6	2-4	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Blocked	Laney Daniell	blk Olivia Burrage, Ashlyn Anderson	+2.1
7	3-4	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.0
8	3-5	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Serve err	Liberty		+2.1
9	3-6	KENSAW	KENSAW	Blocked	Paige Overcash	blk Ava Garner, Ashlyn Anderson	+2.9
10	4-6	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+1.9
11	4-7	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Serve err	Liberty		+2.1
12	5-7	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.9
13	5-8	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Anna Ofenheusle	set Kourtney Brown	+2.2
14	5-9	KENSAW	KENSAW	Ace	Kennesaw St.	aced Melis Ural	+2.9
15	6-9	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Charli Crowson	+1.7
16	7-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Addison Hart	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.8
17	7-10	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Attack err	Layla Collins		+2.3
18	7-11	KENSAW	KENSAW	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+3.0
19	8-11	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.8
20	9-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+3.0
21	9-12	LIBRTY	KENSAW×3	Kill	Olivia Burrage	set Kourtney Brown	+2.4
22	9-13	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Kill	Ashlyn Anderson	set Alexis Sowers	+3.1
23	9-14	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Ace	Kennesaw St.	aced Melis Ural	+2.6
24	10-14	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.4
25	10-15	LIBRTY	KENSAW×3	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Kourtney Brown	+1.9
26	10-16	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Kill	Olivia Burrage		+2.1
27	10-17	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Blocked	Laney Daniell	blk Olivia Burrage, Ashlyn Anderson	+1.5
28	11-17	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.6
29	12-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.4
30	12-18	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Anna Ofenheusle	set Kourtney Brown	+1.4
31	13-18	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Charli Crowson	+0.9
32	13-19	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Alexis Sowers	set Ava Garner	+1.3
33	13-20	KENSAW	KENSAW	Attack err	Laney Daniell		+1.2
34	14-20	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.4
35	14-21	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Blocked	Charli Morris	blk Ava Garner, Anna Ofenheusle	+0.7
36	15-21	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.3
37	15-22	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Serve err	Liberty		+0.6
38	16-22	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Serve err	Kennesaw St.		+0.2
39	16-23	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Olivia Burrage	set Kourtney Brown	+0.4
40	17-23	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
41	17-24	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Ashlyn Anderson	set Alexis Sowers	+0.3
42	17-25	KENSAW	KENSAW	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	KENSAW	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.3
2	2-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Haley Patterson		+1.9
3	3-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.8
4	3-1	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Serve err	Liberty		+1.2
5	3-2	KENSAW	KENSAW	Ace	Kennesaw St.	aced Paige Overcash	+1.9
6	4-2	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.4
7	5-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Olivia Burrage		+1.8
8	5-3	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Serve err	Liberty		+1.2
9	6-3	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.3
10	6-4	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Gracie Pynes	set Kourtney Brown	+1.2
11	7-4	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+1.3
12	7-5	LIBRTY	KENSAW×4	Serve err	Liberty		+1.3
13	7-6	KENSAW	KENSAW×4	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Kourtney Brown	+2.0
14	7-7	KENSAW	KENSAW×4	Ace	Kennesaw St.	aced Paige Overcash	+2.2
15	7-8	KENSAW	KENSAW×4	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+2.3
16	8-8	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Kourtney Brown	+1.6
17	8-9	LIBRTY	KENSAW×3	Kill	Kourtney Brown	set Ashley Theiss	+1.7
18	8-10	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Kill	Olivia Burrage	set Kourtney Brown	+2.4
19	8-11	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Blocked	Addison Hart	blk Kourtney Brown, Olivia Burrage	+2.3
20	9-11	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Serve err	Kennesaw St.		+1.5
21	9-12	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Kourtney Brown	+1.7
22	10-12	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Serve err	Kennesaw St.		+1.5
23	11-12	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Haley Patterson		+2.4
24	11-13	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Kourtney Brown	+1.9
25	11-14	KENSAW	KENSAW	Ace	Kennesaw St.	aced Melis Ural	+2.6
26	12-14	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Serve err	Kennesaw St.		+1.6
27	13-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Blocked	Anna Ofenheusle	blk Laney Daniell, Charli Morris	+2.6
28	13-15	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Ashlyn Anderson	set Kourtney Brown	+2.1
29	14-15	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Charli Crowson	+1.9
30	15-15	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+3.0
31	15-16	LIBRTY	KENSAW×3	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+2.2
32	15-17	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+3.2
33	15-18	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Kill	Ava Garner		+3.0
34	16-18	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+1.7
35	16-19	LIBRTY	KENSAW×3	Serve err	Liberty		+2.2
36	16-20	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Kourtney Brown	+2.5
37	16-21	KENSAW	KENSAW×3	Blocked	Charli Morris	blk Ava Garner, Haley Patterson	+1.7
38	17-21	KENSAW	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Kourtney Brown		+0.7
39	18-21	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
40	19-21	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Ace	Alison Bierwagen	aced Ashley Theiss	+2.4
41	20-21	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Blocked	Haley Patterson	blk Jana Thymes, Addison Hart	+3.4
42	20-22		KENSAW	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.3
43	21-22	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.5
44	21-23	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Kill	Haley Patterson	set Addison Hart	+3.7
45	22-23	KENSAW	LIBRTY	Attack err	Kourtney Brown		+2.5
46	22-24	LIBRTY	KENSAW	Serve err	Liberty		+4.3
47	22-25	KENSAW	KENSAW	Ace	Gracie Pynes	aced Melis Ural	+3.4

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Kennesaw St. def. Liberty 3–0

Kennesaw St. swept Liberty without a set decided by more than eight and led every phase.