Northern Ky. def. Miami (OH) 3–0
Northern Ky. won at Miami (OH) 3-0 (25-20, 25-12, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Lucia Heid led Northern Ky. with 10 kills; Miami (OH)'s Molly Creech had a match-high 12.
Data through · final Sep 18
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N KY | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| MIA OH | 20 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 4.7% to Northern Ky. — set 3, N KY 21-19 MIA OH. Kill by Katie Noschang (set by Abbigail Pickard). MIA OH win probability 13% → 9%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Northern Ky. wins
Miami (OH) wins
- N KY break %
- 41.2% vs this opp
- MIA OH break %
- 43.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Katie NoschangKill+4.7%
Kill by Katie Noschang (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 3 · N KY 21-19 MIA OH · N KY 87% → 91%
- 02Sydney BrayKill+4.4%
Kill by Sydney Bray (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 3 · N KY 23-21 MIA OH · N KY 89% → 94%
- 03
- 04Abbigail PickardKill+3.9%
Kill by Abbigail Pickard (set by Sydney Bray)
Set 3 · N KY 22-20 MIA OH · N KY 89% → 92%
- 05Lauren CoyneKill+3.9%
Kill by Lauren Coyne (set by Holland Van Deusen)
Set 3 · N KY 18-18 MIA OH · MIA OH 13% → 17%
- 06Ava HoyingKill+3.8%
Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 3 · N KY 18-16 MIA OH · N KY 86% → 89%
- 07Ivey StocksKill+3.7%
Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 3 · N KY 17-16 MIA OH · N KY 82% → 86%
- 08Ivey StocksKill+3.5%
Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 3 · N KY 20-19 MIA OH · N KY 83% → 87%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 18 | .278 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 20 | .300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 20 | .200 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .286 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 26 | .269 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 41 | 13 | 106 | .264 | 39 | 5 | 6 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 43 | .140 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | .000 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .174 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -.400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 30 | 20 | 112 | .089 | 29 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 53 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Northern Ky. vs Miami (OH)
Season series · Northern Ky. leads 2-0
- Fri, Sep 18, 2026Northern Ky. at Miami (OH) · Northern Ky. won 3-0This match
- Sat, Sep 19, 2026Miami (OH) at Northern Ky. · Northern Ky. won 3-0Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-20
Set 2
25-12
Set 3
25-21
Bars above the line = Miami (OH) leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Northern Ky.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%8/12 | 57%8/14 |
| 2 | 67%6/9 | 63%10/16 |
| 3 | 86%6/7 | 45%5/11 |
| 4 | 55%6/11 | 45%5/11 |
| 5 | 75%6/8 | 45%5/11 |
| 6 | 63%5/8 | 50%5/10 |
| All | 67%37/55 | 52%38/73 |
Miami (OH)
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%7/14 | 46%6/13 |
| 2 | 35%6/17 | 30%3/10 |
| 3 | 86%6/7 | 0%0/6 |
| 4 | 46%6/13 | 40%4/10 |
| 5 | 56%5/9 | 40%4/10 |
| 6 | 38%5/13 | 17%1/6 |
| All | 48%35/73 | 33%18/55 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
128 rallies
| # | N KY-MIA OH | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MIA OH | N KY | Attack err | Lauren Coyne | +1.8 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | N KY | N KY | Ace | Northern Ky. | aced Grace Kreutz | +2.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Holland Van Deusen | +1.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Ace | Miami (OH) | aced Sydney Bray | +2.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MIA OH | N KY | Serve err | Miami (OH) | +1.9 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | N KY | N KY | Kill | Ava Hoying | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.6 |
| 7 | 4-3 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +1.8 |
| 8 | 5-3 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ivey Stocks | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | N KY | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +1.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Blocked | Lucia Heid | blk Sydney Waller | +2.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Katie Noschang | +2.6 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | MIA OH | N KY | Serve err | Miami (OH) | +1.9 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | N KY | N KY | Bad set | Madison Brown | +2.8 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Madison Brown | +2.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | MIA OH | N KY | Blocked | Chelsea Williams | blk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang | +2.1 |
| 16 | 8-8 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Sydney Waller | set Madison Brown | +2.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Attack err | Sydney Bray | +2.8 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | MIA OH | N KY×4 | Blocked | Sydney Waller | blk Ava Hoying, Katie Noschang | +2.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | N KY | N KY×4 | Blocked | Lydia Michelin | blk Sydney Bray, Ivey Stocks | +3.1 |
| 20 | 11-9 | N KY | N KY×4 | Ace | Northern Ky. | aced Chelsea Williams | +3.1 |
| 21 | 12-9 | N KY | N KY×4 | Attack err | Sydney Waller | +3.1 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Madison Brown | +2.0 |
| 23 | 12-11 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Holland Van Deusen | +3.0 |
| 24 | 13-11 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ava Hoying | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.5 |
| 25 | 13-12 | N KY | MIA OH | Serve err | Northern Ky. | +2.3 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | MIA OH | N KY×5 | Kill | Ivey Stocks | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.6 |
| 27 | 15-12 | N KY | N KY×5 | Blocked | Molly Creech | blk Ivey Stocks, Abbigail Pickard | +3.4 |
| 28 | 16-12 | N KY | N KY×5 | Ace | Northern Ky. | aced Rachel Morgan | +3.0 |
| 29 | 17-12 | N KY | N KY×5 | Kill | Lucia Heid | set Daisy Cluxton | +2.5 |
| 30 | 18-12 | N KY | N KY×5 | Attack err | Lauren Coyne | +1.9 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Rachel Morgan | +0.9 |
| 32 | 19-13 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ivey Stocks | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.4 |
| 33 | 19-14 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.8 |
| 34 | 19-15 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Madison Brown | +1.6 |
| 35 | 20-15 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Lucia Heid | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.8 |
| 36 | 21-15 | N KY | N KY | Bad set | Madison Brown | +1.6 | |
| 37 | 21-16 | N KY | MIA OH×3 | Blocked | Lucia Heid | blk Raegan Lantz, Sydney Waller | +0.6 |
| 38 | 21-17 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Piper Willinger | +1.3 |
| 39 | 21-18 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Molly Creech | set Rachel Morgan | +2.1 |
| 40 | 22-18 | MIA OH | N KY | Serve err | Miami (OH) | +2.4 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Piper Willinger | +1.3 |
| 42 | 23-19 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ava Hoying | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.3 |
| 43 | 24-19 | N KY | N KY | Attack err | Sydney Waller | +1.5 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Piper Willinger | +0.3 |
| 45 | 25-20 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ava Hoying | set Abbigail Pickard | +0.6 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | N KY | N KY | Attack err | Grace Kreutz | +2.8 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | N KY | N KY | Ace | Northern Ky. | aced Molly Creech | +2.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Grace Kreutz | set Holland Van Deusen | +2.0 |
| 4 | 3-1 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Katie Noschang | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.2 |
| 5 | 4-1 | N KY | N KY | Ace | Northern Ky. | aced Rachel Morgan | +2.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | N KY | MIA OH | Serve err | Northern Ky. | +2.0 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Allison Risley | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +2.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Attack err | Ivey Stocks | +2.9 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | MIA OH | N KY×5 | Serve err | Miami (OH) | +2.3 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | N KY | N KY×5 | Kill | Lucia Heid | set Abbigail Pickard | +3.1 |
| 12 | 8-4 | N KY | N KY×5 | Attack err | Molly Creech | +3.0 | |
| 13 | 9-4 | N KY | N KY×5 | Attack err | Molly Creech | +2.7 | |
| 14 | 10-4 | N KY | N KY×5 | Blocked | Grace Kreutz | blk Ivey Stocks | +2.4 |
| 15 | 10-5 | N KY | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Lucia Heid | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Ivey Stocks | +2.3 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Emma Adkins | +2.7 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | MIA OH | N KY×3 | Kill | Lucia Heid | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.3 |
| 19 | 12-7 | N KY | N KY×3 | Blocked | Chelsea Williams | blk Katie Noschang, Abbigail Pickard | +2.8 |
| 20 | 13-7 | N KY | N KY×3 | Kill | Lucia Heid | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.4 |
| 21 | 13-8 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Piper Willinger | +1.3 |
| 22 | 14-8 | MIA OH | N KY×4 | Kill | Lucia Heid | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.8 |
| 23 | 15-8 | N KY | N KY×4 | Kill | Sydney Bray | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.8 |
| 24 | 16-8 | N KY | N KY×4 | Kill | Emma Adkins | set Daisy Cluxton | +1.3 |
| 25 | 17-8 | N KY | N KY×4 | Blocked | Chelsea Williams | blk Katie Noschang, Sydney Bray | +0.9 |
| 26 | 17-9 | N KY | MIA OH×3 | Serve err | Northern Ky. | +0.4 | |
| 27 | 17-10 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Blocked | Sydney Bray | blk Lydia Michelin, Chelsea Williams | +0.7 |
| 28 | 17-11 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Bad set | Abbigail Pickard | +1.1 | |
| 29 | 18-11 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Lucia Heid | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.2 |
| 30 | 19-11 | N KY | N KY | Attack err | Lauren Coyne | +1.0 | |
| 31 | 19-12 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.4 |
| 32 | 20-12 | MIA OH | N KY×6 | Serve err | Miami (OH) | +0.7 | |
| 33 | 21-12 | N KY | N KY×6 | Blocked | Molly Creech | blk Sydney Bray, Ivey Stocks | +0.4 |
| 34 | 22-12 | N KY | N KY×6 | Attack err | Molly Creech | +0.2 | |
| 35 | 23-12 | N KY | N KY×6 | Attack err | Sophia Stallworth | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 24-12 | N KY | N KY×6 | Kill | Sydney Bray | set Abbigail Pickard | · |
| 37 | 25-12 | N KY | N KY×6 | Kill | Allison Risley | set Abbigail Pickard | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Attack err | Ava Hoying | +2.1 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ivey Stocks | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Lydia Michelin | set Holland Van Deusen | +1.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MIA OH | N KY | Attack err | Lydia Michelin | +1.6 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | N KY | MIA OH | Blocked | Ava Hoying | blk Lauren Coyne | +1.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ivey Stocks | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Raegan Lantz | set Holland Van Deusen | +1.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Lucia Heid | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Lucia Heid | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Raegan Lantz | set Holland Van Deusen | +1.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ava Hoying | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.7 |
| 13 | 7-6 | N KY | N KY | Kill | Sydney Bray | +2.5 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | N KY | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Lydia Michelin | set Holland Van Deusen | +1.8 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Sydney Bray | +2.5 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Ace | Miami (OH) | aced Daisy Cluxton | +2.4 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Sydney Bray | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.7 |
| 18 | 8-10 | N KY | MIA OH | Attack err | Abbigail Pickard | +1.8 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Attack err | Ava Hoying | +2.3 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | MIA OH | N KY | Bad set | Holland Van Deusen | +1.5 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Holland Van Deusen | set Grace Kreutz | +1.7 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MIA OH | N KY | Serve err | Miami (OH) | +1.6 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +1.8 |
| 24 | 11-13 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Lucia Heid | set Abbigail Pickard | +1.6 |
| 25 | 12-13 | N KY | N KY | Kill | Katie Noschang | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.6 |
| 26 | 12-14 | N KY | MIA OH | Serve err | Northern Ky. | +2.1 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Sydney Bray | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.0 |
| 28 | 13-15 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Holland Van Deusen | +2.2 |
| 29 | 14-15 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ava Hoying | set Daisy Cluxton | +2.1 |
| 30 | 14-16 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Rachel Morgan | +2.3 |
| 31 | 15-16 | MIA OH | N KY×4 | Kill | Sydney Bray | set Abbigail Pickard | +2.1 |
| 32 | 16-16 | N KY | N KY×4 | Kill | Allison Risley | set Abbigail Pickard | +3.4 |
| 33 | 17-16 | N KY | N KY×4 | Kill | Ivey Stocks | set Abbigail Pickard | +3.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | N KY | N KY×4 | Kill | Ava Hoying | set Abbigail Pickard | +3.8 |
| 35 | 18-17 | N KY | MIA OH | Serve err | Northern Ky. | +2.5 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Holland Van Deusen | +3.9 |
| 37 | 19-18 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ivey Stocks | set Abbigail Pickard | +3.2 |
| 38 | 19-19 | N KY | MIA OH | Serve err | Northern Ky. | +3.1 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Ivey Stocks | set Abbigail Pickard | +3.5 |
| 40 | 21-19 | N KY | N KY | Kill | Katie Noschang | set Abbigail Pickard | +4.7 |
| 41 | 21-20 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +2.9 |
| 42 | 22-20 | MIA OH | N KY | Kill | Abbigail Pickard | set Sydney Bray | +3.9 |
| 43 | 22-21 | N KY | MIA OH | Kill | Grace Kreutz | set Holland Van Deusen | +3.0 |
| 44 | 23-21 | MIA OH | N KY×3 | Kill | Sydney Bray | set Abbigail Pickard | +4.4 |
| 45 | 24-21 | N KY | N KY×3 | Kill | Sydney Bray | +4.4 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | N KY | N KY×3 | Attack err | Molly Creech | +1.8 | |
Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).