Northern Ky. vs Green Bay Volleyball: Northern Ky. Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Ky. 65.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Ky. won at Green Bay 3-0 (25-20, 25-15, 25-19) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Northern Ky.'s Ava Hoying led with 9 kills, and Daisy Cluxton added 22 digs.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT · final Nov 7

Set	1	2	3	Sets
N KY	25	25	25	3
GRNBAY	20	15	19	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: Northern Ky. swept Green Bay.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.4 points. Green Bay peaked at 39% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Northern Ky. 66% before first serve.

Northern Ky.Green Bay

Break %+20.0 pts
47.327.3
On serve: 35/74 against 15/55 (Green Bay sideout 52.7%).
Hitting+.163
.301.138
37 kills, 6 errors vs 37 kills, 19 errors.
Longest run+1
54
5 straight Northern Ky. points in the second set broke a 1–1 tie and made it 6–1. The set finished 25–15.

Green Bay above 50Northern Ky. belowMax swing 2.4%

Northern Ky.Green Bay

Aces: Northern Ky. 6·Green Bay 5
Serve err: Northern Ky. 6·Green Bay 11
Blocks: Northern Ky. 6·Green Bay 31 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Northern Ky. 67·Green Bay 53

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Green Bay above 50 · Northern Ky. below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Green Bay — set 1, N KY 1-3 GRNBAY. Kill by Kelsey Justman (set by Alexa Hernandez). GRNBAY win probability 36% → 39%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N KY 69.3%30.7% GRNBAY

Northern Ky. wins

3-0

22.8%

3-1

26.6%

3-2

19.9%

Green Bay wins

3-0

5.9%

3-1

10.8%

3-2

14.0%

N KY break %: 46.1% vs this opp
GRNBAY break %: 42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kelsey JustmanKill+2.4%
Kill by Kelsey Justman (set by Alexa Hernandez)
Set 1 · N KY 1-3 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 36% → 39%
02
Kelsey JustmanAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Kelsey Justman
Set 1 · N KY 3-3 GRNBAY · N KY 63% → 65%
03
Kendall ScharaAce+2.3%
Ace by Kendall Schara on Allison Risley
Set 1 · N KY 1-2 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 34% → 36%
04
Alexa HernandezBad set+2.3%
Bad set by Alexa Hernandez
Set 1 · N KY 4-3 GRNBAY · N KY 65% → 68%
05
Ava Hoying&Ivey StocksBlock+2.2%
Kirsten Fish stuffed by Ava Hoying & Ivey Stocks
Set 1 · N KY 5-3 GRNBAY · N KY 68% → 70%
06
Gillian KoningAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Gillian Koning
Set 1 · N KY 1-0 GRNBAY · N KY 66% → 68%
07
Ivey Stocks&Abbigail PickardBlock+2.1%
Kelsey Justman stuffed by Ivey Stocks & Abbigail Pickard
Set 1 · N KY 7-4 GRNBAY · N KY 70% → 72%
08
Sydney BrayKill+2.1%
Kill by Sydney Bray (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 1 · N KY 12-8 GRNBAY · N KY 73% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Northern Ky.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Ava HoyingOH	3	9	0	28	.321	1	0	1	5	0	0	2	1	10
11Sydney BrayOH	3	7	1	18	.333	1	1	2	9	2	1	1	1.5	9.5
12Ivey StocksMB	3	6	3	21	.143	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
8Allison RisleyOH	3	2	0	6	.333	0	3	1	13	2	0	0	0	5
16Ashley SessMB	3	2	0	8	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
15Abbigail PickardS	3	1	1	3	.000	30	0	0	13	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
20Lucia HeidOH	3	8	1	16	.438	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
9Emma AdkinsDS	3	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
13Daisy CluxtonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	22	0	0	0	0	1
10Emory GuderianL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		37	6	103	.301	36	6	6	67	5	1	10	6	75

Green Bayhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
16Gillian KoningOH	3	8	4	28	.143	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
10Diane PichelmanMB	3	8	0	21	.381	0	0	3	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
5Olivia NeumannMB	3	5	0	13	.385	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
11Kirsten FishOH	3	5	5	26	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
21Alexa HernandezS	3	1	0	3	.333	31	3	0	5	0	1	0.5	4.5
17Kelsey JustmanOH	3	2	6	11	-.364	1	0	0	6	1	1	0.5	2.5
6Kayla BirminghamOH	3	8	3	27	.185	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	8
12Kendall ScharaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	7	0	0	0	1
4Kennedy SchmitzL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	8	2	0	0	0
2Macy KlineL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	22	1	0	0	0
7Riley SchmitzL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
14Sari MarksS	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	19	130	.138	35	5	11	53	6	6	3	54

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northern Ky. vs Green Bay

Season series · Northern Ky. leads 2-0

Fri, Nov 6, 2026Northern Ky. at Green Bay · Northern Ky. won 3-1Result →
Sat, Nov 7, 2026Northern Ky. at Green Bay · Northern Ky. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 N KY · GRNBAY 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 N KYGRNBAY 4

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 5 N KYGRNBAY 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 N KYGRNBAY 3

Bars above the line = Green Bay leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	61%11/18
2	100%7/7	63%12/19
3	58%7/12	53%8/15
4	86%6/7	25%2/8
5	100%6/6	25%2/8
6	55%6/11	0%0/6
All	73%40/55	47%35/74

Green Bay

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	36%4/11
2	33%7/21	30%3/10
3	54%7/13	0%0/7
4	100%6/6	42%5/12
5	75%6/8	14%1/7
6	60%6/10	25%2/8
All	53%39/74	27%15/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#	N KY-GRNBAY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Gillian Koning		+2.1
2	1-1	N KY	GRNBAY×3	Kill	Kirsten Fish	set Alexa Hernandez	+1.8
3	1-2	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×3	Ace	Kendall Schara	aced Allison Risley	+2.3
4	1-3	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×3	Kill	Kelsey Justman	set Alexa Hernandez	+2.4
5	2-3	GRNBAY	N KY×4	Serve err	Kendall Schara		+1.8
6	3-3	N KY	N KY×4	Attack err	Kelsey Justman		+2.3
7	4-3	N KY	N KY×4	Bad set	Alexa Hernandez		+2.3
8	5-3	N KY	N KY×4	Blocked	Kirsten Fish	blk Ava Hoying, Ivey Stocks	+2.2
9	5-4	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kelsey Justman	set Macy Kline	+1.8
10	6-4	GRNBAY	N KY	Attack err	Kelsey Justman		+1.8
11	7-4	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Kelsey Justman	blk Ivey Stocks, Abbigail Pickard	+2.1
12	7-5	N KY	GRNBAY	Attack err	Ivey Stocks		+1.6
13	8-5	GRNBAY	N KY	Serve err	Kennedy Schmitz		+1.7
14	8-6	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Diane Pichelman	set Alexa Hernandez	+1.7
15	9-6	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.8
16	9-7	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Diane Pichelman	set Alexa Hernandez	+1.7
17	10-7	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.8
18	10-8	N KY	GRNBAY	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+1.7
19	11-8	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Emma Adkins	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.9
20	12-8	N KY	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.1
21	12-9	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Gillian Koning	set Kelsey Justman	+1.5
22	13-9	GRNBAY	N KY×4	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
23	14-9	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Daisy Cluxton	+1.7
24	15-9	N KY	N KY×4	Ace	Daisy Cluxton	aced Macy Kline	+1.4
25	16-9	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
26	16-10	N KY	GRNBAY	Blocked	Ivey Stocks	blk Olivia Neumann, Kelsey Justman	+0.6
27	17-10	GRNBAY	N KY×3	Serve err	Macy Kline		+0.8
28	18-10	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Kelsey Justman		+0.6
29	19-10	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Kelsey Justman		+0.4
30	19-11	N KY	GRNBAY×4	Kill	Diane Pichelman	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.2
31	19-12	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×4	Kill	Kayla Birmingham	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.3
32	19-13	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×4	Kill	Diane Pichelman	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.5
33	19-14	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×4	Kill	Kayla Birmingham	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.8
34	20-14	GRNBAY	N KY	Serve err	Kennedy Schmitz		+0.9
35	20-15	N KY	GRNBAY	Serve err	Ava Hoying		+0.6
36	21-15	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
37	22-15	N KY	N KY	Ace	Emory Guderian	aced Kennedy Schmitz	+0.6
38	22-16	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Gillian Koning	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.2
39	23-16	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid		+0.3
40	23-17	N KY	GRNBAY×4	Kill	Olivia Neumann	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.1
41	23-18	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×4	Ace	Alexa Hernandez	aced Sydney Bray	+0.3
42	23-19	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×4	Ace	Alexa Hernandez	aced Sydney Bray	+0.6
43	23-20	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×4	Ace	Alexa Hernandez	aced Lucia Heid	+1.2
44	24-20	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
45	25-20	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Kirsten Fish		+0.7
Set 2
1	1-0	GRNBAY	N KY	Attack err	Gillian Koning		+1.5
2	1-1	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Olivia Neumann	set Alexa Hernandez	+1.5
3	2-1	GRNBAY	N KY×5	Serve err	Kendall Schara		+1.5
4	3-1	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Kirsten Fish	blk Ava Hoying, Ivey Stocks	+1.8
5	4-1	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
6	5-1	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Sydney Bray		+1.5
7	6-1	N KY	N KY×5	Attack err	Kirsten Fish		+1.4
8	6-2	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Olivia Neumann	set Alexa Hernandez	+1.0
9	7-2	GRNBAY	N KY×3	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.1
10	8-2	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Sari Marks		+1.2
11	9-2	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
12	9-3	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Alexa Hernandez	set Macy Kline	+0.6
13	10-3	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.7
14	10-4	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kayla Birmingham	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.6
15	11-4	GRNBAY	N KY	Serve err	Kayla Birmingham		+0.7
16	11-5	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Gillian Koning	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.6
17	12-5	GRNBAY	N KY	Serve err	Diane Pichelman		+0.7
18	12-6	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Gillian Koning	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.6
19	13-6	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.7
20	14-6	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.7
21	14-7	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Olivia Neumann	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.4
22	15-7	GRNBAY	N KY	Serve err	Kendall Schara		+0.5
23	15-8	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kayla Birmingham	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.4
24	16-8	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard	set Sydney Bray	+0.5
25	16-9	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kirsten Fish	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.3
26	17-9	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.5
27	17-10	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Diane Pichelman	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.3
28	18-10	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.4
29	18-11	N KY	GRNBAY×3	Kill	Diane Pichelman	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.3
30	18-12	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×3	Kill	Gillian Koning	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.5
31	18-13	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×3	Blocked	Lucia Heid	blk Alexa Hernandez, Olivia Neumann	+0.8
32	19-13	GRNBAY	N KY×5	Serve err	Diane Pichelman		+0.9
33	20-13	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.7
34	21-13	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Allison Risley	aced Kelsey Justman	+0.4
35	22-13	N KY	N KY×5	Attack err	Gillian Koning		+0.2
36	23-13	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Allison Risley	aced Kennedy Schmitz	+0.1
37	23-14	N KY	GRNBAY	Serve err	Allison Risley		·
38	23-15	GRNBAY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kirsten Fish	set Alexa Hernandez	·
39	24-15	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	·
40	25-15	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Gillian Koning	blk Sydney Bray	·
Set 3
1	1-0	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Kayla Birmingham	blk Sydney Bray, Ashley Sess	+1.1
2	1-1	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kayla Birmingham	set Kirsten Fish	+0.9
3	1-2	GRNBAY	GRNBAY	Ace	Riley Schmitz	aced Allison Risley	+1.1
4	2-2	GRNBAY	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
5	3-2	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.1
6	4-2	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.1
7	4-3	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kayla Birmingham	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.8
8	5-3	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
9	5-4	N KY	GRNBAY	Serve err	Sydney Bray		+0.9
10	6-4	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
11	6-5	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Diane Pichelman	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.9
12	7-5	GRNBAY	N KY	Serve err	Diane Pichelman		+0.9
13	7-6	N KY	GRNBAY	Serve err	Ivey Stocks		+0.9
14	8-6	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Ashley Sess	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
15	8-7	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Gillian Koning	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.9
16	9-7	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
17	9-8	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kayla Birmingham	set Alexa Hernandez	+1.0
18	10-8	GRNBAY	N KY	Serve err	Riley Schmitz		+1.0
19	11-8	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Ava Hoying	+1.2
20	11-9	N KY	GRNBAY	Serve err	Daisy Cluxton		+0.9
21	12-9	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
22	13-9	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Kayla Birmingham		+1.0
23	13-10	N KY	GRNBAY	Serve err	Sydney Bray		+0.7
24	14-10	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.8
25	14-11	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Gillian Koning	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.7
26	14-12	GRNBAY	GRNBAY	Kill	Olivia Neumann		+1.1
27	15-12	GRNBAY	N KY	Bad set	Alexa Hernandez		+1.0
28	16-12	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Kelsey Justman	blk Lucia Heid, Ashley Sess	+1.1
29	16-13	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Gillian Koning	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.8
30	17-13	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Ashley Sess	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
31	17-14	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kirsten Fish	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.8
32	18-14	GRNBAY	N KY×4	Kill	Emma Adkins	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
33	19-14	N KY	N KY×4	Attack err	Kayla Birmingham		+0.9
34	20-14	N KY	N KY×4	Attack err	Kirsten Fish		+0.6
35	21-14	N KY	N KY×4	Ace	Allison Risley		+0.3
36	21-15	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kayla Birmingham	set Alexa Hernandez	+0.1
37	22-15	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.2
38	23-15	N KY	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
39	23-16	N KY	GRNBAY	Kill	Kirsten Fish	set Alexa Hernandez	·
40	24-16	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
41	24-17	N KY	GRNBAY×3	Kill	Diane Pichelman	set Alexa Hernandez	·
42	24-18	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×3	Blocked	Ivey Stocks	blk Diane Pichelman, Gillian Koning	·
43	24-19	GRNBAY	GRNBAY×3	Attack err	Abbigail Pickard		+0.1
44	25-19	GRNBAY	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Northern Ky. def. Green Bay 3–0

No set was closer than 5 points: Northern Ky. swept Green Bay.