Northern Ky. vs NIU Volleyball: Northern Ky. Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Ky. 83.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Ky. won at NIU 3-0 (25-21, 25-16, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Northern Ky.'s Sydney Bray led with 14 kills, and Daisy Cluxton added 9 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:50 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	Sets
N KY	25	25	25	3
NIU	21	16	18	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Sydney Bray hit .400 with 14 kills as Northern Ky. rolled past NIU.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.9 points, and NIU's high was 22% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Northern Ky. 84% before first serve.

Northern Ky.NIU

Break %+17.7 pts
49.331.6
Points won on own serve: 36 of 73 vs 18 of 57. NIU sided out 50.7% of the time.
Hitting+.175
.355.180
48 kills, 9 errors vs 36 kills, 18 errors.
Longest run+3
63
From 1–1 in the second set, Northern Ky. scored 6 straight to lead 7–1. Final score of the set: 25–16.

NIU above 50Northern Ky. belowMax swing 1.9%

Northern Ky.NIU

Aces: Northern Ky. 2·NIU 1
Serve err: Northern Ky. 9·NIU 6
Blocks: Northern Ky. 9·NIU 22 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Northern Ky. 38·NIU 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

NIU above 50 · Northern Ky. below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to NIU — set 1, N KY 0-3 NIU. Kill by Delaney Steers (set by Viktoria Djukic). NIU win probability 20% → 22%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N KY 87.1%12.9% NIU

Northern Ky. wins

3-0

40.0%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.6%

NIU wins

3-0

1.8%

3-1

4.0%

3-2

7.0%

N KY break %: 47.5% vs this opp
NIU break %: 38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Delaney SteersKill+1.9%
Kill by Delaney Steers (set by Viktoria Djukic)
Set 1 · N KY 0-3 NIU · NIU 20% → 22%
02
Ava GrevengoedAce+1.8%
Ace by Ava Grevengoed on Daisy Cluxton
Set 1 · N KY 0-2 NIU · NIU 18% → 20%
03
Katie PahlAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Katie Pahl
Set 1 · N KY 3-4 NIU · N KY 79% → 81%
04
Ava GrevengoedAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Ava Grevengoed
Set 1 · N KY 7-6 NIU · N KY 83% → 84%
05
Ivey StocksBlock+1.7%
Autumn Flynn stuffed by Ivey Stocks
Set 1 · N KY 4-4 NIU · N KY 81% → 83%
06
Katie PahlKill+1.6%
Kill by Katie Pahl (set by Viktoria Djukic)
Set 1 · N KY 0-1 NIU · NIU 16% → 18%
07
Katie Noschang&Ava HoyingBlock+1.6%
Lilly Abney stuffed by Katie Noschang & Ava Hoying
Set 1 · N KY 9-7 NIU · N KY 84% → 86%
08
Delaney SteersKill+1.5%
Kill by Delaney Steers (set by Viktoria Djukic)
Set 1 · N KY 1-4 NIU · NIU 20% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Northern Ky.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Sydney BrayOH	3	14	2	30	.400	0	1	3	3	0	0	2	1	16
3Ava HoyingOH	3	12	0	26	.462	0	0	1	5	0	0	2	1	13
12Ivey StocksMB	3	10	1	16	.563	0	0	0	2	0	2	2	3	13
4Katie NoschangOH	3	6	0	11	.545	2	1	4	0	0	0	5	2.5	9.5
15Abbigail PickardS	3	2	0	3	.667	39	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	2
8Allison RisleyOH	3	1	1	5	.000	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
20Lucia HeidOH	3	3	5	19	-.105	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
16Ashley SessMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Daisy CluxtonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	0
6Emily ErwinOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Emma AdkinsDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Emory GuderianL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
7Kendall HopewellOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Lainey GreenS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Zy'aire BarrOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	9	110	.355	44	2	9	38	1	2	14	9	75

NIUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Delaney SteersOH	3	12	3	32	.281	1	0	0	8	0	0	0	12
11Katie PahlOH	3	9	4	18	.278	1	0	1	6	0	1	0.5	9.5
3Ava GrevengoedOH	3	6	4	21	.095	0	1	0	10	1	0	0	7
15Autumn FlynnMB	3	4	3	13	.077	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	5
8Rylea AlvinMB	3	4	3	11	.091	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
6Viktoria DjukicS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
16Lilly AbneyOH	3	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
12Aiden LightburnMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Charizma LoftonOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Charlotte GramzowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	0
7Ellie SmithS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Kylie SchulzeS	3	0	0	0	–	22	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
14Naomi DowdOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Nathalie TulumarisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	18	100	.180	34	1	6	43	2	4	2	55

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northern Ky. vs NIU

Season series · Northern Ky. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026Northern Ky. at NIU · Northern Ky. won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Northern Ky. at NIU · Northern Ky. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 N KY · NIU 3

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 3 N KYNIU 3

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 6 N KYNIU 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 N KYNIU 3

Bars above the line = NIU leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	40%4/10
2	73%8/11	56%10/18
3	100%6/6	57%8/14
4	86%6/7	33%3/9
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	71%5/7	58%7/12
All	68%39/57	49%36/73

NIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	56%9/16
2	38%6/16	11%1/9
3	50%6/12	25%2/8
4	60%6/10	14%1/7
5	75%6/8	25%2/8
6	38%5/13	33%3/9
All	51%37/73	32%18/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#	N KY-NIU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.6
2	0-2	NIU	NIU×3	Ace	Ava Grevengoed	aced Daisy Cluxton	+1.8
3	0-3	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.9
4	1-3	NIU	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.2
5	1-4	N KY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.5
6	2-4	NIU	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.3
7	3-4	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+1.8
8	4-4	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Autumn Flynn	blk Ivey Stocks	+1.7
9	4-5	N KY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.4
10	5-5	NIU	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.3
11	5-6	N KY	NIU	Blocked	Lucia Heid	blk Autumn Flynn, Lilly Abney	+1.4
12	6-6	NIU	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.3
13	7-6	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+1.7
14	7-7	N KY	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+1.3
15	8-7	NIU	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.3
16	9-7	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Lilly Abney	blk Katie Noschang, Ava Hoying	+1.6
17	10-7	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.4
18	10-8	N KY	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+1.0
19	11-8	NIU	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
20	11-9	N KY	NIU	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+1.0
21	12-9	NIU	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.1
22	13-9	N KY	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.2
23	13-10	N KY	NIU	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+0.8
24	14-10	NIU	N KY×3	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.9
25	15-10	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Katie Pahl	blk Ivey Stocks, Lucia Heid	+1.0
26	16-10	N KY	N KY×3	Bad set	Viktoria Djukic		+0.7
27	16-11	N KY	NIU	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+0.4
28	17-11	NIU	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.5
29	18-11	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+0.4
30	19-11	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Delaney Steers		+0.2
31	19-12	N KY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
32	19-13	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+0.2
33	20-13	NIU	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard	set Emory Guderian	+0.3
34	21-13	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Katie Noschang, Sydney Bray	+0.2
35	21-14	N KY	NIU×3	Kill	Lilly Abney	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
36	21-15	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+0.1
37	21-16	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+0.3
38	22-16	NIU	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
39	22-17	N KY	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.2
40	23-17	NIU	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
41	23-18	N KY	NIU×3	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.1
42	23-19	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.3
43	23-20	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.7
44	24-20	NIU	N KY	Blocked	Katie Pahl	blk Ivey Stocks	+0.9
45	24-21	N KY	NIU	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+0.3
46	25-21	NIU	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
Set 2
1	1-0	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
2	1-1	N KY	NIU	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+0.8
3	2-1	NIU	N KY×6	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.8
4	3-1	N KY	N KY×6	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
5	4-1	N KY	N KY×6	Ace	Northern Ky.		+0.9
6	5-1	N KY	N KY×6	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Katie Noschang	+0.7
7	6-1	N KY	N KY×6	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
8	7-1	N KY	N KY×6	Attack err	Delaney Steers		+0.5
9	7-2	N KY	NIU×3	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.3
10	7-3	NIU	NIU×3	Blocked	Ivey Stocks	blk Autumn Flynn, Katie Pahl	+0.6
11	7-4	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Allison Risley		+0.7
12	8-4	NIU	N KY×4	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
13	9-4	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Abbigail Pickard	set Ava Grevengoed	+0.6
14	10-4	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.5
15	11-4	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
16	11-5	N KY	NIU	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+0.2
17	12-5	NIU	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
18	12-6	N KY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.2
19	13-6	NIU	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
20	13-7	N KY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.2
21	14-7	NIU	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
22	15-7	N KY	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.2
23	15-8	N KY	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.1
24	15-9	NIU	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.3
25	16-9	NIU	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.2
26	16-10	N KY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.2
27	17-10	NIU	N KY	Serve err	NIU		+0.2
28	17-11	N KY	NIU	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+0.2
29	18-11	NIU	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.2
30	18-12	N KY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
31	19-12	NIU	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.2
32	19-13	N KY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
33	20-13	NIU	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.2
34	20-14	N KY	NIU×3	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
35	20-15	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.3
36	20-16	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+0.4
37	21-16	NIU	N KY×5	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.5
38	22-16	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Katie Noschang, Sydney Bray	+0.3
39	23-16	N KY	N KY×5	Attack err	Rylea Alvin		+0.1
40	24-16	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Rylea Alvin	blk Katie Noschang, Lucia Heid	·
41	25-16	N KY	N KY×5	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		·
Set 3
1	0-1	NIU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+0.6
2	1-1	NIU	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.4
3	2-1	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
4	2-2	N KY	NIU	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+0.4
5	3-2	NIU	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
6	4-2	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Ava Grevengoed	+0.5
7	4-3	N KY	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.4
8	5-3	NIU	N KY	Serve err	NIU		+0.4
9	6-3	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.5
10	6-4	N KY	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.3
11	7-4	NIU	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
12	7-5	N KY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+0.3
13	8-5	NIU	N KY	Serve err	NIU		+0.4
14	8-6	N KY	NIU	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+0.4
15	9-6	NIU	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
16	9-7	N KY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+0.4
17	10-7	NIU	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
18	11-7	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
19	12-7	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Katie Pahl	blk Ava Hoying, Ivey Stocks	+0.3
20	12-8	N KY	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+0.2
21	13-8	NIU	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
22	13-9	N KY	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.2
23	14-9	NIU	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
24	14-10	N KY	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.2
25	15-10	NIU	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
26	16-10	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Autumn Flynn	blk Katie Noschang, Lucia Heid	+0.3
27	17-10	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Delaney Steers		+0.2
28	17-11	N KY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
29	18-11	NIU	N KY	Serve err	NIU		+0.1
30	18-12	N KY	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
31	18-13	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+0.2
32	19-13	NIU	N KY×4	Serve err	NIU		+0.2
33	20-13	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
34	21-13	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
35	22-13	N KY	N KY×4	Attack err	Rylea Alvin		·
36	22-14	N KY	NIU×3	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	·
37	22-15	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Katie Pahl	·
38	22-16	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Delaney Steers	·
39	23-16	NIU	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
40	24-16	N KY	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Katie Noschang	·
41	24-17	N KY	NIU	Serve err	Northern Ky.		·
42	24-18	NIU	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Daisy Cluxton	·
43	25-18	NIU	N KY	Serve err	NIU		·

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Northern Ky. def. NIU 3–0

Sydney Bray hit .400 with 14 kills as Northern Ky. rolled past NIU.