FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Western Ky. def. Liberty 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Ky. 87.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Ky. beat visiting Liberty 3-0 (25-14, 25-18, 28-26) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Kaira Knox and Alivia Skidmore led Western Ky. with 10 kills each; Liberty's Jenna Otts had a match-high 11.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
LIBRTY1418260
W KY2525283

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.435 and 10 kills for Alivia Skidmore as Western Ky. rolled past Liberty.

Win probability never moved more than 2.3 points on one rally; Liberty topped out at 12% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Western Ky. 87% before first serve.

LibertyWestern Ky.
  • Break %+15.5 pts
    39.054.5

    42 of 77 on serve vs 23 of 59, so Liberty's sideout was 45.5%.

  • Hitting+.128
    .175.303

    Kills and errors: 47–11 vs 40–20.

  • Longest run+0
    66

    Up 12–9 in the second set, Western Ky. scored 6 straight to make it 18–9. That set ended 25–18.

Western Ky. above 50Liberty belowMax swing 2.3%

LibertyWestern Ky.

Aces
Liberty 3·Western Ky. 7
Serve err
Liberty 2·Western Ky. 3
Blocks
Liberty 7·Western Ky. 140 BS · 14 BA vs 4 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Liberty 53·Western Ky. 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Western Ky. above 50 · Liberty below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.3% LIBRTYrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Liberty — set 3, LIBRTY 25-24 W KY. Ace by Melis Ural on Kennedy Cherry. W KY win probability 97% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIBRTY 10.5%89.5% W KY

Liberty wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.9%

Western Ky. wins

3-0
43.6%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%
LIBRTY break %
35.9% vs this opp
W KY break %
45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Melis UralAce+2.3%

    Ace by Melis Ural on Kennedy Cherry

    Set 3 · LIBRTY 25-24 W KY · LIBRTY 3% → 5%

  2. 02
    Kaira KnoxBlock+2.0%

    Jenna Otts stuffed by Kaira Knox

    Set 3 · LIBRTY 23-24 W KY · W KY 96% → 98%

  3. 03
    Faith YoungKill+2.0%

    Kill by Faith Young (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 3 · LIBRTY 26-27 W KY · W KY 96% → 98%

  4. 04

    Laney Daniell stuffed by Kendall Meller & Faith Young

    Set 3 · LIBRTY 26-28 W KY · W KY 98% → 100%

  5. 05

    Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 3 · LIBRTY 25-25 W KY · W KY 95% → 96%

  6. 06
    Alivia SkidmoreService error+1.6%

    Service error by Alivia Skidmore

    Set 3 · LIBRTY 26-25 W KY · LIBRTY 4% → 5%

  7. 07
    Jenna OttsAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Jenna Otts

    Set 3 · LIBRTY 26-26 W KY · W KY 95% → 96%

  8. 08

    Kill by Izzy Van De Wiele (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 1 · LIBRTY 0-1 W KY · W KY 87% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311435.2000003104213
35313.154001200427
34110.30000020031.55.5
35415.067000200005
3000–100100000
2000–800200000
310327.25900072031.511.5
35514.000000600005
3000–120800002
3000–4101040001
3000–1501700000
2000–700300000
1000–000000000
Team totals4020114.1753632537014758
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310320.3500107112213
310023.43500130212.512.5
37423.13011100174.512.5
34011.3643430600429
36010.60010010010.56.5
3000–210910001
37122.27300010031.58.5
33310.000000000214
3000–3111710001
3000–100400000
1000–000000000
Team totals4711119.30342734834201478

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Liberty vs Western Ky.

Season series · Western Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LIBRTY · W KY 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 LIBRTYW KY 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 LIBRTYW KY 6

Set 3

26-28

Longest run 6 LIBRTYW KY 4

Bars above the line = Western Ky. leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Liberty

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%7/19
14%1/7
2
70%7/10
36%4/11
3
40%6/15
46%6/13
4
36%5/14
50%6/12
5
45%5/11
50%5/10
6
63%5/8
17%1/6
All
45%35/77
39%23/59

Western Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
65%11/17
2
64%7/11
36%4/11
3
43%6/14
54%7/13
4
67%6/9
60%9/15
5
56%5/9
44%4/9
6
100%5/5
58%7/12
All
61%36/59
55%42/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#LIBRTY-W KYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W KYW KYKillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush+1.3
20-2W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Melis Ural+1.1
31-2W KYLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+0.8
41-3LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.8
52-3W KYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.8
62-4LIBRTYW KY×3KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+0.8
72-5W KYW KY×3KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.0
82-6W KYW KY×3BlockedAddison Hartblk Kaira Knox, Faith Young+0.9
93-6W KYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+0.5
103-7LIBRTYW KYBlockedPaige Overcashblk Kaira Knox, Faith Young+0.6
113-8W KYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.7
124-8W KYLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+0.4
134-9LIBRTYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.5
145-9W KYLIBRTYBlockedFaith Youngblk Layla Collins, Paige Overcash+0.4
155-10LIBRTYW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.5
165-11W KYW KY×3BlockedCharli Morrisblk Alivia Skidmore+0.5
175-12W KYW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmore+0.4
186-12W KYLIBRTYBad setKaira Knox+0.2
196-13LIBRTYW KY×3BlockedJenna Ottsblk Kate Rush, Eliza McKnight+0.2
206-14W KYW KY×3KillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush+0.2
216-15W KYW KY×3KillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush+0.1
227-15W KYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.1
237-16LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Tayler Baron+0.1
248-16W KYLIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+0.1
259-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillAddison Hartset Melis Ural+0.1
2610-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Melis Ural+0.2
2710-17LIBRTYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+0.2
2811-17W KYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.1
2911-18LIBRTYW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Melis Ural+0.2
3011-19W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Melis Ural+0.2
3111-20W KYW KY×4KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.1
3211-21W KYW KY×4KillKendall Meller·
3312-21W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen·
3412-22LIBRTYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush·
3512-23W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Paige Overcash·
3613-23W KYLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen·
3713-24LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kennedy Cherry·
3814-24W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Charli Crowson·
3914-25LIBRTYW KYBlockedJenna Ottsblk Kate Rush, Eliza McKnight·
Set 2
11-0LIBRTYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.0
21-1LIBRTYW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.6
31-2W KYW KY×3KillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush+0.9
41-3W KYW KY×3KillIzzy Van De Wiele+0.8
52-3W KYLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+0.6
62-4LIBRTYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.6
73-4W KYLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+0.6
83-5LIBRTYW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.6
93-6W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Jenna Otts+0.8
103-7W KYW KY×4Bad setAlison Bierwagen+0.6
113-8W KYW KY×4Attack errLaney Daniell+0.5
124-8W KYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.3
135-8LIBRTYLIBRTYAceMolly Littlefieldaced Kaira Knox+0.6
145-9LIBRTYW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.4
155-10W KYW KY×4BlockedAddison Hartblk Faith Young, Kendall Meller+0.5
165-11W KYW KY×4KillFaith Young+0.4
175-12W KYW KY×4BlockedPaige Overcashblk Kate Rush, Faith Young+0.3
186-12W KYLIBRTY×4Attack errFaith Young+0.1
197-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+0.3
208-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×4BlockedFaith Youngblk Paige Overcash, Layla Collins+0.4
219-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.6
229-13LIBRTYW KY×6Serve errLiberty+0.5
239-14W KYW KY×6BlockedLayla Collinsblk Faith Young+0.5
249-15W KYW KY×6BlockedPaige Overcashblk Kate Rush, Faith Young+0.4
259-16W KYW KY×6BlockedAddison Hartblk Alivia Skidmore+0.2
269-17W KYW KY×6KillKate Rushset Tayler Baron+0.1
279-18W KYW KY×6KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.1
2810-18W KYLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen·
2910-19LIBRTYW KYAttack errCharli Morris·
3010-20W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Paige Overcash·
3111-20W KYLIBRTYServe errWestern Ky.·
3211-21LIBRTYW KYKillKate Rushset Tayler Baron·
3312-21W KYLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Addie Fielder·
3413-21LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errEliza McKnight·
3513-22LIBRTYW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush·
3613-23W KYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush·
3714-23W KYLIBRTY×4BlockedEliza McKnightblk Laney Daniell, Jenna Otts·
3815-23LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillJenna Otts·
3916-23LIBRTYLIBRTY×4BlockedKaira Knoxblk Laney Daniell, Jenna Otts·
4017-23LIBRTYLIBRTY×4BlockedEliza McKnightblk Laney Daniell, Jenna Otts·
4117-24LIBRTYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush·
4218-24W KYLIBRTYServe errWestern Ky.·
4318-25LIBRTYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush·
Set 3
10-1W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Melis Ural+0.4
20-2W KYW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.4
30-3W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Melis Ural+0.3
40-4W KYW KY×4KillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush+0.3
51-4W KYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Addie Fielder+0.2
62-4LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniell+0.3
73-4LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Melis Ural+0.4
83-5LIBRTYW KY×3Attack errCharli Morris+0.3
93-6W KYW KY×3Attack errLaney Daniell+0.4
103-7W KYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Izzy Van De Wiele+0.3
114-7W KYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Addie Fielder+0.2
125-7LIBRTYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Kayla O'Brien+0.3
135-8LIBRTYW KY×3KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+0.2
145-9W KYW KY×3KillKendall Mellerset Cali Foster+0.3
155-10W KYW KY×3Attack errAddison Hart+0.2
166-10W KYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+0.1
176-11LIBRTYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+0.2
187-11W KYLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.1
198-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Molly Littlefield+0.3
209-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillAddison Hartset Kate Rush+0.4
219-12LIBRTYW KYBad setLaney Daniell+0.3
2210-12W KYLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+0.3
2311-12LIBRTYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+0.5
2411-13LIBRTYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.4
2512-13W KYLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Addie Fielder+0.4
2612-14LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.4
2712-15W KYW KYBlockedCharli Morrisblk Alivia Skidmore, Izzy Van De Wiele+0.5
2813-15W KYLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Addie Fielder+0.3
2913-16LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.3
3014-16W KYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Addie Fielder+0.3
3114-17LIBRTYW KYServe errLiberty+0.3
3215-17W KYLIBRTY×6KillAddison Hartset Melis Ural+0.3
3316-17LIBRTYLIBRTY×6KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.6
3417-17LIBRTYLIBRTY×6AceMolly Littlefieldaced Tayler Baron+0.8
3518-17LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errKendall Meller+1.0
3619-17LIBRTYLIBRTY×6BlockedFaith Youngblk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash+1.1
3720-17LIBRTYLIBRTY×6Attack errKaira Knox+1.1
3820-18LIBRTYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.5
3920-19W KYW KY×3BlockedAddison Hartblk Faith Young, Kendall Meller+1.0
4020-20W KYW KY×3KillKate Rushset Faith Young+1.2
4121-20W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.9
4221-21LIBRTYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.8
4322-21W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.1
4422-22LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.9
4523-22W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Addie Fielder+1.3
4623-23LIBRTYW KYKillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry+1.1
4723-24W KYW KYBlockedJenna Ottsblk Kaira Knox+2.0
4824-24W KYLIBRTYBlockedKaira Knoxblk Jenna Otts, Layla Collins+1.3
4925-24LIBRTYLIBRTYAceMelis Uralaced Kennedy Cherry+2.3
5025-25LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.6
5126-25W KYLIBRTYServe errAlivia Skidmore+1.6
5226-26LIBRTYW KY×3Attack errJenna Otts+1.6
5326-27W KYW KY×3KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.0
5426-28W KYW KY×3BlockedLaney Daniellblk Kendall Meller, Faith Young+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).