Valparaiso vs Bradley Volleyball: Valparaiso Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Bradley 70.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Valparaiso won at Bradley 3-0 (25-19, 25-18, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Ava Helming led Valparaiso with 10 kills; Bradley's Gracie Furlong had a match-high 11.

Data through Nov 3, 9:55 PM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	Sets
VALPO	25	25	25	3
BRAD	19	18	22	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Valparaiso took it, mostly on serve.

The match turned twice; each line shows Valparaiso's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ had Bradley at 71% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Valparaiso 11–10 Bradley
Valparaiso scored 5 straight to stretch an 11–10 lead to 16–10.
Valparaiso 56% → 72%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Valparaiso 9–11 Bradley
Down 9–11, Valparaiso scored 7 straight to lead 16–11.
Valparaiso 73% → 94%

Bradley above 50Valparaiso belowMax swing 6.1%

ValparaisoBradley

Sideout %: Valparaiso 68.3·Bradley 54.1
Break %: Valparaiso 45.9·Bradley 31.7
Hitting: Valparaiso .208·Bradley .122
Longest run: Valparaiso 7·Bradley 3

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bradley above 50 · Valparaiso below

Biggest swing: 6.1% to Valparaiso — set 3, VALPO 24-22 BRAD. Bradley service error. BRAD win probability 11% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

VALPO 33.2%66.8% BRAD

Valparaiso wins

3-0

6.6%

3-1

11.8%

3-2

14.8%

Bradley wins

3-0

21.2%

3-1

25.6%

3-2

20.0%

VALPO break %: 41.0% vs this opp
BRAD break %: 44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
BradleyService error+6.1%
Bradley service error
Set 3 · VALPO 24-22 BRAD · VALPO 89% → 95%
02
Ava HelmingAce+4.9%
Ace by Ava Helming on Eirini Bitsaktsi
Set 3 · VALPO 25-22 BRAD · VALPO 95% → 100%
03
Cherlin Antonio&Mairen MannonBlock+4.9%
Ava Helming stuffed by Cherlin Antonio & Mairen Mannon
Set 3 · VALPO 23-22 BRAD · BRAD 6% → 11%
04
Gracie FurlongAttack error+3.9%
Attack error by Gracie Furlong
Set 2 · VALPO 13-10 BRAD · VALPO 59% → 63%
05
Ava PatchettAttack error+3.7%
Attack error by Ava Patchett
Set 2 · VALPO 14-10 BRAD · VALPO 63% → 66%
06
Sarah PippinAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Sarah Pippin
Set 2 · VALPO 11-10 BRAD · BRAD 41% → 44%
07
Olivia WagnerAce+3.4%
Ace by Olivia Wagner on Eirini Bitsaktsi
Set 3 · VALPO 13-11 BRAD · VALPO 81% → 85%
08
Maria DrappBad set+3.4%
Bad set by Maria Drapp
Set 2 · VALPO 8-5 BRAD · VALPO 57% → 61%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Valparaisoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BA	BLK	PTS
10Ava HelmingOH	3	10	4	30	.200	1	1	1	15	1	0.5	11.5
27Jessica PickettMB	3	8	2	22	.273	0	0	0	1	5	2.5	10.5
21Sarah PippinOH	3	8	2	18	.333	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
4Jordyn GoveOH	3	7	5	30	.067	1	0	0	10	2	1	8
11Maggie UhwatOH	3	2	3	12	-.083	1	0	1	4	1	0.5	2.5
2Olivia WagnerS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	2	0	3	0	0	2
9Kyla BellichMB	3	6	0	7	.857	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
6Mia McCallS	3	0	0	0	–	16	0	0	3	1	0.5	0.5
14Keira LucasOH	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	4	0	0	0
1Rylee BumgardnerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0
31Mia LibertiDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Team totals		41	16	120	.208	36	3	2	46	16	8	75

Bradleyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Gracie FurlongOH	3	11	9	34	.059	1	0	9	0	0	0	0	11
4Mairen MannonMB	3	7	3	17	.235	0	0	2	0	1	5	3.5	10.5
16Ella NiglOH	3	7	6	24	.042	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	8
25Dakota ElliottMB	3	7	0	11	.636	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
23Cherlin AntonioOH	3	5	6	30	-.033	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	7
12Maria DrappS	3	3	0	6	.500	29	0	10	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
9Ava PatchettL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
7Eirini BitsaktsiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	12	3	0	0	0	0
6Megan DePoorterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	9	0	0	0	0	0
1Hayden BoothS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	25	123	.122	38	3	53	3	1	14	8	59

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 VALPO · BRAD 3

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 VALPOBRAD 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 VALPOBRAD 2

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 7 VALPOBRAD 3

Bars above the line = Bradley leads, below = Valparaiso leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Valparaiso

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	46%6/13
2	73%8/11	43%6/14
3	64%7/11	13%1/8
4	67%6/9	57%8/14
5	67%6/9	50%6/12
6	67%6/9	54%7/13
All	68%41/60	46%34/74

Bradley

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	30%3/10
2	62%8/13	33%4/12
3	55%6/11	27%3/11
4	43%6/14	33%3/9
5	67%6/9	45%5/11
6	50%6/12	14%1/7
All	54%40/74	32%19/60

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#	VALPO-BRAD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Ella Nigl		+2.2
2	1-1	VALPO	BRAD	Serve err	Valparaiso		+1.6
3	2-1	BRAD	VALPO×4	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
4	3-1	VALPO	VALPO×4	Blocked	Cherlin Antonio	blk Jessica Pickett, Sarah Pippin	+2.4
5	4-1	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Jessica Pickett		+2.4
6	5-1	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.4
7	5-2	VALPO	BRAD	Blocked	Jessica Pickett	blk Mairen Mannon, Cherlin Antonio	+1.6
8	6-2	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
9	6-3	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.6
10	6-4	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Dakota Elliott	set Maria Drapp	+2.3
11	7-4	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Mia McCall	+2.0
12	7-5	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Dakota Elliott	set Maria Drapp	+1.7
13	8-5	BRAD	VALPO×3	Kill	Kyla Bellich	set Mia McCall	+2.0
14	9-5	VALPO	VALPO×3	Attack err	Ella Nigl		+2.6
15	10-5	VALPO	VALPO×3	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+2.4
16	10-6	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Ella Nigl	set Maria Drapp	+1.5
17	11-6	BRAD	VALPO	Attack err	Cherlin Antonio		+1.8
18	11-7	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Ella Nigl	set Maria Drapp	+1.5
19	12-7	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.9
20	12-8	VALPO	BRAD	Blocked	Maggie Uhwat	blk Mairen Mannon, Cherlin Antonio	+1.5
21	13-8	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+1.9
22	14-8	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Cherlin Antonio		+2.1
23	14-9	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+1.2
24	15-9	BRAD	VALPO	Serve err	Bradley		+1.6
25	16-9	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Mia McCall	+1.6
26	16-10	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+0.8
27	17-10	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Mia McCall	+1.2
28	18-10	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Ava Patchett	+1.1
29	18-11	VALPO	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Megan DePoorter	+0.4
30	18-12	BRAD	BRAD×3	Attack err	Ava Helming		+0.9
31	18-13	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Gracie Furlong	+1.3
32	19-13	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Sarah Pippin	set Mia McCall	+1.4
33	19-14	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+0.9
34	20-14	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mia McCall	+1.4
35	20-15	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Ella Nigl	set Maria Drapp	+0.8
36	20-16	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+1.5
37	21-16	BRAD	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Keira Lucas	+1.8
38	22-16	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Jessica Pickett		+1.5
39	23-16	VALPO	VALPO×3	Attack err	Ella Nigl		+0.7
40	23-17	VALPO	BRAD	Attack err	Jordyn Gove		+0.2
41	23-18	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+0.4
42	24-18	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+0.6
43	24-19	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+0.1
44	25-19	BRAD	VALPO	Blocked	Mairen Mannon	blk Jessica Pickett, Jordyn Gove	+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.2
2	2-0	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Cherlin Antonio		+3.0
3	2-1	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Ella Nigl	set Maria Drapp	+2.1
4	3-1	BRAD	VALPO	Blocked	Mairen Mannon	blk Jessica Pickett, Jordyn Gove	+2.3
5	3-2	VALPO	BRAD	Attack err	Ava Helming		+2.1
6	4-2	BRAD	VALPO	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+2.4
7	4-3	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+2.2
8	5-3	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Keira Lucas	+2.4
9	6-3	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Kyla Bellich	set Mia McCall	+3.3
10	6-4	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+2.2
11	6-5	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Dakota Elliott	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+3.1
12	7-5	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Sarah Pippin	set Ava Helming	+2.6
13	8-5	VALPO	VALPO	Bad set	Maria Drapp		+3.4
14	8-6	VALPO	BRAD	Attack err	Maggie Uhwat		+2.3
15	9-6	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Mia McCall	+2.6
16	9-7	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+2.3
17	10-7	BRAD	VALPO	Serve err	Bradley		+2.7
18	10-8	VALPO	BRAD	Attack err	Cherlin Antonio		+2.4
19	11-8	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Maggie Uhwat	+2.8
20	11-9	VALPO	BRAD	Serve err	Valparaiso		+2.4
21	11-10	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Sarah Pippin		+3.6
22	12-10	BRAD	VALPO×5	Kill	Sarah Pippin	set Olivia Wagner	+3.0
23	13-10	VALPO	VALPO×5	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+3.9
24	14-10	VALPO	VALPO×5	Attack err	Ava Patchett		+3.7
25	15-10	VALPO	VALPO×5	Bad set	Eirini Bitsaktsi		+3.3
26	16-10	VALPO	VALPO×5	Kill	Kyla Bellich	set Mia McCall	+2.7
27	16-11	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+1.4
28	17-11	BRAD	VALPO×4	Blocked	Gracie Furlong	blk Kyla Bellich, Sarah Pippin	+2.0
29	18-11	VALPO	VALPO×4	Blocked	Gracie Furlong	blk Kyla Bellich, Ava Helming	+1.9
30	19-11	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Kyla Bellich	set Mia McCall	+1.2
31	20-11	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Sarah Pippin	set Jordyn Gove	+0.7
32	20-12	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Dakota Elliott	set Maria Drapp	+0.2
33	20-13	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Sarah Pippin		+0.5
34	21-13	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Sarah Pippin	set Mia McCall	+0.7
35	21-14	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+0.3
36	22-14	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Mia McCall	+0.5
37	22-15	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Ella Nigl	set Maria Drapp	+0.2
38	23-15	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+0.4
39	23-16	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Ella Nigl	set Maria Drapp	+0.1
40	23-17	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Jessica Pickett		+0.3
41	24-17	BRAD	VALPO	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+0.4
42	24-18	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+0.1
43	25-18	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Mairen Mannon		+2.4
2	2-0	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Cherlin Antonio		+2.5
3	2-1	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
4	2-2	BRAD	BRAD	Blocked	Jordyn Gove	blk Mairen Mannon, Maria Drapp	+2.4
5	3-2	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+1.9
6	3-3	VALPO	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.8
7	3-4	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Megan DePoorter	+2.4
8	3-5	BRAD	BRAD×3	Attack err	Jordyn Gove		+2.3
9	4-5	BRAD	VALPO	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+1.7
10	4-6	VALPO	BRAD×3	Kill	Dakota Elliott	set Maria Drapp	+1.7
11	4-7	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Dakota Elliott	set Maria Drapp	+2.1
12	4-8	BRAD	BRAD×3	Blocked	Jordyn Gove	blk Dakota Elliott, Ella Nigl	+1.9
13	5-8	BRAD	VALPO×4	Kill	Kyla Bellich	set Mia McCall	+1.3
14	6-8	VALPO	VALPO×4	Blocked	Ella Nigl	blk Mia McCall, Kyla Bellich	+2.0
15	7-8	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Sarah Pippin	set Mia McCall	+2.4
16	8-8	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+2.7
17	8-9	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Dakota Elliott	set Maria Drapp	+2.0
18	8-10	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+2.6
19	9-10	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Sarah Pippin	set Mia McCall	+1.9
20	9-11	VALPO	BRAD	Blocked	Maggie Uhwat	blk Dakota Elliott, Ella Nigl	+2.0
21	10-11	BRAD	VALPO×7	Attack err	Ella Nigl		+2.0
22	11-11	VALPO	VALPO×7	Attack err	Cherlin Antonio		+3.0
23	12-11	VALPO	VALPO×7	Ace	Olivia Wagner	aced Eirini Bitsaktsi	+3.3
24	13-11	VALPO	VALPO×7	Ace	Olivia Wagner	aced Eirini Bitsaktsi	+3.4
25	14-11	VALPO	VALPO×7	Blocked	Ella Nigl	blk Jessica Pickett, Maggie Uhwat	+3.4
26	15-11	VALPO	VALPO×7	Serve err	Valparaiso		+3.1
27	16-11	VALPO	VALPO×7	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.7
28	16-12	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+1.5
29	17-12	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.1
30	17-13	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+1.5
31	17-14	BRAD	BRAD	Blocked	Jordyn Gove	blk Mairen Mannon	+2.5
32	18-14	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+2.5
33	19-14	VALPO	VALPO	Blocked	Gracie Furlong	blk Sarah Pippin, Jessica Pickett	+2.7
34	19-15	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+1.3
35	20-15	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Sarah Pippin	set Olivia Wagner	+2.0
36	20-16	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.2
37	21-16	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Mia McCall	+1.9
38	21-17	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+1.1
39	22-17	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Keira Lucas	+1.8
40	22-18	VALPO	BRAD	Kill	Ella Nigl	set Maria Drapp	+0.9
41	22-19	BRAD	BRAD	Blocked	Ava Helming	blk Cherlin Antonio, Mairen Mannon	+2.0
42	23-19	BRAD	VALPO	Kill	Kyla Bellich	set Mia McCall	+2.6
43	23-20	VALPO	BRAD×3	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+1.2
44	23-21	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Ava Patchett	+2.8
45	23-22	BRAD	BRAD×3	Blocked	Ava Helming	blk Cherlin Antonio, Mairen Mannon	+4.9
46	24-22	BRAD	VALPO	Serve err	Bradley		+6.1
47	25-22	VALPO	VALPO	Ace	Ava Helming	aced Eirini Bitsaktsi	+4.9

Score shown after each rally, Valparaiso first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Valparaiso def. Bradley 3–0

Valparaiso took it, mostly on serve.