FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Western Ky. def. Liberty 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Ky. 88.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Ky. beat visiting Liberty 3-0 (25-22, 25-15, 25-16) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Alivia Skidmore and Kaira Knox led Western Ky. with 11 kills each; Liberty's Paige Overcash had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
LIBRTY2215160
W KY2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.429 and 11 kills for Kaira Knox as Western Ky. rolled past Liberty.

Win probability never moved more than 2.4 points on one rally; Liberty topped out at 17% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Western Ky. 88% before first serve.

LibertyWestern Ky.
  • Break %+19.9 pts
    31.551.4

    Points won on own serve: 38 of 74 vs 17 of 54. Liberty sided out 48.6% of the time.

  • Hitting+.260
    .119.379

    45 K / 9 E against 35 K / 22 E.

  • Longest run+2
    57

    Western Ky. scored 7 straight in the third set to open the set 7–0. Final score of the set: 25–16.

Western Ky. above 50Liberty belowMax swing 2.4%

LibertyWestern Ky.

Aces
Liberty 3·Western Ky. 3
Serve err
Liberty 5·Western Ky. 6
Blocks
Liberty 5·Western Ky. 100 BS · 10 BA vs 3 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Liberty 34·Western Ky. 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Western Ky. above 50 · Liberty below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.4% LIBRTYrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Liberty — set 1, LIBRTY 14-12 W KY. Izzy Van De Wiele stuffed by Laney Daniell & Jenna Otts. W KY win probability 85% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIBRTY 10.5%89.5% W KY

Liberty wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.9%

Western Ky. wins

3-0
43.6%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%
LIBRTY break %
35.9% vs this opp
W KY break %
45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Izzy Van De Wiele stuffed by Laney Daniell & Jenna Otts

    Set 1 · LIBRTY 14-12 W KY · LIBRTY 15% → 17%

  2. 02
    Kaira KnoxKill+2.3%

    Kill by Kaira Knox (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 1 · LIBRTY 22-24 W KY · W KY 90% → 93%

  3. 03
    Addison HartKill+2.2%

    Kill by Addison Hart (set by Alison Bierwagen)

    Set 1 · LIBRTY 21-22 W KY · LIBRTY 8% → 10%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kendall Meller (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 1 · LIBRTY 14-14 W KY · W KY 84% → 86%

  5. 05
    Laney DaniellKill+2.1%

    Kill by Laney Daniell (set by Alison Bierwagen)

    Set 1 · LIBRTY 13-12 W KY · LIBRTY 13% → 15%

  6. 06
    Kaira KnoxKill+2.0%

    Kill by Kaira Knox (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 1 · LIBRTY 21-23 W KY · W KY 90% → 92%

  7. 07
    Laney DaniellAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Laney Daniell

    Set 1 · LIBRTY 14-15 W KY · W KY 86% → 88%

  8. 08
    Addison HartAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Addison Hart

    Set 1 · LIBRTY 14-16 W KY · W KY 88% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317336.38910251010.517.5
36423.087000300217
32516-.188110100425
3102.500712200002
3147-.42900001010.51.5
2135-.400000200212
35215.200000400005
31011.00016011100001
3000–210110001
3000–500100000
2114.000000100001
2000–000200000
1000–000100000
Team totals3522109.1193235343010553
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311124.4170014012213
311221.42920161031.512.5
36110.50010230010.56.5
35010.5003311400006
3226.000200301646
3000–400200000
39322.2730003012211
3000–2211210002
31011.000000100001
3000–000300000
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals45995.37944364133141075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Liberty vs Western Ky.

Season series · Western Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LIBRTY · W KY 7

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 LIBRTYW KY 5

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 LIBRTYW KY 6

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 5 LIBRTYW KY 7

Bars above the line = Western Ky. leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Liberty

SlotSideout %Break %
1
31%4/13
43%3/7
2
33%4/12
0%0/4
3
36%4/11
20%1/5
4
75%3/4
20%1/5
5
75%3/4
57%4/7
6
60%3/5
25%1/4
All
43%21/49
31%10/32

Western Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
67%8/12
2
80%4/5
50%4/8
3
100%4/4
73%11/15
4
38%3/8
50%3/6
5
100%3/3
0%0/3
6
50%3/6
40%2/5
All
69%22/32
57%28/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#LIBRTY-W KYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W KYW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Izzy Van De Wiele+1.2
20-2W KYW KY×3Attack errLayla Collins+1.0
30-3W KYW KY×3Attack errJenna Otts+0.9
41-3W KYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.6
51-4LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.6
62-4W KYLIBRTYServe errAlivia Skidmore+0.6
72-5LIBRTYW KYAttack errJenna Otts+0.6
83-5W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.6
93-6LIBRTYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.6
103-7W KYW KYAttack errLaney Daniell+0.8
114-7W KYLIBRTY×5KillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+0.5
125-7LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillAddison Hartset Laney Daniell+1.0
136-7LIBRTYLIBRTY×5AceLaney Daniell+1.2
147-7LIBRTYLIBRTY×5BlockedKaira Knoxblk Paige Overcash, Layla Collins+1.5
158-7LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
168-8LIBRTYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.1
179-8W KYLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+1.2
189-9LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.1
1910-9W KYLIBRTYServe errFaith Young+1.3
2010-10W KY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
2110-11W KYW KYAceKate Rushaced Layla Collins+1.7
2211-11W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcash+1.2
2311-12LIBRTYW KYKillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush+1.1
2412-12W KYLIBRTY×3Attack errIzzy Van De Wiele+1.3
2513-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.1
2614-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedIzzy Van De Wieleblk Laney Daniell, Jenna Otts+2.4
2714-13LIBRTYW KY×5KillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+1.4
2814-14W KYW KY×5KillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+2.1
2914-15W KYW KY×5Attack errLaney Daniell+2.0
3014-16W KYW KY×5Attack errAddison Hart+1.8
3114-17W KYW KY×5BlockedJenna Ottsblk Kendall Meller+1.4
3215-17W KYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+0.9
3315-18LIBRTYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+1.0
3416-18W KYLIBRTYKillAlison Bierwagenset Paige Overcash+0.9
3516-19LIBRTYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.0
3617-19W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Molly Littlefield+0.9
3717-20LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.1
3818-20W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Charli Crowson+0.9
3918-21LIBRTYW KYKillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry+1.1
4019-21W KYLIBRTYKillKeira Rosenmarkleset Charli Crowson+0.9
4119-22LIBRTYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.2
4220-22W KYLIBRTYBlockedKendall Mellerblk Laney Daniell, Keira Rosenmarkle+0.8
4321-22LIBRTYLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+2.2
4421-23LIBRTYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.0
4522-23W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.5
4622-24LIBRTYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.3
4722-25W KYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kaira Knox+1.6
Set 2
11-0LIBRTYLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.0
21-1LIBRTYW KYBlockedKeira Rosenmarkleblk Alivia Skidmore, Izzy Van De Wiele+0.6
31-2W KYW KYAttack errKeira Rosenmarkle+0.8
42-2W KYLIBRTYAttack errKaira Knox+0.6
52-3LIBRTYW KY×6KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.6
62-4W KYW KY×6KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.8
72-5W KYW KY×6KillKaira Knoxset Izzy Van De Wiele+0.7
82-6W KYW KY×6BlockedLaney Daniellblk Izzy Van De Wiele, Kendall Meller+0.6
92-7W KYW KY×6BlockedJenna Ottsblk Izzy Van De Wiele, Kaira Knox+0.4
102-8W KYW KY×6KillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+0.3
113-8W KYLIBRTYBlockedKendall Mellerblk Laney Daniell, Keira Rosenmarkle+0.2
123-9LIBRTYW KY×3KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+0.2
133-10W KYW KY×3KillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush+0.2
143-11W KYW KY×3KillFaith Young+0.2
154-11W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.1
165-11LIBRTYLIBRTYAceMolly Littlefieldaced Tayler Baron+0.2
175-12LIBRTYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.2
186-12W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+0.1
196-13LIBRTYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Faith Young+0.2
207-13W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.1
217-14LIBRTYW KYKillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry+0.2
227-15W KYW KYAttack errPaige Overcash+0.1
238-15W KYLIBRTYServe errFaith Young+0.1
248-16LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.1
258-17W KYW KYBlockedKeira Rosenmarkleblk Alivia Skidmore+0.1
269-17W KYLIBRTYServe errKate Rush·
279-18LIBRTYW KYKillIzzy Van De Wieleset Kate Rush·
289-19W KYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush·
2910-19W KYLIBRTYAttack errKendall Meller·
3010-20LIBRTYW KYServe errLiberty·
3111-20W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen·
3211-21LIBRTYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush·
3312-21W KYLIBRTYServe errKaira Knox·
3412-22LIBRTYW KYKillKate Rushset Tayler Baron·
3512-23W KYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush·
3613-23W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen·
3714-23LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errAlivia Skidmore·
3814-24LIBRTYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush·
3915-24W KYLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alivia Skidmore·
4015-25LIBRTYW KYServe errLiberty·
Set 3
10-1W KYW KY×7BlockedPaige Overcashblk Kaira Knox, Izzy Van De Wiele+0.4
20-2W KYW KY×7KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.3
30-3W KYW KY×7BlockedLaney Daniellblk Izzy Van De Wiele+0.3
40-4W KYW KY×7KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.2
50-5W KYW KY×7KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.2
60-6W KYW KY×7KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kaira Knox+0.2
70-7W KYW KY×7BlockedAddison Hartblk Alivia Skidmore, Izzy Van De Wiele+0.1
81-7W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.1
91-8LIBRTYW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kennedy Cherry+0.1
101-9W KYW KY×3Attack errLayla Collins+0.1
111-10W KYW KY×3BlockedLayla Collinsblk Kendall Meller, Izzy Van De Wiele+0.1
122-10W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen·
133-10LIBRTYLIBRTYAceCharli Crowsonaced Kaira Knox+0.1
143-11LIBRTYW KY×6Serve errCharli Crowson+0.1
153-12W KYW KY×6BlockedPaige Overcashblk Faith Young, Kaira Knox·
163-13W KYW KY×6Attack errCharli Morris·
173-14W KYW KY×6AceTayler Baronaced Molly Littlefield·
183-15W KYW KY×6KillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush·
193-16W KYW KY×6AceTayler Baronaced Paige Overcash·
204-16W KYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Charli Crowson·
214-17LIBRTYW KYKillKendall Mellerset Kate Rush·
224-18W KYW KYAttack errLayla Collins·
235-18W KYLIBRTY×5KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson·
246-18LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillCharli Morrisset Melis Ural·
257-18LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillJenna Ottsset Melis Ural·
268-18LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush·
279-18LIBRTYLIBRTY×5BlockedFaith Youngblk Laney Daniell, Jenna Otts·
289-19LIBRTYW KYKillKate Rushset Tayler Baron·
2910-19W KYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson·
3010-20LIBRTYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush·
3110-21W KYW KYAttack errLaney Daniell·
3211-21W KYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen·
3312-21LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Molly Littlefield·
3413-21LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural·
3513-22LIBRTYW KYKillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry·
3614-22W KYLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen·
3714-23LIBRTYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush·
3815-23W KYLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen·
3915-24LIBRTYW KYServe errLiberty·
4016-24W KYLIBRTYServe errTayler Baron·
4116-25LIBRTYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush·

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).