Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on ESPN+

SFA def. McNeese 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: SFA 90.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SFA won at McNeese 3-1 (25-23, 23-25, 25-23, 25-23) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Caroline Kahle and Molly Cravens led SFA with 13 kills each; McNeese's Gabbie Maldonado had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set1234Sets
SFA252325253
MCNEES232523231

Match story · written from the play-by-play

6 aces from Kyanna Creecy, and SFA needed each of them.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are SFA's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave SFA 90% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · SFA 21–17 McNeese

    Down 17–21, McNeese scored 5 straight to lead 22–21.

    SFA 92% → 73%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · SFA 22–22 McNeese

    SFA closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 2–1.

    SFA 78% → 93%

McNeese above 50SFA belowMax swing 7.2%

SFAMcNeese

Sideout %
SFA 62.1·McNeese 59.8
Break %
SFA 40.2·McNeese 37.9
Hitting
SFA .310·McNeese .298
Longest run
SFA 6·McNeese 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

McNeese above 50 · SFA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.2% SFArally 192 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.2% to SFA — set 3, SFA 23-22 MCNEES. SFA ace on Neal Grace Berry. MCNEES win probability 22% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SFA 83.5%16.5% MCNEES

SFA wins

3-0
35.3%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
17.2%

McNeese wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
8.6%
SFA break %
44.9% vs this opp
MCNEES break %
37.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    SFAAce+7.2%

    SFA ace on Neal Grace Berry

    Set 3 · SFA 23-22 MCNEES · SFA 78% → 85%

  2. 02

    Kill by Gabbie Maldonado (set by Megan Grose)

    Set 3 · SFA 21-22 MCNEES · MCNEES 20% → 27%

  3. 03
    SFAAce+5.9%

    SFA ace on Mary-Alice Dohmann

    Set 3 · SFA 24-22 MCNEES · SFA 85% → 91%

  4. 04

    Avery Koonsen stuffed by Harmony Soles & Megan Grose

    Set 3 · SFA 21-21 MCNEES · MCNEES 15% → 20%

  5. 05

    Kill by Katherine Holtman (set by Aniston Collins)

    Set 3 · SFA 25-23 MCNEES · SFA 88% → 93%

  6. 06
    McNeeseService error+4.8%

    McNeese service error

    Set 3 · SFA 22-22 MCNEES · SFA 73% → 78%

  7. 07
    SFAService error+3.9%

    SFA service error

    Set 2 · SFA 23-25 MCNEES · MCNEES 12% → 16%

  8. 08

    Kill by Caroline Kahle (set by Madi Zorn)

    Set 4 · SFA 25-23 MCNEES · SFA 96% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

SFAaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413336.27831193010.514.5
411221.4290003012213
412124.4580012000012
43113.15406310031.510.5
46419.1052121600218
4204.5002233300005
413329.3450003010114
4104.250241280010.52.5
4001.000402510000
4000–000000000
2214.25002140010.54.5
Team totals6315155.310551415545210798
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415234.38200060010.515.5
414324.4580003110115
44315.0670101110005
4316.33300020031.54.5
4104.250270150010.51.5
2214.250001000002
414333.3331001000014
41210-.10013143010.54.5
4003.0001910700001
4103.3335002160001
4000–000200000
2205.400000410002
1000–000000000
Team totals5715141.2985353661416494

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

SFA vs McNeese

Season series · SFA leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SFA · MCNEES 6

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 SFAMCNEES 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 SFAMCNEES 6

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 6 SFAMCNEES 5

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 SFAMCNEES 5

Bars above the line = McNeese leads, below = SFA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SFA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
31%4/13
2
61%11/18
50%11/22
3
63%10/16
41%7/17
4
56%10/18
23%3/13
5
60%9/15
36%5/14
6
67%8/12
50%9/18
All
62%59/95
40%39/97

McNeese

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
33%5/15
2
53%10/19
21%3/14
3
59%10/17
41%7/17
4
77%10/13
52%11/21
5
53%9/17
9%1/11
6
57%8/14
53%9/17
All
60%58/97
38%36/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

192 rallies

#SFA-MCNEESSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+0.9
21-1MCNEESSFAAttack errHarmony Jackson+0.8
31-2SFAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+0.9
42-2MCNEESSFABlockedKayla Wilsonblk Kyanna Creecy, Avery Koonsen+0.8
52-3SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+0.9
63-3MCNEESSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.8
73-4SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+1.0
84-4MCNEESSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.9
94-5SFAMCNEESAttack errMolly Cravens+1.0
104-6MCNEESMCNEESKillGaby Santiagoset Sophia Tocmo+1.5
115-6MCNEESSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.0
125-7SFAMCNEESKillGaby Santiagoset Megan Grose+1.2
135-8MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeese+1.7
146-8MCNEESSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+1.1
157-8SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+1.5
167-9SFAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.3
178-9MCNEESSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+1.1
189-9SFASFAAceSFAaced Sophia Tocmo+1.5
199-10SFAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+1.2
2010-10MCNEESSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+1.1
2111-10SFASFAAceSFA+1.4
2211-11SFAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Sophia Tocmo+1.1
2312-11MCNEESSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+1.1
2412-12SFAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.2
2513-12MCNEESSFAAttack errAva Henry+1.1
2613-13SFAMCNEESKillGaby Santiagoset Corynne Hausler+1.2
2714-13MCNEESSFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.2
2815-13SFASFA×3Attack errGaby Santiago+1.5
2916-13SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+1.2
3016-14SFAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.8
3117-14MCNEESSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+0.9
3218-14SFASFAAceSFAaced Sophia Tocmo+0.9
3318-15SFAMCNEESBlockedKatherine Holtmanblk Harmony Soles, Mary-Alice Dohmann+0.6
3418-16MCNEESMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+1.1
3519-16MCNEESSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+1.0
3619-17SFAMCNEES×3KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.9
3719-18MCNEESMCNEES×3AceMcNeeseaced Cambry Saul+1.7
3819-19MCNEESMCNEES×3KillKayla Wilsonset Sophia Tocmo+2.4
3920-19MCNEESSFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+1.8
4021-19SFASFA×3Bad setCorynne Hausler+2.2
4122-19SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Mary-Alice Dohmann+1.6
4222-20SFAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.8
4322-21MCNEESMCNEESKillAva Henryset Aniston Collins+2.0
4423-21MCNEESSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+2.0
4524-21SFASFAAceSFAaced Ava Henry+1.7
4624-22SFAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+0.5
4724-23MCNEESMCNEESAttack errAvery Koonsen+1.8
4825-23MCNEESSFABlockedGaby Santiagoblk Avery Koonsen, Jordan Henderson+2.8
Set 2
11-0MCNEESSFABlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Kyanna Creecy, Caroline Kahle+0.5
21-1SFAMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Megan Grose+0.5
32-1MCNEESSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.5
42-2SFAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+0.6
53-2MCNEESSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.5
63-3SFAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.6
73-4MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Caroline Kahle+0.9
84-4MCNEESSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.6
94-5SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+0.7
105-5MCNEESSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.6
115-6SFAMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Corynne Hausler+0.7
126-6MCNEESSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.6
136-7SFAMCNEESKillMary-Alice Dohmannset Megan Grose+0.7
147-7MCNEESSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.7
157-8SFAMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Megan Grose+0.8
167-9MCNEESMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+1.2
178-9MCNEESSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.8
188-10SFAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+0.9
199-10MCNEESSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.8
209-11SFAMCNEES×6KillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.0
219-12MCNEESMCNEES×6Attack errAvery Koonsen+1.4
229-13MCNEESMCNEES×6AceMcNeeseaced Caroline Kahle+1.4
239-14MCNEESMCNEES×6Attack errMolly Cravens+1.3
249-15MCNEESMCNEES×6KillKayla Wilsonset Mary-Alice Dohmann+1.2
259-16MCNEESMCNEES×6AceMcNeeseaced Caroline Kahle+1.0
2610-16MCNEESSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.5
2710-17SFAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+0.7
2811-17MCNEESSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+0.4
2911-18SFAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.7
3012-18MCNEESSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+0.4
3112-19SFAMCNEESAttack errKyanna Creecy+0.6
3213-19MCNEESSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.3
3313-20SFAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.6
3414-20MCNEESSFA×3KillAniston Collinsset Cambry Saul+0.3
3515-20SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Sophia Tocmo+0.6
3616-20SFASFA×3Attack errMary-Alice Dohmann+0.8
3716-21SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+1.0
3816-22MCNEESMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.9
3917-22MCNEESSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.3
4017-23SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+0.5
4118-23MCNEESSFA×3Serve errMcNeese+0.2
4219-23SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Cambry Saul+0.4
4320-23SFASFA×3KillJordan Hendersonset Corynne Hausler+0.8
4420-24SFAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Kayla Wilson+1.2
4521-24MCNEESSFA×3KillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+0.3
4622-24SFASFA×3KillMadi Zornset Avery Koonsen+1.0
4723-24SFASFA×3BlockedHarmony Solesblk Kyanna Creecy, Madi Zorn+2.0
4823-25SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+3.9
Set 3
10-1SFAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.6
21-1MCNEESSFA×6KillAvery Koonsenset Caroline Kahle+1.5
32-1SFASFA×6KillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+1.9
43-1SFASFA×6Attack errAva Henry+1.7
54-1SFASFA×6KillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+1.4
65-1SFASFA×6AceSFAaced Gaby Santiago+1.2
76-1SFASFA×6KillMolly Cravensset Caroline Kahle+1.0
86-2SFAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.7
97-2MCNEESSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+0.7
108-2SFASFAAttack errMary-Alice Dohmann+0.8
118-3SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+0.5
129-3MCNEESSFAAttack errKayla Wilson+0.5
139-4SFAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+0.5
1410-4MCNEESSFA×4Attack errKayla Wilson+0.6
1511-4SFASFA×4KillKatherine Holtman+0.6
1612-4SFASFA×4KillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins+0.4
1713-4SFASFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Caroline Kahle+0.2
1813-5SFAMCNEESKillSophia Tocmo+0.1
1913-6MCNEESMCNEESBlockedAvery Koonsenblk Gabbie Maldonado, Harmony Soles+0.3
2014-6MCNEESSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.3
2114-7SFAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.2
2215-7MCNEESSFAKillAniston Collins+0.2
2315-8SFAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.2
2416-8MCNEESSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.2
2517-8SFASFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+0.2
2617-9SFAMCNEES×4Serve errSFA+0.1
2717-10MCNEESMCNEES×4BlockedJordan Hendersonblk Ava Henry+0.2
2817-11MCNEESMCNEES×4Bad setCambry Saul+0.3
2917-12MCNEESMCNEES×4KillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.6
3018-12MCNEESSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.5
3119-12SFASFAKillCaroline Kahleset Avery Koonsen+0.4
3219-13SFAMCNEES×4KillNeal Grace Berryset Corynne Hausler+0.2
3319-14MCNEESMCNEES×4Attack errCaroline Kahle+0.5
3419-15MCNEESMCNEES×4Attack errCaroline Kahle+0.8
3519-16MCNEESMCNEES×4KillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.3
3620-16MCNEESSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+1.3
3720-17SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+1.0
3821-17MCNEESSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+1.3
3921-18SFAMCNEES×5Serve errSFA+0.9
4021-19MCNEESMCNEES×5KillNeal Grace Berryset Megan Grose+2.1
4121-20MCNEESMCNEES×5KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+3.5
4221-21MCNEESMCNEES×5BlockedAvery Koonsenblk Harmony Soles, Megan Grose+5.3
4321-22MCNEESMCNEES×5KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+7.2
4422-22MCNEESSFA×3Serve errMcNeese+4.8
4523-22SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Neal Grace Berry+7.2
4624-22SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Mary-Alice Dohmann+5.9
4724-23SFAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+2.5
4825-23MCNEESSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+5.2
Set 4
11-0MCNEESSFABlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Kennedy Jones, Jordan Henderson+1.0
21-1SFAMCNEESKillGaby Santiagoset Sophia Tocmo+1.1
32-1MCNEESSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+1.0
42-2SFAMCNEESKillMegan Groseset Madi Zorn+1.1
53-2MCNEESSFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.0
64-2SFASFA×3AceSFA+1.3
75-2SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Sophia Tocmo+1.1
85-3SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+0.8
96-3MCNEESSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.8
106-4SFAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+0.8
117-4MCNEESSFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.8
128-4SFASFA×4Bad setKayla Wilson+1.0
139-4SFASFA×4AceSFAaced Mary-Alice Dohmann+0.8
1410-4SFASFA×4BlockedAva Henryblk Jordan Henderson+0.6
1510-5SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+0.4
1611-5MCNEESSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.4
1712-5SFASFAKillJordan Henderson+0.4
1812-6SFAMCNEESServe errSFA+0.2
1913-6MCNEESSFA×5KillKennedy Jonesset Cambry Saul+0.3
2014-6SFASFA×5AceSFAaced Sophia Tocmo+0.3
2115-6SFASFA×5AceSFAaced Sophia Tocmo+0.2
2216-6SFASFA×5Bad setMegan Grose+0.1
2317-6SFASFA×5KillCaroline Kahleset Cambry Saul·
2417-7SFAMCNEESServe errSFA·
2518-7MCNEESSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn·
2618-8SFAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose·
2718-9MCNEESMCNEESAttack errCaroline Kahle·
2819-9MCNEESSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn·
2919-10SFAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose·
3019-11MCNEESMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Corynne Hausler+0.1
3120-11MCNEESSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Corynne Hausler+0.1
3220-12SFAMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Sophia Tocmo·
3321-12MCNEESSFAServe errMcNeese+0.1
3421-13SFAMCNEES×4KillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler·
3521-14MCNEESMCNEES×4Attack errJordan Henderson+0.1
3621-15MCNEESMCNEES×4KillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.1
3721-16MCNEESMCNEES×4KillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.3
3822-16MCNEESSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+0.3
3923-16SFASFABlockedGaby Santiagoblk Molly Cravens+0.2
4023-17SFAMCNEES×5KillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler·
4123-18MCNEESMCNEES×5Attack errKennedy Jones+0.1
4223-19MCNEESMCNEES×5KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.3
4323-20MCNEESMCNEES×5Bad setMadi Zorn+0.6
4423-21MCNEESMCNEES×5Attack errMolly Cravens+1.3
4524-21MCNEESSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.6
4624-22SFAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.7
4724-23MCNEESMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+2.4
4825-23MCNEESSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+3.9

Score shown after each rally, SFA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).