Cincinnati vs West Virginia: West Virginia Wins 3-1 (Oct 16)

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Cincinnati 57.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

West Virginia beat visiting Cincinnati 3-1 (25-21, 25-14, 27-29, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Nina Horning led West Virginia with 16 kills; Cincinnati's Sydney Nolan had a match-high 21.

Data through Nov 3, 8:05 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
CINCY	21	14	29	19	1
WVU	25	25	27	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

West Virginia led in all four phases.

No single rally moved win probability more than 7.5 points. Cincinnati peaked at 62% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ had Cincinnati at 57% before first serve.

CincinnatiWest Virginia

Break %+12.6 pts
31.043.6
On serve: 44/101 against 26/84 (Cincinnati sideout 56.4%).
Hitting+.141
.225.366
64 K / 16 E against 49 K / 17 E.
Longest run+2
46
Down 18–19 in the first set, West Virginia scored 6 straight to lead 24–19. The set finished 25–21.

West Virginia above 50Cincinnati belowMax swing 7.5%

CincinnatiWest Virginia

Aces: Cincinnati 7·West Virginia 7
Serve err: Cincinnati 12·West Virginia 9
Blocks: Cincinnati 7·West Virginia 80 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs: Cincinnati 46·West Virginia 61

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

West Virginia above 50 · Cincinnati below

Biggest swing: 7.5% to Cincinnati — set 3, CINCY 25-24 WVU. Attack error by Macie Smith. WVU win probability 87% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CINCY 58.0%42.0% WVU

Cincinnati wins

3-0

16.1%

3-1

22.1%

3-2

19.7%

West Virginia wins

3-0

9.4%

3-1

15.4%

3-2

17.2%

CINCY break %: 42.1% vs this opp
WVU break %: 40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Macie SmithAttack error+7.5%
Attack error by Macie Smith
Set 3 · CINCY 25-24 WVU · CINCY 13% → 21%
02
Sydney NolanKill+7.3%
Kill by Sydney Nolan (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 3 · CINCY 29-27 WVU · CINCY 21% → 28%
03
Kate LijicBad set+6.2%
Bad set by Kate Lijic
Set 3 · CINCY 22-23 WVU · WVU 85% → 91%
04
Sydney NolanAttack error+5.4%
Attack error by Sydney Nolan
Set 1 · CINCY 19-20 WVU · WVU 43% → 49%
05
Maddy McGathKill+5.4%
Kill by Maddy McGath (set by Alexis Finnvold)
Set 3 · CINCY 23-24 WVU · WVU 87% → 92%
06
Sydney NolanKill+5.4%
Kill by Sydney Nolan (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 3 · CINCY 24-24 WVU · CINCY 8% → 13%
07
Macie SmithKill+5.4%
Kill by Macie Smith (set by Alexis Finnvold)
Set 1 · CINCY 19-21 WVU · WVU 49% → 54%
08
Macie SmithKill+5.3%
Kill by Macie Smith (set by Alexis Finnvold)
Set 3 · CINCY 25-25 WVU · WVU 79% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Cincinnatiaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Sydney NolanOH	4	21	4	58	.293	0	1	3	0	0	2	1	23
8Ligia WilliamsOH	4	11	2	17	.529	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	13
7Andrea SimovskiOH	4	7	6	27	.037	1	1	0	8	1	1	0.5	8.5
5Lilian EntenmannMB	4	2	0	6	.333	0	2	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Ava LedebuhrL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	9	2	0	0	0
0Andi SpiesS	2	0	1	4	-.250	12	1	0	4	0	1	0.5	1.5
11Nina ScruccaOPP	4	6	4	26	.077	0	0	3	3	0	2	1	7
21Viktoria NinovaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	7	2	1	14	2	0	0	2
6Kate LijicS	4	0	0	1	.000	24	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
9Kayla HostetlerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	2	1	0.5	0.5
16Izzy BusignaniOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
4Audrey RomeMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
14Julia HoranMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		49	17	142	.225	44	7	12	46	7	14	7	83

West Virginiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Nina HorningOH	4	16	7	38	.237	1	1	1	6	1	0	0	0	17
20Macie SmithOH	4	14	4	31	.323	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
2Anna BarrOH	4	12	2	21	.476	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	13.5
22Maddy McGathMB	4	9	1	15	.533	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	1.5	11.5
8Cami HuffMB	4	5	1	8	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	3	8
5Alexis FinnvoldS	4	0	0	2	.000	30	1	4	13	0	0	0	0	1
18Trinity SheridanOPP	4	7	1	14	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
0Lauren DuncanS	4	1	0	2	.500	19	3	2	5	0	0	0	0	4
23Cassie BrunsL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	1	0	8	3	0	0	0	1
19Reagan TurkL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	22	3	0	0	0	0
4Eily PainterL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		64	16	131	.366	61	7	9	61	7	1	14	8	102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Cincinnati vs West Virginia

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Cincinnati at West Virginia · West Virginia won 3-1This match
Sun, Nov 1, 2026West Virginia at Cincinnati · Cincinnati won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CINCY · WVU 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 CINCYWVU 6

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 CINCYWVU 5

Set 3

29-27

Longest run 4 CINCYWVU 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 CINCYWVU 4

Bars above the line = West Virginia leads, below = Cincinnati leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cincinnati

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%11/26	8%1/12
2	50%10/20	15%2/13
3	64%9/14	44%7/16
4	53%9/17	40%6/15
5	69%9/13	25%3/12
6	82%9/11	44%7/16
All	56%57/101	31%26/84

West Virginia

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	87%13/15	42%8/19
2	69%9/13	47%9/19
3	53%9/17	53%10/19
4	82%9/11	44%7/16
5	60%9/15	40%6/15
6	69%9/13	31%4/13
All	69%58/84	44%44/101

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#	CINCY-WVU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.7
2	1-1	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.8
3	2-1	WVU	CINCY	Attack err	Nina Horning		+1.8
4	3-1	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Andi Spies	aced Cassie Bruns	+2.5
5	3-2	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Cassie Bruns	+1.7
6	3-3	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Andi Spies		+2.6
7	4-3	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.9
8	4-4	CINCY	WVU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.9
9	5-4	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+1.9
10	6-4	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Reagan Turk	+2.7
11	6-5	CINCY	WVU×3	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Lauren Duncan	+1.8
12	6-6	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+2.8
13	6-7	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Macie Smith	set Lauren Duncan	+2.9
14	7-7	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+2.0
15	7-8	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Lauren Duncan	+2.1
16	7-9	WVU	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Maddy McGath	+3.1
17	8-9	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+2.0
18	8-10	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Lauren Duncan	+2.2
19	9-10	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Viktoria Ninova	+2.1
20	10-10	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan		+3.2
21	10-11	CINCY	WVU	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Cami Huff, Anna Barr	+2.3
22	11-11	WVU	CINCY	Attack err	Anna Barr		+2.3
23	12-11	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Nina Horning		+3.4
24	12-12	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.4
25	13-12	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Andi Spies	+2.5
26	13-13	CINCY	WVU×4	Serve err	Cincinnati		+2.5
27	13-14	WVU	WVU×4	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+3.7
28	13-15	WVU	WVU×4	Ace	West Virginia	aced Viktoria Ninova	+3.8
29	13-16	WVU	WVU×4	Ace	West Virginia	aced Kayla Hostetler	+3.5
30	14-16	WVU	CINCY	Serve err	West Virginia		+2.1
31	14-17	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+2.6
32	15-17	WVU	CINCY×4	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+2.1
33	16-17	CINCY	CINCY×4	Blocked	Macie Smith	blk Ligia Williams, Andi Spies	+3.7
34	17-17	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Ligia Williams		+4.3
35	18-17	CINCY	CINCY×4	Bad set	Lauren Duncan		+4.5
36	18-18	CINCY	WVU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+3.2
37	19-18	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+3.4
38	19-19	CINCY	WVU×6	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Cami Huff, Trinity Sheridan	+3.4
39	19-20	WVU	WVU×6	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+5.4
40	19-21	WVU	WVU×6	Kill	Macie Smith	set Alexis Finnvold	+5.4
41	19-22	WVU	WVU×6	Serve err	West Virginia		+4.6
42	19-23	WVU	WVU×6	Kill	Macie Smith	set Reagan Turk	+3.0
43	19-24	WVU	WVU×6	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.4
44	20-24	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.2
45	21-24	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Reagan Turk	+0.8
46	21-25	CINCY	WVU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.3
Set 2
1	0-1	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.9
2	0-2	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+2.8
3	1-2	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca		+1.9
4	1-3	CINCY	WVU×5	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.0
5	1-4	WVU	WVU×5	Kill	Nina Horning	set Cassie Bruns	+2.8
6	1-5	WVU	WVU×5	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.6
7	1-6	WVU	WVU×5	Kill	Nina Horning	set Andi Spies	+2.4
8	1-7	WVU	WVU×5	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+2.1
9	2-7	WVU	CINCY	Serve err	West Virginia		+1.2
10	3-7	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Cassie Bruns	+2.1
11	3-8	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.7
12	4-8	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+1.5
13	4-9	CINCY	WVU	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Maddy McGath	+1.8
14	4-10	WVU	WVU	Bad set	Andi Spies		+2.1
15	5-10	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+1.2
16	6-10	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+2.1
17	6-11	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Lauren Duncan	set Nina Horning	+1.8
18	7-11	WVU	CINCY	Blocked	Macie Smith	blk Sydney Nolan, Lilian Entenmann	+1.5
19	7-12	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Cami Huff	set Lauren Duncan	+1.8
20	8-12	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.5
21	8-13	CINCY	WVU×3	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Anna Barr, Cami Huff	+1.8
22	8-14	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Cami Huff	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.1
23	8-15	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Nina Horning	set Cassie Bruns	+1.6
24	9-15	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Viktoria Ninova	+0.8
25	9-16	CINCY	WVU×3	Kill	Cami Huff	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.1
26	9-17	WVU	WVU×3	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+1.0
27	9-18	WVU	WVU×3	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Maddy McGath, Anna Barr	+0.6
28	10-18	WVU	CINCY	Blocked	Nina Horning	blk Nina Scrucca, Audrey Rome	+0.2
29	10-19	CINCY	WVU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.4
30	10-20	WVU	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Cassie Bruns	+0.3
31	11-20	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.1
32	11-21	CINCY	WVU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.1
33	11-22	WVU	WVU	Ace	West Virginia	aced Ava Ledebuhr	+0.1
34	12-22	WVU	CINCY	Blocked	Trinity Sheridan	blk Andrea Simovski, Ligia Williams	·
35	12-23	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Lauren Duncan	·
36	13-23	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	·
37	13-24	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Reagan Turk	·
38	14-24	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Audrey Rome	set Kate Lijic	·
39	14-25	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Reagan Turk	·
Set 3
1	0-1	WVU	WVU×3	Ace	West Virginia	aced Kayla Hostetler	+1.9
2	0-2	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.0
3	0-3	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Cami Huff		+1.9
4	1-3	WVU	CINCY	Serve err	West Virginia		+1.3
5	1-4	CINCY	WVU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.4
6	1-5	WVU	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.9
7	2-5	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+1.2
8	3-5	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Cassie Bruns	+1.8
9	3-6	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.4
10	4-6	WVU	CINCY×3	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+1.3
11	5-6	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Viktoria Ninova	+2.0
12	6-6	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Anna Barr		+2.1
13	6-7	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.6
14	7-7	WVU	CINCY	Attack err	Nina Horning		+1.5
15	7-8	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Lauren Duncan	+1.6
16	8-8	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andrea Simovski	+1.6
17	8-9	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Lauren Duncan	+1.7
18	9-9	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
19	9-10	CINCY	WVU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.7
20	10-10	WVU	CINCY	Serve err	West Virginia		+1.7
21	10-11	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.8
22	10-12	WVU	WVU	Ace	West Virginia	aced Ava Ledebuhr	+2.6
23	11-12	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+1.7
24	11-13	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.9
25	12-13	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.7
26	12-14	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Cassie Bruns	+1.9
27	13-14	WVU	CINCY	Serve err	West Virginia		+1.8
28	13-15	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+2.0
29	14-15	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.8
30	14-16	CINCY	WVU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+2.1
31	14-17	WVU	WVU	Ace	West Virginia	aced Andrea Simovski	+2.8
32	15-17	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Viktoria Ninova	+1.6
33	16-17	CINCY	CINCY	Bad set	Lauren Duncan		+2.8
34	16-18	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+2.4
35	17-18	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+2.1
36	17-19	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.5
37	18-19	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+2.2
38	18-20	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.7
39	18-21	WVU	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+3.3
40	19-21	WVU	CINCY×4	Blocked	Maddy McGath	blk Ligia Williams	+1.6
41	20-21	CINCY	CINCY×4	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Reagan Turk	+3.4
42	21-21	CINCY	CINCY×4	Attack err	Nina Horning		+4.4
43	22-21	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Viktoria Ninova	+5.1
44	22-22	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+3.5
45	22-23	WVU	WVU	Bad set	Kate Lijic		+6.2
46	23-23	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+4.1
47	23-24	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Alexis Finnvold	+5.4
48	24-24	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+5.4
49	25-24	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Macie Smith		+7.5
50	25-25	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Alexis Finnvold	+5.3
51	26-25	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+5.3
52	26-26	CINCY	WVU	Serve err	Lilian Entenmann		+5.3
53	27-26	WVU	CINCY	Serve err	West Virginia		+5.3
54	27-27	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Alexis Finnvold	+5.3
55	28-27	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+5.3
56	29-27	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+7.3
Set 4
1	0-1	CINCY	WVU×4	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Lauren Duncan	+2.6
2	0-2	WVU	WVU×4	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+3.7
3	0-3	WVU	WVU×4	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Trinity Sheridan, Cami Huff	+3.6
4	0-4	WVU	WVU×4	Blocked	Nina Scrucca	blk Cami Huff, Macie Smith	+3.5
5	1-4	WVU	CINCY	Serve err	West Virginia		+2.2
6	1-5	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Cami Huff	set Lauren Duncan	+2.5
7	1-6	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+3.2
8	2-6	WVU	CINCY	Serve err	West Virginia		+1.9
9	2-7	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Anna Barr	+2.3
10	2-8	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Ligia Williams		+2.8
11	3-8	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
12	3-9	CINCY	WVU×3	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.0
13	3-10	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.3
14	3-11	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.8
15	4-11	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.9
16	5-11	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Julia Horan		+1.7
17	5-12	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.6
18	6-12	WVU	CINCY	Blocked	Nina Horning	blk Nina Scrucca, Julia Horan	+1.2
19	7-12	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Sydney Nolan	aced Nina Horning	+2.2
20	7-13	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+2.0
21	8-13	WVU	CINCY	Serve err	West Virginia		+1.5
22	8-14	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Lauren Duncan	+2.0
23	9-14	WVU	CINCY	Attack err	Macie Smith		+1.4
24	9-15	CINCY	WVU	Serve err	Ava Ledebuhr		+2.0
25	9-16	WVU	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Kate Lijic	+2.0
26	10-16	WVU	CINCY×3	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.9
27	11-16	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Viktoria Ninova	+1.9
28	12-16	CINCY	CINCY×3	Blocked	Cami Huff	blk Sydney Nolan, Ligia Williams	+2.6
29	12-17	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.5
30	12-18	WVU	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.6
31	13-18	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Viktoria Ninova	+1.1
32	14-18	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.4
33	14-19	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+2.4
34	15-19	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
35	15-20	CINCY	WVU×3	Serve err	Kate Lijic		+2.4
36	15-21	WVU	WVU×3	Ace	Lauren Duncan	aced Viktoria Ninova	+2.1
37	15-22	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Nina Horning	set Reagan Turk	+1.1
38	16-22	WVU	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.3
39	17-22	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Nina Horning		+0.8
40	18-22	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.4
41	18-23	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Lauren Duncan	+1.8
42	19-23	WVU	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.7
43	19-24	CINCY	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+1.4
44	19-25	WVU	WVU	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Cami Huff, Trinity Sheridan	+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Cincinnati first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

West Virginia def. Cincinnati 3–1

West Virginia led in all four phases.