Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Saint Louis def. Fordham 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Saint Louis 58.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Saint Louis won at Fordham 3-2 (25-21, 17-25, 25-13, 21-25, 15-5) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Kayla Jansen led Saint Louis with 12 kills; Fordham's Johanna Franzen had a match-high 13.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set12345Sets
ST LOU25172521153
FORDHM2125132552

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Jetta Brenning served 4 aces, and Saint Louis needed every one.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Saint Louis's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Saint Louis at 58%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Saint Louis 21–21 Fordham

    Saint Louis won 4 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–21 and lead 1–0.

    Saint Louis 58% → 75%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Saint Louis 0–1 Fordham

    Down 0–1, Saint Louis scored 5 straight to lead 5–1. The match swung to Saint Louis.

    Saint Louis 46% → 84%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Saint Louis 5–2 Fordham

    4 straight Saint Louis points stretched a 5–2 lead to 9–2.

    Saint Louis 80% → 97%

Fordham above 50Saint Louis belowMax swing 8.7%

Saint LouisFordham

Sideout %
Saint Louis 61.8·Fordham 53.4
Break %
Saint Louis 46.6·Fordham 38.2
Hitting
Saint Louis .226·Fordham .163
Longest run
Saint Louis 5·Fordham 7

Tamia Maddox
9 kills on .152, 12 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fordham above 50 · Saint Louis below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+8.7% ST LOUrally 192 · set 5

Biggest swing: 8.7% to Saint Louis — set 5, ST LOU 2-1 FORDHM. Kill by Tamia Maddox (set by Ellie Rink). FORDHM win probability 48% → 39%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ST LOU 61.9%38.1% FORDHM

Saint Louis wins

3-0
18.3%
3-1
23.7%
3-2
20.0%

Fordham wins

3-0
8.1%
3-1
13.8%
3-2
16.2%
ST LOU break %
44.2% vs this opp
FORDHM break %
41.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Tamia MaddoxKill+8.7%

    Kill by Tamia Maddox (set by Ellie Rink)

    Set 5 · ST LOU 2-1 FORDHM · ST LOU 52% → 61%

  2. 02

    Mila Micunovic stuffed by Kayla Jansen & Jetta Brenning

    Set 5 · ST LOU 3-1 FORDHM · ST LOU 61% → 70%

  3. 03
    Ellie RinkAce+7.8%

    Ace by Ellie Rink on Johanna Franzen

    Set 5 · ST LOU 4-1 FORDHM · ST LOU 70% → 77%

  4. 04
    Kayla JansenBlock+6.8%

    Tatum Holderied stuffed by Kayla Jansen

    Set 5 · ST LOU 5-1 FORDHM · ST LOU 77% → 84%

  5. 05

    Kill by Mila Micunovic (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 5 · ST LOU 0-1 FORDHM · FORDHM 47% → 54%

  6. 06

    Kill by Jetta Brenning (set by Tatum Holderied)

    Set 5 · ST LOU 1-1 FORDHM · ST LOU 46% → 52%

  7. 07

    Johanna Franzen stuffed by Tea Kalajdzic & J'La Sparks

    Set 1 · ST LOU 23-21 FORDHM · ST LOU 63% → 69%

  8. 08

    Kill by Jetta Brenning

    Set 1 · ST LOU 21-20 FORDHM · ST LOU 57% → 63%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512220.5000212016418
59433.1522334200012
56416.1253942100031.511.5
58118.3891001106311
57722.000224111031.510.5
5000–002800000
511428.2501111006315
5000–1101020001
1000–000000000
Team totals5322137.22646131347712413103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513734.176101104031.514.5
511728.1434004002112
58523.13000030052.510.5
58215.40010010052.510.5
55213.231300200427
51310-.200332440010.53.5
5000–042400004
5000–1001420000
5000–000800000
4000–100640000
2000–012010001
Team totals4626123.163447956130201089

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Saint Louis vs Fordham

Season series · Saint Louis leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ST LOU · FORDHM 7

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 ST LOUFORDHM 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 5 ST LOUFORDHM 7

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 4 ST LOUFORDHM 2

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 ST LOUFORDHM 4

Set 5

15-5

Longest run 5 ST LOUFORDHM 1

Bars above the line = Fordham leads, below = Saint Louis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Saint Louis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
47%8/17
2
50%10/20
41%7/17
3
59%10/17
44%8/18
4
53%9/17
50%9/18
5
82%9/11
53%10/19
6
70%7/10
43%6/14
All
62%55/89
47%48/103

Fordham

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
47%7/15
2
50%10/20
50%10/20
3
67%10/15
33%5/15
4
36%9/25
50%10/20
5
60%9/15
0%0/9
6
58%7/12
20%2/10
All
53%55/103
38%34/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

192 rallies

#ST LOU-FORDHMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ST LOUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.4
21-1ST LOUFORDHMServe errLucy Rankin+1.8
32-1FORDHMST LOUBlockedJohanna Franzenblk Jetta Brenning, Kayla Jansen+1.8
42-2ST LOUFORDHMServe errEllie Rink+1.9
53-2FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.9
64-2ST LOUST LOUAttack errBridget Woodruff+2.4
74-3ST LOUFORDHM×3KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+1.8
84-4FORDHMFORDHM×3KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.5
94-5FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errJetta Brenning+2.7
105-5FORDHMST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+2.0
115-6ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.1
126-6FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Lara Zigic+2.1
136-7ST LOUFORDHMAttack errEllie Rink+2.2
147-7FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.1
157-8ST LOUFORDHM×4KillJohanna Franzenset Mila Micunovic+2.2
167-9FORDHMFORDHM×4KillMila Micunovic+2.9
177-10FORDHMFORDHM×4BlockedEllie Rinkblk Tatum Holderied, Bridget Woodruff+2.9
187-11FORDHMFORDHM×4Attack errTea Kalajdzic+2.7
198-11FORDHMST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.7
208-12ST LOUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+2.1
219-12FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.8
229-13ST LOUFORDHMAttack errEllie Rink+2.1
2310-13FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.8
2410-14ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.2
2511-14FORDHMST LOU×4KillJetta Brenningset Ellie Rink+1.8
2612-14ST LOUST LOU×4KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.8
2713-14ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errJohanna Franzen+3.2
2814-14ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errJohanna Franzen+3.5
2914-15ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Sophia Kuyn+2.9
3015-15FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+2.8
3115-16ST LOUFORDHMKillGiada Ianualeset Mila Micunovic+3.0
3215-17FORDHMFORDHMBlockedEllie Rinkblk Tatum Holderied, Mila Micunovic, Giada Ianuale+4.0
3316-17FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.8
3416-18ST LOUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+3.2
3517-18FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+2.9
3617-19ST LOUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+3.4
3718-19FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+3.0
3819-19ST LOUST LOUAceEllie Rink+4.7
3919-20ST LOUFORDHMServe errEllie Rink+4.0
4020-20FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+3.9
4121-20ST LOUST LOUKillJetta Brenning+5.6
4221-21ST LOUFORDHMServe errKayla Jansen+4.3
4322-21FORDHMST LOU×4KillTamia Maddoxset Giada Ianuale+4.9
4423-21ST LOUST LOU×4BlockedJohanna Franzenblk Tea Kalajdzic, J'La Sparks+6.1
4524-21ST LOUST LOU×4AceJetta Brenningaced Lola Fernandez+4.3
4625-21ST LOUST LOU×4AceJetta Brenningaced Lola Fernandez+1.7
Set 2
11-0FORDHMST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Tamia Maddox+1.7
21-1ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+1.7
31-2FORDHMFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+2.3
42-2FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.7
52-3ST LOUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Mila Micunovic+1.8
63-3FORDHMST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+1.8
73-4ST LOUFORDHMServe errSaint Louis+1.8
84-4FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.8
94-5ST LOUFORDHMServe errSaint Louis+1.9
105-5FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.8
115-6ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.9
126-6FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.9
136-7ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Johanna Franzen+2.0
147-7FORDHMST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Tamia Maddox+1.9
157-8ST LOUFORDHM×7KillJohanna Franzenset Mila Micunovic+2.0
167-9FORDHMFORDHM×7KillBridget Woodruffset Tatum Holderied+2.7
177-10FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errKayla Jansen+2.6
187-11FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errEllie Rink+2.5
197-12FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errTamia Maddox+2.2
207-13FORDHMFORDHM×7AceFordhamaced Lara Zigic+1.8
217-14FORDHMFORDHM×7KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+1.5
228-14FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+0.8
238-15ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+1.1
248-16FORDHMFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+1.0
259-16FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+0.5
269-17ST LOUFORDHM×6KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.7
279-18FORDHMFORDHM×6AceFordhamaced Tamia Maddox+0.6
289-19FORDHMFORDHM×6BlockedEllie Rinkblk Bridget Woodruff, Sophia Kuyn, Johanna Franzen+0.3
299-20FORDHMFORDHM×6BlockedJ'La Sparksblk Bridget Woodruff, Sophia Kuyn+0.2
309-21FORDHMFORDHM×6AceFordhamaced Ellie Rink+0.1
319-22FORDHMFORDHM×6AceFordhamaced J'La Sparks·
3210-22FORDHMST LOU×5KillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning·
3311-22ST LOUST LOU×5BlockedJohanna Franzenblk Tea Kalajdzic, J'La Sparks·
3412-22ST LOUST LOU×5AceTamia Maddoxaced Lola Fernandez·
3513-22ST LOUST LOU×5BlockedBridget Woodruffblk J'La Sparks, Ellie Rink·
3614-22ST LOUST LOU×5AceTamia Maddoxaced Ozge Ozaslan+0.1
3714-23ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Lola Fernandez+0.1
3815-23FORDHMST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning·
3916-23ST LOUST LOUBlockedSophia Kuynblk Kayla Jansen, Ellie Rink+0.1
4016-24ST LOUFORDHMBlockedTea Kalajdzicblk Johanna Franzen, Sophia Kuyn+0.1
4117-24FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning·
4217-25ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Sophia Kuyn+0.1
Set 3
10-1ST LOUFORDHMServe errSaint Louis+2.5
21-1FORDHMST LOU×3KillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+2.5
32-1ST LOUST LOU×3KillKayla Jansen+3.2
43-1ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errTatum Holderied+3.2
53-2ST LOUFORDHMServe errSaint Louis+2.4
64-2FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+2.5
74-3ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.4
85-3FORDHMST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+2.5
96-3ST LOUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset J'La Sparks+3.1
106-4ST LOUFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+2.3
117-4FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.5
127-5ST LOUFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+2.3
137-6FORDHMFORDHMAttack errTea Kalajdzic+3.4
148-6FORDHMST LOUAttack errMila Micunovic+2.7
159-6ST LOUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+3.4
169-7ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Ozge Ozaslan+2.4
1710-7FORDHMST LOU×4Attack errBridget Woodruff+2.6
1811-7ST LOUST LOU×4KillJetta Brenningset Tea Kalajdzic+3.1
1912-7ST LOUST LOU×4BlockedMila Micunovicblk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+2.7
2013-7ST LOUST LOU×4BlockedBridget Woodruffblk Kayla Jansen, Ellie Rink+2.1
2113-8ST LOUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+1.3
2214-8FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.6
2314-9ST LOUFORDHMBlockedTamia Maddoxblk Tatum Holderied, Bridget Woodruff+1.3
2415-9FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.6
2515-10ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.2
2616-10FORDHMST LOU×3KillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+1.6
2717-10ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errGiada Ianuale+1.5
2818-10ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedJohanna Franzenblk Tea Kalajdzic, J'La Sparks+1.0
2918-11ST LOUFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.4
3019-11FORDHMST LOU×3Attack errMila Micunovic+0.7
3120-11ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedMila Micunovicblk J'La Sparks, Tea Kalajdzic+0.5
3221-11ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errEllie Rink+0.2
3321-12ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.1
3422-12FORDHMST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Mila Micunovic+0.1
3522-13ST LOUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale·
3623-13FORDHMST LOU×3Serve errFordham+0.1
3724-13ST LOUST LOU×3AceTea Kalajdzicaced Johanna Franzen·
3825-13ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errGiada Ianuale·
Set 4
10-1FORDHMFORDHM×4KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+3.1
20-2FORDHMFORDHM×4KillTatum Holderied+3.1
30-3FORDHMFORDHM×4AceFordhamaced Tamia Maddox+3.1
40-4FORDHMFORDHM×4BlockedTea Kalajdzicblk Tatum Holderied, Mila Micunovic+2.9
51-4FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+2.0
61-5ST LOUFORDHM×3Serve errTea Kalajdzic+2.3
71-6FORDHMFORDHM×3KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+2.8
81-7FORDHMFORDHM×3BlockedJetta Brenningblk Tatum Holderied, Johanna Franzen+2.5
92-7FORDHMST LOU×3Serve errFordham+1.6
103-7ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errJohanna Franzen+2.4
114-7ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errGiada Ianuale+2.8
124-8ST LOUFORDHM×3KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.4
134-9FORDHMFORDHM×3Bad setJetta Brenning+2.9
144-10FORDHMFORDHM×3BlockedKayla Jansenblk Bridget Woodruff, Sophia Kuyn+2.5
155-10FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.5
165-11ST LOUFORDHM×3KillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+1.9
175-12FORDHMFORDHM×3KillJohanna Franzenset Sophia Kuyn+2.0
185-13FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errEllie Rink+1.6
196-13FORDHMST LOU×4KillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+0.9
207-13ST LOUST LOU×4AceJetta Brenning+1.5
218-13ST LOUST LOU×4KillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+1.9
229-13ST LOUST LOU×4AceJetta Brenningaced Ozge Ozaslan+2.4
239-14ST LOUFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+2.3
2410-14FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.8
2510-15ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+2.3
2611-15FORDHMST LOU×3KillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+1.8
2712-15ST LOUST LOU×3Bad setGiada Ianuale+3.0
2813-15ST LOUST LOU×3AceLara Zigicaced Johanna Franzen+3.6
2913-16ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+3.3
3014-16FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.8
3114-17ST LOUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+3.4
3214-18FORDHMFORDHMAceFordham+3.9
3315-18FORDHMST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.3
3416-18ST LOUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+3.9
3516-19ST LOUFORDHM×3Serve errEllie Rink+3.8
3616-20FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errJetta Brenning+4.0
3716-21FORDHMFORDHM×3AceFordhamaced Lara Zigic+2.9
3817-21FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.3
3917-22ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.1
4017-23FORDHMFORDHMAttack errJetta Brenning+1.4
4118-23FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+0.4
4218-24ST LOUFORDHMAttack errTamia Maddox+0.8
4319-24FORDHMST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Lara Zigic+0.2
4420-24ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedMila Micunovicblk Tea Kalajdzic, J'La Sparks+0.5
4521-24ST LOUST LOU×3AceTamia Maddoxaced Johanna Franzen+1.1
4621-25ST LOUFORDHMServe errTamia Maddox+2.9
Set 5
10-1ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+6.6
21-1FORDHMST LOU×5KillJetta Brenningset Tatum Holderied+6.5
32-1ST LOUST LOU×5KillTamia Maddoxset Ellie Rink+8.7
43-1ST LOUST LOU×5BlockedMila Micunovicblk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+8.5
54-1ST LOUST LOU×5AceEllie Rinkaced Johanna Franzen+7.8
65-1ST LOUST LOU×5BlockedTatum Holderiedblk Kayla Jansen+6.8
75-2ST LOUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+4.4
86-2FORDHMST LOU×4Serve errFordham+5.3
97-2ST LOUST LOU×4AceKayla Jansenaced Addison Newblatt+5.5
108-2ST LOUST LOU×4AceKayla Jansenaced Lola Fernandez+4.0
119-2ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errBridget Woodruff+2.6
129-3ST LOUFORDHMAttack errTamia Maddox+1.2
1310-3FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.8
1410-4ST LOUFORDHMServe errJetta Brenning+1.0
1511-4FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.6
1612-4ST LOUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.0
1712-5ST LOUFORDHMServe errTamia Maddox+0.3
1813-5FORDHMST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+0.5
1914-5ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errSophia Kuyn+0.2
2015-5ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedMila Micunovicblk Kayla Jansen, Tea Kalajdzic·

Score shown after each rally, Saint Louis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).