FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026

Saint Louis def. Fordham 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Saint Louis 61.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Saint Louis won at Fordham 3-0 (25-22, 25-18, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Saint Louis' Tea Kalajdzic led with 11 kills, and Lara Zigic added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
ST LOU2525253
FORDHM2218190

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.611 and 11 kills for Tea Kalajdzic as Saint Louis rolled past Fordham.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.5 points, and Fordham's high was 43% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Saint Louis 62% before first serve.

Saint LouisFordham
  • Break %+13.1 pts
    51.438.3

    Points won on own serve: 38 of 74 vs 23 of 60. Fordham sided out 48.6% of the time.

  • Hitting+.128
    .282.154

    36 K / 12 E against 31 K / 17 E.

  • Longest run+-1
    56

    5 straight Saint Louis points in the first set turned an 8–9 deficit into a 13–9 lead. That set ended 25–22.

Fordham above 50Saint Louis belowMax swing 4.5%

Saint LouisFordham

Aces
Saint Louis 4·Fordham 6
Serve err
Saint Louis 7·Fordham 7
Blocks
Saint Louis 9·Fordham 65 BS · 8 BA vs 4 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Saint Louis 31·Fordham 25

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fordham above 50 · Saint Louis below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.5% ST LOUrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Saint Louis — set 1, ST LOU 23-21 FORDHM. Fordham service error. FORDHM win probability 33% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ST LOU 61.9%38.1% FORDHM

Saint Louis wins

3-0
18.3%
3-1
23.7%
3-2
20.0%

Fordham wins

3-0
8.1%
3-1
13.8%
3-2
16.2%
ST LOU break %
44.2% vs this opp
FORDHM break %
41.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    FordhamService error+4.5%

    Fordham service error

    Set 1 · ST LOU 23-21 FORDHM · ST LOU 67% → 72%

  2. 02
    Johanna FranzenAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Johanna Franzen

    Set 1 · ST LOU 18-17 FORDHM · ST LOU 60% → 65%

  3. 03

    Kill by Tatum Holderied

    Set 1 · ST LOU 22-21 FORDHM · FORDHM 28% → 33%

  4. 04

    Tatum Holderied stuffed by Ellie Rink & Kayla Jansen

    Set 1 · ST LOU 24-21 FORDHM · ST LOU 72% → 76%

  5. 05
    Tamia MaddoxKill+4.1%

    Kill by Tamia Maddox (set by Ellie Rink)

    Set 1 · ST LOU 19-17 FORDHM · ST LOU 65% → 69%

  6. 06
    Tatum HolderiedBlock+3.9%

    Kayla Jansen stuffed by Tatum Holderied

    Set 1 · ST LOU 15-16 FORDHM · FORDHM 39% → 42%

  7. 07
    Saint LouisService error+3.7%

    Saint Louis service error

    Set 1 · ST LOU 21-18 FORDHM · ST LOU 69% → 73%

  8. 08

    Ace by Lola Fernandez on Ellie Rink

    Set 1 · ST LOU 15-15 FORDHM · FORDHM 35% → 39%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311018.61101320111.513.5
38317.29400130334.512.5
38424.16722221010.510.5
35212.250251050010.56.5
3326.16700030111.54.5
3106.16710132010.51.5
3012-.500100100000
3000–2001200000
Team totals361285.282314731658975
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39326.23102141111.512.5
37212.41700000313.510.5
3309.3331511100004
3317.28620310010.53.5
33515-.133000000003
3000–620800002
35316.12510010010.55.5
3000–011200001
3000–001100000
3000–200700000
2023-.667000000000
1113.000000000001
Team totals311791.154266725444659

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Saint Louis vs Fordham

Season series · Saint Louis leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ST LOU · FORDHM 6

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 ST LOUFORDHM 6

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 ST LOUFORDHM 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 5 ST LOUFORDHM 4

Bars above the line = Fordham leads, below = Saint Louis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Saint Louis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%7/7
68%13/19
2
40%6/15
40%4/10
3
50%6/12
25%2/8
4
60%6/10
45%5/11
5
75%6/8
60%9/15
6
75%6/8
45%5/11
All
62%37/60
51%38/74

Fordham

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%7/16
25%2/8
2
67%6/9
0%0/7
3
75%6/8
68%13/19
4
40%6/15
40%4/10
5
43%6/14
33%3/9
6
42%5/12
14%1/7
All
49%36/74
38%23/60

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#ST LOU-FORDHMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Ozge Ozaslan+1.8
21-1FORDHMST LOUAttack errMila Micunovic+1.8
31-2ST LOUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+1.9
41-3FORDHMFORDHMBlockedJ'La Sparksblk Bridget Woodruff, Tatum Holderied+2.5
52-3FORDHMST LOU×3KillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.8
63-3ST LOUST LOU×3Bad setJohanna Franzen+2.5
74-3ST LOUST LOU×3KillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+2.5
84-4ST LOUFORDHM×3KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+1.9
94-5FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errLucy Rankin+2.6
104-6FORDHMFORDHM×3KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.7
115-6FORDHMST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Tamia Maddox+1.9
126-6ST LOUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.6
136-7ST LOUFORDHMBlockedTamia Maddoxblk Johanna Franzen, Sophia Kuyn+2.1
147-7FORDHMST LOUAttack errJetta Brenning+2.1
157-8ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.2
168-8FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+2.1
178-9ST LOUFORDHMKillGiada Ianualeset Sophia Kuyn+2.3
189-9FORDHMST LOU×5KillTea Kalajdzicset Ellie Rink+2.2
1910-9ST LOUST LOU×5Bad setJohanna Franzen+2.9
2011-9ST LOUST LOU×5KillJetta Brenningset Lara Zigic+2.8
2112-9ST LOUST LOU×5BlockedMila Micunovicblk Kayla Jansen+2.6
2213-9ST LOUST LOU×5Attack errMila Micunovic+2.3
2313-10ST LOUFORDHMServe errSaint Louis+1.5
2414-10FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.8
2515-10ST LOUST LOUAttack errMila Micunovic+1.9
2615-11ST LOUFORDHM×6KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+1.2
2715-12FORDHMFORDHM×6Bad setJetta Brenning+2.0
2815-13FORDHMFORDHM×6KillJohanna Franzenset Bridget Woodruff+2.5
2915-14FORDHMFORDHM×6BlockedTamia Maddoxblk Tatum Holderied+3.1
3015-15FORDHMFORDHM×6AceLola Fernandezaced Ellie Rink+3.6
3115-16FORDHMFORDHM×6BlockedKayla Jansenblk Tatum Holderied+3.9
3216-16FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+2.9
3316-17ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+3.2
3417-17FORDHMST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+3.1
3518-17ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errJohanna Franzen+4.2
3619-17ST LOUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Ellie Rink+4.1
3719-18ST LOUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+2.8
3820-18FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+3.3
3921-18ST LOUST LOUServe errSaint Louis+3.7
4021-19ST LOUFORDHMServe errSaint Louis+2.1
4122-19FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.9
4222-20ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.0
4322-21FORDHMFORDHMKillTatum Holderied+4.2
4423-21FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+4.5
4524-21ST LOUST LOUBlockedTatum Holderiedblk Ellie Rink, Kayla Jansen+4.1
4624-22ST LOUFORDHMServe errSaint Louis+1.3
4725-22FORDHMST LOUBlockedGabby Destlerblk Jetta Brenning, Kayla Jansen+2.9
Set 2
11-0FORDHMST LOUBad setGiada Ianuale+1.6
21-1ST LOUFORDHMAttack errTamia Maddox+1.6
32-1FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Lucy Rankin+1.6
42-2ST LOUFORDHM×3KillBridget Woodruffset Jetta Brenning+1.6
52-3FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errTamia Maddox+2.2
62-4FORDHMFORDHM×3AceWhitney Woodrow+2.3
73-4FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.7
83-5ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Whitney Woodrow+1.8
94-5FORDHMST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Tamia Maddox+1.7
105-5ST LOUST LOUBlockedGabby Destlerblk Tea Kalajdzic, J'La Sparks+2.3
115-6ST LOUFORDHMKillGiada Ianuale+1.9
125-7FORDHMFORDHMBlockedJetta Brenningblk Tatum Holderied+2.5
136-7FORDHMST LOU×4KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.8
147-7ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errTatum Holderied+2.4
158-7ST LOUST LOU×4KillKayla Jansenset Giada Ianuale+2.4
169-7ST LOUST LOU×4BlockedJohanna Franzenblk Kayla Jansen+2.4
179-8ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.8
1810-8FORDHMST LOU×3Serve errFordham+1.9
1911-8ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errBridget Woodruff+2.3
2012-8ST LOUST LOU×3KillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+2.0
2112-9ST LOUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+1.3
2213-9FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.6
2314-9ST LOUST LOUAttack errBridget Woodruff+1.7
2414-10ST LOUFORDHMServe errSaint Louis+1.1
2515-10FORDHMST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Lara Zigic+1.3
2615-11ST LOUFORDHM×3Serve errSaint Louis+1.0
2715-12FORDHMFORDHM×3AceWhitney Woodrowaced Ellie Rink+1.8
2815-13FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errJetta Brenning+2.3
2916-13FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.0
3016-14ST LOUFORDHM×3KillGiada Ianualeset Whitney Woodrow+1.8
3116-15FORDHMFORDHM×3Bad setLara Zigic+2.9
3216-16FORDHMFORDHM×3KillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+3.4
3317-16FORDHMST LOU×4Attack errSophia Kuyn+2.7
3418-16ST LOUST LOU×4KillJetta Brenning+3.4
3519-16ST LOUST LOU×4KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+3.0
3620-16ST LOUST LOU×4AceTamia Maddox+2.4
3720-17ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Ozge Ozaslan+1.3
3821-17FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+1.8
3921-18ST LOUFORDHMBad setLara Zigic+1.2
4022-18FORDHMST LOU×4KillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.8
4123-18ST LOUST LOU×4KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.3
4224-18ST LOUST LOU×4AceTea Kalajdzic+0.5
4325-18ST LOUST LOU×4Bad setBridget Woodruff+0.1
Set 3
10-1ST LOUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+1.0
21-1FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+0.9
31-2ST LOUFORDHM×4KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+1.0
41-3FORDHMFORDHM×4Attack errKayla Jansen+1.3
51-4FORDHMFORDHM×4KillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+1.3
61-5FORDHMFORDHM×4Attack errKayla Jansen+1.3
72-5FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+0.9
82-6ST LOUFORDHMBlockedJ'La Sparksblk Johanna Franzen+1.0
93-6FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+0.9
103-7ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Sophia Kuyn+1.0
113-8FORDHMFORDHMAceJohanna Franzen+1.2
124-8FORDHMST LOU×5BlockedAvery Bootheblk J'La Sparks+0.8
135-8ST LOUST LOU×5KillJ'La Sparksset Whitney Woodrow+1.2
146-8ST LOUST LOU×5KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.3
157-8ST LOUST LOU×5AceTamia Maddox+1.4
168-8ST LOUST LOU×5BlockedMila Micunovicblk Tea Kalajdzic+1.5
178-9ST LOUFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Whitney Woodrow+1.2
189-9FORDHMST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.2
1910-9ST LOUST LOU×3Bad setWhitney Woodrow+1.5
2011-9ST LOUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.5
2111-10ST LOUFORDHMKillAvery Bootheset Whitney Woodrow+1.1
2212-10FORDHMST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.2
2312-11ST LOUFORDHMServe errSaint Louis+1.1
2413-11FORDHMST LOU×3BlockedJohanna Franzenblk Kayla Jansen+1.2
2514-11ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedBridget Woodruffblk Tamia Maddox, Kayla Jansen+1.5
2615-11ST LOUST LOU×3Bad setOzge Ozaslan+1.3
2715-12ST LOUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.8
2816-12FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+1.0
2916-13ST LOUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.8
3017-13FORDHMST LOU×3KillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+1.0
3118-13ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errTea Kalajdzic+1.0
3219-13ST LOUST LOU×3AceJetta Brenningaced Johanna Franzen+0.7
3319-14ST LOUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Whitney Woodrow+0.3
3419-15FORDHMFORDHMAceJohanna Franzen+0.7
3520-15FORDHMST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+0.7
3620-16ST LOUFORDHMServe errSaint Louis+0.5
3720-17FORDHMFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Jetta Brenning+1.0
3821-17FORDHMST LOUServe errFordham+1.1
3921-18ST LOUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Whitney Woodrow+0.7
4021-19FORDHMFORDHMAceGiada Ianualeaced Tamia Maddox+1.4
4122-19FORDHMST LOU×4KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.5
4223-19ST LOUST LOU×4Serve errSaint Louis+1.3
4324-19ST LOUST LOU×4KillJetta Brenning+0.6
4425-19ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errTatum Holderied+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Saint Louis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).