Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on FloSports

Stony Brook def. Northeastern 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Stony Brook 56.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Stony Brook won at Northeastern 3-1 (23-25, 25-16, 26-24, 26-24) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Ella Sanders led Stony Brook with 13 kills; Northeastern's Emma Rowell had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set1234Sets
STONY232526263
NOEAST251624241

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Taryn Su, and Stony Brook needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Stony Brook's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Stony Brook 57% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Stony Brook 10–13 Northeastern

    Stony Brook scored 8 straight to turn a 10–13 deficit into an 18–13 lead. The match swung to Stony Brook.

    Stony Brook 42% → 73%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Stony Brook 24–20 Northeastern

    Down 20–24, Northeastern scored 4 straight to tie it at 24.

    Stony Brook 77% → 55%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Stony Brook 23–23 Northeastern

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Stony Brook, enough to take the set 26–24 and win the match 3–1.

    Stony Brook 78% → >99%

Northeastern above 50Stony Brook belowMax swing 12.9%

Stony BrookNortheastern

Sideout %
Stony Brook 53.3·Northeastern 47.5
Break %
Stony Brook 52.5·Northeastern 46.7
Hitting
Stony Brook .107·Northeastern .098
Longest run
Stony Brook 8·Northeastern 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northeastern above 50 · Stony Brook below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+12.9% NOEASTrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.9% to Northeastern — set 3, STONY 24-24 NOEAST. Attack error by Quinn Anderson. NOEAST win probability 32% → 45%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STONY 56.8%43.2% NOEAST

Stony Brook wins

3-0
15.6%
3-1
21.6%
3-2
19.6%

Northeastern wins

3-0
9.9%
3-1
15.9%
3-2
17.4%
STONY break %
45.8% vs this opp
NOEAST break %
44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Quinn AndersonAttack error+12.9%

    Attack error by Quinn Anderson

    Set 3 · STONY 24-24 NOEAST · NOEAST 32% → 45%

  2. 02
    Abbie CallawayAttack error+12.6%

    Attack error by Abbie Callaway

    Set 3 · STONY 26-24 NOEAST · STONY 65% → 78%

  3. 03
    Emma RowellKill+12.6%

    Kill by Emma Rowell (set by Zayda Fuertez)

    Set 4 · STONY 23-24 NOEAST · NOEAST 22% → 34%

  4. 04
    Valentina MeirellesBad set+12.3%

    Bad set by Valentina Meirelles

    Set 4 · STONY 25-24 NOEAST · STONY 76% → 88%

  5. 05
    Avari AmstutzKill+11.9%

    Kill by Avari Amstutz (set by Arina Sosinovica)

    Set 4 · STONY 26-24 NOEAST · STONY 88% → 100%

  6. 06
    Ella SandersKill+10.3%

    Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Rayanne Wheat)

    Set 3 · STONY 25-24 NOEAST · STONY 55% → 65%

  7. 07
    Damisi OsiboduKill+10.0%

    Kill by Damisi Osibodu (set by Taryn Su)

    Set 4 · STONY 24-24 NOEAST · STONY 66% → 76%

  8. 08
    Stony BrookService error+8.1%

    Stony Brook service error

    Set 1 · STONY 23-25 NOEAST · NOEAST 56% → 64%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413325.40002191031.516.5
410220.40000010031.511.5
44517-.05900030111.55.5
42211.00012530031.55.5
45631-.032000410005
4001.0001511500001
43214.071331510006
44614-.143100100215
4012-.5001451600005
4002.0004211720002
1102.500000110001
1001.000000000000
Team totals4227140.1073815105571127100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414526.34600050010.514.5
49333.1822217304213
46114.3571122018512
44926-.192003830004
4104.2502400900001
3113.000000000001
44516-.06301314031.56.5
4000–1211540002
34313.077000000215
3011-1.0001010300001
2127-.143000100212
1000–001500000
Team totals4430143.0983871156151201189

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Stony Brook vs Northeastern

Season series · Stony Brook leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 STONY · NOEAST 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 6 STONYNOEAST 5

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 8 STONYNOEAST 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 8 STONYNOEAST 4

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 4 STONYNOEAST 5

Bars above the line = Northeastern leads, below = Stony Brook leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stony Brook

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
57%8/14
2
55%6/11
54%7/13
3
50%6/12
25%2/8
4
50%6/12
45%5/11
5
50%6/12
54%7/13
6
44%4/9
76%13/17
All
54%35/65
55%42/76

Northeastern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
44%4/9
2
43%6/14
30%3/10
3
100%6/6
57%8/14
4
50%6/12
50%6/12
5
33%5/15
50%6/12
6
20%4/20
38%3/8
All
45%34/76
46%30/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#STONY-NOEASTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NOEASTSTONYServe errCayenne Ceman+1.9
21-1STONYNOEAST×3KillEmma Rowellset Valentina Meirelles+1.9
31-2NOEASTNOEAST×3AceAven Crosbyaced Quinn Anderson+2.5
41-3NOEASTNOEAST×3KillEmma Rowellset Damisi Osibodu+2.5
52-3NOEASTSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Cayenne Ceman+1.9
62-4STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+2.0
72-5NOEASTNOEASTKillBeatrice Gennari+2.5
83-5STONY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.8
94-5STONYSTONY×6KillElla Sandersset Zayda Fuertez+2.5
105-5STONYSTONY×6AceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+2.6
116-5STONYSTONY×6KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+2.6
127-5STONYSTONY×6KillDamisi Osibodu+2.6
138-5STONYSTONY×6KillDamisi Osibodu+2.5
148-6STONYNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Sofia King+1.8
158-7NOEASTNOEASTAttack errTaryn Su+2.6
169-7NOEASTSTONYKillCarey-Jean Blockset Taryn Su+2.2
1710-7STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Valentina Meirelles+2.6
1810-8STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+1.9
1910-9NOEASTNOEASTAttack errLeimaile Lasike+2.7
2011-9NOEASTSTONYAttack errValentina Meirelles+2.3
2111-10STONYNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Sofia King+2.2
2212-10NOEASTSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+2.4
2312-11STONYNOEAST×5KillKaylin Danielsset Arina Sosinovica+2.3
2412-12NOEASTNOEAST×5KillValentina Meirellesset Arina Sosinovica+3.2
2512-13NOEASTNOEAST×5Attack errAyanna Pierre Louis+3.4
2612-14NOEASTNOEAST×5KillValentina Meirellesset Arina Sosinovica+3.4
2712-15NOEASTNOEAST×5KillEmma Rowellset Cayenne Ceman+3.3
2813-15NOEASTSTONYServe errCayenne Ceman+2.3
2913-16STONYNOEAST×4KillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+2.7
3013-17NOEASTNOEAST×4KillBeatrice Gennariset Arina Sosinovica+3.0
3113-18NOEASTNOEAST×4Attack errMercedes Motton+2.4
3213-19NOEASTNOEAST×4KillEmma Rowellset Aven Crosby+1.8
3314-19NOEASTSTONY×3Attack errEmma Rowell+0.9
3415-19STONYSTONY×3KillLeimaile Lasikeset Taryn Su+1.7
3516-19STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+2.3
3616-20STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+2.5
3717-20NOEASTSTONYAttack errElle Lucas+1.8
3817-21STONYNOEASTAttack errLeimaile Lasike+2.6
3918-21NOEASTSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Carey-Jean Block+1.7
4019-21STONYSTONY×3Attack errCayenne Ceman+3.1
4120-21STONYSTONY×3Attack errCayenne Ceman+4.4
4220-22STONYNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Sofia King+4.5
4321-22NOEASTSTONYKillLeimaile Lasikeset Taryn Su+3.6
4421-23STONYNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Sofia King+5.1
4522-23NOEASTSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+3.7
4622-24STONYNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+6.1
4723-24NOEASTSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+3.5
4823-25STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+8.1
Set 2
10-1STONYNOEASTAttack errLeimaile Lasike+2.1
21-1NOEASTSTONYKillCarey-Jean Blockset Taryn Su+2.0
32-1STONYSTONYAttack errBeatrice Gennari+2.6
42-2STONYNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+2.1
52-3NOEASTNOEASTAttack errCarey-Jean Block+2.7
63-3NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Zayda Fuertez+2.1
73-4STONYNOEASTBlockedMercedes Mottonblk Beatrice Gennari, Valentina Meirelles+2.2
83-5NOEASTNOEASTAttack errElla Sanders+2.8
94-5NOEASTSTONYServe errAbbie Callaway+2.1
104-6STONYNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Sofia King+2.3
114-7NOEASTNOEASTAttack errMercedes Motton+2.8
125-7NOEASTSTONY×4Serve errBeatrice Gennari+2.0
136-7STONYSTONY×4AceStony Brookaced Abbie Callaway+2.8
147-7STONYSTONY×4Attack errKaylin Daniels+2.9
158-7STONYSTONY×4KillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+3.0
168-8STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+2.4
179-8NOEASTSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Rayanne Wheat+2.4
1810-8STONYSTONYAceStony Brook+3.0
1910-9STONYNOEASTAttack errQuinn Anderson+2.3
2011-9NOEASTSTONYServe errCayenne Ceman+2.5
2111-10STONYNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+2.4
2212-10NOEASTSTONYServe errAven Crosby+2.6
2313-10STONYSTONYAttack errValentina Meirelles+3.0
2413-11STONYNOEAST×3KillValentina Meirellesset Arina Sosinovica+2.2
2513-12NOEASTNOEAST×3KillValentina Meirellesset Aven Crosby+3.2
2613-13NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedElla Sandersblk Beatrice Gennari, Elle Lucas+3.6
2714-13NOEASTSTONYAttack errSofia King+2.9
2814-14STONYNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Sofia King+3.0
2915-14NOEASTSTONYBad setSofia King+3.1
3016-14STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Cayenne Ceman+3.8
3116-15STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+2.8
3217-15NOEASTSTONYAttack errElle Lucas+3.2
3317-16STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+2.9
3418-16NOEASTSTONY×8KillDamisi Osiboduset Rayanne Wheat+3.3
3519-16STONYSTONY×8KillQuinn Andersonset Zayda Fuertez+3.8
3620-16STONYSTONY×8Attack errHanna Berkefelt+3.0
3721-16STONYSTONY×8AceStony Brookaced Cayenne Ceman+2.1
3822-16STONYSTONY×8AceStony Brookaced Cayenne Ceman+1.2
3923-16STONYSTONY×8AceStony Brookaced Abbie Callaway+0.6
4024-16STONYSTONY×8Attack errAbbie Callaway+0.2
4125-16STONYSTONY×8KillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su·
Set 3
11-0NOEASTSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+2.5
21-1STONYNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+2.5
32-1NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Carey-Jean Block+2.5
43-1STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Carey-Jean Block+3.2
53-2STONYNOEAST×4KillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+2.5
63-3NOEASTNOEAST×4KillBeatrice Gennariset Beatrice Gennari+3.3
73-4NOEASTNOEAST×4KillElle Lucasset Arina Sosinovica+3.4
83-5NOEASTNOEAST×4KillElle Lucasset Sofia King+3.5
94-5NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+2.6
104-6STONYNOEAST×4KillEmma Rowellset Aven Crosby+2.8
114-7NOEASTNOEAST×4AceValentina Meirelles+3.5
124-8NOEASTNOEAST×4BlockedQuinn Andersonblk Beatrice Gennari, Elle Lucas+3.3
134-9NOEASTNOEAST×4Attack errMercedes Motton+3.0
145-9NOEASTSTONYAttack errElle Lucas+2.0
156-9STONYSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Rayanne Wheat+3.0
166-10STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+2.7
176-11NOEASTNOEASTAceBeatrice Gennariaced Ella Sanders+3.1
187-11NOEASTSTONY×4KillQuinn Andersonset Rayanne Wheat+2.0
198-11STONYSTONY×4Attack errBryce Leatherwood+3.0
209-11STONYSTONY×4KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+3.5
2110-11STONYSTONY×4Attack errCayenne Ceman+3.9
2210-12STONYNOEASTAttack errDamisi Osibodu+3.4
2310-13NOEASTNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+4.1
2411-13NOEASTSTONY×8Attack errEmma Rowell+2.9
2512-13STONYSTONY×8KillElla Sandersset Leimaile Lasike+4.1
2613-13STONYSTONY×8Attack errEmma Rowell+4.5
2714-13STONYSTONY×8AceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+4.6
2815-13STONYSTONY×8BlockedEmma Rowellblk Damisi Osibodu, Leimaile Lasike+4.5
2916-13STONYSTONY×8KillCarey-Jean Blockset Rayanne Wheat+4.2
3017-13STONYSTONY×8BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Damisi Osibodu, Ella Sanders+3.6
3118-13STONYSTONY×8BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Leimaile Lasike, Damisi Osibodu+2.8
3218-14STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+1.6
3319-14NOEASTSTONYServe errAbbie Callaway+2.2
3420-14STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Abbie Callaway+1.9
3520-15STONYNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Arina Sosinovica+0.9
3620-16NOEASTNOEASTAttack errCarey-Jean Block+1.8
3721-16NOEASTSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Taryn Su+2.1
3822-16STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+1.6
3922-17STONYNOEASTAttack errAyanna Pierre Louis+0.6
4022-18NOEASTNOEASTAceSofia Kingaced Zayda Fuertez+1.3
4123-18NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+1.8
4223-19STONYNOEASTKillBeatrice Gennariset Sofia King+0.7
4323-20NOEASTNOEASTAttack errElla Sanders+1.8
4424-20NOEASTSTONYServe errValentina Meirelles+2.6
4524-21STONYNOEAST×4KillAbbie Callawayset Sofia King+0.9
4624-22NOEASTNOEAST×4KillAbbie Callawayset Sofia King+2.5
4724-23NOEASTNOEAST×4BlockedQuinn Andersonblk Beatrice Gennari, Abbie Callaway+5.6
4824-24NOEASTNOEAST×4Attack errQuinn Anderson+12.9
4925-24NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+10.3
5026-24STONYSTONYAttack errAbbie Callaway+12.6
Set 4
10-1STONYNOEASTKillBeatrice Gennariset Arina Sosinovica+2.4
21-1NOEASTSTONYServe errBeatrice Gennari+2.4
32-1STONYSTONYBlockedEmma Rowellblk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Ella Sanders+3.0
42-2STONYNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Arina Sosinovica+2.4
52-3NOEASTNOEASTBlockedLeimaile Lasikeblk Valentina Meirelles, Bryce Leatherwood+3.2
63-3NOEASTSTONYBlockedAbbie Callawayblk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Ella Sanders+2.5
73-4STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+2.6
84-4NOEASTSTONY×4KillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+2.5
95-4STONYSTONY×4Attack errCayenne Ceman+3.3
106-4STONYSTONY×4Attack errCayenne Ceman+3.2
117-4STONYSTONY×4AceStony Brookaced Valentina Meirelles+3.0
127-5STONYNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+2.3
137-6NOEASTNOEASTAceNortheasternaced Zayda Fuertez+3.2
148-6NOEASTSTONY×3BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Mercedes Motton, Ayanna Pierre Louis+2.7
159-6STONYSTONY×3BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Mercedes Motton+3.2
1610-6STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+2.9
1710-7STONYNOEAST×3Serve errStony Brook+2.1
1810-8NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedMercedes Mottonblk Beatrice Gennari, Abbie Callaway+3.0
1910-9NOEASTNOEAST×3KillAbbie Callawayset Beatrice Gennari+3.4
2011-9NOEASTSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Rayanne Wheat+2.9
2111-10STONYNOEASTBlockedQuinn Andersonblk Abbie Callaway, Beatrice Gennari+2.8
2212-10NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+3.0
2313-10STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Valentina Meirelles+3.6
2413-11STONYNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Arina Sosinovica+2.6
2513-12NOEASTNOEASTBlockedLeimaile Lasikeblk Valentina Meirelles, Bryce Leatherwood+3.8
2614-12NOEASTSTONYKillLeimaile Lasikeset Taryn Su+3.3
2715-12STONYSTONYAttack errBryce Leatherwood+3.8
2815-13STONYNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+2.7
2916-13NOEASTSTONYServe errGabby Reeves+3.1
3016-14STONYNOEASTKillBryce Leatherwoodset Arina Sosinovica+2.7
3116-15NOEASTNOEASTAceNortheasternaced Carey-Jean Block+4.2
3217-15NOEASTSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Ayanna Pierre Louis+3.7
3318-15STONYSTONYAttack errValentina Meirelles+4.3
3418-16STONYNOEASTKillAbbie Callawayset Arina Sosinovica+2.9
3519-16NOEASTSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+3.5
3620-16STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Abbie Callaway+3.6
3720-17STONYNOEASTKillArina Sosinovicaset Valentina Meirelles+2.0
3821-17NOEASTSTONYAttack errAbbie Callaway+2.9
3922-17STONYSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+2.4
4022-18STONYNOEAST×5KillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+1.0
4122-19NOEASTNOEAST×5BlockedQuinn Andersonblk Beatrice Gennari, Emma Rowell+2.1
4222-20NOEASTNOEAST×5BlockedLeimaile Lasikeblk Beatrice Gennari+3.6
4322-21NOEASTNOEAST×5BlockedDamisi Osibodublk Beatrice Gennari, Valentina Meirelles+5.5
4422-22NOEASTNOEAST×5AceAbbie Callawayaced Avari Amstutz+7.9
4523-22NOEASTSTONYServe errAbbie Callaway+7.6
4623-23STONYNOEASTKillBeatrice Gennariset Arina Sosinovica+7.4
4723-24NOEASTNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Zayda Fuertez+12.6
4824-24NOEASTSTONY×3KillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+10.0
4925-24STONYSTONY×3Bad setValentina Meirelles+12.3
5026-24STONYSTONY×3KillAvari Amstutzset Arina Sosinovica+11.9

Score shown after each rally, Stony Brook first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).