UT Martin vs Western Ill. Volleyball: UT Martin Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Ill. 53.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UT Martin won at Western Ill. 3-0 (25-21, 25-18, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. UT Martin's Maddy Gladson led with 15 kills, and Dylan Sulcer added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 3:40 AM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UT MAR	25	25	25	3
W ILL	21	18	17	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Maddy Gladson needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. UT Martin swept Western Ill.

No single rally moved win probability more than 6.4 points. Western Ill. peaked at 58% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, Western Ill. was RallyIQ's 54% pick.

UT MartinWestern Ill.

Break %+17.5 pts
47.329.8
Points won on own serve: 35 of 74 vs 17 of 57. Western Ill. sided out 52.7% of the time.
Hitting+.138
.342.204
49 kills, 11 errors vs 34 kills, 13 errors.
Longest run+4
73
UT Martin scored 7 straight in the second set to go from 5–5 to a 12–5 lead. The set finished 25–18.

Western Ill. above 50UT Martin belowMax swing 6.4%

UT MartinWestern Ill.

Aces: UT Martin 7·Western Ill. 5
Serve err: UT Martin 5·Western Ill. 4
Blocks: UT Martin 6·Western Ill. 33 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs: UT Martin 51·Western Ill. 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Western Ill. above 50 · UT Martin below

Biggest swing: 6.4% to UT Martin — set 1, UT MAR 22-21 W ILL. Ace by Rylee Key. W ILL win probability 54% → 47%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UT MAR 59.2%40.8% W ILL

UT Martin wins

3-0

16.8%

3-1

22.6%

3-2

19.8%

Western Ill. wins

3-0

9.0%

3-1

14.9%

3-2

16.9%

UT MAR break %: 45.0% vs this opp
W ILL break %: 43.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Rylee KeyAce+6.4%
Ace by Rylee Key
Set 1 · UT MAR 22-21 W ILL · UT MAR 46% → 53%
02
Kennedy AdairBad set+6.4%
Bad set by Kennedy Adair
Set 1 · UT MAR 23-21 W ILL · UT MAR 53% → 59%
03
Maddy GladsonKill+4.8%
Kill by Maddy Gladson (set by Rylee Key)
Set 1 · UT MAR 24-21 W ILL · UT MAR 59% → 64%
04
Kennedy AdairKill+4.5%
Kill by Kennedy Adair (set by Jaleah Bauss)
Set 1 · UT MAR 20-21 W ILL · W ILL 54% → 58%
05
Rylee KeyKill+4.5%
Kill by Rylee Key (set by Dylan Sulcer)
Set 1 · UT MAR 21-21 W ILL · UT MAR 42% → 46%
06
Ashlee MarkertKill+4.3%
Kill by Ashlee Markert (set by Madelyn Norton)
Set 1 · UT MAR 17-18 W ILL · W ILL 53% → 57%
07
Ashlee MarkertKill+4.1%
Kill by Ashlee Markert (set by Jaleah Bauss)
Set 1 · UT MAR 19-20 W ILL · W ILL 54% → 58%
08
Luli ArcucciKill+4.1%
Kill by Luli Arcucci (set by Dylan Sulcer)
Set 1 · UT MAR 20-20 W ILL · UT MAR 42% → 46%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UT Martinaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Maddy GladsonOPP	3	15	3	31	.387	0	2	0	9	0	0	0	0	17
9Rylee KeyMB	3	10	2	18	.444	2	1	2	4	0	2	0	2	13
22Carly MuellerMB	3	8	0	17	.471	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
15Luli ArcucciMB	3	10	3	26	.269	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	10
10Sophie DioufMB	3	4	2	14	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
7Dylan SulcerL/DS	3	2	0	4	.500	35	1	2	13	0	0	2	1	4
3Lauren MariscalL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	1	2	0	9	0	0	0	0	2
6Abby FreundL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	12	0	0	0	0	1
8Reagan HammS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Riley RushingOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	11	111	.342	42	7	5	51	5	3	6	6	75

Western Ill.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Ashlee MarkertOH	3	13	1	26	.462	1	1	2	7	3	2	1	15
9Hillary EstesMB	3	3	1	9	.222	0	3	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
12Kennedy AdairOH	3	7	6	33	.030	1	0	0	8	0	0	0	7
1Georgia HaynesOH	3	4	1	14	.214	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	4.5
15Jaleah BaussS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	6	0	0	0	0
10Maria Eduarda Pereira TonellaMB	2	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
17Emilia KouriOH	3	3	3	9	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
5Grace UlatowskiOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
4Karlie LaneL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	5	2	0	0	0
14Alysia PerezS	2	1	0	2	.500	7	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
6Madelyn NortonS	2	0	0	0	–	8	1	0	3	0	0	0	1
16Melaina HawblitzelOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
3Audrey PenderOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		34	13	103	.204	31	5	4	42	7	6	3	56

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UT Martin vs Western Ill.

Season series · UT Martin leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026UT Martin at Western Ill. · UT Martin won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 17, 2026UT Martin at Western Ill. · UT Martin won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UT MAR · W ILL 3

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 UT MARW ILL 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 7 UT MARW ILL 3

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 UT MARW ILL 2

Bars above the line = Western Ill. leads, below = UT Martin leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UT Martin

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	36%4/11
2	53%8/15	20%2/10
3	67%6/9	60%9/15
4	100%6/6	50%6/12
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	67%6/9	63%10/16
All	70%40/57	47%35/74

Western Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	30%3/10
2	78%7/9	38%5/13
3	38%6/16	36%4/11
4	43%6/14	33%3/9
5	46%6/13	0%0/6
6	55%6/11	25%2/8
All	53%39/74	30%17/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	UT MAR-W ILL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UT MAR	W ILL	Serve err	UT Martin		+1.9
2	1-1	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.9
3	1-2	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.0
4	1-3	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	Western Ill.	aced Luli Arcucci	+2.4
5	2-3	W ILL	UT MAR×5	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.9
6	3-3	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Luli Arcucci	+2.5
7	4-3	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+2.5
8	5-3	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Kill	Carly Mueller		+2.6
9	6-3	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.5
10	6-4	UT MAR	W ILL×3	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.9
11	6-5	W ILL	W ILL×3	Ace	Western Ill.		+2.5
12	6-6	W ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Ashlee Markert	+2.7
13	7-6	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.2
14	8-6	UT MAR	UT MAR	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Dylan Sulcer, Carly Mueller	+2.8
15	8-7	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+2.2
16	9-7	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.3
17	9-8	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+2.2
18	10-8	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.4
19	11-8	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.8
20	11-9	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+2.1
21	12-9	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.4
22	12-10	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.1
23	13-10	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.4
24	13-11	UT MAR	W ILL×3	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.2
25	13-12	W ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+3.0
26	13-13	W ILL	W ILL×3	Ace	Western Ill.		+3.3
27	14-13	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.9
28	15-13	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Rylee Key	+3.5
29	15-14	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.7
30	15-15	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella		+3.6
31	16-15	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+3.1
32	16-16	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+3.1
33	17-16	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+3.3
34	17-17	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+3.3
35	17-18	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+4.3
36	18-18	W ILL	UT MAR	Bad set	Madelyn Norton		+3.5
37	18-19	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+3.8
38	19-19	W ILL	UT MAR	Serve err	Western Ill.		+3.7
39	19-20	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+4.1
40	20-20	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+4.1
41	20-21	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+4.5
42	21-21	W ILL	UT MAR×5	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+4.5
43	22-21	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Ace	Rylee Key		+6.4
44	23-21	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Bad set	Kennedy Adair		+6.4
45	24-21	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Rylee Key	+4.8
46	25-21	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Carly Mueller	+2.1
Set 2
1	0-1	W ILL	W ILL	Blocked	Luli Arcucci	blk Hillary Estes, Georgia Haynes	+2.4
2	1-1	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.0
3	1-2	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.0
4	2-2	W ILL	UT MAR	Serve err	Western Ill.		+2.0
5	2-3	UT MAR	W ILL	Serve err	UT Martin		+2.1
6	3-3	W ILL	UT MAR	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Sophie Diouf, Carly Mueller	+2.1
7	4-3	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.6
8	4-4	UT MAR	W ILL	Serve err	UT Martin		+2.1
9	5-4	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.2
10	5-5	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+2.2
11	6-5	W ILL	UT MAR×7	Kill	Dylan Sulcer		+2.3
12	7-5	UT MAR	UT MAR×7	Ace	Lauren Mariscal	aced Ashlee Markert	+2.8
13	8-5	UT MAR	UT MAR×7	Blocked	Emilia Kouri	blk Rylee Key	+2.7
14	9-5	UT MAR	UT MAR×7	Attack err	Emilia Kouri		+2.5
15	10-5	UT MAR	UT MAR×7	Blocked	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	blk Rylee Key	+2.3
16	11-5	UT MAR	UT MAR×7	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.0
17	12-5	UT MAR	UT MAR×7	Ace	Lauren Mariscal	aced Karlie Lane	+1.6
18	12-6	UT MAR	W ILL	Serve err	UT Martin		+1.0
19	12-7	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Luli Arcucci		+1.6
20	13-7	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.6
21	13-8	UT MAR	W ILL	Blocked	Sophie Diouf	blk Ashlee Markert, Hillary Estes	+1.3
22	14-8	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.6
23	14-9	UT MAR	W ILL	Blocked	Maddy Gladson	blk Hillary Estes, Ashlee Markert	+1.2
24	14-10	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Rylee Key		+1.9
25	15-10	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.0
26	15-11	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.6
27	16-11	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.0
28	16-12	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Kennedy Adair	+1.5
29	17-12	W ILL	UT MAR×4	Serve err	Alysia Perez		+2.0
30	18-12	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Carly Mueller, Dylan Sulcer	+1.9
31	19-12	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Ace	Maddy Gladson	aced Karlie Lane	+1.3
32	20-12	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.8
33	20-13	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Alysia Perez	+0.3
34	21-13	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Abby Freund	+0.5
35	21-14	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Alysia Perez	+0.3
36	22-14	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.4
37	23-14	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.2
38	23-15	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Alysia Perez	·
39	24-15	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.1
40	24-16	UT MAR	W ILL×3	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	·
41	24-17	W ILL	W ILL×3	Attack err	Rylee Key		·
42	24-18	W ILL	W ILL×3	Attack err	Maddy Gladson		+0.1
43	25-18	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	UT MAR	W ILL	Serve err	UT Martin		+1.4
2	0-2	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	Ashlee Markert		+1.7
3	1-2	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.3
4	1-3	UT MAR	W ILL	Attack err	Lauren Mariscal		+1.4
5	2-3	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.3
6	2-4	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Audrey Pender	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.4
7	3-4	W ILL	UT MAR×3	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.4
8	4-4	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.8
9	5-4	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Emilia Kouri		+1.8
10	5-5	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Alysia Perez		+1.5
11	6-5	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Dylan Sulcer		+1.5
12	6-6	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Alysia Perez	+1.5
13	7-6	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.6
14	7-7	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Ashlee Markert	+1.6
15	7-8	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Karlie Lane	+2.0
16	8-8	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.6
17	8-9	UT MAR	W ILL	Attack err	Sophie Diouf		+1.7
18	8-10	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Karlie Lane	+2.0
19	9-10	W ILL	UT MAR×3	Serve err	Ashlee Markert		+1.6
20	10-10	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Georgia Haynes		+2.1
21	11-10	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.2
22	11-11	UT MAR	W ILL	Attack err	Maddy Gladson		+1.8
23	11-12	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	Hillary Estes		+2.3
24	12-12	W ILL	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.8
25	12-13	UT MAR	W ILL	Serve err	UT Martin		+1.9
26	13-13	W ILL	UT MAR×3	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.9
27	14-13	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Ace	Abby Freund	aced Ashlee Markert	+2.5
28	15-13	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Abby Freund	+2.5
29	15-14	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Alysia Perez	+1.9
30	16-14	W ILL	UT MAR	Attack err	Ashlee Markert		+2.1
31	17-14	UT MAR	UT MAR	Ace	Maddy Gladson		+2.4
32	17-15	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Alysia Perez	+1.7
33	18-15	W ILL	UT MAR×4	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.1
34	19-15	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Dylan Sulcer	+2.2
35	20-15	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Attack err	Hillary Estes		+1.6
36	21-15	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+1.1
37	21-16	UT MAR	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Alysia Perez	+0.5
38	21-17	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Luli Arcucci		+1.0
39	22-17	W ILL	UT MAR×4	Kill	Rylee Key	set Dylan Sulcer	+1.2
40	23-17	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Sophie Diouf	+0.8
41	24-17	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Ace	Dylan Sulcer	aced Ashlee Markert	+0.3
42	25-17	UT MAR	UT MAR×4	Kill	Luli Arcucci	set Lauren Mariscal	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, UT Martin first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

UT Martin def. Western Ill. 3–0

Maddy Gladson needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. UT Martin swept Western Ill.