CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Bowling Green def. Northern Ky. 31

(23-25, 25-22, 25-19, 25-20)
Set1234*Sets
N KY252219201
BGSU232525253
  • * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BGSU above 50 · N KY below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100BGSUN KYBiggest swing +8.0% N KY · S1 25-23rally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.0% to Northern Ky. — set 1, N KY 25-23 BGSU. Kill by Allison Risley (set by Abbigail Pickard). BGSU win probability 53%45%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

N KY 34.1%65.9% BGSU

Northern Ky. wins

3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.2%
3-2
15.1%

Bowling Green wins

3-0
20.6%
3-1
25.3%
3-2
20.0%
N KY break %
41.8% vs this opp
BGSU break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01

    Kill by Allison Risley (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · N KY 25-23 BGSU · N KY 47%55%

  2. 02
    Ava HoyingKill+5.7%

    Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · N KY 22-20 BGSU · N KY 40%46%

  3. 03
    Karli MolnauKill+5.4%

    Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Molly Beatty)

    Set 2 · N KY 19-21 BGSU · BGSU 48%54%

  4. 04
    N KY serverAce+5.3%

    Northern Ky. ace on Anastasija Bozic

    Set 2 · N KY 19-19 BGSU · N KY 51%56%

  5. 05
    N KY serverService error+5.1%

    Northern Ky. service error

    Set 2 · N KY 21-23 BGSU · BGSU 51%56%

  6. 06
    BGSU serverAce+5.0%

    Bowling Green ace on Emma Adkins

    Set 4 · N KY 18-20 BGSU · BGSU 85%90%

  7. 07

    Kill by Katie Noschang (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · N KY 23-21 BGSU · N KY 43%48%

  8. 08
    Anastasija BozicAttack error+4.9%

    Anastasija Bozic stuffed by Sydney Bray & Katie Noschang

    Set 4 · N KY 18-18 BGSU · N KY 14%19%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413021.6190001014316
48839.00001120031.510.5
44319.05304262052.510.5
46414.143001200639
44431.0002211200006
42113.077313080010.55.5
4259-.333100530002
4005.0003201600002
1237-.14300020010.52.5
Team totals4128158.082371255471201186
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412631.19425193010.517.5
414226.4620003002115
48213.4620001024412
44012.333001002448
3004.0001001400000
2002.000100120000
415543.23310001010.515.5
44118.1673502400426
4001.000212920001
4002.0002022700000
3014-.250110420001
2000001100000
Team totals5717156.2565471063124161298

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 N KY · BGSU 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 N KYBGSU 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 N KYBGSU 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 N KYBGSU 5

Set 4*

20-25

Longest run 3 N KYBGSU 5

Bars above the line = Bowling Green leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Northern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
25%2/8
2
50%6/12
50%7/14
3
40%6/15
45%5/11
4
55%6/11
54%7/13
5
75%6/8
25%2/8
6
56%5/9
50%6/12
All
51%37/73
44%29/66

Bowling Green

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
56%9/16
2
58%7/12
56%9/16
3
50%6/12
57%8/14
4
67%6/9
33%3/9
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
56%5/9
44%4/9
All
56%37/66
49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

184 rallies

Rally log

#N KY-BGSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BGSUBGSU×3Attack errSydney Bray+2.2
20-2BGSUBGSU×3Attack errKatie Noschang+2.1
30-3BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Sydney Bray+2.0
41-3BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.5
52-3N KYN KYKillIvey Stocks+2.1
62-4N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+1.7
73-4BGSUN KYKillAllison Risleyset Daisy Cluxton+1.7
84-4N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Avery Anders+2.4
94-5N KYBGSU×5KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.8
104-6BGSUBGSU×5AceBGSU serveraced Sydney Bray+2.3
114-7BGSUBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.1
124-8BGSUBGSU×5Attack errEmma Adkins+1.9
134-9BGSUBGSU×5AceBGSU serveraced Emma Adkins+1.6
145-9BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+1.1
155-10N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.3
166-10BGSUN KYAttack errAmanda Ottenblk Ivey Stocks+1.1
177-10N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Anastasija Bozic+1.8
187-11N KYBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.5
198-11BGSUN KYBad setCecily Waynar+1.4
209-11N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.2
219-12N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Molly Beatty+1.8
2210-12BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+1.7
2310-13N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+1.9
2411-13BGSUN KY×3KillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
2512-13N KYN KY×3KillAllison Risleyset Karli Molnau+2.7
2613-13N KYN KY×3Attack errAnastasija Bozicblk Sydney Bray, Ivey Stocks+3.1
2713-14N KYBGSU×4KillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+2.5
2813-15BGSUBGSU×4AceBGSU serveraced Team+3.1
2913-16BGSUBGSU×4KillAmanda Ottenset Alivia Brown+2.8
3013-17BGSUBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.3
3114-17BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+1.4
3215-17N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Avery Anders+2.5
3315-18N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.3
3416-18BGSUN KY×4KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
3517-18N KYN KY×4Attack errAnastasija Bozicblk Ivey Stocks, Ava Hoying+3.3
3618-18N KYN KY×4Attack errAvery Hobson+4.1
3719-18N KYN KY×4AceN KY serveraced Avery Hobson+4.6
3819-19N KYBGSUServe errN KY server+3.4
3920-19BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.9
4020-20N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+3.7
4121-20BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+4.3
4222-20N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+5.7
4322-21N KYBGSUAttack errAva Hoyingblk Cecily Waynar, Karli Molnau+3.4
4423-21BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+5.0
4524-21N KYN KYAttack errAnastasija Bozicblk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang+4.9
4624-22N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.5
4724-23BGSUBGSUAttack errEmma Adkins+4.4
4825-23BGSUN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+8.0
Set 2
10-1N KYBGSUAttack errEmma Adkins+2.0
20-2BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+2.5
31-2BGSUN KYKillAbbigail Pickardset Emma Adkins+1.9
41-3N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Edyta Waclawczyk+2.0
52-3BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
63-3N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Edyta Waclawczyk+2.8
73-4N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+2.1
83-5BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.7
94-5BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+2.1
104-6N KYBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.1
114-7BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Anastasija Bozic+2.6
124-8BGSUBGSU×4Attack errAllison Risleyblk Helen Wilford+2.3
134-9BGSUBGSU×4AceBGSU serveraced Sydney Bray+2.0
145-9BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.3
156-9N KYN KYAttack errHelen Wilfordblk Katie Noschang, Ava Hoying+2.1
166-10N KYBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.8
176-11BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.0
186-12BGSUBGSU×3Attack errAva Hoyingblk Amanda Otten, Cecily Waynar+1.6
197-12BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+1.0
208-12N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Team+1.7
218-13N KYBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.6
229-13BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+1.3
239-14N KYBGSUAttack errKatie Noschangblk Cecily Waynar+1.6
249-15BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Anastasija Bozic+1.6
2510-15BGSUN KYBad setKarli Molnau+0.9
2611-15N KYN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
2711-16N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+1.6
2812-16BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+1.3
2912-17N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+1.6
3013-17BGSUN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
3114-17N KYN KY×3AceN KY serveraced Alivia Brown+2.2
3215-17N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+3.0
3315-18N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.8
3416-18BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
3516-19N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.9
3617-19BGSUN KY×3KillAbbigail Pickardset Allison Risley+2.4
3718-19N KYN KY×3AceN KY serveraced Alivia Brown+4.2
3819-19N KYN KY×3AceN KY serveraced Anastasija Bozic+5.3
3919-20N KYBGSU×3KillAmanda Ottenset Avery Hobson+4.4
4019-21BGSUBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+5.4
4119-22BGSUBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Molly Beatty+4.4
4220-22BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
4321-22N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+4.8
4421-23N KYBGSUServe errN KY server+5.1
4521-24BGSUBGSUAttack errAllison Risley+4.6
4622-24BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.5
4722-25N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.2
Set 3
10-1BGSUBGSUAttack errAbbigail Pickard+3.0
20-2BGSUBGSUAttack errAllison Risleyblk Helen Wilford, Karli Molnau+2.9
31-2BGSUN KY×4Bad setKarli Molnau+2.2
42-2N KYN KY×4Attack errEdyta Waclawczyk+3.1
53-2N KYN KY×4AceN KY serveraced Anastasija Bozic+3.3
64-2N KYN KY×4KillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+3.4
74-3N KYBGSUServe errN KY server+2.5
84-4BGSUBGSUAttack errAmanda Otten+3.3
95-4BGSUN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.7
106-4N KYN KY×3AceN KY serveraced Team+3.6
117-4N KYN KY×3Bad setAmanda Otten+3.6
127-5N KYBGSU×5KillAnastasija Bozicset Avery Anders+2.5
137-6BGSUBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+3.5
147-7BGSUBGSU×5KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.6
157-8BGSUBGSU×5KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+3.6
167-9BGSUBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+3.4
178-9BGSUN KYAttack errAvery Hobson+2.6
189-9N KYN KYBad setHelen Wilford+3.8
199-10N KYBGSUAttack errAva Hoyingblk Amanda Otten, Helen Wilford+2.9
2010-10BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Allison Risley+3.0
2110-11N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+3.0
2211-11BGSUN KYAttack errKarli Molnau+3.1
2312-11N KYN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+4.4
2412-12N KYBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+3.2
2512-13BGSUBGSU×3AceBGSU serveraced Team+4.3
2612-14BGSUBGSU×3Attack errSydney Brayblk Cecily Waynar, Anastasija Bozic+4.1
2713-14BGSUN KYBad setAnastasija Bozic+3.0
2813-15N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+3.2
2913-16BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.8
3014-16BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+2.6
3114-17N KYBGSU×3Serve errN KY server+3.0
3214-18BGSUBGSU×3Attack errAllison Risley+3.3
3314-19BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.4
3415-19BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.3
3515-20N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.8
3616-20BGSUN KYAttack errAvery Hobson+1.2
3717-20N KYN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
3817-21N KYBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.6
3917-22BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.1
4017-23BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.0
4118-23BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+0.3
4218-24N KYBGSUAttack errKatie Noschang+0.6
4319-24BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+0.1
4419-25N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+0.3
Set 4
11-0N KYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.8
22-0N KYN KYAceN KY serveraced Edyta Waclawczyk+2.9
32-1N KYBGSUAttack errAva Hoying+2.1
42-2BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.8
53-2BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
63-3N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.2
73-4BGSUBGSUAttack errAva Hoying+2.8
84-4BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.2
94-5N KYBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.2
104-6BGSUBGSU×3KillAmanda Ottenset Sydnie Hernandez+2.8
114-7BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+2.6
125-7BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.9
135-8N KYBGSU×3Serve errN KY server+2.0
145-9BGSUBGSU×3Attack errEmma Adkins+2.4
155-10BGSUBGSU×3Attack errLucia Heidblk Cecily Waynar, Amanda Otten+2.0
166-10BGSUN KYServe errBGSU server+1.3
177-10N KYN KYAttack errAvery Hobson+2.2
187-11N KYBGSUFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.9
198-11BGSUN KY×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.7
209-11N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Cecily Waynar+2.7
2110-11N KYN KY×3KillSydnie Hernandezset Amanda Otten+3.1
2210-12N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.5
2310-13BGSUBGSUAttack errAva Hoying+3.1
2411-13BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.1
2512-13N KYN KYAttack errAnastasija Bozic+3.3
2612-14N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.7
2712-15BGSUBGSUAttack errAva Hoying+3.3
2813-15BGSUN KY×3KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.2
2914-15N KYN KY×3Attack errKarli Molnau+3.6
3015-15N KYN KY×3Attack errAnastasija Bozic+4.2
3115-16N KYBGSU×3Attack errAva Hoyingblk Helen Wilford+3.3
3215-17BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+4.2
3315-18BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+3.7
3416-18BGSUN KY×3KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
3517-18N KYN KY×3Attack errHelen Wilford+4.0
3618-18N KYN KY×3Attack errAnastasija Bozicblk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang+4.9
3718-19N KYBGSU×5KillAmanda Otten+4.0
3818-20BGSUBGSU×5AceBGSU serveraced Emma Adkins+5.0
3918-21BGSUBGSU×5Attack errKatie Noschang+4.2
4018-22BGSUBGSU×5AceBGSU serveraced Emma Adkins+3.0
4118-23BGSUBGSU×5Attack errLucia Heidblk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten+1.6
4219-23BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
4319-24N KYBGSUAttack errSydney Brayblk Helen Wilford, Avery Hobson+1.0
4420-24BGSUN KYAttack errEmma Adkins+0.3
4520-25N KYBGSUAttack errLucia Heid+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.