FinalSun, Nov 1, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Cincinnati def. West Virginia 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Cincinnati 67.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cincinnati beat visiting West Virginia 3-0 (25-13, 25-17, 25-22) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. Cincinnati's Sydney Nolan led with 13 kills, and Andrea Simovski added 6 digs.

Data through · final Nov 1

Set123Sets
WVU1317220
CINCY2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.435 and 13 kills for Sydney Nolan as Cincinnati rolled past West Virginia.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.6 points. West Virginia peaked at 33% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Cincinnati 68% before first serve.

West VirginiaCincinnati
  • Break %+19.6 pts
    35.254.8

    Points won on own serve: 40 of 73 vs 19 of 54. West Virginia sided out 45.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.281
    .037.318

    40 kills, 13 errors vs 26 kills, 23 errors.

  • Longest run+5
    38

    Cincinnati scored 8 straight in the first set to stretch a 13–8 lead to 21–8. Final score of the set: 25–13.

Cincinnati above 50West Virginia belowMax swing 3.6%

West VirginiaCincinnati

Aces
West Virginia 3·Cincinnati 3
Serve err
West Virginia 7·Cincinnati 9
Blocks
West Virginia 6·Cincinnati 110 BS · 12 BA vs 2 BS · 18 BA
Digs
West Virginia 25·Cincinnati 26

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Cincinnati above 50 · West Virginia below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.6% CINCYrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Cincinnati — set 3, WVU 22-23 CINCY. Nina Horning stuffed by Kate Lijic & Ligia Williams. CINCY win probability 92% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WVU 28.2%71.8% CINCY

West Virginia wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.8%
3-2
13.1%

Cincinnati wins

3-0
24.6%
3-1
27.5%
3-2
19.7%
WVU break %
39.2% vs this opp
CINCY break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Nina Horning stuffed by Kate Lijic & Ligia Williams

    Set 3 · WVU 22-23 CINCY · CINCY 92% → 95%

  2. 02
    Nina HorningKill+3.2%

    Kill by Nina Horning (set by Alexis Finnvold)

    Set 3 · WVU 22-21 CINCY · WVU 7% → 11%

  3. 03

    Kill by Andrea Simovski (set by Sydney Nolan)

    Set 3 · WVU 22-24 CINCY · CINCY 95% → 98%

  4. 04

    Nina Scrucca stuffed by Cami Huff & Nina Horning

    Set 3 · WVU 20-20 CINCY · WVU 5% → 7%

  5. 05
    Anna BarrAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Anna Barr

    Set 1 · WVU 1-3 CINCY · CINCY 69% → 71%

  6. 06

    Kill by Ligia Williams (set by Kate Lijic)

    Set 3 · WVU 22-22 CINCY · CINCY 89% → 92%

  7. 07
    Nina HorningAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Nina Horning

    Set 1 · WVU 1-4 CINCY · CINCY 71% → 73%

  8. 08
    Nina ScruccaKill+2.0%

    Kill by Nina Scrucca (set by Kate Lijic)

    Set 2 · WVU 4-6 CINCY · CINCY 83% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37516.12500000031.58.5
37823-.04300110010.57.5
3326.167010100215
3000–210310001
3000–1301600000
2001.00000000031.51.5
34418.00001120010.55.5
35213.23100020010.55.5
3000–702300000
3000–202620000
1013-.33300010010.50.5
1011-1.000000000000
1000–100000000
1000–000000000
Team totals262381.0372537253012652
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313323.43510010111.514.5
38311.4550001004210
3419.33300310153.57.5
3204.5003112300636
34320.050001610004
3000–200500000
37212.417000100218
3000–323510002
31011.000000310001
1115.000000000001
Team totals401385.31837392632181175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

West Virginia vs Cincinnati

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 WVU · CINCY 8

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 WVUCINCY 8

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 WVUCINCY 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 WVUCINCY 7

Bars above the line = Cincinnati leads, below = West Virginia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

West Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
50%6/12
2
38%6/16
30%3/10
3
50%6/12
33%3/9
4
71%5/7
25%2/8
5
56%5/9
38%3/8
6
33%4/12
29%2/7
All
45%33/73
35%19/54

Cincinnati

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
55%6/11
2
67%6/9
60%9/15
3
60%6/10
67%12/18
4
75%6/8
33%3/9
5
63%5/8
44%4/9
6
71%5/7
55%6/11
All
65%35/54
55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#WVU-CINCYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WVUCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.6
21-1CINCYWVUServe errViktoria Ninova+1.6
31-2WVUCINCY×3KillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.6
41-3CINCYCINCY×3Attack errAnna Barr+2.2
51-4CINCYCINCY×3Attack errNina Horning+2.0
62-4CINCYWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
72-5WVUCINCYKillLilian Entenmannset Kate Lijic+1.4
82-6CINCYCINCYKillLilian Entenmann+1.8
93-6CINCYWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+1.2
104-6WVUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Reagan Turk+2.0
114-7WVUCINCYServe errNina Horning+1.5
124-8CINCYCINCYAttack errTrinity Sheridan+1.9
135-8CINCYWVUServe errLilian Entenmann+1.2
145-9WVUCINCY×3KillAndrea Simovskiset Viktoria Ninova+1.3
155-10CINCYCINCY×3Attack errTrinity Sheridan+1.6
165-11CINCYCINCY×3BlockedMacie Smithblk Ligia Williams, Kate Lijic+1.3
176-11CINCYWVUBlockedAndrea Simovskiblk Trinity Sheridan, Cami Huff+0.7
186-12WVUCINCYServe errAlexis Finnvold+0.9
196-13CINCYCINCYKillKate Lijicset Ava Ledebuhr+1.0
207-13CINCYWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.5
218-13WVUWVUAttack errLigia Williams+1.0
228-14WVUCINCY×8KillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.9
238-15CINCYCINCY×8Attack errNina Horning+0.9
248-16CINCYCINCY×8KillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.6
258-17CINCYCINCY×8BlockedNina Horningblk Lilian Entenmann, Kate Lijic+0.4
268-18CINCYCINCY×8BlockedAnna Barrblk Lilian Entenmann, Sydney Nolan+0.2
278-19CINCYCINCY×8AceViktoria Ninovaaced Reagan Turk+0.1
288-20CINCYCINCY×8BlockedNina Horningblk Lilian Entenmann, Kate Lijic·
298-21CINCYCINCY×8BlockedSophia Fallahblk Lilian Entenmann·
309-21CINCYWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold·
319-22WVUCINCYServe errReagan Turk·
3210-22CINCYWVU×3Serve errKate Lijic·
3311-22WVUWVU×3Attack errLilian Entenmann·
3412-22WVUWVU×3KillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan·
3512-23WVUCINCYServe errLauren Duncan·
3613-23CINCYWVUAttack errAndrea Simovski·
3713-24WVUCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Viktoria Ninova·
3813-25CINCYCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic·
Set 2
10-1CINCYCINCYBlockedAnna Barrblk Sydney Nolan+1.9
21-1CINCYWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
31-2WVUCINCYKillKate Lijicset Ava Ledebuhr+1.3
42-2CINCYWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
52-3WVUCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.4
63-3CINCYWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+1.4
73-4WVUCINCYServe errMacie Smith+1.4
84-4CINCYWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.5
94-5WVUCINCYKillKayla Hostetler+1.4
104-6CINCYCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+2.0
115-6CINCYWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.4
125-7WVUCINCY×5KillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+1.4
135-8CINCYCINCY×5BlockedNina Horningblk Ligia Williams, Kate Lijic+1.9
145-9CINCYCINCY×5Attack errMirjam Karoliine Kask+1.6
155-10CINCYCINCY×5KillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+1.4
165-11CINCYCINCY×5Attack errAnna Barr+1.1
176-11CINCYWVUKillNina Horningset Reagan Turk+0.6
186-12WVUCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+0.7
197-12CINCYWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
207-13WVUCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.7
217-14CINCYCINCYAceViktoria Ninovaaced Cassie Bruns+0.8
228-14CINCYWVUServe errViktoria Ninova+0.4
238-15WVUCINCY×4KillLilian Entenmannset Kate Lijic+0.5
248-16CINCYCINCY×4AceKate Lijicaced Reagan Turk+0.5
258-17CINCYCINCY×4KillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.3
268-18CINCYCINCY×4Attack errMaddy McGath+0.2
279-18CINCYWVUServe errKate Lijic+0.1
2810-18WVUWVUAceWest Virginiaaced Andrea Simovski+0.1
2910-19WVUCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.2
3011-19CINCYWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.1
3112-19WVUWVUKillNina Horningset Lucie Šmardová+0.2
3212-20WVUCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.2
3312-21CINCYCINCYBlockedNina Horningblk Ligia Williams, Nina Scrucca+0.1
3413-21CINCYWVUServe errLilian Entenmann·
3514-21WVUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.1
3614-22WVUCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+0.1
3715-22CINCYWVUBlockedIzzy Busignaniblk Anna Barr, Mirjam Karoliine Kask·
3816-22WVUWVUBad setKate Lijic+0.1
3916-23WVUCINCYKillIzzy Busignaniset Kate Lijic+0.2
4016-24CINCYCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.1
4117-24CINCYWVUAttack errSydney Nolan·
4217-25WVUCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic·
Set 3
11-0WVUWVU×3AceWest Virginiaaced Viktoria Ninova+1.2
22-0WVUWVU×3Attack errLigia Williams+1.2
33-0WVUWVU×3BlockedSydney Nolanblk Anna Barr, Cami Huff+1.2
43-1WVUCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.8
53-2CINCYCINCYBlockedMacie Smithblk Lilian Entenmann, Kate Lijic+1.2
64-2CINCYWVUServe errViktoria Ninova+0.9
75-2WVUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.3
85-3WVUCINCY×7Serve errReagan Turk+0.8
95-4CINCYCINCY×7KillLilian Entenmann+1.2
105-5CINCYCINCY×7Bad setAlexis Finnvold+1.3
115-6CINCYCINCY×7Bad setAlexis Finnvold+1.3
125-7CINCYCINCY×7Attack errAnna Barr+1.2
135-8CINCYCINCY×7BlockedMacie Smithblk Nina Scrucca, Lilian Entenmann+1.1
145-9CINCYCINCY×7Attack errMaddy McGath+1.0
156-9CINCYWVUKillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
167-9WVUWVUKillMacie Smithset Cassie Bruns+1.0
177-10WVUCINCYServe errLauren Duncan+0.8
187-11CINCYCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+1.0
198-11CINCYWVUKillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+0.6
208-12WVUCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Viktoria Ninova+0.7
219-12CINCYWVUKillNina Horningset Lauren Duncan+0.6
2210-12WVUWVUAceWest Virginiaaced Kayla Hostetler+1.1
2310-13WVUCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+0.9
2411-13CINCYWVUAttack errAndrea Simovski+0.8
2511-14WVUCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+0.9
2612-14CINCYWVUServe errAndrea Simovski+0.8
2713-14WVUWVUAttack errLigia Williams+1.4
2813-15WVUCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.1
2914-15CINCYWVU×3KillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+1.0
3015-15WVUWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Cassie Bruns+1.7
3116-15WVUWVU×3BlockedSydney Nolanblk Anna Barr, Maddy McGath+1.9
3216-16WVUCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.3
3316-17CINCYCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+1.9
3417-17CINCYWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
3517-18WVUCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.4
3617-19CINCYCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+1.9
3718-19CINCYWVUBlockedNina Scruccablk Macie Smith, Maddy McGath+1.2
3818-20WVUCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+1.4
3919-20CINCYWVUServe errLilian Entenmann+1.3
4020-20WVUWVUBlockedNina Scruccablk Cami Huff, Nina Horning+2.4
4120-21WVUCINCYAttack errMacie Smith+1.8
4221-21CINCYWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.9
4322-21WVUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+3.2
4422-22WVUCINCY×4KillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+2.1
4522-23CINCYCINCY×4BlockedNina Horningblk Kate Lijic, Ligia Williams+3.6
4622-24CINCYCINCY×4KillAndrea Simovskiset Sydney Nolan+3.2
4722-25CINCYCINCY×4Attack errNina Horning+1.6

Score shown after each rally, West Virginia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).