Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Bowling Green def. Northern Ky. 3–1

Bowling Green beat visiting Northern Ky. 3-1 (23-25, 25-22, 25-19, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Bowling Green's Avery Hobson led with 15 kills, and Sydnie Hernandez added 27 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
N KY252219201
BGSU232525253

Win probability

Bowling Green above 50 · Northern Ky. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.9% N KYrally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.9% to Northern Ky. — set 1, N KY 25-23 BGSU. Kill by Allison Risley (set by Abbigail Pickard). BGSU win probability 58% → 50%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N KY 29.0%71.0% BGSU

Northern Ky. wins

3-0
5.4%
3-1
10.1%
3-2
13.4%

Bowling Green wins

3-0
24.0%
3-1
27.2%
3-2
19.8%
N KY break %
41.5% vs this opp
BGSU break %
45.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Allison Risley (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · N KY 25-23 BGSU · N KY 42% → 50%

  2. 02
    Ava HoyingKill+5.5%

    Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · N KY 22-20 BGSU · N KY 36% → 41%

  3. 03
    Karli MolnauKill+5.4%

    Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Molly Beatty)

    Set 2 · N KY 19-21 BGSU · BGSU 53% → 58%

  4. 04
    Northern Ky.Ace+5.3%

    Northern Ky. ace on Anastasija Bozic

    Set 2 · N KY 19-19 BGSU · N KY 46% → 52%

  5. 05
    Northern Ky.Service error+5.1%

    Northern Ky. service error

    Set 2 · N KY 21-23 BGSU · BGSU 55% → 60%

  6. 06

    Kill by Katie Noschang (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · N KY 23-21 BGSU · N KY 38% → 43%

  7. 07

    Anastasija Bozic stuffed by Sydney Bray & Katie Noschang

    Set 1 · N KY 24-21 BGSU · N KY 43% → 47%

  8. 08
    Ava HoyingKill+4.8%

    Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Daisy Cluxton)

    Set 2 · N KY 21-22 BGSU · N KY 40% → 45%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413021.6190001014316
48839.00001120031.510.5
44319.05304262052.510.5
46414.143001200639
44431.0002211200006
42113.077313080010.55.5
4259-.333100530002
4005.0003201600002
1237-.14300020010.52.5
Team totals4128158.082371255471201186
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412631.19425193010.517.5
414226.4620003002115
48213.4620001024412
44012.333001002448
3004.0001001400000
2002.000100120000
415543.23310001010.515.5
44118.1673502400426
4001.000212920001
4002.0002022700000
3014-.250110420001
2000–001100000
Team totals5717156.2565471063124161298

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northern Ky. vs Bowling Green

Season series · Bowling Green leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 N KY · BGSU 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 N KYBGSU 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 N KYBGSU 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 N KYBGSU 5

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 3 N KYBGSU 5

Bars above the line = Bowling Green leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
25%2/8
2
50%6/12
50%7/14
3
40%6/15
45%5/11
4
55%6/11
54%7/13
5
75%6/8
25%2/8
6
56%5/9
50%6/12
All
51%37/73
44%29/66

Bowling Green

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
56%9/16
2
58%7/12
56%9/16
3
50%6/12
57%8/14
4
67%6/9
33%3/9
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
56%5/9
44%4/9
All
56%37/66
49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#N KY-BGSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BGSUBGSU×3Attack errSydney Bray+2.0
20-2BGSUBGSU×3Attack errKatie Noschang+1.9
30-3BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Sydney Bray+1.8
41-3BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.3
52-3N KYN KYKillIvey Stocks+1.9
62-4N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+1.5
73-4BGSUN KYKillAllison Risleyset Daisy Cluxton+1.5
84-4N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Avery Anders+2.2
94-5N KYBGSU×5KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.7
104-6BGSUBGSU×5AceBowling Greenaced Sydney Bray+2.1
114-7BGSUBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.9
124-8BGSUBGSU×5Attack errEmma Adkins+1.7
134-9BGSUBGSU×5AceBowling Greenaced Emma Adkins+1.4
145-9BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+1.0
155-10N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.1
166-10BGSUN KYBlockedAmanda Ottenblk Ivey Stocks+1.0
177-10N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Anastasija Bozic+1.6
187-11N KYBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.4
198-11BGSUN KYBad setCecily Waynar+1.3
209-11N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
219-12N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Molly Beatty+1.7
2210-12BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+1.6
2310-13N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+1.7
2411-13BGSUN KY×3KillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+1.6
2512-13N KYN KY×3KillAllison Risleyset Karli Molnau+2.5
2613-13N KYN KY×3BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Sydney Bray, Ivey Stocks+2.9
2713-14N KYBGSU×4KillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+2.3
2813-15BGSUBGSU×4AceBowling Green+2.8
2913-16BGSUBGSU×4KillAmanda Ottenset Alivia Brown+2.5
3013-17BGSUBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.1
3114-17BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+1.3
3215-17N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Avery Anders+2.3
3315-18N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.1
3416-18BGSUN KY×4KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
3517-18N KYN KY×4BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Ivey Stocks, Ava Hoying+3.1
3618-18N KYN KY×4Attack errAvery Hobson+3.8
3719-18N KYN KY×4AceNorthern Ky.aced Avery Hobson+4.4
3819-19N KYBGSUServe errNorthern Ky.+3.2
3920-19BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.7
4020-20N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+3.5
4121-20BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+4.1
4222-20N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+5.5
4322-21N KYBGSUBlockedAva Hoyingblk Cecily Waynar, Karli Molnau+3.3
4423-21BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+4.9
4524-21N KYN KYBlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang+4.9
4624-22N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.5
4724-23BGSUBGSUAttack errEmma Adkins+4.3
4825-23BGSUN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+7.9
Set 2
10-1N KYBGSUAttack errEmma Adkins+2.0
20-2BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+2.5
31-2BGSUN KYKillAbbigail Pickardset Emma Adkins+1.9
41-3N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Edyta Waclawczyk+1.9
52-3BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
63-3N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Edyta Waclawczyk+2.8
73-4N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+2.1
83-5BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.7
94-5BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+2.1
104-6N KYBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.1
114-7BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Anastasija Bozic+2.5
124-8BGSUBGSU×4BlockedAllison Risleyblk Helen Wilford+2.2
134-9BGSUBGSU×4AceBowling Greenaced Sydney Bray+1.9
145-9BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.3
156-9N KYN KYBlockedHelen Wilfordblk Katie Noschang, Ava Hoying+2.1
166-10N KYBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.8
176-11BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.9
186-12BGSUBGSU×3BlockedAva Hoyingblk Amanda Otten, Cecily Waynar+1.5
197-12BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+1.0
208-12N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.+1.7
218-13N KYBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.5
229-13BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+1.3
239-14N KYBGSUBlockedKatie Noschangblk Cecily Waynar+1.5
249-15BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Anastasija Bozic+1.5
2510-15BGSUN KYBad setKarli Molnau+0.9
2611-15N KYN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+1.6
2711-16N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+1.5
2812-16BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+1.2
2912-17N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+1.6
3013-17BGSUN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
3114-17N KYN KY×3AceNorthern Ky.aced Alivia Brown+2.2
3215-17N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+3.0
3315-18N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.7
3416-18BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
3516-19N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.8
3617-19BGSUN KY×3KillAbbigail Pickardset Allison Risley+2.4
3718-19N KYN KY×3AceNorthern Ky.aced Alivia Brown+4.2
3819-19N KYN KY×3AceNorthern Ky.aced Anastasija Bozic+5.3
3919-20N KYBGSU×3KillAmanda Ottenset Avery Hobson+4.4
4019-21BGSUBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+5.4
4119-22BGSUBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Molly Beatty+4.3
4220-22BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
4321-22N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+4.8
4421-23N KYBGSUServe errNorthern Ky.+5.1
4521-24BGSUBGSUAttack errAllison Risley+4.6
4622-24BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.5
4722-25N KYBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.2
Set 3
10-1BGSUBGSUAttack errAbbigail Pickard+2.8
20-2BGSUBGSUBlockedAllison Risleyblk Helen Wilford, Karli Molnau+2.7
31-2BGSUN KY×4Bad setKarli Molnau+2.1
42-2N KYN KY×4Attack errEdyta Waclawczyk+3.0
53-2N KYN KY×4AceNorthern Ky.aced Anastasija Bozic+3.2
64-2N KYN KY×4KillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+3.4
74-3N KYBGSUServe errNorthern Ky.+2.4
84-4BGSUBGSUAttack errAmanda Otten+3.2
95-4BGSUN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
106-4N KYN KY×3AceNorthern Ky.+3.5
117-4N KYN KY×3Bad setAmanda Otten+3.6
127-5N KYBGSU×5KillAnastasija Bozicset Avery Anders+2.5
137-6BGSUBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+3.4
147-7BGSUBGSU×5KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.5
157-8BGSUBGSU×5KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+3.4
167-9BGSUBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+3.2
178-9BGSUN KYAttack errAvery Hobson+2.5
189-9N KYN KYBad setHelen Wilford+3.6
199-10N KYBGSUBlockedAva Hoyingblk Amanda Otten, Helen Wilford+2.8
2010-10BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Allison Risley+2.9
2110-11N KYBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.9
2211-11BGSUN KYAttack errKarli Molnau+3.0
2312-11N KYN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+4.2
2412-12N KYBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+3.1
2512-13BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Green+4.1
2612-14BGSUBGSU×3BlockedSydney Brayblk Cecily Waynar, Anastasija Bozic+3.9
2713-14BGSUN KYBad setAnastasija Bozic+2.9
2813-15N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+3.1
2913-16BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.6
3014-16BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+2.5
3114-17N KYBGSU×3Serve errNorthern Ky.+2.8
3214-18BGSUBGSU×3Attack errAllison Risley+3.0
3314-19BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.2
3415-19BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
3515-20N KYBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.6
3616-20BGSUN KYAttack errAvery Hobson+1.1
3717-20N KYN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.2
3817-21N KYBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.4
3917-22BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.9
4017-23BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.9
4118-23BGSUN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+0.3
4218-24N KYBGSUAttack errKatie Noschang+0.5
4319-24BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+0.1
4419-25N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+0.2
Set 4
11-0N KYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
22-0N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Edyta Waclawczyk+2.7
32-1N KYBGSUAttack errAva Hoying+2.0
42-2BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.6
53-2BGSUN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.1
63-3N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.0
73-4BGSUBGSUAttack errAva Hoying+2.6
84-4BGSUN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.1
94-5N KYBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.0
104-6BGSUBGSU×3KillAmanda Ottenset Sydnie Hernandez+2.5
114-7BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+2.3
125-7BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
135-8N KYBGSU×3Serve errNorthern Ky.+1.8
145-9BGSUBGSU×3Attack errEmma Adkins+2.1
155-10BGSUBGSU×3BlockedLucia Heidblk Cecily Waynar, Amanda Otten+1.8
166-10BGSUN KYServe errBowling Green+1.2
177-10N KYN KYAttack errAvery Hobson+1.9
18–198-11N KY · BGSU
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
209-11N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Cecily Waynar+2.4
2110-11N KYN KY×3KillSydnie Hernandezset Amanda Otten+2.9
2210-12N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.3
2310-13BGSUBGSUAttack errAva Hoying+2.7
2411-13BGSUN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
2512-13N KYN KYAttack errAnastasija Bozic+3.0
2612-14N KYBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.5
2712-15BGSUBGSUAttack errAva Hoying+2.9
2813-15BGSUN KY×3KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.1
2914-15N KYN KY×3Attack errKarli Molnau+3.3
3015-15N KYN KY×3Attack errAnastasija Bozic+3.9
3115-16N KYBGSU×3BlockedAva Hoyingblk Helen Wilford+3.1
3215-17BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+3.8
3315-18BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+3.3
3416-18BGSUN KY×3KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.2
3517-18N KYN KY×3Attack errHelen Wilford+3.7
3618-18N KYN KY×3BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang+4.6
3718-19N KYBGSU×5KillAmanda Otten+3.7
3818-20BGSUBGSU×5AceBowling Greenaced Emma Adkins+4.6
3918-21BGSUBGSU×5Attack errKatie Noschang+3.8
4018-22BGSUBGSU×5AceBowling Greenaced Emma Adkins+2.6
4118-23BGSUBGSU×5BlockedLucia Heidblk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten+1.5
4219-23BGSUN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
4319-24N KYBGSUBlockedSydney Brayblk Helen Wilford, Avery Hobson+0.9
4420-24BGSUN KYAttack errEmma Adkins+0.2
4520-25N KYBGSUAttack errLucia Heid+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).