FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026

Northern Ky. def. Purdue Fort Wayne 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Ky. 89.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 11:10 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Ky. beat visiting Purdue Fort Wayne 3-0 (26-24, 25-23, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Ava Hoying led Northern Ky. with 11 kills; Purdue Fort Wayne's Riley Rosneck had a match-high 12.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
IPFW2423170
N KY2625253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.353 to .198: Northern Ky. outhit Purdue Fort Wayne.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.2 points, and Purdue Fort Wayne's high was 18% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Northern Ky. went in as RallyIQ's 89% pick.

Purdue Fort WayneNorthern Ky.
  • Break %+9.9 pts
    33.343.2

    On serve: 32/74 against 22/66 (Purdue Fort Wayne sideout 56.8%).

  • Hitting+.155
    .198.353

    Kills and errors: 43–7 vs 40–19.

  • Longest run+2
    35

    Down 6–7 in the second set, Northern Ky. scored 5 straight to lead 11–7. That set ended 25–23.

Northern Ky. above 50Purdue Fort Wayne belowMax swing 5.2%

Purdue Fort WayneNorthern Ky.

Aces
Purdue Fort Wayne 4·Northern Ky. 5
Serve err
Purdue Fort Wayne 9·Northern Ky. 13
Blocks
Purdue Fort Wayne 5·Northern Ky. 51 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Purdue Fort Wayne 42·Northern Ky. 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northern Ky. above 50 · Purdue Fort Wayne below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.2% N KYrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.2% to Northern Ky. — set 1, IPFW 23-24 N KY. Kill by Allison Risley (set by Abbigail Pickard). N KY win probability 85% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IPFW 12.2%87.8% N KY

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
6.7%

Northern Ky. wins

3-0
40.9%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.3%
IPFW break %
39.1% vs this opp
N KY break %
48.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Allison Risley (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · IPFW 23-24 N KY · N KY 85% → 90%

  2. 02

    Kill by Allison Risley (set by Daisy Cluxton)

    Set 1 · IPFW 24-26 N KY · N KY 90% → 95%

  3. 03
    Riley RosneckKill+3.8%

    Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 1 · IPFW 24-24 N KY · IPFW 10% → 13%

  4. 04

    Kill by Allison Risley (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · IPFW 24-25 N KY · N KY 87% → 90%

  5. 05
    Riley RosneckKill+3.7%

    Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 1 · IPFW 23-22 N KY · IPFW 14% → 18%

  6. 06
    Ivey StocksKill+3.4%

    Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 1 · IPFW 23-23 N KY · N KY 82% → 85%

  7. 07
    Mya PlemonsKill+3.1%

    Kill by Mya Plemons (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 1 · IPFW 22-21 N KY · IPFW 14% → 17%

  8. 08
    Miona DimitricBlock+3.1%

    Sydney Bray stuffed by Miona Dimitric

    Set 1 · IPFW 20-19 N KY · IPFW 13% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312640.15001041010.513.5
39623.13010030010.59.5
36012.50000000031.57.5
35011.45500110010.55.5
3159-.4443231111014
3203.6672402500002
3000–3001430000
3000–802100000
2528.375000100216
2000–011200001
Team totals4019106.198394942518564
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311229.3100021000011
39117.4710148002111
39323.261011130010.510.5
38120.350000100219
35051.00000320031.56.5
3002.000340220010.50.5
31011.0003201320003
3000–100100000
2000–011100001
1005.00000001010.50.5
Team totals437102.35338513424010576

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Northern Ky.

Season series · Northern Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 IPFW · N KY 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 3 IPFWN KY 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 IPFWN KY 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 IPFWN KY 4

Bars above the line = Northern Ky. leads, below = Purdue Fort Wayne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Purdue Fort Wayne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
38%5/13
2
67%8/12
31%4/13
3
64%7/11
27%3/11
4
50%6/12
36%4/11
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
46%6/13
33%3/9
All
57%42/74
33%22/66

Northern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
30%3/10
2
60%9/15
50%9/18
3
70%7/10
30%3/10
4
70%7/10
46%6/13
5
60%6/10
40%4/10
6
67%6/9
54%7/13
All
67%44/66
43%32/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#IPFW-N KYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Daisy Cluxton+1.2
21-1IPFWN KYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.9
32-1N KYIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.0
43-1IPFWIPFW×3KillHaiden Meansset Miona Dimitric+1.4
54-1IPFWIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Miona Dimitric+1.5
64-2IPFWN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
74-3N KYN KYAttack errTrinity Rye+1.3
85-3N KYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.2
95-4IPFWN KYAttack errRiley Rosneck+1.0
105-5N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Miona Dimitric+1.3
116-5N KYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.1
126-6IPFWN KY×3KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
136-7N KYN KY×3BlockedTrinity Ryeblk Katie Noschang, Lucia Heid+1.3
146-8N KYN KY×3Attack errMiona Dimitric+1.1
157-8N KYIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+0.9
167-9IPFWN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
178-9N KYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+0.9
188-10IPFWN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
199-10N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+1.0
209-11IPFWN KY×4BlockedRiley Rosneckblk Sydney Bray, Ivey Stocks+0.9
219-12N KYN KY×4KillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
229-13N KYN KY×4KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
239-14N KYN KY×4KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
2410-14N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+0.4
2511-14IPFWIPFWBlockedIvey Stocksblk Riley Rosneck, Bella DiBuono+0.8
2611-15IPFWN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+0.7
2712-15N KYIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+0.6
2812-16IPFWN KYAttack errTrinity Rye+0.7
2912-17N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Becky Barrett+0.7
3013-17N KYIPFW×3KillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+0.4
3114-17IPFWIPFW×3AcePurdue Fort Wayne+0.8
3215-17IPFWIPFW×3KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+1.2
3315-18IPFWN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
3416-18N KYIPFW×3KillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+0.9
3517-18IPFWIPFW×3AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Lucia Heid+1.7
3618-18IPFWIPFW×3BlockedAllison Risleyblk Mya Plemons, Trinity Rye+2.3
3718-19IPFWN KYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.8
3819-19N KYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+1.9
3920-19IPFWIPFWBlockedSydney Brayblk Miona Dimitric+3.1
4020-20IPFWN KYKillSydney Brayset Daisy Cluxton+2.2
4121-20N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+2.7
4221-21IPFWN KYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.4
4322-21N KYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+3.1
4422-22IPFWN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.8
4523-22N KYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+3.7
4623-23IPFWN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.4
4723-24N KYN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+5.2
4824-24N KYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+3.8
4924-25IPFWN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+3.8
5024-26N KYN KYKillAllison Risleyset Daisy Cluxton+4.1
Set 2
11-0N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+0.7
21-1IPFWN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.6
32-1N KYIPFWKillHaiden Meansset Trinity Rye+0.7
43-1IPFWIPFWAttack errAva Hoying+1.0
53-2IPFWN KYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.7
64-2N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+0.8
74-3IPFWN KY×3Attack errTrinity Rye+0.7
84-4N KYN KY×3Attack errTrinity Rye+0.9
94-5N KYN KY×3BlockedMiona Dimitricblk Ivey Stocks, Abbigail Pickard+0.8
105-5N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+0.7
116-5IPFWIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.0
126-6IPFWN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
137-6N KYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+0.8
147-7IPFWN KY×5KillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
157-8N KYN KY×5BlockedMiona Dimitricblk Katie Noschang, Sydney Bray+0.9
167-9N KYN KY×5Attack errMiona Dimitric+0.8
177-10N KYN KY×5KillAllison Risleyset Emory Guderian+0.7
187-11N KYN KY×5Attack errRiley Rosneck+0.6
198-11N KYIPFW×3Serve errNorthern Ky.+0.4
209-11IPFWIPFW×3KillAvery Parris+0.7
2110-11IPFWIPFW×3Attack errAllison Risley+0.9
2210-12IPFWN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
2311-12N KYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Miona Dimitric+0.7
2411-13IPFWN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.7
2511-14N KYN KY×3Attack errAvery Parris+0.8
2611-15N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.6
2712-15N KYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Lili Smith+0.4
2813-15IPFWIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.8
2913-16IPFWN KYKillSydney Brayset Daisy Cluxton+0.6
3014-16N KYIPFW×3Serve errNorthern Ky.+0.6
3115-16IPFWIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Becky Barrett+1.1
3216-16IPFWIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.4
3316-17IPFWN KYAttack errRiley Rosneck+1.0
3416-18N KYN KYAttack errRiley Rosneck+1.2
3517-18N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+0.9
3617-19IPFWN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
3717-20N KYN KYAttack errRiley Rosneck+1.0
3818-20N KYIPFW×3KillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+0.7
3919-20IPFWIPFW×3BlockedAllison Risleyblk Mya Plemons, Avery Parris+1.3
4020-20IPFWIPFW×3KillAvery Parrisset Lili Smith+1.8
4120-21IPFWN KYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.5
4221-21N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+1.6
4321-22IPFWN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
4422-22N KYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Lili Smith+1.8
4522-23IPFWN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.0
4623-23N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+2.1
4723-24IPFWN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
4823-25N KYN KYAceNorthern Ky.aced Becky Barrett+2.8
Set 3
11-0IPFWIPFWBlockedAva Hoyingblk Mya Plemons, Avery Parris+0.4
21-1IPFWN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.3
32-1N KYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Lili Smith+0.3
42-2IPFWN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.3
53-2N KYIPFWKillAvery Parrisset Lili Smith+0.3
63-3IPFWN KYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.3
74-3N KYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+0.3
84-4IPFWN KYBlockedTrinity Ryeblk Katie Noschang, Allison Risley+0.3
95-4N KYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+0.4
105-5IPFWN KY×4KillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+0.3
115-6N KYN KY×4AceNorthern Ky.aced Becky Barrett+0.4
125-7N KYN KY×4Attack errMiona Dimitric+0.4
135-8N KYN KY×4KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.3
146-8N KYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+0.2
156-9IPFWN KYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.2
167-9N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+0.2
177-10IPFWN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
187-11N KYN KY×3Attack errAvery Parris+0.3
197-12N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Daisy Cluxton+0.2
208-12N KYIPFWServe errNorthern Ky.+0.1
219-12IPFWIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Lili Smith+0.3
229-13IPFWN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
239-14N KYN KYKillDaisy Cluxtonset Becky Barrett+0.2
2410-14N KYIPFWKillAvery Parrisset Lili Smith+0.1
2511-14IPFWIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Becky Barrett+0.3
2611-15IPFWN KYKillAllison Risleyset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
2712-15N KYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+0.2
2812-16IPFWN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
2913-16N KYIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+0.2
3013-17IPFWN KYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.2
3114-17N KYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+0.2
3214-18IPFWN KY×4KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
3314-19N KYN KY×4KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+0.2
3414-20N KYN KY×4AceNorthern Ky.aced Riley Rosneck+0.1
3514-21N KYN KY×4KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+0.1
3615-21N KYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Lili Smith·
3716-21IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Daisy Cluxton+0.1
3816-22IPFWN KY×3Serve errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.1
3916-23N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard·
4016-24N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoying·
4117-24N KYIPFWKillAvery Parrisset Becky Barrett·
4217-25IPFWN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard·

Score shown after each rally, Purdue Fort Wayne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).