FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

Northern Ky. def. Miami (OH) 3–0

Northern Ky. won at Miami (OH) 3-0 (25-20, 25-12, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Lucia Heid led Northern Ky. with 10 kills; Miami (OH)'s Molly Creech had a match-high 12.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
N KY2525253
MIA OH2012210

Win probability

Miami (OH) above 50 · Northern Ky. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.7% N KYrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.7% to Northern Ky. — set 3, N KY 21-19 MIA OH. Kill by Katie Noschang (set by Abbigail Pickard). MIA OH win probability 13% → 9%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N KY 37.2%62.8% MIA OH

Northern Ky. wins

3-0
7.8%
3-1
13.4%
3-2
15.9%

Miami (OH) wins

3-0
18.7%
3-1
24.0%
3-2
20.0%
N KY break %
41.2% vs this opp
MIA OH break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Katie Noschang (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 3 · N KY 21-19 MIA OH · N KY 87% → 91%

  2. 02
    Sydney BrayKill+4.4%

    Kill by Sydney Bray (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 3 · N KY 23-21 MIA OH · N KY 89% → 94%

  3. 03
    Sydney BrayKill+4.4%

    Kill by Sydney Bray

    Set 3 · N KY 24-21 MIA OH · N KY 94% → 98%

  4. 04

    Kill by Abbigail Pickard (set by Sydney Bray)

    Set 3 · N KY 22-20 MIA OH · N KY 89% → 92%

  5. 05
    Lauren CoyneKill+3.9%

    Kill by Lauren Coyne (set by Holland Van Deusen)

    Set 3 · N KY 18-18 MIA OH · MIA OH 13% → 17%

  6. 06
    Ava HoyingKill+3.8%

    Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 3 · N KY 18-16 MIA OH · N KY 86% → 89%

  7. 07
    Ivey StocksKill+3.7%

    Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 3 · N KY 17-16 MIA OH · N KY 82% → 86%

  8. 08
    Ivey StocksKill+3.5%

    Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 3 · N KY 20-19 MIA OH · N KY 83% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38318.2781129104211
38220.30000010132.510.5
37320.20001130010.58.5
3317.286021400427
3307.429010700004
3103.3333502400212
310326.2690002000010
3115.000000700001
3000–3001410000
Team totals4113106.2643956512114875
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312643.1400018100012
33318.000000001014
32210.000112810003
3224.00000020010.52.5
3204.50000000010.52.5
3103.3331710700002
37323.17400021010.57.5
3000–3011320000
2135-.40000010111.52.5
2000–402100000
2000–400100000
1012-.500000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000200000
1000–000000000
Team totals3020112.089292645524453

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northern Ky. vs Miami (OH)

Season series · Northern Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 N KY · MIA OH 3

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 N KYMIA OH 3

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 6 N KYMIA OH 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 N KYMIA OH 3

Bars above the line = Miami (OH) leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
57%8/14
2
67%6/9
63%10/16
3
86%6/7
45%5/11
4
55%6/11
45%5/11
5
75%6/8
45%5/11
6
63%5/8
50%5/10
All
67%37/55
52%38/73

Miami (OH)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
46%6/13
2
35%6/17
30%3/10
3
86%6/7
0%0/6
4
46%6/13
40%4/10
5
56%5/9
40%4/10
6
38%5/13
17%1/6
All
48%35/73
33%18/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#N KY-MIA OHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MIA OHN KYAttack errLauren Coyne+1.8
22-0N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Grace Kreutz+2.5
32-1N KYMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+1.7
42-2MIA OHMIA OHAceMiami (OH)aced Sydney Bray+2.4
53-2MIA OHN KYServe errMiami (OH)+1.9
64-2N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
74-3N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+1.8
85-3MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
95-4N KYMIA OH×3KillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+1.8
105-5MIA OHMIA OH×3BlockedLucia Heidblk Sydney Waller+2.6
115-6MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errKatie Noschang+2.6
126-6MIA OHN KYServe errMiami (OH)+1.9
137-6N KYN KYBad setMadison Brown+2.8
147-7N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Madison Brown+2.0
158-7MIA OHN KYBlockedChelsea Williamsblk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang+2.1
168-8N KYMIA OHKillSydney Wallerset Madison Brown+2.1
178-9MIA OHMIA OHAttack errSydney Bray+2.8
189-9MIA OHN KY×4BlockedSydney Wallerblk Ava Hoying, Katie Noschang+2.1
1910-9N KYN KY×4BlockedLydia Michelinblk Sydney Bray, Ivey Stocks+3.1
2011-9N KYN KY×4AceNorthern Ky.aced Chelsea Williams+3.1
2112-9N KYN KY×4Attack errSydney Waller+3.1
2212-10N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Madison Brown+2.0
2312-11MIA OHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Holland Van Deusen+3.0
2413-11MIA OHN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.5
2513-12N KYMIA OHServe errNorthern Ky.+2.3
2614-12MIA OHN KY×5KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
2715-12N KYN KY×5BlockedMolly Creechblk Ivey Stocks, Abbigail Pickard+3.4
2816-12N KYN KY×5AceNorthern Ky.aced Rachel Morgan+3.0
2917-12N KYN KY×5KillLucia Heidset Daisy Cluxton+2.5
3018-12N KYN KY×5Attack errLauren Coyne+1.9
3118-13N KYMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Rachel Morgan+0.9
3219-13MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.4
3319-14N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+0.8
3419-15MIA OHMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Madison Brown+1.6
3520-15MIA OHN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
3621-15N KYN KYBad setMadison Brown+1.6
3721-16N KYMIA OH×3BlockedLucia Heidblk Raegan Lantz, Sydney Waller+0.6
3821-17MIA OHMIA OH×3KillChelsea Williamsset Piper Willinger+1.3
3921-18MIA OHMIA OH×3KillMolly Creechset Rachel Morgan+2.1
4022-18MIA OHN KYServe errMiami (OH)+2.4
4122-19N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Piper Willinger+1.3
4223-19MIA OHN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
4324-19N KYN KYAttack errSydney Waller+1.5
4424-20N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Piper Willinger+0.3
4525-20MIA OHN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.6
Set 2
11-0N KYN KYAttack errGrace Kreutz+2.8
22-0N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Molly Creech+2.9
32-1N KYMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+2.0
43-1MIA OHN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.2
54-1N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Rachel Morgan+2.9
64-2N KYMIA OHServe errNorthern Ky.+2.0
75-2MIA OHN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+2.2
85-3N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+2.0
95-4MIA OHMIA OHAttack errIvey Stocks+2.9
106-4MIA OHN KY×5Serve errMiami (OH)+2.3
117-4N KYN KY×5KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+3.1
128-4N KYN KY×5Attack errMolly Creech+3.0
139-4N KYN KY×5Attack errMolly Creech+2.7
1410-4N KYN KY×5BlockedGrace Kreutzblk Ivey Stocks+2.4
1510-5N KYMIA OH×3Attack errLucia Heid+1.4
1610-6MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errIvey Stocks+2.3
1710-7MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errEmma Adkins+2.7
1811-7MIA OHN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
1912-7N KYN KY×3BlockedChelsea Williamsblk Katie Noschang, Abbigail Pickard+2.8
2013-7N KYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
2113-8N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Piper Willinger+1.3
2214-8MIA OHN KY×4KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
2315-8N KYN KY×4KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
2416-8N KYN KY×4KillEmma Adkinsset Daisy Cluxton+1.3
2517-8N KYN KY×4BlockedChelsea Williamsblk Katie Noschang, Sydney Bray+0.9
2617-9N KYMIA OH×3Serve errNorthern Ky.+0.4
2717-10MIA OHMIA OH×3BlockedSydney Brayblk Lydia Michelin, Chelsea Williams+0.7
2817-11MIA OHMIA OH×3Bad setAbbigail Pickard+1.1
2918-11MIA OHN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
3019-11N KYN KYAttack errLauren Coyne+1.0
3119-12N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Holland Van Deusen+0.4
3220-12MIA OHN KY×6Serve errMiami (OH)+0.7
3321-12N KYN KY×6BlockedMolly Creechblk Sydney Bray, Ivey Stocks+0.4
3422-12N KYN KY×6Attack errMolly Creech+0.2
3523-12N KYN KY×6Attack errSophia Stallworth+0.1
3624-12N KYN KY×6KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard·
3725-12N KYN KY×6KillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard·
Set 3
10-1MIA OHMIA OHAttack errAva Hoying+2.1
21-1MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.6
31-2N KYMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+1.6
42-2MIA OHN KYAttack errLydia Michelin+1.6
52-3N KYMIA OHBlockedAva Hoyingblk Lauren Coyne+1.6
63-3MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.6
73-4N KYMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Holland Van Deusen+1.6
84-4MIA OHN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
94-5N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
105-5MIA OHN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
115-6N KYMIA OHKillRaegan Lantzset Holland Van Deusen+1.7
126-6MIA OHN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
137-6N KYN KYKillSydney Bray+2.5
147-7N KYMIA OH×3KillLydia Michelinset Holland Van Deusen+1.8
157-8MIA OHMIA OH×3Attack errSydney Bray+2.5
167-9MIA OHMIA OH×3AceMiami (OH)aced Daisy Cluxton+2.4
178-9MIA OHN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
188-10N KYMIA OHAttack errAbbigail Pickard+1.8
198-11MIA OHMIA OHAttack errAva Hoying+2.3
209-11MIA OHN KYBad setHolland Van Deusen+1.5
219-12N KYMIA OHKillHolland Van Deusenset Grace Kreutz+1.7
2210-12MIA OHN KYServe errMiami (OH)+1.6
2310-13N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+1.8
2411-13MIA OHN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.6
2512-13N KYN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
2612-14N KYMIA OHServe errNorthern Ky.+2.1
2713-14MIA OHN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
2813-15N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Holland Van Deusen+2.2
2914-15MIA OHN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+2.1
3014-16N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Rachel Morgan+2.3
3115-16MIA OHN KY×4KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.1
3216-16N KYN KY×4KillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+3.4
3317-16N KYN KY×4KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.7
3418-16N KYN KY×4KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+3.8
3518-17N KYMIA OHServe errNorthern Ky.+2.5
3618-18MIA OHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van Deusen+3.9
3719-18MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.2
3819-19N KYMIA OHServe errNorthern Ky.+3.1
3920-19MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.5
4021-19N KYN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+4.7
4121-20N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Holland Van Deusen+2.9
4222-20MIA OHN KYKillAbbigail Pickardset Sydney Bray+3.9
4322-21N KYMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van Deusen+3.0
4423-21MIA OHN KY×3KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+4.4
4524-21N KYN KY×3KillSydney Bray+4.4
4625-21N KYN KY×3Attack errMolly Creech+1.8

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).