Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 25, 2026Watch on FloSports

Stony Brook def. Northeastern 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Stony Brook 59.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Stony Brook won at Northeastern 3-1 (25-19, 21-25, 25-23, 25-20) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. Stony Brook's Ella Sanders led with 19 kills.

Data through · final Oct 25

Set1234Sets
STONY252125253
NOEAST192523201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Rayanne Wheat served 4 aces, and Stony Brook needed every one.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Stony Brook's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Stony Brook at 60%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Stony Brook 16–16 Northeastern

    Northeastern scored 4 straight to go from 16–16 to a 20–16 lead. The match swung to Northeastern.

    Stony Brook 56% → 36%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Stony Brook 16–20 Northeastern

    Down 16–20, Stony Brook scored 6 straight to lead 22–20. The match swung to Stony Brook.

    Stony Brook 36% → 69%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Stony Brook 22–22 Northeastern

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Stony Brook, enough to take the set 25–23 and lead 2–1.

    Stony Brook 57% → 79%

Northeastern above 50Stony Brook belowMax swing 9.9%

Stony BrookNortheastern

Sideout %
Stony Brook 55.7·Northeastern 50.5
Break %
Stony Brook 49.5·Northeastern 44.3
Hitting
Stony Brook .154·Northeastern .182
Longest run
Stony Brook 6·Northeastern 5

Ella Sanders
3 kills inside the turning points, 19 K and .318 for the match (24 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northeastern above 50 · Stony Brook below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.9% STONYrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.9% to Stony Brook — set 3, STONY 25-23 NOEAST. Kill by Mercedes Motton (set by Ayanna Pierre Louis). NOEAST win probability 31% → 21%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STONY 56.8%43.2% NOEAST

Stony Brook wins

3-0
15.6%
3-1
21.6%
3-2
19.6%

Northeastern wins

3-0
9.9%
3-1
15.9%
3-2
17.4%
STONY break %
45.8% vs this opp
NOEAST break %
44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Mercedes Motton (set by Ayanna Pierre Louis)

    Set 3 · STONY 25-23 NOEAST · STONY 69% → 79%

  2. 02
    Stony BrookAce+9.3%

    Stony Brook ace on Aven Crosby

    Set 3 · STONY 24-22 NOEAST · STONY 65% → 74%

  3. 03
    NortheasternAce+8.2%

    Northeastern ace on Ella Sanders

    Set 3 · STONY 22-22 NOEAST · NOEAST 35% → 43%

  4. 04
    Ella SandersKill+8.0%

    Kill by Ella Sanders (set by Rayanne Wheat)

    Set 3 · STONY 23-22 NOEAST · STONY 57% → 65%

  5. 05
    Stony BrookAce+7.3%

    Stony Brook ace on Aven Crosby

    Set 3 · STONY 21-20 NOEAST · STONY 55% → 62%

  6. 06

    Cayenne Ceman stuffed by Ayanna Pierre Louis & Mercedes Motton

    Set 3 · STONY 22-20 NOEAST · STONY 62% → 69%

  7. 07
    Stony BrookAce+6.7%

    Stony Brook ace on Abbie Callaway

    Set 3 · STONY 20-20 NOEAST · STONY 48% → 55%

  8. 08
    Kaylin DanielsBlock+5.5%

    Ayanna Pierre Louis stuffed by Kaylin Daniels

    Set 3 · STONY 16-18 NOEAST · NOEAST 49% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419544.31803010104224
47217.2941012014310
45619-.053200210427
4000–1722100002
4004.0002111410001
33514-.14300010010.53.5
48325.200000400219
45313.15400020010.55.5
4113.0001442800005
4000–5121410001
22216.000000200002
11011.000411300002
Team totals5127156.15445129635116996
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412529.2411002002113
47116.37530120275.512.5
47831-.032024142031.510.5
44313.077000203248
45022.227101201227
3000–901400000
47219.263100400218
42021.0001610600003
4001.0005121890001
3114.000001510001
1000–010000001
1000–501300000
Team totals4520137.1824151162126181587

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Stony Brook vs Northeastern

Season series · Stony Brook leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 STONY · NOEAST 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 STONYNOEAST 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 STONYNOEAST 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 6 STONYNOEAST 5

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 STONYNOEAST 4

Bars above the line = Northeastern leads, below = Stony Brook leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stony Brook

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
47%7/15
2
82%9/11
53%10/19
3
40%8/20
50%9/18
4
67%8/12
58%11/19
5
53%8/15
38%5/13
6
55%6/11
45%5/11
All
56%49/88
49%47/95

Northeastern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
43%6/14
2
45%9/20
44%7/16
3
41%9/22
50%9/18
4
53%8/15
38%5/13
5
64%7/11
50%8/16
6
50%6/12
36%4/11
All
51%48/95
44%39/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#STONY-NOEASTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NOEASTNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Aven Crosby+2.4
21-1NOEASTSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+1.9
31-2STONYNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Beatrice Gennari+2.0
42-2NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+1.9
52-3STONYNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Gabby Reeves+2.0
63-3NOEASTSTONY×4KillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+2.0
74-3STONYSTONY×4Attack errCayenne Ceman+2.4
85-3STONYSTONY×4AceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+2.4
96-3STONYSTONY×4BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Mercedes Motton+2.3
106-4STONYNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Gabby Reeves+1.7
117-4NOEASTSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+1.9
127-5STONYNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Gabby Reeves+1.8
137-6NOEASTNOEASTAttack errQuinn Anderson+2.4
148-6NOEASTSTONY×4KillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+2.1
159-6STONYSTONY×4AceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+2.4
1610-6STONYSTONY×4Attack errEmma Rowell+2.2
1711-6STONYSTONY×4KillQuinn Anderson+1.9
1811-7STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+1.3
1911-8NOEASTNOEASTBlockedLeimaile Lasikeblk Kaylin Daniels, Valentina Meirelles+2.0
2012-8NOEASTSTONY×3KillQuinn Andersonset Zayda Fuertez+1.8
2113-8STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+1.9
2214-8STONYSTONY×3KillLeimaile Lasikeset Taryn Su+1.6
2314-9STONYNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Sofia King+1.0
2415-9NOEASTSTONYAttack errEmma Rowell+1.3
2515-10STONYNOEASTKillBeatrice Gennariset Leimaile Lasike+1.0
2615-11NOEASTNOEASTAceNortheasternaced Carey-Jean Block+1.6
2716-11NOEASTSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+1.6
2817-11STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+1.5
2918-11STONYSTONY×3KillDamisi Osiboduset Zayda Fuertez+1.1
3018-12STONYNOEAST×3KillElle Lucasset Beatrice Gennari+0.6
3118-13NOEASTNOEAST×3KillElle Lucasset Gabby Reeves+1.0
3218-14NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedMercedes Mottonblk Beatrice Gennari, Cayenne Ceman+1.5
3319-14NOEASTSTONYServe errValentina Meirelles+1.6
3419-15STONYNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Gabby Reeves+1.1
3520-15NOEASTSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+1.6
3620-16STONYNOEASTKillGabby Reevesset Valentina Meirelles+1.1
3721-16NOEASTSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+1.5
3821-17STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+0.9
3921-18NOEASTNOEASTBlockedElla Sandersblk Kaylin Daniels+1.8
4022-18NOEASTSTONYServe errCayenne Ceman+2.2
4123-18STONYSTONYBlockedEmma Rowellblk Damisi Osibodu, Ella Sanders+1.6
4223-19STONYNOEASTBlockedDamisi Osibodublk Kaylin Daniels+0.6
4324-19NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+1.0
4425-19STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Carey-Jean Block+0.3
Set 2
10-1STONYNOEASTAttack errDamisi Osibodu+1.7
20-2NOEASTNOEASTBlockedLeimaile Lasikeblk Beatrice Gennari, Cayenne Ceman+2.2
31-2NOEASTSTONYServe errAbbie Callaway+1.7
42-2STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Zayda Fuertez+2.2
52-3STONYNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Elle Lucas+1.8
62-4NOEASTNOEASTAttack errLeimaile Lasike+2.3
73-4NOEASTSTONY×4Serve errBeatrice Gennari+1.8
84-4STONYSTONY×4AceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+2.3
95-4STONYSTONY×4Bad setGabby Reeves+2.3
106-4STONYSTONY×4Attack errAbbie Callaway+2.2
116-5STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+1.8
126-6NOEASTNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Sofia King+2.3
137-6NOEASTSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+1.9
148-6STONYSTONYAttack errEmma Rowell+2.3
158-7STONYNOEASTAttack errQuinn Anderson+1.8
168-8NOEASTNOEASTAceNortheastern+2.5
179-8NOEASTSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+2.0
189-9STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+2.1
1910-9NOEASTSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+2.1
2010-10STONYNOEASTBad setTaryn Su+2.1
2110-11NOEASTNOEASTAttack errQuinn Anderson+2.8
2211-11NOEASTSTONYKillLeimaile Lasikeset Taryn Su+2.2
2311-12STONYNOEASTKillBeatrice Gennariset Gabby Reeves+2.4
2412-12NOEASTSTONYKillLeimaile Lasikeset Taryn Su+2.3
2512-13STONYNOEASTAttack errElla Sanders+2.5
2613-13NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+2.4
2713-14STONYNOEAST×3KillCayenne Cemanset Gabby Reeves+2.6
2813-15NOEASTNOEAST×3KillEmma Rowellset Sofia King+3.2
2913-16NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedElla Sandersblk Emma Rowell, Kaylin Daniels+3.1
3014-16NOEASTSTONYServe errSofia King+2.1
3114-17STONYNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Sofia King+2.6
3214-18NOEASTNOEASTKillKaylin Daniels+2.8
3315-18NOEASTSTONYServe errCayenne Ceman+1.7
3415-19STONYNOEASTKillKaylin Danielsset Sofia King+2.3
3516-19NOEASTSTONYServe errAven Crosby+1.7
3616-20STONYNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Sofia King+2.4
3717-20NOEASTSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+1.7
3818-20STONYSTONYKillElla Sanders+2.9
3918-21STONYNOEAST×3BlockedDamisi Osibodublk Beatrice Gennari+3.1
4018-22NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedDamisi Osibodublk Beatrice Gennari+3.0
4118-23NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedElla Sandersblk Beatrice Gennari, Elle Lucas+1.8
4219-23NOEASTSTONYBlockedElle Lucasblk Damisi Osibodu, Ella Sanders+0.6
4320-23STONYSTONYBlockedCayenne Cemanblk Leimaile Lasike, Ayanna Pierre Louis+1.4
4420-24STONYNOEASTKillBeatrice Gennariset Gabby Reeves+2.1
4521-24NOEASTSTONYAttack errKaylin Daniels+0.7
4621-25STONYNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Gabby Reeves+1.6
Set 3
11-0NOEASTSTONY×3BlockedElle Lucasblk Damisi Osibodu, Ella Sanders+2.5
22-0STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+3.0
33-0STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+2.9
43-1STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+2.2
54-1NOEASTSTONYKillDamisi Osiboduset Taryn Su+2.3
65-1STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+2.7
75-2STONYNOEAST×4KillCayenne Cemanset Gabby Reeves+2.0
85-3NOEASTNOEAST×4Attack errLeimaile Lasike+2.8
95-4NOEASTNOEAST×4KillAbbie Callawayset Sofia King+3.1
105-5NOEASTNOEAST×4KillCayenne Cemanset Emma Rowell+3.4
116-5NOEASTSTONYAttack errCayenne Ceman+2.8
126-6STONYNOEASTAttack errAyanna Pierre Louis+2.8
137-6NOEASTSTONY×4Serve errCayenne Ceman+2.9
148-6STONYSTONY×4Attack errKaylin Daniels+3.5
159-6STONYSTONY×4AceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+3.3
1610-6STONYSTONY×4KillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+2.9
1710-7STONYNOEAST×5KillValentina Meirellesset Sofia King+2.1
1810-8NOEASTNOEAST×5KillEmma Rowellset Beatrice Gennari+3.1
1910-9NOEASTNOEAST×5AceNortheasternaced Zayda Fuertez+3.6
2010-10NOEASTNOEAST×5Attack errRayanne Wheat+3.9
2110-11NOEASTNOEAST×5BlockedAvari Amstutzblk Emma Rowell, Beatrice Gennari+4.2
2211-11NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+3.3
2311-12STONYNOEASTKillBeatrice Gennariset Sofia King+3.5
2412-12NOEASTSTONYKillRayanne Wheatset Damisi Osibodu+3.4
2513-12STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Cayenne Ceman+4.3
2613-13STONYNOEAST×3Attack errDamisi Osibodu+3.5
2713-14NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedLeimaile Lasikeblk Beatrice Gennari, Cayenne Ceman+4.7
2813-15NOEASTNOEAST×3KillBeatrice Gennariset Gabby Reeves+4.8
2914-15NOEASTSTONYKillQuinn Andersonset Taryn Su+3.6
3014-16STONYNOEASTAttack errElla Sanders+4.1
3115-16NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+3.7
3216-16STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Zayda Fuertez+5.1
3316-17STONYNOEAST×4Serve errStony Brook+4.4
3416-18NOEASTNOEAST×4BlockedAyanna Pierre Louisblk Kaylin Daniels+5.5
3516-19NOEASTNOEAST×4KillKaylin Danielsset Sofia King+5.2
3616-20NOEASTNOEAST×4KillEmma Rowellset Aven Crosby+4.3
3717-20NOEASTSTONY×6KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+2.5
3818-20STONYSTONY×6KillElla Sandersset Zayda Fuertez+4.2
3919-20STONYSTONY×6Attack errCayenne Ceman+5.5
4020-20STONYSTONY×6AceStony Brookaced Abbie Callaway+6.7
4121-20STONYSTONY×6AceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+7.3
4222-20STONYSTONY×6BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Mercedes Motton+7.0
4322-21STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+4.7
4422-22NOEASTNOEASTAceNortheasternaced Ella Sanders+8.2
4523-22NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+8.0
4624-22STONYSTONYAceStony Brookaced Aven Crosby+9.3
4724-23STONYNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Sofia King+4.5
4825-23NOEASTSTONYKillMercedes Mottonset Ayanna Pierre Louis+9.9
Set 4
11-0STONYSTONYKillAyanna Pierre Louisset Rayanne Wheat+2.8
22-0STONYSTONYKillAvari Amstutzset Damisi Osibodu+2.8
32-1STONYNOEASTKillGabby Reevesset Aven Crosby+2.2
43-1NOEASTSTONY×4KillMercedes Mottonset Rayanne Wheat+2.3
54-1STONYSTONY×4Attack errCayenne Ceman+2.7
65-1STONYSTONY×4KillQuinn Andersonset Ellery Singleton+2.5
76-1STONYSTONY×4Bad setGabby Reeves+2.2
86-2STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+1.6
97-2NOEASTSTONYBlockedEmma Rowellblk Damisi Osibodu, Quinn Anderson+1.8
107-3STONYNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+1.6
118-3NOEASTSTONYKillEllery Singletonset Ellery Singleton+1.8
128-4STONYNOEASTServe errStony Brook+1.6
139-4NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Ellery Singleton+1.9
149-5STONYNOEAST×3KillValentina Meirellesset Arina Sosinovica+1.6
159-6NOEASTNOEAST×3KillValentina Meirellesset Aven Crosby+2.4
169-7NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedMercedes Mottonblk Valentina Meirelles+2.8
1710-7NOEASTSTONYKillElla Sandersset Rayanne Wheat+2.5
1810-8STONYNOEAST×3BlockedMercedes Mottonblk Beatrice Gennari, Valentina Meirelles+2.3
1910-9NOEASTNOEAST×3KillBeatrice Gennariset Gabby Reeves+3.3
2010-10NOEASTNOEAST×3KillBeatrice Gennariset Gabby Reeves+3.6
2111-10NOEASTSTONYKillAvari Amstutzset Rayanne Wheat+3.0
2211-11STONYNOEAST×4BlockedAvari Amstutzblk Beatrice Gennari, Elle Lucas+3.0
2311-12NOEASTNOEAST×4Attack errDamisi Osibodu+4.0
2411-13NOEASTNOEAST×4KillElle Lucasset Gabby Reeves+4.0
2511-14NOEASTNOEAST×4KillKaylin Danielsset Gabby Reeves+3.9
2612-14NOEASTSTONY×3KillMercedes Mottonset Damisi Osibodu+2.8
2713-14STONYSTONY×3KillDamisi Osiboduset Ellery Singleton+3.9
2814-14STONYSTONY×3AceStony Brookaced Cayenne Ceman+4.2
2914-15STONYNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Gabby Reeves+3.7
3015-15NOEASTSTONY×3Serve errArina Sosinovica+3.6
3116-15STONYSTONY×3Attack errKaylin Daniels+4.6
3217-15STONYSTONY×3KillDamisi Osiboduset Ellery Singleton+4.5
3317-16STONYNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+3.4
3417-17NOEASTNOEASTAceNortheasternaced Damisi Osibodu+4.9
3518-17NOEASTSTONY×3Serve errCayenne Ceman+4.2
3619-17STONYSTONY×3KillAyanna Pierre Louis+5.0
3720-17STONYSTONY×3KillAyanna Pierre Louis+4.4
3820-18STONYNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Aven Crosby+2.9
3920-19NOEASTNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+4.8
4021-19NOEASTSTONYServe errAven Crosby+4.7
4122-19STONYSTONYKillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+4.9
4222-20STONYNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+2.8
4323-20NOEASTSTONY×3BlockedBeatrice Gennariblk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Ella Sanders+4.1
4424-20STONYSTONY×3BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Ayanna Pierre Louis+3.0
4525-20STONYSTONY×3KillElla Sandersset Taryn Su+1.0

Score shown after each rally, Stony Brook first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).