Final · 5 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

Bowling Green def. Northern Ky. 3–2

Bowling Green beat Northern Ky. 3-2 (26-28, 20-25, 25-22, 26-24, 15-12) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Bowling Green's Anastasija Bozic led with 24 kills, and Sydnie Hernandez added 25 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set12345Sets
N KY28252224122
BGSU26202526153

Win probability

Bowling Green above 50 · Northern Ky. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+14.5% BGSUrally 223 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.5% to Bowling Green — set 4, N KY 24-25 BGSU. Bowling Green ace on Daisy Cluxton. BGSU win probability 28% → 43%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N KY 35.8%64.2% BGSU

Northern Ky. wins

3-0
7.4%
3-1
12.9%
3-2
15.5%

Bowling Green wins

3-0
19.5%
3-1
24.6%
3-2
20.0%
N KY break %
42.2% vs this opp
BGSU break %
45.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bowling GreenAce+14.5%

    Bowling Green ace on Daisy Cluxton

    Set 4 · N KY 24-25 BGSU · BGSU 28% → 43%

  2. 02

    Ivey Stocks stuffed by Anastasija Bozic & Helen Wilford

    Set 5 · N KY 9-11 BGSU · BGSU 66% → 79%

  3. 03

    Kill by Anastasija Bozic (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 4 · N KY 24-26 BGSU · BGSU 43% → 55%

  4. 04
    Ava HoyingKill+12.0%

    Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 4 · N KY 23-22 BGSU · N KY 69% → 81%

  5. 05
    Ava HoyingKill+11.9%

    Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Ivey Stocks)

    Set 4 · N KY 24-23 BGSU · N KY 72% → 84%

  6. 06
    Karli MolnauKill+11.9%

    Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 4 · N KY 24-24 BGSU · BGSU 16% → 28%

  7. 07
    Northern Ky.Ace+11.5%

    Northern Ky. ace

    Set 5 · N KY 8-8 BGSU · N KY 33% → 44%

  8. 08
    Karli MolnauKill+10.4%

    Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 5 · N KY 9-12 BGSU · BGSU 79% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514226.46210010313.517.5
510730.10000019130313
510627.1480005112212
57115.40001320052.510.5
5016-.167511290031.52.5
52311-.0911001110002
512550.14002072010.514.5
53112.167151800008
5001.0002002230000
Team totals5826178.1805696841071213111
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
524562.3063217204228
58317.2940223046717
512538.18400040233.515.5
59222.3180022034514
56213.30847111401229
46629.000010530007
5000–4311320003
5004.0006122500001
3000–101700000
22516-.18800000010.52.5
1000–000000000
1000–300300000
Team totals6728201.194641010839102020112

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northern Ky. vs Bowling Green

Season series · Bowling Green leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 N KY · BGSU 6

Set 1

28-26

Longest run 6 N KYBGSU 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 N KYBGSU 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 N KYBGSU 6

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 5 N KYBGSU 4

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 2 N KYBGSU 4

Bars above the line = Bowling Green leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%13/23
66%19/29
2
42%11/26
38%8/21
3
79%11/14
31%5/16
4
56%10/18
21%3/14
5
60%9/15
47%8/17
6
56%9/16
36%5/14
All
56%63/112
43%48/111

Bowling Green

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%13/34
50%11/22
2
71%12/17
52%13/25
3
85%11/13
35%6/17
4
77%10/13
41%7/17
5
45%9/20
50%10/20
6
57%8/14
18%2/11
All
57%63/111
44%49/112

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

223 rallies

#N KY-BGSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
21-1N KYBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.8
31-2BGSUBGSU×3BlockedAva Hoyingblk Cecily Waynar, Karli Molnau+2.3
41-3BGSUBGSU×3BlockedSydney Brayblk Anastasija Bozic, Cecily Waynar+2.2
52-3BGSUN KYAttack errKarli Molnau+1.7
62-4N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.7
73-4BGSUN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
83-5N KYBGSU×3Attack errAva Hoying+1.8
93-6BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.1
103-7BGSUBGSU×3BlockedSydney Brayblk Helen Wilford, Anastasija Bozic+1.9
114-7BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
124-8N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.5
134-9BGSUBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Avery Anders+1.7
145-9BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
155-10N KYBGSUBlockedLucia Heidblk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten+1.3
166-10BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
176-11N KYBGSUServe errNorthern Ky.+1.3
187-11BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
198-11N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Avery Hobson+1.9
208-12N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+1.6
219-12BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.5
2210-12N KYN KYAttack errAnastasija Bozic+2.3
2310-13N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+2.0
2411-13BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
2511-14N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+2.0
2611-15BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Sydney Bray+2.3
2712-15BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+1.5
2813-15N KYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
2913-16N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.2
3013-17BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Emma Adkins+2.4
3114-17BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.5
3214-18N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.9
3315-18BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+1.5
3415-19N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.9
3516-19BGSUN KY×6Attack errCecily Waynar+1.5
3617-19N KYN KY×6AceNorthern Ky.aced Anastasija Bozic+2.6
3718-19N KYN KY×6AceNorthern Ky.aced Avery Hobson+3.5
3819-19N KYN KY×6BlockedKarli Molnaublk Katie Noschang, Ava Hoying+4.4
3920-19N KYN KY×6BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Sydney Bray+5.1
4021-19N KYN KY×6Attack errAva Hoying+5.2
4121-20N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.3
4222-20BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+4.4
4322-21N KYBGSUBlockedSydney Brayblk Anastasija Bozic, Cecily Waynar+3.5
4423-21BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+5.0
4523-22N KYBGSUAttack errAllison Risley+3.6
4624-22BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+5.9
4724-23N KYBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Sydnie Hernandez+3.4
4824-24BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Green+9.8
4924-25BGSUBGSU×3BlockedLucia Heidblk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten+9.2
5025-25BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+7.1
5126-25N KYN KYKillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+9.7
5226-26N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+7.5
5327-26BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+7.5
5428-26N KYN KYBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Sydney Bray+10.3
Set 2
11-0N KYN KY×5Attack errKarli Molnau+2.8
22-0N KYN KY×5Attack errCecily Waynar+2.8
33-0N KYN KY×5BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Katie Noschang, Lucia Heid+2.8
44-0N KYN KY×5Serve errNorthern Ky.+2.8
55-0N KYN KY×5KillLucia Heidset Amanda Otten+2.6
65-1N KYBGSUServe errNorthern Ky.+1.7
75-2BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Lucia Heid+2.5
86-2BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.2
97-2N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Avery Hobson+2.7
107-3N KYBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.8
117-4BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Sydnie Hernandez+2.6
127-5BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Greenaced Ava Hoying+2.8
138-5BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.5
148-6N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.2
158-7BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Daisy Cluxton+3.1
169-7BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
1710-7N KYN KYAttack errHelen Wilford+3.3
1810-8N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.3
1910-9BGSUBGSUAttack errAllison Risley+3.3
2011-9BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.8
2111-10N KYBGSUBlockedAbbigail Pickardblk Helen Wilford+2.6
2212-10BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+2.9
2313-10N KYN KYAttack errCecily Waynar+3.6
2413-11N KYBGSU×3KillAmanda Ottenset Avery Anders+2.5
2513-12BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+3.6
2613-13BGSUBGSU×3BlockedEmma Adkinsblk Cecily Waynar+3.8
2714-13BGSUN KY×4BlockedKarli Molnaublk Lucia Heid, Katie Noschang+3.2
2815-13N KYN KY×4AceNorthern Ky.+4.2
2916-13N KYN KY×4Bad setAmanda Otten+4.0
3017-13N KYN KY×4Attack errAvery Hobson+3.6
3117-14N KYBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.2
3217-15BGSUBGSU×3BlockedKatie Noschangblk Cecily Waynar, Karli Molnau+3.5
3317-16BGSUBGSU×3Serve errBowling Green+4.2
3418-16BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+3.8
3518-17N KYBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+3.3
3619-17BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+4.1
3720-17N KYN KYAttack errKarli Molnau+4.8
3820-18N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.8
3920-19BGSUBGSUBlockedAva Hoyingblk Helen Wilford+4.8
4021-19BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+4.7
4122-19N KYN KYBlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Abbigail Pickard, Ivey Stocks+5.3
4222-20N KYBGSUBlockedSydney Brayblk Helen Wilford+2.7
4323-20BGSUN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+4.4
4424-20N KYN KY×3AceNorthern Ky.aced Avery Anders+3.4
4525-20N KYN KY×3AceNorthern Ky.aced Avery Anders+1.1
Set 3
10-1BGSUBGSU×6KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.1
20-2BGSUBGSU×6BlockedEmma Adkinsblk Cecily Waynar+2.0
30-3BGSUBGSU×6KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.9
40-4BGSUBGSU×6BlockedSydney Brayblk Karli Molnau, Cecily Waynar+1.7
50-5BGSUBGSU×6Attack errLucia Heid+1.5
60-6BGSUBGSU×6Attack errSydney Bray+1.3
71-6BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
81-7N KYBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.0
91-8BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.0
101-9BGSUBGSU×3KillKarli Molnau+0.8
112-9BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Allison Risley+0.5
123-9N KYN KYBlockedCecily Waynarblk Ivey Stocks+0.8
133-10N KYBGSUServe errNorthern Ky.+0.8
144-10BGSUN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+0.6
155-10N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
165-11N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.0
176-11BGSUN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+0.8
186-12N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.0
197-12BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.8
207-13N KYBGSUKillAva Buddelmeyer+1.0
217-14BGSUBGSUBlockedEmma Adkinsblk Cecily Waynar, Ava Buddelmeyer+1.0
228-14BGSUN KY×3Serve errBowling Green+0.6
239-14N KYN KY×3Attack errAnastasija Bozic+1.0
2410-14N KYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
2510-15N KYBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Sydnie Hernandez+1.3
2611-15BGSUN KYBad setAmanda Otten+1.0
2711-16N KYBGSUServe errNorthern Ky.+1.3
2811-17BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Daisy Cluxton+1.3
2912-17BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
3013-17N KYN KYBlockedAmanda Ottenblk Ivey Stocks+1.3
3113-18N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.3
3214-18BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
3314-19N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.3
3415-19BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
3515-20N KYBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.3
3615-21BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.0
3715-22BGSUBGSU×3KillAva Buddelmeyerset Sydnie Hernandez+0.5
3816-22BGSUN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
3917-22N KYN KY×3KillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+0.4
4018-22N KYN KY×3BlockedAva Buddelmeyerblk Katie Noschang, Abbigail Pickard+0.8
4118-23N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.0
4219-23BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Emma Adkins+0.4
4320-23N KYN KYAttack errAva Buddelmeyer+1.1
4420-24N KYBGSUBlockedSydney Brayblk Cecily Waynar+1.5
4521-24BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
4622-24N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Anastasija Bozic+1.5
4722-25N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.6
Set 4
11-0N KYN KYAttack errAva Buddelmeyer+3.7
22-0N KYN KYAttack errAva Buddelmeyer+3.8
32-1N KYBGSUServe errNorthern Ky.+2.8
43-1BGSUN KYAttack errKarli Molnau+3.0
53-2N KYBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.8
63-3BGSUBGSUAceBowling Green+3.8
74-3BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+3.1
84-4N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+3.0
95-4BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.1
105-5N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.0
116-5BGSUN KY×5BlockedAva Buddelmeyerblk Katie Noschang, Abbigail Pickard+3.2
127-5N KYN KY×5KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+4.3
138-5N KYN KY×5Attack errHelen Wilford+4.2
149-5N KYN KY×5BlockedAmanda Ottenblk Lucia Heid+4.1
1510-5N KYN KY×5BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Sydney Bray+3.7
1610-6N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.4
1711-6BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.9
1811-7N KYBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.4
1911-8BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Greenaced Ava Hoying+3.6
2011-9BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+4.1
2112-9BGSUN KY×3Serve errBowling Green+3.7
2213-9N KYN KY×3BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Ivey Stocks+4.4
2314-9N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.9
2414-10N KYBGSUServe errNorthern Ky.+2.4
2514-11BGSUBGSUBlockedIvey Stocksblk Cecily Waynar+3.7
2615-11BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+3.6
2715-12N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.9
2815-13BGSUBGSUBlockedAva Hoyingblk Karli Molnau+4.5
2916-13BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+4.2
3016-14N KYBGSUAttack errLucia Heid+3.5
3116-15BGSUBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Anastasija Bozic+5.3
3217-15BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+4.8
3317-16N KYBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+4.3
3417-17BGSUBGSU×4Attack errAvery Hobson+6.2
3517-18BGSUBGSU×4BlockedLucia Heidblk Amanda Otten+6.5
3617-19BGSUBGSU×4Attack errLucia Heid+6.2
3718-19BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+4.3
3819-19N KYN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+7.0
3919-20N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+5.8
4020-20BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+5.9
4120-21N KYBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Anastasija Bozic+6.5
4220-22BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+7.9
4321-22BGSUN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+5.0
4422-22N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocks+9.4
4523-22N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+12.0
4623-23N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+8.8
4724-23BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Ivey Stocks+11.9
4824-24N KYBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+11.9
4924-25BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Greenaced Daisy Cluxton+14.5
5024-26BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+12.7
Set 5
11-0BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+6.7
21-1N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Avery Anders+6.4
31-2BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Avery Anders+8.5
42-2BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+6.7
52-3N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+6.8
63-3BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+6.9
73-4N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+7.1
83-5BGSUBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Alivia Brown+8.8
94-5BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+6.5
104-6N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+7.1
115-6BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+6.8
126-6N KYN KYAttack errAvery Hobson+10.2
136-7N KYBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+8.3
146-8BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+10.3
157-8BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+7.4
168-8N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.+11.5
178-9N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+9.5
189-9BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+9.6
199-10N KYBGSU×4BlockedAva Hoyingblk Karli Molnau+10.3
209-11BGSUBGSU×4BlockedIvey Stocksblk Anastasija Bozic, Helen Wilford+12.8
219-12BGSUBGSU×4KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+10.4
229-13BGSUBGSU×4KillKarli Molnauset Anastasija Bozic+6.8
2310-13BGSUN KYAttack errAnastasija Bozic+2.6
2411-13N KYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+6.4
2511-14N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+8.5
2612-14BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+3.5
2712-15N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+7.8

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).