Northern Ky. def. Purdue Fort Wayne 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 16)

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Ky. 89.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Ky. beat visiting Purdue Fort Wayne 3-0 (25-19, 25-20, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Lucia Heid led Northern Ky. with 11 kills; Purdue Fort Wayne's Riley Rosneck had a match-high 15.

Data through Nov 3, 9:55 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
IPFW	19	20	19	0
N KY	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: Northern Ky. swept Purdue Fort Wayne.

Win probability never moved more than 2.0 points on one rally; Purdue Fort Wayne topped out at 18% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Northern Ky. 89% before first serve.

Purdue Fort WayneNorthern Ky.

Break %+13.4 pts
40.053.4
39 of 73 on serve vs 24 of 60, so Purdue Fort Wayne's sideout was 46.6%.
Longest run+-1
76
Northern Ky. scored 6 straight in the second set to turn a 16–17 deficit into a 22–17 lead. Final score of the set: 25–20.

Northern Ky. above 50Purdue Fort Wayne belowMax swing 2.0%

Purdue Fort WayneNorthern Ky.

Hitting: Purdue Fort Wayne .145·Northern Ky. .212
Aces: Purdue Fort Wayne 1·Northern Ky. 8
Serve err: Purdue Fort Wayne 5·Northern Ky. 4
Blocks: Purdue Fort Wayne 4·Northern Ky. 101 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 18 BA
Digs: Purdue Fort Wayne 51·Northern Ky. 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northern Ky. above 50 · Purdue Fort Wayne below

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Purdue Fort Wayne — set 1, IPFW 12-10 N KY. Attack error by Ava Hoying. N KY win probability 86% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IPFW 12.2%87.8% N KY

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0

1.7%

3-1

3.8%

3-2

6.7%

Northern Ky. wins

3-0

40.9%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.3%

IPFW break %: 39.1% vs this opp
N KY break %: 48.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ava HoyingAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Ava Hoying
Set 1 · IPFW 12-10 N KY · IPFW 14% → 16%
02
Ivey Stocks&Ava HoyingBlock+1.8%
Bella DiBuono stuffed by Ivey Stocks & Ava Hoying
Set 1 · IPFW 12-12 N KY · N KY 86% → 87%
03
Trinity RyeBlock+1.8%
Lucia Heid stuffed by Trinity Rye
Set 1 · IPFW 7-3 N KY · IPFW 16% → 18%
04
Mya Plemons&Miona DimitricBlock+1.7%
Ivey Stocks stuffed by Mya Plemons & Miona Dimitric
Set 1 · IPFW 6-3 N KY · IPFW 14% → 16%
05
Ava HoyingKill+1.7%
Kill by Ava Hoying
Set 1 · IPFW 12-13 N KY · N KY 87% → 89%
06
Sydney BrayAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Sydney Bray
Set 2 · IPFW 16-15 N KY · IPFW 7% → 8%
07
Ava HoyingKill+1.6%
Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 1 · IPFW 9-9 N KY · N KY 86% → 88%
08
Riley RosneckAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Riley Rosneck
Set 1 · IPFW 8-7 N KY · N KY 85% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Purdue Fort Wayneaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Riley RosneckOH	3	15	3	41	.293	1	0	1	10	1	0	0	0	15
9Trinity RyeOH	3	8	9	28	-.036	0	0	0	5	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
19Miona DimitricOH	3	7	6	23	.043	3	0	1	8	4	0	2	1	8
5Mya PlemonsMB	3	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
15Bella DiBuonoMB	3	2	2	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
10Haiden MeansS	3	1	1	3	.000	26	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	1
1Lili SmithS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
2Ava TesterS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
3Becky BarrettDS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	19	3	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	21	110	.145	35	1	5	51	8	1	6	4	58

Northern Ky.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Ava HoyingOH	3	10	2	28	.286	0	0	1	4	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
12Ivey StocksMB	3	8	3	14	.357	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	11.5
11Sydney BrayOH	3	5	2	18	.167	2	4	0	12	0	0	2	1	10
15Abbigail PickardS	3	3	0	5	.600	29	2	0	12	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
4Katie NoschangOH	3	2	3	11	-.091	0	1	3	0	0	0	4	2	5
8Allison RisleyOH	3	1	0	7	.143	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
20Lucia HeidOH	3	11	6	30	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	12
13Daisy CluxtonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	0	12	0	0	0	0	1
10Emory GuderianL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	16	113	.212	37	8	4	48	1	1	18	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Northern Ky.

Season series · Northern Ky. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Purdue Fort Wayne at Northern Ky. · Northern Ky. won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Purdue Fort Wayne at Northern Ky. · Northern Ky. won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 IPFW · N KY 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 IPFWN KY 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 IPFWN KY 6

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 7 IPFWN KY 5

Bars above the line = Northern Ky. leads, below = Purdue Fort Wayne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Purdue Fort Wayne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	40%4/10
2	67%6/9	36%4/11
3	32%6/19	40%4/10
4	40%6/15	50%6/12
5	50%5/10	33%3/9
6	80%4/5	38%3/8
All	47%34/73	40%24/60

Northern Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	0%0/5
2	78%7/9	59%10/17
3	67%6/9	63%10/16
4	43%6/14	50%6/12
5	60%6/10	54%7/13
6	100%4/4	60%6/10
All	60%36/60	53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#	IPFW-N KY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Ava Hoying		+1.3
2	2-0	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Becky Barrett	+1.4
3	3-0	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Becky Barrett	+1.5
4	3-1	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
5	3-2	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Becky Barrett	+1.3
6	4-2	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+1.2
7	4-3	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
8	5-3	N KY	IPFW×3	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+1.2
9	6-3	IPFW	IPFW×3	Blocked	Ivey Stocks	blk Mya Plemons, Miona Dimitric	+1.7
10	7-3	IPFW	IPFW×3	Blocked	Lucia Heid	blk Trinity Rye	+1.8
11	7-4	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.1
12	7-5	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Haiden Means		+1.5
13	8-5	N KY	IPFW	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+1.4
14	8-6	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Daisy Cluxton	+1.2
15	8-7	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Riley Rosneck		+1.6
16	9-7	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+1.4
17	9-8	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.2
18	9-9	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.6
19	10-9	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.3
20	10-10	IPFW	N KY	Serve err	Purdue Fort Wayne		+1.2
21	11-10	N KY	IPFW	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+1.4
22	12-10	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Ava Hoying		+2.0
23	12-11	IPFW	N KY×5	Serve err	Purdue Fort Wayne		+1.3
24	12-12	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Bella DiBuono	blk Ivey Stocks, Ava Hoying	+1.8
25	12-13	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Ava Hoying		+1.7
26	12-14	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Trinity Rye	blk Ivey Stocks	+1.5
27	12-15	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Miona Dimitric	+1.2
28	13-15	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.9
29	13-16	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Daisy Cluxton	+1.0
30	13-17	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Trinity Rye	blk Ivey Stocks, Lucia Heid	+1.0
31	14-17	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Haiden Means	+0.6
32	14-18	IPFW	N KY×3	Blocked	Trinity Rye	blk Ivey Stocks, Lucia Heid	+0.8
33	14-19	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.7
34	14-20	N KY	N KY×3	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Riley Rosneck	+0.4
35	15-20	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+0.2
36	15-21	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
37	16-21	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Haiden Means	+0.2
38	16-22	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
39	17-22	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.1
40	17-23	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.2
41	18-23	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.1
42	18-24	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
43	19-24	N KY	IPFW	Attack err	Ivey Stocks		·
44	19-25	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Miona Dimitric	+0.7
2	1-1	IPFW	N KY×3	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
3	1-2	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.8
4	1-3	N KY	N KY×3	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Miona Dimitric	+0.7
5	2-3	N KY	IPFW	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+0.5
6	3-3	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.8
7	3-4	IPFW	N KY×5	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
8	3-5	N KY	N KY×5	Bad set	Haiden Means		+0.7
9	3-6	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Miona Dimitric	+0.6
10	3-7	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Trinity Rye	blk Ivey Stocks, Abbigail Pickard	+0.5
11	3-8	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
12	4-8	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Miona Dimitric	+0.3
13	4-9	IPFW	N KY×3	Attack err	Bella DiBuono		+0.3
14	4-10	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.3
15	4-11	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Lucia Heid		+0.2
16	5-11	N KY	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.1
17	6-11	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Ava Tester	+0.3
18	7-11	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+0.4
19	7-12	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
20	8-12	N KY	IPFW×4	Blocked	Katie Noschang	blk Miona Dimitric, Mya Plemons	+0.3
21	9-12	IPFW	IPFW×4	Ace	Lili Smith	aced Emory Guderian	+0.5
22	10-12	IPFW	IPFW×4	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Haiden Means	+0.7
23	11-12	IPFW	IPFW×4	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+0.9
24	11-13	IPFW	N KY	Attack err	Miona Dimitric		+0.7
25	11-14	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Miona Dimitric		+0.8
26	12-14	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Haiden Means	+0.6
27	12-15	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
28	13-15	N KY	IPFW×4	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+0.6
29	14-15	IPFW	IPFW×4	Kill	Riley Rosneck		+1.1
30	15-15	IPFW	IPFW×4	Attack err	Katie Noschang		+1.3
31	16-15	IPFW	IPFW×4	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+1.6
32	16-16	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.1
33	17-16	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.3
34	17-17	IPFW	N KY×6	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.2
35	17-18	N KY	N KY×6	Kill	Abbigail Pickard	set Sydney Bray	+1.6
36	17-19	N KY	N KY×6	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.4
37	17-20	N KY	N KY×6	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+1.1
38	17-21	N KY	N KY×6	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Becky Barrett	+0.7
39	17-22	N KY	N KY×6	Attack err	Riley Rosneck		+0.4
40	18-22	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+0.2
41	18-23	IPFW	N KY	Blocked	Trinity Rye	blk Ivey Stocks, Ava Hoying	+0.3
42	19-23	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Haiden Means	+0.1
43	19-24	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.2
44	20-24	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Haiden Means	+0.1
45	20-25	IPFW	N KY	Attack err	Miona Dimitric		+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	IPFW	N KY×4	Serve err	Purdue Fort Wayne		+0.3
2	0-2	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
3	0-3	N KY	N KY×4	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.3
4	0-4	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.2
5	1-4	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.2
6	2-4	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Ivey Stocks		+0.3
7	2-5	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.2
8	3-5	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Haiden Means	set Miona Dimitric	+0.2
9	3-6	IPFW	N KY	Serve err	Purdue Fort Wayne		+0.2
10	3-7	N KY	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard		+0.3
11	4-7	N KY	IPFW×7	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.2
12	5-7	IPFW	IPFW×7	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+0.3
13	6-7	IPFW	IPFW×7	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+0.4
14	7-7	IPFW	IPFW×7	Attack err	Katie Noschang		+0.5
15	8-7	IPFW	IPFW×7	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.5
16	9-7	IPFW	IPFW×7	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Riley Rosneck	+0.6
17	10-7	IPFW	IPFW×7	Blocked	Lucia Heid	blk Trinity Rye, Bella DiBuono	+0.6
18	10-8	IPFW	N KY×5	Attack err	Miona Dimitric		+0.4
19	10-9	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Miona Dimitric	+0.6
20	10-10	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Miona Dimitric	blk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang	+0.5
21	10-11	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Becky Barrett	+0.5
22	10-12	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Trinity Rye	blk Allison Risley, Katie Noschang	+0.5
23	11-12	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Haiden Means	+0.4
24	12-12	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+0.6
25	12-13	IPFW	N KY×4	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
26	12-14	N KY	N KY×4	Blocked	Trinity Rye	blk Katie Noschang, Ava Hoying	+0.5
27	12-15	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
28	12-16	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
29	13-16	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+0.2
30	13-17	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.2
31	14-17	N KY	IPFW	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+0.2
32	14-18	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Sydney Bray	+0.3
33	15-18	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.2
34	15-19	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.3
35	16-19	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Becky Barrett	+0.2
36	17-19	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Becky Barrett	+0.4
37	17-20	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
38	18-20	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+0.3
39	18-21	IPFW	N KY×3	Serve err	Purdue Fort Wayne		+0.4
40	18-22	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.4
41	18-23	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Miona Dimitric	blk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang	+0.2
42	19-23	N KY	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+0.1
43	19-24	IPFW	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
44	19-25	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Riley Rosneck		·

Score shown after each rally, Purdue Fort Wayne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Northern Ky. def. Purdue Fort Wayne 3–0

No set was closer than 5 points: Northern Ky. swept Purdue Fort Wayne.