West Virginia def. Tarleton State 3-0 Volleyball (Sep 19)

FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

0:3

West Virginia beat Tarleton St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-22, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. West Virginia's Nina Horning and Anna Barr led with 10 kills each, and Reagan Turk added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TARLET	23	22	21	0
WVU	25	25	25	3

Win probability

West Virginia above 50 · Tarleton St. below

Biggest swing: 3.0% to West Virginia — set 1, TARLET 23-25 WVU. Kill by Maddy McGath (set by Alexis Finnvold). WVU win probability 92% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TARLET 10.3%89.7% WVU

Tarleton St. wins

3-0

1.4%

3-1

3.1%

3-2

5.7%

West Virginia wins

3-0

44.0%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.1%

TARLET break %: 38.0% vs this opp
WVU break %: 47.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Maddy McGathKill+3.0%
Kill by Maddy McGath (set by Alexis Finnvold)
Set 1 · TARLET 23-25 WVU · WVU 92% → 95%
02
Nina HorningKill+2.8%
Kill by Nina Horning (set by Cassidy Bruns)
Set 1 · TARLET 21-23 WVU · WVU 90% → 92%
03
Breannah PetersonKill+2.5%
Kill by Breannah Peterson (set by Kingsley Minus)
Set 1 · TARLET 19-19 WVU · TARLET 10% → 13%
04
Madison Natori Rice-LocketAttack error+2.4%
Attack error by Madison Natori Rice-Locket
Set 1 · TARLET 21-22 WVU · WVU 87% → 90%
05
Breannah PetersonKill+2.3%
Kill by Breannah Peterson (set by Kingsley Minus)
Set 1 · TARLET 21-21 WVU · TARLET 11% → 13%
06
Anna Barr&Maddy McGathBlock+2.2%
Madison Natori Rice-Locket stuffed by Anna Barr & Maddy McGath
Set 2 · TARLET 22-24 WVU · WVU 95% → 97%
07
Macie SmithKill+2.1%
Kill by Macie Smith (set by Alexis Finnvold)
Set 1 · TARLET 20-21 WVU · WVU 87% → 89%
08
Madison Natori Rice-LocketKill+2.1%
Kill by Madison Natori Rice-Locket (set by Leddy Rae Guinn)
Set 1 · TARLET 20-20 WVU · TARLET 11% → 13%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tarleton St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Onita DavisMB	3	8	2	19	.316	0	0	0	4	0	2	1	9
23Alyssa DinhMB	3	7	0	10	.700	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
21Madison Natori Rice-LocketOH	3	6	7	23	-.043	0	1	1	4	4	0	0	7
9Madison FrankMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	5
5Alexis MasseyS	3	0	0	0	–	14	3	1	6	0	0	0	3
3LaNeah LaraOH	2	1	3	4	-.500	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1
14Jacqui McClainOH	3	5	4	18	.056	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
4Breannah PetersonOPP	3	4	5	15	-.067	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	4.5
19Alexa EarleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	4	7	2	0	0	1
13Kingsley MinusS	3	0	0	0	–	16	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
8Leddy Rae GuinnDS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	10	0	0	0	1
7Taylynn BiggsMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	21	98	.143	34	8	7	40	8	6	3	66

West Virginiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Nina HorningOH	3	10	2	26	.308	0	3	4	4	0	4	2	15
2Anna BarrOH	3	10	1	22	.409	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
22Maddy McGathMB	3	5	0	10	.500	0	3	1	0	0	6	3	11
7Mirjam Karoliine KaskMB	3	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	3
5Alexis FinnvoldS	3	0	0	0	–	19	1	0	10	0	0	0	1
23Cassidy BrunsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	8	1	0	0	0
18Trinity SheridanOPP	3	9	2	16	.438	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	10
20Macie SmithOH	3	2	3	13	-.077	0	0	0	0	3	1	0.5	2.5
0Lauren DuncanS	3	1	0	1	1.000	13	0	2	2	0	0	0	1
19Reagan TurkL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	11	3	0	0	1
21Nula AndersonOH	1	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Eily PainterL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	13	99	.253	35	8	10	38	8	20	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TARLET · WVU 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 TARLETWVU 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 TARLETWVU 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 TARLETWVU 6

Bars above the line = West Virginia leads, below = Tarleton St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tarleton St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%8/20	46%6/13
2	43%6/14	50%8/16
3	55%6/11	25%2/8
4	46%6/13	50%6/12
5	71%5/7	50%6/12
6	63%5/8	29%2/7
All	49%36/73	44%30/68

West Virginia

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	33%3/9
2	70%7/10	65%13/20
3	75%6/8	45%5/11
4	43%6/14	60%9/15
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	56%5/9	38%3/8
All	56%38/68	51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#	TARLET-WVU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TARLET	WVU×3	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.7
2	0-2	WVU	WVU×3	Blocked	Onita Davis	blk Nina Horning, Maddy McGath	+0.9
3	0-3	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.8
4	1-3	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+0.6
5	2-3	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Alexis Massey	+1.0
6	2-4	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.7
7	3-4	WVU	TARLET	Serve err	West Virginia		+0.8
8	3-5	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Lauren Duncan	+0.7
9	3-6	WVU	WVU	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+0.9
10	4-6	WVU	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+0.7
11	5-6	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Macie Smith	+1.0
12	5-7	TARLET	WVU×4	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Reagan Turk	+0.8
13	5-8	WVU	WVU×4	Ace	West Virginia	aced LaNeah Lara	+0.9
14	5-9	WVU	WVU×4	Blocked	LaNeah Lara	blk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Trinity Sheridan	+0.8
15	5-10	WVU	WVU×4	Ace	West Virginia	aced Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+0.6
16	6-10	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Kingsley Minus	+0.4
17	7-10	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Macie Smith	+0.7
18	7-11	TARLET	WVU	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+0.6
19	8-11	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Kingsley Minus	+0.6
20	9-11	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Macie Smith		+1.0
21	9-12	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.8
22	10-12	WVU	TARLET	Serve err	West Virginia		+0.8
23	11-12	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Alexis Massey	+1.3
24	11-13	TARLET	WVU	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+1.0
25	12-13	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Alexis Massey	+1.0
26	13-13	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Anna Barr		+1.7
27	13-14	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.2
28	13-15	WVU	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+1.5
29	14-15	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+1.1
30	14-16	TARLET	WVU×3	Kill	Nina Horning	set Lauren Duncan	+1.1
31	14-17	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Lauren Duncan	set Alexis Massey	+1.3
32	14-18	WVU	WVU×3	Attack err	Jacqui McClain		+1.0
33	15-18	WVU	TARLET	Serve err	West Virginia		+0.6
34	15-19	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Lauren Duncan	+0.7
35	16-19	WVU	TARLET×4	Attack err	Trinity Sheridan		+0.6
36	17-19	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	Madison Frank	set Kingsley Minus	+1.2
37	18-19	TARLET	TARLET×4	Attack err	Macie Smith		+1.8
38	19-19	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Kingsley Minus	+2.5
39	19-20	TARLET	WVU	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+1.9
40	20-20	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+2.1
41	20-21	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.1
42	21-21	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Kingsley Minus	+2.3
43	21-22	TARLET	WVU×3	Attack err	Madison Natori Rice-Locket		+2.4
44	21-23	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Nina Horning	set Cassidy Bruns	+2.8
45	21-24	WVU	WVU×3	Attack err	Onita Davis		+1.7
46	22-24	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Alexis Massey	+0.5
47	23-24	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	Tarleton St.		+1.8
48	23-25	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Alexis Finnvold	+3.0
Set 2
1	0-1	WVU	WVU	Kill	Mirjam Karoliine Kask	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.7
2	1-1	WVU	TARLET×3	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Alexis Massey	+0.6
3	2-1	TARLET	TARLET×3	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Reagan Turk	+0.8
4	3-1	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+1.0
5	3-2	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.6
6	3-3	WVU	WVU	Bad set	Alexis Massey		+0.8
7	4-3	WVU	TARLET	Serve err	West Virginia		+0.7
8	4-4	TARLET	WVU	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+0.6
9	5-4	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+0.7
10	5-5	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Madison Frank	+0.6
11	5-6	WVU	WVU	Ace	West Virginia	aced Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+0.8
12	6-6	WVU	TARLET	Serve err	West Virginia		+0.7
13	7-6	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Trinity Sheridan		+1.0
14	7-7	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+0.7
15	7-8	WVU	WVU	Ace	West Virginia	aced Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+0.9
16	8-8	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+0.7
17	8-9	TARLET	WVU	Blocked	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	blk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Trinity Sheridan	+0.7
18	9-9	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+0.7
19	10-9	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Mirjam Karoliine Kask		+1.1
20	10-10	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.8
21	10-11	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Madison Natori Rice-Locket		+1.0
22	11-11	WVU	TARLET×4	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Kingsley Minus	+0.8
23	12-11	TARLET	TARLET×4	Blocked	Nina Horning	blk Alyssa Dinh, Breannah Peterson	+1.2
24	13-11	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+1.4
25	14-11	TARLET	TARLET×4	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Reagan Turk	+1.5
26	14-12	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.9
27	15-12	WVU	TARLET	Serve err	West Virginia		+1.2
28	15-13	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.9
29	16-13	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Alexis Massey	+1.2
30	16-14	TARLET	WVU×4	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+1.0
31	16-15	WVU	WVU×4	Ace	West Virginia	aced Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+1.4
32	16-16	WVU	WVU×4	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+1.4
33	16-17	WVU	WVU×4	Attack err	Jacqui McClain		+1.4
34	17-17	WVU	TARLET	Serve err	West Virginia		+1.1
35	18-17	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+1.8
36	18-18	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+1.2
37	19-18	WVU	TARLET	Attack err	Mirjam Karoliine Kask		+1.5
38	19-19	TARLET	WVU×3	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+1.3
39	19-20	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Anna Barr		+1.8
40	19-21	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Macie Smith	set Reagan Turk	+1.5
41	20-21	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Kingsley Minus	+1.0
42	21-21	TARLET	TARLET	Blocked	Macie Smith	blk Alyssa Dinh, Onita Davis	+2.0
43	21-22	TARLET	WVU	Blocked	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	blk Anna Barr, Mirjam Karoliine Kask	+1.7
44	22-22	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+1.8
45	22-23	TARLET	WVU×3	Blocked	Breannah Peterson	blk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Nina Horning	+2.0
46	22-24	WVU	WVU×3	Blocked	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	blk Anna Barr, Maddy McGath	+2.2
47	22-25	WVU	WVU×3	Blocked	Breannah Peterson	blk Maddy McGath, Nina Horning	+1.1
Set 3
1	1-0	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Reagan Turk	+0.4
2	2-0	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+0.4
3	2-1	TARLET	WVU×6	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.3
4	2-2	WVU	WVU×6	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.4
5	2-3	WVU	WVU×6	Attack err	Madison Natori Rice-Locket		+0.4
6	2-4	WVU	WVU×6	Blocked	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	blk Maddy McGath, Anna Barr	+0.3
7	2-5	WVU	WVU×6	Ace	West Virginia	aced Alexa Earle	+0.3
8	2-6	WVU	WVU×6	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+0.2
9	3-6	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+0.2
10	3-7	TARLET	WVU×3	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.2
11	3-8	WVU	WVU×3	Attack err	Jacqui McClain		+0.2
12	3-9	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Nina Horning	set Lauren Duncan	+0.1
13	4-9	WVU	TARLET	Serve err	West Virginia		+0.1
14	4-10	TARLET	WVU×3	Kill	Nina Horning	set Lauren Duncan	+0.1
15	4-11	WVU	WVU×3	Blocked	Breannah Peterson	blk Macie Smith, Maddy McGath	+0.1
16	4-12	WVU	WVU×3	Ace	West Virginia		+0.1
17	5-12	WVU	TARLET×3	Serve err	West Virginia		·
18	6-12	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Kingsley Minus	+0.1
19	7-12	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+0.1
20	7-13	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+0.1
21	8-13	WVU	TARLET	Serve err	West Virginia		+0.1
22	8-14	TARLET	WVU	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+0.1
23	9-14	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Kingsley Minus	+0.1
24	10-14	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Macie Smith	+0.2
25	10-15	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.2
26	10-16	WVU	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.1
27	11-16	WVU	TARLET	Blocked	Nina Horning	blk Alyssa Dinh, Onita Davis	+0.1
28	12-16	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Mirjam Karoliine Kask		+0.2
29	12-17	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.2
30	12-18	WVU	WVU	Blocked	Breannah Peterson	blk Maddy McGath, Nina Horning	+0.1
31	13-18	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+0.1
32	13-19	TARLET	WVU×3	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.1
33	13-20	WVU	WVU×3	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+0.1
34	13-21	WVU	WVU×3	Attack err	Jacqui McClain		·
35	14-21	WVU	TARLET×3	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Leddy Rae Guinn	·
36	15-21	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	Madison Frank	set Alexis Massey	·
37	16-21	TARLET	TARLET×3	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Cassidy Bruns	+0.1
38	16-22	TARLET	WVU	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+0.1
39	17-22	WVU	TARLET×4	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Leddy Rae Guinn	·
40	18-22	TARLET	TARLET×4	Attack err	Nula Anderson		+0.1
41	19-22	TARLET	TARLET×4	Attack err	Nula Anderson		+0.2
42	20-22	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	Jacqui McClain	set Kingsley Minus	+0.4
43	20-23	TARLET	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+0.4
44	21-23	WVU	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Kingsley Minus	+0.3
45	21-24	TARLET	WVU	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+0.4
46	21-25	WVU	WVU	Ace	West Virginia	aced Alexa Earle	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Tarleton St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

West Virginia def. Tarleton St. 3–0