Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Liberty def. Kennesaw St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Liberty 53.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Liberty won at Kennesaw St. 3-1 (25-15, 25-21, 25-27, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Jenna Otts led Liberty with 13 kills, and Melis Ural added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set1234Sets
LIBRTY252525253
KENSAW152127231

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Liberty won every phase.

The biggest single-rally swing was 8.9 points, and Kennesaw St.'s high was 45% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. RallyIQ gave Liberty 54% before first serve.

LibertyKennesaw St.
  • Break %+8.4 pts
    47.539.1

    47 of 99 on serve vs 34 of 87, so Kennesaw St.'s sideout was 52.5%.

  • Hitting+.082
    .246.164

    44 K / 14 E against 56 K / 31 E.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    Liberty scored 6 straight in the second set to stretch a 9–5 lead to 15–5. That set ended 25–21.

Kennesaw St. above 50Liberty belowMax swing 8.9%

LibertyKennesaw St.

Aces
Liberty 9·Kennesaw St. 5
Serve err
Liberty 11·Kennesaw St. 15
Blocks
Liberty 10·Kennesaw St. 80 BS · 20 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Liberty 51·Kennesaw St. 58

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Kennesaw St. above 50 · Liberty below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.9% LIBRTYrally 186 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.9% to Liberty — set 4, LIBRTY 25-23 KENSAW. Service error by Gracie Pynes. KENSAW win probability 9% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIBRTY 55.8%44.2% KENSAW

Liberty wins

3-0
15.1%
3-1
21.2%
3-2
19.5%

Kennesaw St. wins

3-0
10.2%
3-1
16.3%
3-2
17.7%
LIBRTY break %
41.8% vs this opp
KENSAW break %
40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gracie PynesService error+8.9%

    Service error by Gracie Pynes

    Set 4 · LIBRTY 25-23 KENSAW · LIBRTY 91% → 100%

  2. 02
    Paige OvercashAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Paige Overcash

    Set 3 · LIBRTY 25-27 KENSAW · KENSAW 17% → 24%

  3. 03

    Kill by Ashlyn Anderson (set by Kaeley Walz)

    Set 3 · LIBRTY 24-25 KENSAW · KENSAW 11% → 17%

  4. 04
    Gracie PynesAce+6.4%

    Ace by Gracie Pynes on Molly Littlefield

    Set 3 · LIBRTY 24-24 KENSAW · KENSAW 4% → 11%

  5. 05
    Kaeley WalzService error+5.8%

    Service error by Kaeley Walz

    Set 4 · LIBRTY 23-21 KENSAW · LIBRTY 86% → 92%

  6. 06

    Layla Collins stuffed by Haley Patterson & Olivia Burrage

    Set 4 · LIBRTY 22-21 KENSAW · KENSAW 8% → 14%

  7. 07

    Kill by Paige Overcash (set by Molly Littlefield)

    Set 4 · LIBRTY 24-21 KENSAW · LIBRTY 92% → 98%

  8. 08
    LibertyAce+5.5%

    Liberty ace on Gracie Pynes

    Set 4 · LIBRTY 18-16 KENSAW · LIBRTY 81% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411439.17903160031.515.5
411118.55600320073.514.5
44110.30000030031.55.5
4239-.111000100424
4001.0001931800003
4000–111430001
413537.2160003002114
4207.28600010010.52.5
41011.0001913500002
4000–011000001
4000–2001820000
1000–001000000
Team totals4414122.2464191151502010100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414425.40010010052.516.5
414835.1710000002115
412526.26900040031.513.5
4104.250000950001
35717-.11810140010.55.5
2001.0001001001011
46328.107002300006
4000–054720005
4001.000001500000
4000–2032110000
3327.14300010010.53.5
3104.2503903310212
2000–000000000
1024-.500000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5631152.16453515589114886

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Liberty vs Kennesaw St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LIBRTY · KENSAW 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 LIBRTYKENSAW 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 6 LIBRTYKENSAW 5

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 5 LIBRTYKENSAW 4

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 LIBRTYKENSAW 3

Bars above the line = Kennesaw St. leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Liberty

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
56%5/9
2
44%4/9
43%3/7
3
80%4/5
20%1/5
4
100%4/4
56%5/9
5
100%4/4
50%4/8
6
57%4/7
64%7/11
All
68%25/37
51%25/49

Kennesaw St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%5/11
0%0/4
2
100%4/4
44%4/9
3
40%4/10
50%4/8
4
67%4/6
20%1/5
5
57%4/7
0%0/4
6
27%3/11
43%3/7
All
49%24/49
32%12/37

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#LIBRTY-KENSAWSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0KENSAWLIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
22-0LIBRTYLIBRTY×4AceLibertyaced Ashley Theiss+2.5
33-0LIBRTYLIBRTY×4Attack errOlivia Burrage+2.4
44-0LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcash+2.2
54-1LIBRTYKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+1.4
65-1KENSAWLIBRTYServe errKennesaw St.+1.6
75-2LIBRTYKENSAWServe errLiberty+1.4
86-2KENSAWLIBRTY×5KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.6
97-2LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+2.0
108-2LIBRTYLIBRTY×5AceLibertyaced Alexis Sowers+1.7
119-2LIBRTYLIBRTY×5BlockedAshlyn Andersonblk Laney Daniell, Jenna Otts+1.4
1210-2LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.1
1310-3LIBRTYKENSAWKillAva Garnerset Kourtney Brown+0.6
1411-3KENSAWLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+0.7
1512-3LIBRTYLIBRTYKillCharli Crowsonset Gracie Pynes+0.8
1612-4LIBRTYKENSAWServe errLiberty+0.4
1713-4KENSAWLIBRTYServe errKennesaw St.+0.5
1814-4LIBRTYLIBRTYAceLibertyaced Ashley Theiss+0.5
1914-5LIBRTYKENSAWServe errLiberty+0.2
2015-5KENSAWLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+0.3
2116-5LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errHaley Patterson+0.2
2216-6LIBRTYKENSAWBlockedAddison Hartblk Kourtney Brown+0.1
2317-6KENSAWLIBRTYServe errKennesaw St.+0.1
2417-7LIBRTYKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown+0.1
2517-8KENSAWKENSAWAceGracie Pynesaced Molly Littlefield+0.2
2618-8KENSAWLIBRTYServe errGracie Pynes+0.2
2718-9LIBRTYKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Alexis Sowers+0.1
2819-9KENSAWLIBRTYServe errKennesaw St.+0.2
2920-9LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errAshlyn Anderson+0.1
3020-10LIBRTYKENSAWKillAnna Ofenheusleset Kourtney Brown·
3121-10KENSAWLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+0.1
3222-10LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errAva Garner·
3322-11LIBRTYKENSAWServe errLiberty·
3423-11KENSAWLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson·
3523-12LIBRTYKENSAW×4KillAva Garnerset Kourtney Brown·
3623-13KENSAWKENSAW×4Attack errPaige Overcash·
3723-14KENSAWKENSAW×4Attack errJenna Otts·
3823-15KENSAWKENSAW×4KillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown·
3924-15KENSAWLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen·
4025-15LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errMaggie Byrd·
Set 2
11-0LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedHaley Pattersonblk Paige Overcash, Layla Collins+2.5
22-0LIBRTYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+2.4
32-1LIBRTYKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+1.6
43-1KENSAWLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
53-2LIBRTYKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kourtney Brown+1.7
64-2KENSAWLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
75-2LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errAnna Ofenheusle+2.4
85-3LIBRTYKENSAWKillAnna Ofenheusleset Kourtney Brown+1.6
96-3KENSAWLIBRTYServe errAlexis Sowers+1.7
106-4LIBRTYKENSAWAttack errJenna Otts+1.6
117-4KENSAWLIBRTY×3Attack errAnna Ofenheusle+1.8
128-4LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errAva Garner+2.3
139-4LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errAva Garner+2.0
149-5LIBRTYKENSAWKillAva Garnerset Kourtney Brown+1.2
1510-5KENSAWLIBRTY×6KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.4
1611-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errHunter Cook+1.7
1712-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×6KillAddison Hartset Melis Ural+1.3
1813-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×6BlockedHunter Cookblk Addison Hart, Layla Collins+0.9
1914-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errAva Garner+0.6
2015-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errHaley Patterson+0.4
2115-6LIBRTYKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Ava Garner+0.2
2216-6KENSAWLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+0.3
2316-7LIBRTYKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+0.1
2417-7KENSAWLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.2
2517-8LIBRTYKENSAW×5KillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+0.1
2617-9KENSAWKENSAW×5AceGracie Pynesaced Molly Littlefield+0.3
2717-10KENSAWKENSAW×5KillAnna Ofenheusleset Kaeley Walz+0.4
2817-11KENSAWKENSAW×5KillAshlyn Andersonset Kaeley Walz+0.7
2917-12KENSAWKENSAW×5AceGracie Pynesaced Melis Ural+1.0
3018-12KENSAWLIBRTYServe errGracie Pynes+1.0
3118-13LIBRTYKENSAWServe errLiberty+0.7
3218-14KENSAWKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kaeley Walz+1.4
3319-14KENSAWLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Charli Crowson+1.4
3419-15LIBRTYKENSAWKillAva Garnerset Kaeley Walz+0.9
3520-15KENSAWLIBRTYAttack errAva Garner+1.4
3620-16LIBRTYKENSAWAttack errJenna Otts+0.9
3721-16KENSAWLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.3
3822-16LIBRTYLIBRTYAceLibertyaced Ashley Theiss+1.0
3922-17LIBRTYKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+0.3
4023-17KENSAWLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+0.6
4124-17LIBRTYLIBRTYAceLibertyaced Ashley Theiss+0.3
4224-18LIBRTYKENSAW×4KillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz·
4324-19KENSAWKENSAW×4KillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+0.1
4424-20KENSAWKENSAW×4KillOlivia Burrage+0.3
4524-21KENSAWKENSAW×4BlockedAddison Hartblk Haley Patterson, Olivia Burrage+0.7
4625-21KENSAWLIBRTYServe errKaeley Walz+1.1
Set 3
10-1KENSAWKENSAW×4KillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+1.6
20-2KENSAWKENSAW×4BlockedPaige Overcashblk Ashlyn Anderson, Olivia Burrage+1.6
30-3KENSAWKENSAW×4Attack errPaige Overcash+1.6
40-4KENSAWKENSAW×4KillAshlyn Andersonset Kaeley Walz+1.5
51-4KENSAWLIBRTYKillLayla Collins+0.9
61-5LIBRTYKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+1.1
71-6KENSAWKENSAWAceGracie Pynesaced Melis Ural+1.4
82-6KENSAWLIBRTY×4BlockedOlivia Burrageblk Laney Daniell, Addison Hart+0.8
93-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×4AceLibertyaced Gracie Pynes+1.4
104-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×4BlockedAshlyn Andersonblk Paige Overcash, Laney Daniell+1.6
115-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.7
125-7LIBRTYKENSAW×4Serve errLiberty+1.3
135-8KENSAWKENSAW×4KillAshlyn Andersonset Kaeley Walz+1.8
145-9KENSAWKENSAW×4KillAnna Ofenheusleset Kaeley Walz+1.6
155-10KENSAWKENSAW×4KillAva Garner+1.4
166-10KENSAWLIBRTYBlockedAnna Ofenheusleblk Laney Daniell, Charli Morris+0.8
176-11LIBRTYKENSAWBlockedJenna Ottsblk Ava Garner, Ashlyn Anderson+1.0
187-11KENSAWLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+0.8
197-12LIBRTYKENSAW×3Serve errLiberty+1.0
207-13KENSAWKENSAW×3KillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+1.2
217-14KENSAWKENSAW×3KillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+0.9
228-14KENSAWLIBRTY×5Serve errAnna Ofenheusle+0.4
239-14LIBRTYLIBRTY×5Attack errHaley Patterson+0.9
2410-14LIBRTYLIBRTY×5Attack errAva Garner+1.2
2511-14LIBRTY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
2612-14LIBRTYLIBRTY×5AceLibertyaced Ashley Theiss+1.8
2712-15LIBRTYKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+1.5
2813-15KENSAWLIBRTYServe errAva Garner+1.3
2913-16LIBRTYKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+1.6
3014-16KENSAWLIBRTYAttack errHaley Patterson+1.3
3115-16LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errAshlyn Anderson+2.3
3215-17LIBRTYKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+1.8
3316-17KENSAWLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
3416-18LIBRTYKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+1.9
3517-18KENSAWLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.7
3617-19LIBRTYKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kaeley Walz+2.1
3718-19KENSAWLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.8
3818-20LIBRTYKENSAWKillAnna Ofenheusleset Kaeley Walz+2.2
3919-20KENSAWLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.9
4020-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+3.4
4121-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+3.8
4221-21LIBRTYKENSAWKillMaggie Byrdset Kaeley Walz+2.6
4322-21KENSAWLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+3.0
4422-22LIBRTYKENSAWServe errLiberty+2.9
4523-22KENSAWLIBRTYServe errKaeley Walz+3.6
4624-22LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedOlivia Burrageblk Laney Daniell, Addison Hart+4.8
4724-23LIBRTYKENSAW×3KillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+1.8
4824-24KENSAWKENSAW×3AceGracie Pynesaced Molly Littlefield+6.4
4924-25KENSAWKENSAW×3KillAshlyn Andersonset Kaeley Walz+6.5
5025-25KENSAWLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+4.5
5125-26LIBRTYKENSAWServe errLiberty+4.5
5225-27KENSAWKENSAWAttack errPaige Overcash+6.6
Set 4
10-1LIBRTYKENSAWKillAshley Theissset Kaeley Walz+2.3
20-2KENSAWKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kaeley Walz+3.3
31-2KENSAWLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.2
42-2LIBRTYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+3.4
52-3LIBRTYKENSAWServe errLiberty+2.4
62-4KENSAWKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+3.5
73-4KENSAWLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.3
83-5LIBRTYKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Olivia Burrage+2.5
94-5KENSAWLIBRTY×4Serve errAlexis Sowers+2.4
105-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×4Attack errMaggie Byrd+3.6
116-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×4AceLibertyaced Kaeley Walz+3.7
127-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+3.6
137-6LIBRTYKENSAWServe errLiberty+2.4
147-7KENSAWKENSAWKillKaeley Walzset Melis Ural+3.8
158-7KENSAWLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+2.7
169-7LIBRTYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+3.8
179-8LIBRTYKENSAW×3KillAnna Ofenheusleset Kaeley Walz+2.6
189-9KENSAWKENSAW×3KillMaggie Byrdset Kaeley Walz+4.0
199-10KENSAWKENSAW×3BlockedJenna Ottsblk Kaeley Walz, Maggie Byrd+4.2
2010-10KENSAWLIBRTYAttack errHaley Patterson+2.9
2111-10LIBRTY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.3
2211-11LIBRTYKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+3.0
2312-11KENSAWLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+3.1
2413-11LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errHaley Patterson+4.4
2513-12LIBRTYKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+2.9
2614-12KENSAWLIBRTYBlockedHaley Pattersonblk Layla Collins, Addison Hart+3.2
2715-12LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedOlivia Burrageblk Paige Overcash, Laney Daniell+4.2
2815-13LIBRTYKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+2.5
2915-14KENSAWKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+4.4
3016-14KENSAWLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+3.4
3116-15LIBRTYKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+3.2
3216-16KENSAWKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kaeley Walz+5.3
3317-16KENSAWLIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+3.9
3418-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×3AceLibertyaced Gracie Pynes+5.5
3519-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedAshlyn Andersonblk Jenna Otts, Laney Daniell+4.9
3619-17LIBRTYKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Alexis Sowers+2.7
3720-17KENSAWLIBRTYServe errHannah Pearce+3.5
3820-18LIBRTYKENSAWKillMaggie Byrdset Kaeley Walz+2.7
3921-18KENSAWLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Charli Crowson+3.7
4021-19LIBRTYKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+2.6
4122-19KENSAWLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+3.9
4222-20LIBRTYKENSAWBlockedAddison Hartblk Olivia Burrage, Kaeley Walz+2.5
4322-21KENSAWKENSAWBlockedLayla Collinsblk Haley Patterson, Olivia Burrage+5.8
4423-21KENSAWLIBRTYServe errKaeley Walz+5.8
4524-21LIBRTYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Molly Littlefield+5.8
4624-22LIBRTYKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+1.5
4724-23KENSAWKENSAWBlockedLaney Daniellblk Ashlyn Anderson, Olivia Burrage+5.3
4825-23KENSAWLIBRTYServe errGracie Pynes+8.9

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).