FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

Northern Ky. def. Miami (OH) 3–0

Northern Ky. beat visiting Miami (OH) 3-0 (25-17, 27-25, 25-17) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Northern Ky.'s Ivey Stocks and Lucia Heid led with 12 kills each, and Daisy Cluxton added 19 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
MIA OH1725170
N KY2527253

Win probability

Northern Ky. above 50 · Miami (OH) below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+9.8% MIA OHrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.8% to Miami (OH) — set 2, MIA OH 25-24 N KY. Kill by Molly Creech. N KY win probability 71% → 62%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIA OH 47.8%52.2% N KY

Miami (OH) wins

3-0
11.6%
3-1
17.8%
3-2
18.4%

Northern Ky. wins

3-0
13.4%
3-1
19.7%
3-2
19.1%
MIA OH break %
42.2% vs this opp
N KY break %
42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Molly CreechKill+9.8%

    Kill by Molly Creech

    Set 2 · MIA OH 25-24 N KY · MIA OH 29% → 38%

  2. 02
    Lucia HeidKill+9.8%

    Kill by Lucia Heid (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 2 · MIA OH 25-26 N KY · N KY 69% → 79%

  3. 03
    Molly CreechKill+9.7%

    Kill by Molly Creech (set by Rachel Morgan)

    Set 2 · MIA OH 24-24 N KY · MIA OH 19% → 29%

  4. 04
    Grace KreutzAttack error+9.7%

    Attack error by Grace Kreutz

    Set 2 · MIA OH 25-27 N KY · N KY 79% → 88%

  5. 05
    Lucia HeidKill+7.3%

    Kill by Lucia Heid (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 2 · MIA OH 25-25 N KY · N KY 62% → 69%

  6. 06
    Lucia HeidAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Lucia Heid

    Set 2 · MIA OH 23-24 N KY · MIA OH 15% → 19%

  7. 07
    Ivey StocksKill+3.3%

    Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 2 · MIA OH 21-24 N KY · N KY 83% → 87%

  8. 08
    Lauren CoyneAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Lauren Coyne

    Set 2 · MIA OH 12-15 N KY · N KY 77% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310740.07500020010.510.5
36640.00000280010.56.5
3309.33311010212.56.5
35112.333000300216
3102.5003200900001
3000–100700000
310426.23100230010.510.5
3426.333000001015
3126-.167000800001
3102.500000000001
3000–6111800001
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–001100000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals4122143.133402660136659
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312524.29200020052.514.5
37023.30410015006310
37028.25010080010.57.5
3419.33301300031.56.5
3326.1673401100010.53.5
3118.000000800001
312227.3700001002113
3105.200100310001
3002.0007001900000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals4711132.2734414662018977

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Miami (OH) vs Northern Ky.

Season series · Northern Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MIA OH · N KY 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 5 MIA OHN KY 5

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 4 MIA OHN KY 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 MIA OHN KY 4

Bars above the line = Northern Ky. leads, below = Miami (OH) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Miami (OH)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
13%1/8
2
54%7/13
38%5/13
3
47%7/15
36%4/11
4
47%7/15
13%1/8
5
55%6/11
36%4/11
6
50%5/10
40%4/10
All
53%40/75
31%19/61

Northern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
89%8/9
33%3/9
2
53%8/15
38%5/13
3
78%7/9
46%6/13
4
64%7/11
56%9/16
5
64%7/11
46%6/13
6
83%5/6
55%6/11
All
69%42/61
47%35/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#MIA OH-N KYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MIA OHN KYKillSydney Brayset Daisy Cluxton+1.8
21-1N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Holland Van deusen+1.8
31-2MIA OHN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+1.9
42-2N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Holland Van deusen+1.9
52-3MIA OHN KY×3KillLucia Heid+1.9
62-4N KYN KY×3BlockedLauren Coyneblk Abbigail Pickard, Lucia Heid+2.6
72-5N KYN KY×3KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.5
83-5N KYMIA OHBlockedKatie Noschangblk raegan Lantz+1.7
94-5MIA OHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Rachel Morgan+2.5
104-6MIA OHN KY×5KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
114-7N KYN KY×5KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
124-8N KYN KY×5KillEmma Adkinsset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
134-9N KYN KY×5BlockedMolly Creechblk Katie Noschang, Sydney Bray+2.1
144-10N KYN KY×5Attack errMolly Creech+1.8
155-10N KYMIA OHKillraegan Lantzset Holland Van deusen+1.1
165-11MIA OHN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.3
176-11N KYMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van deusen+1.0
186-12MIA OHN KY×4KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.3
196-13N KYN KY×4BlockedMolly Creechblk Ivey Stocks, Sydney Bray+1.4
206-14N KYN KY×4Attack errGrace Kreutz+1.0
216-15N KYN KY×4Attack errKendall Bosse+0.7
227-15N KYMIA OHBad setIvey Stocks+0.3
237-16MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
248-16N KYMIA OH×5KillMolly Creech+0.3
259-16MIA OHMIA OH×5KillChelsea Williamsset Holland Van deusen+0.6
2610-16MIA OHMIA OH×5KillMolly Creechset Holland Van deusen+0.9
2711-16MIA OHMIA OH×5AceMiami (OH)+1.2
2812-16MIA OHMIA OH×5BlockedIvey Stocksblk Chelsea Williams, raegan Lantz+1.7
2912-17MIA OHN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+1.6
3013-17N KYMIA OH×3Attack errIvey Stocksset Lucia Heid+1.2
3114-17MIA OHMIA OH×3KillChelsea Williams+2.2
3215-17MIA OHMIA OH×3BlockedAbbigail Pickardblk raegan Lantz+2.9
3315-18MIA OHN KY×4KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
3415-19N KYN KY×4Attack errChelsea Williams+2.9
3515-20N KYN KY×4Attack errChelsea Williams+2.1
3615-21N KYN KY×4Attack errMolly Creech+1.3
3716-21N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Holland Van deusen+0.5
3816-22MIA OHN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
3917-22N KYMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van deusen+0.4
4017-23MIA OHN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
4117-24N KYN KY×3Attack errMolly Creech+0.3
4217-25N KYN KY×3BlockedMolly Creechblk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang+0.1
Set 2
11-0N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williams+1.8
21-1MIA OHN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+1.8
32-1N KYMIA OHKillHolland Van deusenset Maria Insana+1.8
43-1MIA OHMIA OHAttack errIvey Stocks+2.5
53-2MIA OHN KYBlockedChelsea Williamsblk Ivey Stocks, Sydney Bray+1.8
64-2N KYMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van deusen+1.9
74-3MIA OHN KY×3KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
84-4N KYN KY×3BlockedLauren Coyneblk Lucia Heid, Ivey Stocks+2.6
94-5N KYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.7
105-5N KYMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van deusen+2.0
116-5MIA OHMIA OHAceMiami (OH)aced Emma Adkins+2.7
126-6MIA OHN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
136-7N KYN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+2.8
147-7N KYMIA OHBlockedAbbigail Pickardblk Lauren Coyne, Kendall Bosse+2.1
157-8MIA OHN KYBad setMolly Creech+2.1
168-8N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Holland Van deusen+2.1
178-9MIA OHN KYServe errMiami (OH)+2.2
189-9N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Holland Van deusen+2.2
199-10MIA OHN KY×3KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
209-11N KYN KY×3AceKatie Noschang+3.0
219-12N KYN KY×3BlockedSydney Brayblk Ivey Stocks, Abbigail Pickard+2.9
2210-12N KYMIA OHServe errKatie Noschang+1.9
2311-12MIA OHMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Rachel Morgan+3.0
2411-13MIA OHN KYKillSydney Brayset Daisy Cluxton+2.4
2512-13N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Holland Van deusen+2.3
2612-14MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.5
2712-15N KYN KYAttack errLauren Coyne+3.1
2813-15N KYMIA OHKillraegan Lantzset Holland Van deusen+2.0
2913-16MIA OHN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
3014-16N KYMIA OHKillKendall Bosseset Holland Van deusen+2.1
3114-17MIA OHN KYServe errMiami (OH)+2.5
3215-17N KYMIA OHServe errNorthern Ky.+2.1
3315-18MIA OHN KYServe errMiami (OH)+2.6
3416-18N KYMIA OHKillKendall Bosseset Holland Van deusen+2.1
3516-19MIA OHN KYBlockedChelsea Williamsblk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang+2.7
3617-19N KYMIA OHServe errNorthern Ky.+2.2
3717-20MIA OHN KY×3KillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+2.8
3817-21N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.9
3917-22N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+1.9
4018-22N KYMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Holland Van deusen+0.7
4118-23MIA OHN KYBlockedLauren Coyneblk Ivey Stocks, Ava Hoying+1.2
4219-23N KYMIA OH×3Attack errLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
4320-23MIA OHMIA OH×3KillLauren Coyne+1.3
4421-23MIA OHMIA OH×3BlockedIvey Stocksblk Kendall Bosse, Molly Creech+2.5
4521-24MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.3
4622-24N KYMIA OH×4KillMolly Creechset Rachel Morgan+1.3
4723-24MIA OHMIA OH×4Attack errLucia Heid+4.1
4824-24MIA OHMIA OH×4KillMolly Creechset Rachel Morgan+9.7
4925-24MIA OHMIA OH×4KillMolly Creech+9.8
5025-25MIA OHN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+7.3
5125-26N KYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+9.8
5225-27N KYN KY×3Attack errGrace Kreutz+9.7
Set 3
11-0MIA OHMIA OHKillraegan Lantz+1.6
21-1MIA OHN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
31-2N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.6
41-3N KYN KY×3KillAbbigail Pickardset Sydney Bray+1.6
52-3N KYMIA OHBlockedAllison Risleyblk Lydia Michelin+1.2
62-4MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
72-5N KYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.6
83-5N KYMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van deusen+1.1
93-6MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
103-7N KYN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.5
114-7N KYMIA OHAttack errLydia Michelinset Grace Kreutz+1.0
124-8MIA OHN KYKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van deusen+1.1
134-9N KYN KYKillAbbigail Pickardset Emma Adkins+1.4
145-9N KYMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van deusen+0.9
155-10MIA OHN KYServe errMiami (OH)+1.0
166-10N KYMIA OHKillMolly Creechset Holland Van deusen+0.9
177-10MIA OHMIA OHKillChelsea Williamsset Holland Van deusen+1.4
187-11MIA OHN KYKillKatie Noschang+1.2
198-11N KYMIA OHKillKendall Bosseset Holland Van deusen+1.0
208-12MIA OHN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
218-13N KYN KYKillIvey Stocks+1.4
229-13N KYMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van deusen+0.8
239-14MIA OHN KY×4KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
249-15N KYN KY×4KillLucia Heidset Ava Hoying+1.1
259-16N KYN KY×4Attack errChelsea Williams+0.8
269-17N KYN KY×4Attack errLydia Michelin+0.6
2710-17N KYMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Holland Van deusen+0.2
2810-18MIA OHN KYKillAbbigail Pickardset Abbigail Pickard+0.4
2911-18N KYMIA OHKillLauren Coyneset Holland Van deusen+0.2
3011-19MIA OHN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.3
3112-19N KYMIA OHKillKendall Bosseset Holland Van deusen+0.2
3213-19MIA OHMIA OHKillGrace Kreutzset Holland Van deusen+0.4
3313-20MIA OHN KY×3Serve errMiami (OH)+0.5
3413-21N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoying+0.3
3513-22N KYN KY×3KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.1
3614-22N KYMIA OHKillSophia Stallworthset Holland Van deusen·
3714-23MIA OHN KYAttack errChelsea Williamsset Kendall Bosse+0.1
3815-23N KYMIA OHServe errNorthern Ky.·
3915-24MIA OHN KYServe errMiami (OH)·
4016-24N KYMIA OHKillLydia Michelinset Rachel Morgan·
4117-24MIA OHMIA OHAttack errIvey Stocks·
4217-25MIA OHN KYKillAllison Risley·

Score shown after each rally, Miami (OH) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).