Northeastern vs UNCW Volleyball: UNCW Wins 3-1 (Oct 2, 2026)

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026FloSports

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Northeastern 77.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UNCW beat visiting Northeastern 3-1 (25-22, 16-25, 25-22, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Sam Vanda led UNCW with 16 kills; Northeastern's Cayenne Ceman had a match-high 18.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 2

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
NOEAST	22	25	22	22	1
UNCW	25	16	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Nadia Wasilewski served 4 aces, and UNCW needed every one.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are UNCW's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Northeastern went in at 77% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Northeastern 6–4 UNCW
5 straight UNCW points turned a 4–6 deficit into a 9–6 lead. The match swung to UNCW.
UNCW 39% → 54%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Northeastern 9–15 UNCW
5 straight Northeastern points cut a 9–15 deficit to 14–15. The match swung to Northeastern.
UNCW 51% → 36%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · Northeastern 15–18 UNCW
Down 15–18, Northeastern scored 3 straight to tie it at 18.
UNCW 82% → 64%

UNCW above 50Northeastern belowMax swing 8.8%

NortheasternUNCW

Sideout %: Northeastern 64.4·UNCW 64.1
Break %: Northeastern 35.9·UNCW 35.6
Hitting: Northeastern .252·UNCW .238
Longest run: Northeastern 8·UNCW 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNCW above 50 · Northeastern below

Biggest swing: 8.8% to UNCW — set 4, NOEAST 18-20 UNCW. Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Gaby Zovko). UNCW win probability 70% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NOEAST 42.5%57.5% UNCW

Northeastern wins

3-0

9.6%

3-1

15.6%

3-2

17.3%

UNCW wins

3-0

15.9%

3-1

21.9%

3-2

19.7%

NOEAST break %: 42.0% vs this opp
UNCW break %: 43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sam VandaKill+8.8%
Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Gaby Zovko)
Set 4 · NOEAST 18-20 UNCW · UNCW 70% → 79%
02
Elaina MurphyKill+8.2%
Kill by Elaina Murphy (set by Gaby Zovko)
Set 4 · NOEAST 18-21 UNCW · UNCW 79% → 87%
03
Sam VandaAttack error+7.4%
Attack error by Sam Vanda
Set 4 · NOEAST 18-18 UNCW · NOEAST 29% → 36%
04
Sam VandaKill+6.9%
Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Gaby Zovko)
Set 4 · NOEAST 22-25 UNCW · UNCW 93% → 100%
05
Arina Sosinovica&Bryce LeatherwoodBlock+6.7%
Nadia Wasilewski stuffed by Arina Sosinovica & Bryce Leatherwood
Set 4 · NOEAST 17-18 UNCW · NOEAST 22% → 29%
06
Cayenne CemanAttack error+6.5%
Attack error by Cayenne Ceman
Set 4 · NOEAST 18-22 UNCW · UNCW 87% → 94%
07
Bryce LeatherwoodAttack error+6.3%
Attack error by Bryce Leatherwood
Set 4 · NOEAST 18-19 UNCW · UNCW 64% → 70%
08
Valentina Meirelles&Beatrice GennariBlock+5.5%
Sam Vanda stuffed by Valentina Meirelles & Beatrice Gennari
Set 4 · NOEAST 14-16 UNCW · NOEAST 19% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Northeasternaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Cayenne CemanOH	4	18	9	31	.290	1	0	1	6	1	1	1	1.5	19.5
20Bryce LeatherwoodMB	4	6	2	11	.364	1	0	0	3	0	2	3	3.5	9.5
12Valentina MeirellesOH	4	8	4	24	.167	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
13Arina SosinovicaS	4	4	0	7	.571	33	2	0	7	0	0	4	2	8
9Beatrice GennariMB	4	6	0	11	.545	2	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
5Emma RowellOPP	3	7	5	16	.125	1	0	2	4	1	0	0	0	7
2Abbie CallawayOH	4	1	2	11	-.091	3	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	1
17Iris CankoDS	4	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	15	1	0	0	0	0
1Aven CrosbyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	0
11Kaylin DanielsMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	1
6Gabby ReevesS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	22	111	.252	47	2	6	45	9	3	12	9	91

UNCWhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Nadia WasilewskiOH	4	14	5	30	.300	0	4	5	4	0	1	0.5	18.5
1Sam VandaOH	4	16	7	42	.214	2	2	3	4	1	0	0	18
16Elaina MurphyOH	4	11	5	24	.250	2	0	2	10	1	1	0.5	11.5
10Gaby ZovkoS	4	6	2	13	.308	43	2	1	3	0	4	2	10
6Lily GoyerMB	4	4	4	14	.000	1	0	1	1	0	4	2	6
19Lora ColeMB	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	3	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
20Anna HarneyDS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	12	0	0	0	1
5Morgan EsmieDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
18Lauren LewisMB	2	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
8Meredith KeeferOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		54	23	130	.238	50	9	16	36	2	12	6	91

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northeastern vs UNCW

Season series · UNCW leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Northeastern at UNCW · UNCW won 3-1This match
Sat, Oct 3, 2026Northeastern at UNCW · UNCW won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 NOEAST · UNCW 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 NOEASTUNCW 5

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 8 NOEASTUNCW 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 NOEASTUNCW 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 NOEASTUNCW 6

Bars above the line = UNCW leads, below = Northeastern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northeastern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%5/5	43%3/7
2	71%5/7	29%2/7
3	63%5/8	62%8/13
4	100%5/5	0%0/5
5	80%4/5	55%6/11
6	36%4/11	0%0/4
All	68%28/41	40%19/47

UNCW

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	33%2/6
2	42%5/12	0%0/5
3	83%5/6	29%2/7
4	71%5/7	38%3/8
5	56%5/9	0%0/5
6	60%3/5	60%6/10
All	60%28/47	32%13/41

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#	NOEAST-UNCW	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+1.5
2	1-1	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.4
3	1-2	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+1.5
4	2-2	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+1.4
5	2-3	NOEAST	UNCW×5	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+1.6
6	2-4		UNCW	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.2
7	2-5	UNCW	UNCW×5	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles		+2.3
8	2-6	UNCW	UNCW×5	Attack err	Emma Rowell		+2.3
9	2-7	UNCW	UNCW×5	Ace	UNCW	aced Aven Crosby	+2.2
10	3-7	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+1.4
11	3-8	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Gaby Zovko	+1.7
12	4-8	UNCW	NOEAST	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+1.4
13	4-9	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Sam Vanda	+1.7
14	5-9	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Bryce Leatherwood	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.4
15	5-10	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.8
16	6-10	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.4
17	6-11	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+1.8
18	6-12	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman		+2.1
19	7-12	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.2
20	8-12	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.9
21	8-13	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+1.8
22	9-13	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+1.4
23	10-13	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Beatrice Gennari	+2.2
24	10-14	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+2.1
25	11-14	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.6
26	11-15	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+2.1
27	11-16	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Lily Goyer		+2.5
28	12-16	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+1.4
29	12-17	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Lily Goyer	+1.9
30	13-17	UNCW	NOEAST	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+1.3
31	14-17	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Bryce Leatherwood	+2.3
32	14-18	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+2.3
33	15-18	UNCW	NOEAST×3	Kill	Arina Sosinovica	set Cayenne Ceman	+1.7
34	16-18	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Nadia Wasilewski		+2.8
35	17-18	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Iris Canko	+3.3
36	17-19	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+3.1
37	18-19	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.6
38	18-20	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+3.3
39	18-21	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Emma Rowell		+4.0
40	19-21	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.1
41	19-22	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+3.3
42	19-23	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	UNCW	aced Iris Canko	+3.1
43	20-23	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.1
44	20-24	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+2.1
45	21-24	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.6
46	22-24	NOEAST	NOEAST	Attack err	Lily Goyer		+1.8
47	22-25	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+3.4
Set 2
1	1-0	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.9
2	1-1	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+2.0
3	2-1	UNCW	NOEAST	Blocked	Elaina Murphy	blk Cayenne Ceman	+1.9
4	2-2	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+2.1
5	3-2	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+2.0
6	3-3	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+2.1
7	4-3	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Abbie Callaway	+2.0
8	5-3	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.6
9	5-4	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+2.0
10	6-4	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.0
11	6-5	NOEAST	UNCW×5	Attack err	Emma Rowell		+2.0
12	6-6	UNCW	UNCW×5	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Emma Rowell	+3.0
13	6-7	UNCW	UNCW×5	Attack err	Emma Rowell		+3.3
14	6-8	UNCW	UNCW×5	Attack err	Emma Rowell		+3.6
15	6-9	UNCW	UNCW×5	Blocked	Valentina Meirelles	blk Lora Cole, Gaby Zovko	+3.6
16	7-9	UNCW	NOEAST×3	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.4
17	8-9	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Gaby Zovko		+3.4
18	9-9	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Blocked	Sam Vanda	blk Bryce Leatherwood	+3.4
19	9-10	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Lora Cole	set Gaby Zovko	+2.8
20	10-10	UNCW	NOEAST×3	Kill	Bryce Leatherwood	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.6
21	11-10	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Arina Sosinovica	+3.5
22	12-10	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+3.2
23	12-11	NOEAST	UNCW	Serve err	Northeastern		+2.4
24	13-11	UNCW	NOEAST×8	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Iris Canko	+2.5
25	14-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×8	Blocked	Elaina Murphy	blk Bryce Leatherwood, Arina Sosinovica	+2.9
26	15-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×8	Kill	Arina Sosinovica	set Sam Vanda	+2.4
27	16-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×8	Kill	Cayenne Ceman		+1.9
28	17-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×8	Blocked	Nadia Wasilewski	blk Bryce Leatherwood, Cayenne Ceman	+1.3
29	18-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×8	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Iris Canko	+0.8
30	19-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×8	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.5
31	20-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×8	Attack err	Nadia Wasilewski		+0.2
32	20-12	NOEAST	UNCW	Serve err	Northeastern		+0.1
33	21-12	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Bryce Leatherwood	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.1
34	21-13	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+0.1
35	22-13	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.1
36	23-13	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	·
37	23-14	NOEAST	UNCW	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman		·
38	24-14	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	·
39	24-15	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	·
40	24-16	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	·
41	25-16	UNCW	NOEAST	Attack err	Gaby Zovko		·
Set 3
1	0-1	NOEAST	UNCW	Serve err	Northeastern		+2.2
2	1-1	UNCW	NOEAST	Attack err	Nadia Wasilewski		+2.1
3	1-2	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+2.3
4	2-2	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.1
5	2-3	NOEAST	UNCW	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman		+2.3
6	3-3	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+2.2
7	3-4	NOEAST	UNCW	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman		+2.4
8	4-4	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Arina Sosinovica	set Abbie Callaway	+2.2
9	4-5	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Lily Goyer	set Gaby Zovko	+2.5
10	5-5	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Beatrice Gennari	+2.3
11	5-6	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+2.5
12	5-7	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Anna Harney	+3.6
13	6-7	UNCW	NOEAST	Attack err	Elaina Murphy		+2.4
14	6-8	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+2.8
15	7-8	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Bryce Leatherwood	set Iris Canko	+2.5
16	7-9	NOEAST	UNCW	Serve err	Northeastern		+2.9
17	7-10	UNCW	UNCW	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles		+3.9
18	8-10	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Iris Canko	+2.5
19	8-11	NOEAST	UNCW×4	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+3.0
20	8-12	UNCW	UNCW×4	Blocked	Cayenne Ceman	blk Lily Goyer, Gaby Zovko	+3.9
21	8-13	UNCW	UNCW×4	Ace	UNCW	aced Emma Rowell	+3.6
22	8-14	UNCW	UNCW×4	Blocked	Bryce Leatherwood	blk Elaina Murphy, Lily Goyer	+3.1
23	9-14	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+1.7
24	9-15	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+2.4
25	10-15	UNCW	NOEAST×5	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.6
26	11-15	NOEAST	NOEAST×5	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+2.8
27	12-15	NOEAST	NOEAST×5	Ace	Arina Sosinovica	aced Sam Vanda	+3.3
28	13-15	NOEAST	NOEAST×5	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Arina Sosinovica	+3.9
29	14-15	NOEAST	NOEAST×5	Ace	Arina Sosinovica	aced Elaina Murphy	+4.3
30	14-16	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+3.8
31	14-17	UNCW	UNCW	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+4.9
32	15-17	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Emma Rowell	+3.0
33	15-18	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Elaina Murphy	+3.9
34	15-19	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	UNCW	aced Aven Crosby	+4.6
35	16-19	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+2.4
36	17-19	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell		+4.3
37	17-20	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Anna Harney	+4.3
38	18-20	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+3.2
39	18-21	NOEAST	UNCW	Attack err	Abbie Callaway		+4.6
40	18-22	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	UNCW	aced Aven Crosby	+4.7
41	19-22	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+2.0
42	20-22	NOEAST	NOEAST	Attack err	Lily Goyer		+4.2
43	20-23	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+5.1
44	21-23	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+2.8
45	21-24	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+5.3
46	22-24	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.0
47	22-25	NOEAST	UNCW	Blocked	Cayenne Ceman	blk Gaby Zovko, Lily Goyer	+5.0
Set 4
1	1-0	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Abbie Callaway	set Valentina Meirelles	+2.7
2	1-1	NOEAST	UNCW×3	Kill	Lauren Lewis	set Gaby Zovko	+2.8
3	1-2	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+4.1
4	1-3	UNCW	UNCW×3	Blocked	Abbie Callaway	blk Nadia Wasilewski, Lauren Lewis	+4.4
5	2-3	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+3.0
6	2-4	NOEAST	UNCW	Serve err	Northeastern		+3.4
7	3-4	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Bryce Leatherwood	set Arina Sosinovica	+3.1
8	3-5	NOEAST	UNCW×3	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+3.5
9	3-6	UNCW	UNCW×3	Kill	Lily Goyer		+4.8
10	3-7	UNCW	UNCW×3	Blocked	Cayenne Ceman	blk Gaby Zovko, Lily Goyer	+4.7
11	4-7	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+3.0
12	4-8	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Sam Vanda	+3.7
13	5-8	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+3.1
14	6-8	NOEAST	NOEAST	Attack err	Lily Goyer		+4.5
15	6-9	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Gaby Zovko	set Elaina Murphy	+3.9
16	7-9	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+3.4
17	7-10	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+4.0
18	7-11	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	UNCW	aced Abbie Callaway	+5.2
19	8-11	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Arina Sosinovica	+3.2
20	8-12	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+4.0
21	8-13	UNCW	UNCW	Ace	UNCW	aced Cayenne Ceman	+4.9
22	9-13	UNCW	NOEAST	Serve err	UNCW		+2.8
23	9-14	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+3.8
24	10-14	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.8
25	11-14	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Arina Sosinovica	set Abbie Callaway	+4.5
26	11-15	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Nadia Wasilewski	set Gaby Zovko	+4.4
27	12-15	UNCW	NOEAST	Attack err	Lily Goyer		+3.4
28	12-16	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Lily Goyer	set Gaby Zovko	+4.5
29	13-16	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Arina Sosinovica	+3.4
30	14-16	NOEAST	NOEAST	Blocked	Sam Vanda	blk Valentina Meirelles, Beatrice Gennari	+5.5
31	14-17	NOEAST	UNCW	Serve err	Northeastern		+5.2
32	15-17	UNCW	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Arina Sosinovica	+4.1
33	15-18	NOEAST	UNCW	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles		+5.4
34	16-18	UNCW	NOEAST×3	Kill	Bryce Leatherwood	set Arina Sosinovica	+4.2
35	17-18	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Blocked	Nadia Wasilewski	blk Arina Sosinovica, Bryce Leatherwood	+6.7
36	18-18	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Sam Vanda		+7.4
37	18-19	NOEAST	UNCW×6	Attack err	Bryce Leatherwood		+6.3
38	18-20	UNCW	UNCW×6	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+8.8
39	18-21	UNCW	UNCW×6	Kill	Elaina Murphy	set Gaby Zovko	+8.2
40	18-22	UNCW	UNCW×6	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman		+6.5
41	18-23		UNCW	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+4.0
42	18-24	UNCW	UNCW×6	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman		+1.8
43	19-24	UNCW	NOEAST×4	Serve err	UNCW		+0.3
44	20-24	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.8
45	21-24	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Blocked	Elaina Murphy	blk Arina Sosinovica, Kaylin Daniels	+1.7
46	22-24	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Blocked	Elaina Murphy	blk Arina Sosinovica, Kaylin Daniels	+3.7
47	22-25	NOEAST	UNCW	Kill	Sam Vanda	set Gaby Zovko	+6.9

Score shown after each rally, Northeastern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

UNCW def. Northeastern 3–1

Nadia Wasilewski served 4 aces, and UNCW needed every one.