CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

Bowling Green def. Northern Ky. 32

(26-28, 20-25, 25-22, 26-24, 15-12)
Set12345Sets
N KY28252224122
BGSU26202526153

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BGSU above 50 · N KY below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100BGSUN KYBiggest swing +14.7% BGSU · S4 24-25rally 223 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.7% to Bowling Green — set 4, N KY 24-25 BGSU. Bowling Green ace on Daisy Cluxton. BGSU win probability 29%43%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

N KY 34.1%65.9% BGSU

Northern Ky. wins

3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.2%
3-2
15.1%

Bowling Green wins

3-0
20.6%
3-1
25.3%
3-2
20.0%
N KY break %
41.8% vs this opp
BGSU break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    BGSU serverAce+14.7%

    Bowling Green ace on Daisy Cluxton

    Set 4 · N KY 24-25 BGSU · BGSU 29%43%

  2. 02
    Ivey StocksAttack error+12.7%

    Ivey Stocks stuffed by Anastasija Bozic & Helen Wilford

    Set 5 · N KY 9-11 BGSU · BGSU 67%79%

  3. 03

    Kill by Anastasija Bozic (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 4 · N KY 24-26 BGSU · BGSU 43%56%

  4. 04
    Ava HoyingKill+12.2%

    Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 4 · N KY 23-22 BGSU · N KY 68%80%

  5. 05
    Ava HoyingKill+12.0%

    Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Ivey Stocks)

    Set 4 · N KY 24-23 BGSU · N KY 71%83%

  6. 06
    Karli MolnauKill+12.0%

    Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 4 · N KY 24-24 BGSU · BGSU 17%29%

  7. 07
    N KY serverAce+11.5%

    Northern Ky. ace on Team

    Set 5 · N KY 8-8 BGSU · N KY 32%43%

  8. 08
    Avery HobsonAttack error+10.3%

    Avery Hobson stuffed by Sydney Bray

    Set 1 · N KY 28-26 BGSU · N KY 44%55%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514226.46210010313.517.5
510730.10000019130313
510627.1480005112212
57115.40001320052.510.5
5016-.167511290031.52.5
52311-.0911001110002
512550.14002072010.514.5
53112.167151800008
5001.0002002230000
Team totals5826178.1805696841071213111
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
524562.3063217204228
58317.2940223046717
512538.18400040233.515.5
59222.3180022034514
56213.30847111401229
46629.000010530007
50004311320003
5004.0006122500001
3000101700000
22516-.18800000010.52.5
1000000000000
1000300300000
Team totals6728201.194641010839102020112

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 N KY · BGSU 6

Set 1

28-26

Longest run 6 N KYBGSU 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 N KYBGSU 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 N KYBGSU 6

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 5 N KYBGSU 4

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 2 N KYBGSU 4

Bars above the line = Bowling Green leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Northern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%13/23
66%19/29
2
42%11/26
38%8/21
3
79%11/14
31%5/16
4
56%10/18
21%3/14
5
60%9/15
47%8/17
6
56%9/16
36%5/14
All
56%63/112
43%48/111

Bowling Green

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%13/34
50%11/22
2
71%12/17
52%13/25
3
85%11/13
35%6/17
4
77%10/13
41%7/17
5
45%9/20
50%10/20
6
57%8/14
18%2/11
All
57%63/111
44%49/112

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

223 rallies

Rally log

#N KY-BGSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
21-1N KYBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.7
31-2BGSUBGSU×3Attack errAva Hoyingblk Cecily Waynar, Karli Molnau+2.2
41-3BGSUBGSU×3Attack errSydney Brayblk Anastasija Bozic, Cecily Waynar+2.1
52-3BGSUN KYAttack errKarli Molnau+1.6
62-4N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.7
73-4BGSUN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
83-5N KYBGSU×3Attack errAva Hoying+1.7
93-6BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.1
103-7BGSUBGSU×3Attack errSydney Brayblk Helen Wilford, Anastasija Bozic+1.9
114-7BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.3
124-8N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.5
134-9BGSUBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Avery Anders+1.6
145-9BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
155-10N KYBGSUAttack errLucia Heidblk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten+1.3
166-10BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
176-11N KYBGSUServe errN KY server+1.3
187-11BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
198-11N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Avery Hobson+1.8
208-12N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+1.6
219-12BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
2210-12N KYN KYAttack errAnastasija Bozic+2.2
2310-13N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+1.9
2411-13BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
2511-14N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+2.0
2611-15BGSUBGSUAceBGSU serveraced Sydney Bray+2.2
2712-15BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+1.4
2813-15N KYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
2913-16N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.1
3013-17BGSUBGSUAceBGSU serveraced Emma Adkins+2.3
3114-17BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
3214-18N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.8
3315-18BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+1.4
3415-19N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.8
3516-19BGSUN KY×6Attack errCecily Waynar+1.4
3617-19N KYN KY×6AceN KY serveraced Anastasija Bozic+2.6
3718-19N KYN KY×6AceN KY serveraced Avery Hobson+3.5
3819-19N KYN KY×6Attack errKarli Molnaublk Katie Noschang, Ava Hoying+4.4
3920-19N KYN KY×6Attack errAvery Hobsonblk Sydney Bray+5.0
4021-19N KYN KY×6Attack errAva Hoying+5.2
4121-20N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.2
4222-20BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+4.4
4322-21N KYBGSUAttack errSydney Brayblk Anastasija Bozic, Cecily Waynar+3.4
4423-21BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+5.0
4523-22N KYBGSUAttack errAllison Risley+3.5
4624-22BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+5.9
4724-23N KYBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Sydnie Hernandez+3.3
4824-24BGSUBGSU×3AceBGSU serveraced Team+9.8
4924-25BGSUBGSU×3Attack errLucia Heidblk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten+9.1
5025-25BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+6.9
5126-25N KYN KYKillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+9.6
5226-26N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+7.4
5327-26BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+7.4
5428-26N KYN KYAttack errAvery Hobsonblk Sydney Bray+10.3
Set 2
11-0N KYN KY×5Attack errKarli Molnau+2.8
22-0N KYN KY×5Attack errCecily Waynar+2.9
33-0N KYN KY×5Attack errAnastasija Bozicblk Katie Noschang, Lucia Heid+2.9
44-0N KYN KY×5Serve errN KY server+2.8
55-0N KYN KY×5KillLucia Heidset Amanda Otten+2.7
65-1N KYBGSUServe errN KY server+1.8
75-2BGSUBGSUAceBGSU serveraced Lucia Heid+2.6
86-2BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
97-2N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Avery Hobson+2.8
107-3N KYBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.8
117-4BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Sydnie Hernandez+2.6
127-5BGSUBGSU×3AceBGSU serveraced Ava Hoying+2.9
138-5BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.5
148-6N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.2
158-7BGSUBGSUAceBGSU serveraced Daisy Cluxton+3.1
169-7BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.7
1710-7N KYN KYAttack errHelen Wilford+3.4
1810-8N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.3
1910-9BGSUBGSUAttack errAllison Risley+3.3
2011-9BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.8
2111-10N KYBGSUAttack errAbbigail Pickardblk Helen Wilford+2.6
2212-10BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+2.9
2313-10N KYN KYAttack errCecily Waynar+3.7
2413-11N KYBGSU×3KillAmanda Ottenset Avery Anders+2.5
2513-12BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+3.6
2613-13BGSUBGSU×3Attack errEmma Adkinsblk Cecily Waynar+3.9
2714-13BGSUN KY×4Attack errKarli Molnaublk Lucia Heid, Katie Noschang+3.2
2815-13N KYN KY×4AceN KY serveraced Team+4.3
2916-13N KYN KY×4Bad setAmanda Otten+4.1
3017-13N KYN KY×4Attack errAvery Hobson+3.7
3117-14N KYBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.2
3217-15BGSUBGSU×3Attack errKatie Noschangblk Cecily Waynar, Karli Molnau+3.6
3317-16BGSUBGSU×3Serve errBGSU server+4.2
3418-16BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+3.8
3518-17N KYBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+3.4
3619-17BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+4.1
3720-17N KYN KYAttack errKarli Molnau+4.9
3820-18N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.9
3920-19BGSUBGSUAttack errAva Hoyingblk Helen Wilford+4.9
4021-19BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+4.8
4122-19N KYN KYAttack errAnastasija Bozicblk Abbigail Pickard, Ivey Stocks+5.5
4222-20N KYBGSUAttack errSydney Brayblk Helen Wilford+2.8
4323-20BGSUN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+4.4
4424-20N KYN KY×3AceN KY serveraced Avery Anders+3.5
4525-20N KYN KY×3AceN KY serveraced Avery Anders+1.1
Set 3
10-1BGSUBGSU×6KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.1
20-2BGSUBGSU×6Attack errEmma Adkinsblk Cecily Waynar+2.0
30-3BGSUBGSU×6KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.9
40-4BGSUBGSU×6Attack errSydney Brayblk Karli Molnau, Cecily Waynar+1.7
50-5BGSUBGSU×6Attack errLucia Heid+1.5
60-6BGSUBGSU×6Attack errSydney Bray+1.3
71-6BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
81-7N KYBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.0
91-8BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.0
101-9BGSUBGSU×3KillKarli Molnau+0.8
112-9BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Allison Risley+0.5
123-9N KYN KYAttack errCecily Waynarblk Ivey Stocks+0.8
133-10N KYBGSUServe errN KY server+0.8
144-10BGSUN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+0.6
155-10N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
165-11N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.0
176-11BGSUN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+0.8
186-12N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.0
197-12BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.8
207-13N KYBGSUKillAva Buddelmeyer+1.0
217-14BGSUBGSUAttack errEmma Adkinsblk Cecily Waynar, Ava Buddelmeyer+1.0
228-14BGSUN KY×3Serve errBGSU server+0.6
239-14N KYN KY×3Attack errAnastasija Bozic+1.0
2410-14N KYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
2510-15N KYBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Sydnie Hernandez+1.3
2611-15BGSUN KYBad setAmanda Otten+1.0
2711-16N KYBGSUServe errN KY server+1.3
2811-17BGSUBGSUAceBGSU serveraced Daisy Cluxton+1.3
2912-17BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
3013-17N KYN KYAttack errAmanda Ottenblk Ivey Stocks+1.3
3113-18N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.3
3214-18BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
3314-19N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.3
3415-19BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
3515-20N KYBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.3
3615-21BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.0
3715-22BGSUBGSU×3KillAva Buddelmeyerset Sydnie Hernandez+0.5
3816-22BGSUN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
3917-22N KYN KY×3KillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+0.4
4018-22N KYN KY×3Attack errAva Buddelmeyerblk Katie Noschang, Abbigail Pickard+0.8
4118-23N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.0
4219-23BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Emma Adkins+0.4
4320-23N KYN KYAttack errAva Buddelmeyer+1.1
4420-24N KYBGSUAttack errSydney Brayblk Cecily Waynar+1.5
4521-24BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
4622-24N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Anastasija Bozic+1.5
4722-25N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.6
Set 4
11-0N KYN KYAttack errAva Buddelmeyer+3.7
22-0N KYN KYAttack errAva Buddelmeyer+3.9
32-1N KYBGSUServe errN KY server+2.8
43-1BGSUN KYAttack errKarli Molnau+3.1
53-2N KYBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.9
63-3BGSUBGSUAceBGSU serveraced Team+3.8
74-3BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+3.1
84-4N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+3.0
95-4BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.2
105-5N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.1
116-5BGSUN KY×5Attack errAva Buddelmeyerblk Katie Noschang, Abbigail Pickard+3.3
127-5N KYN KY×5KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+4.4
138-5N KYN KY×5Attack errHelen Wilford+4.4
149-5N KYN KY×5Attack errAmanda Ottenblk Lucia Heid+4.2
1510-5N KYN KY×5Attack errAvery Hobsonblk Sydney Bray+3.8
1610-6N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.4
1711-6BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+3.0
1811-7N KYBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.4
1911-8BGSUBGSU×3AceBGSU serveraced Ava Hoying+3.7
2011-9BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+4.2
2112-9BGSUN KY×3Serve errBGSU server+3.7
2213-9N KYN KY×3Attack errAvery Hobsonblk Ivey Stocks+4.5
2314-9N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+4.0
2414-10N KYBGSUServe errN KY server+2.4
2514-11BGSUBGSUAttack errIvey Stocksblk Cecily Waynar+3.8
2615-11BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+3.7
2715-12N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.9
2815-13BGSUBGSUAttack errAva Hoyingblk Karli Molnau+4.6
2916-13BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+4.3
3016-14N KYBGSUAttack errLucia Heid+3.6
3116-15BGSUBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Anastasija Bozic+5.5
3217-15BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+4.9
3317-16N KYBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+4.3
3417-17BGSUBGSU×4Attack errAvery Hobson+6.3
3517-18BGSUBGSU×4Attack errLucia Heidblk Amanda Otten+6.6
3617-19BGSUBGSU×4Attack errLucia Heid+6.2
3718-19BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+4.3
3819-19N KYN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+7.1
3919-20N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+5.8
4020-20BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+5.9
4120-21N KYBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Anastasija Bozic+6.5
4220-22BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+8.0
4321-22BGSUN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+5.0
4422-22N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocks+9.6
4523-22N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+12.2
4623-23N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+8.9
4724-23BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Ivey Stocks+12.0
4824-24N KYBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+12.0
4924-25BGSUBGSU×3AceBGSU serveraced Daisy Cluxton+14.7
5024-26BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+12.7
Set 5
11-0BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+6.7
21-1N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Avery Anders+6.4
31-2BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Avery Anders+8.5
42-2BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+6.6
52-3N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+6.7
63-3BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+6.9
73-4N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+7.0
83-5BGSUBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Alivia Brown+8.8
94-5BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+6.4
104-6N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+7.0
115-6BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+6.7
126-6N KYN KYAttack errAvery Hobson+10.2
136-7N KYBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+8.2
146-8BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+10.3
157-8BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+7.3
168-8N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Team+11.5
178-9N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+9.4
189-9BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+9.6
199-10N KYBGSU×4Attack errAva Hoyingblk Karli Molnau+10.2
209-11BGSUBGSU×4Attack errIvey Stocksblk Anastasija Bozic, Helen Wilford+12.7
219-12BGSUBGSU×4KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+10.3
229-13BGSUBGSU×4KillKarli Molnauset Anastasija Bozic+6.6
2310-13BGSUN KYAttack errAnastasija Bozic+2.5
2411-13N KYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+6.2
2511-14N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+8.3
2612-14BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+3.4
2712-15N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+7.6

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.