FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayMVC

0:3

HomeMAC

Western Mich. def. Indiana St. 3–0

(25-15, 25-20, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
IND ST	15	20	20	0
W MICH	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

W MICH above 50 · IND ST below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Indiana St. — set 1, IND ST 13-13 W MICH. Indiana St. ace on Annalise Patchett. W MICH win probability 88% → 86%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

IND ST 12.1%87.9% W MICH

Indiana St. wins

3-0

1.7%

3-1

3.8%

3-2

6.7%

Western Mich. wins

3-0

41.0%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.2%

IND ST break %: 36.2% vs this opp
W MICH break %: 45.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
IND ST serverAce+1.9%
Indiana St. ace on Annalise Patchett
Set 1 · IND ST 13-13 W MICH · IND ST 12% → 14%
02
Kira HollandKill+1.9%
Kill by Kira Holland (set by Avery Hales)
Set 1 · IND ST 6-3 W MICH · IND ST 16% → 18%
03
W MICH serverAce+1.8%
Western Mich. ace on Kira Holland
Set 1 · IND ST 13-15 W MICH · W MICH 88% → 90%
04
Hadley HardersenKill+1.7%
Kill by Hadley Hardersen (set by Avery Hales)
Set 1 · IND ST 3-0 W MICH · IND ST 15% → 17%
05
Hadley HardersenAttack error+1.7%
Hadley Hardersen stuffed by Izzy Swiercz
Set 1 · IND ST 6-5 W MICH · W MICH 84% → 85%
06
W MICH serverAce+1.7%
Western Mich. ace on Kira Holland
Set 1 · IND ST 9-10 W MICH · W MICH 86% → 88%
07
Gabby WeiheKill+1.6%
Kill by Gabby Weihe (set by Leah Richmond)
Set 1 · IND ST 6-6 W MICH · W MICH 85% → 87%
08
Ella ScottKill+1.6%
Kill by Ella Scott (set by Avery Hales)
Set 1 · IND ST 2-0 W MICH · IND ST 14% → 15%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Indiana St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Kira HollandOH	3	10	9	30	.033	1	0	0	10	2	0	0	0	10
7Ava RobartOH	3	6	3	23	.130	0	0	2	4	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
4Ella ScottMB	3	2	3	11	-.091	1	2	2	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
6Lily MuellerMB	3	3	1	10	.200	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	4.5
8Hadley HardersenS	3	2	3	15	-.067	13	0	3	7	0	0	2	1	3
19Avery HalesS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	14	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
14Curry KendallOH	3	6	6	21	.000	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
11Emmy SherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	0
5Kennedy GlasgowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
2Chloe GilleyL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
16Macy LengacherL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
21Taylor KnuthMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		30	26	113	.035	30	3	9	49	5	1	8	5	55

Western Mich.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Izzy SwierczOH	3	8	4	32	.125	0	2	1	6	0	1	4	3	13
6Annalise PatchettOH	3	10	5	28	.179	2	1	0	9	1	0	3	1.5	12.5
12Cassidy PratleyMB	3	7	2	16	.313	0	1	4	1	0	0	4	2	10
10Gabby WeiheMB	3	4	1	10	.300	0	0	0	1	0	2	6	5	9
4Leah RichmondS	3	1	0	5	.200	26	0	3	9	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
2Elana EricksonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
21Mia JurkovicOH	3	4	0	11	.364	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	5
19Carley PiercefieldL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	12	102	.216	32	5	9	45	3	3	20	13	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 IND ST · W MICH 7

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 IND STW MICH 7

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 IND STW MICH 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 IND STW MICH 4

Bars above the line = Western Mich. leads, below = Indiana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Indiana St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	56%9/16
2	54%7/13	20%2/10
3	33%6/18	42%5/12
4	60%6/10	0%0/6
5	83%5/6	0%0/6
6	45%5/11	29%2/7
All	51%37/73	32%18/57

Western Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	40%4/10
2	80%8/10	47%7/15
3	55%6/11	50%6/12
4	100%6/6	65%11/17
5	75%6/8	33%3/9
6	56%5/9	50%5/10
All	68%39/57	49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

130 rallies

Rally log

#	IND ST-W MICH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IND ST	IND ST×3	Attack err	Annalise Patchett	blk Ella Scott, Hadley Hardersen	+1.4
2	2-0	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Ella Scott	set Avery Hales	+1.6
3	3-0	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+1.7
4	3-1	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+1.0
5	3-2	W MICH	W MICH	Attack err	Hadley Hardersen	blk Gabby Weihe, Annalise Patchett	+1.5
6	4-2	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Avery Hales	+1.2
7	4-3	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+1.0
8	5-3	W MICH	IND ST	Serve err	W MICH server		+1.2
9	6-3	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+1.9
10	6-4	IND ST	W MICH×3	Attack err	Kira Holland		+1.1
11	6-5	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Hadley Hardersen	blk Izzy Swiercz	+1.7
12	6-6	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+1.6
13	7-6	W MICH	IND ST	Attack err	Izzy Swiercz	blk Lily Mueller, Hadley Hardersen	+1.2
14	7-7	IND ST	W MICH	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.1
15	8-7	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.3
16	8-8	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Mia Jurkovic	set Leah Richmond	+1.1
17	9-8	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.3
18	9-9	IND ST	W MICH×3	Attack err	Ava Robart		+1.2
19	9-10	W MICH	W MICH×3	Ace	W MICH server	aced Kira Holland	+1.7
20	9-11	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+1.5
21	10-11	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.0
22	10-12	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+1.0
23	11-12	W MICH	IND ST	Serve err	W MICH server		+1.1
24	11-13	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+1.1
25	12-13	W MICH	IND ST	Serve err	W MICH server		+1.1
26	13-13	IND ST	IND ST	Ace	IND ST server	aced Annalise Patchett	+1.9
27	13-14	IND ST	W MICH×7	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.3
28	13-15	W MICH	W MICH×7	Ace	W MICH server	aced Kira Holland	+1.8
29	13-16	W MICH	W MICH×7	Attack err	Hadley Hardersen	blk Gabby Weihe, Izzy Swiercz	+1.4
30	13-17	W MICH	W MICH×7	Attack err	Kira Holland		+1.1
31	13-18	W MICH	W MICH×7	Kill	Izzy Swiercz		+0.7
32	13-19	W MICH	W MICH×7	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+0.5
33	13-20	W MICH	W MICH×7	Attack err	Avery Hales		+0.2
34	14-20	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Avery Hales	+0.1
35	14-21	IND ST	W MICH×3	Kill	Mia Jurkovic	set Leah Richmond	+0.1
36	14-22	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Kira Holland	blk Cassidy Pratley, Izzy Swiercz	+0.1
37	14-23	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+0.0
38	15-23	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.0
39	15-24	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+0.0
40	15-25	W MICH	W MICH	Ace	W MICH server	aced Ava Robart	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	W MICH	IND ST	Serve err	W MICH server		+0.7
2	1-1	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+0.6
3	1-2	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Annalise Patchett	+0.9
4	2-2	W MICH	IND ST	Attack err	Izzy Swiercz		+0.6
5	2-3	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Elana Erickson	+0.6
6	3-3	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.7
7	3-4	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.6
8	4-4	W MICH	IND ST	Bad set	Gabby Weihe		+0.7
9	4-5	IND ST	W MICH	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.6
10	5-5	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Ella Scott	set Avery Hales	+0.7
11	6-5	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Avery Hales	+1.1
12	6-6	IND ST	W MICH×4	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.7
13	6-7	W MICH	W MICH×4	Attack err	Kira Holland	blk Leah Richmond, Cassidy Pratley	+1.0
14	6-8	W MICH	W MICH×4	Bad set	Avery Hales		+0.9
15	6-9	W MICH	W MICH×4	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.8
16	7-9	W MICH	IND ST×4	Serve err	W MICH server		+0.5
17	8-9	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Kira Holland	set Lily Mueller	+0.9
18	9-9	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.1
19	10-9	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.3
20	10-10	IND ST	W MICH	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.8
21	10-11	W MICH	W MICH	Ace	W MICH server	aced Emmy Sher	+1.2
22	11-11	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.9
23	11-12	IND ST	W MICH	Attack err	Curry Kendall		+0.8
24	11-13	W MICH	W MICH	Ace	W MICH server	aced Lily Mueller	+1.1
25	12-13	W MICH	IND ST	Attack err	Annalise Patchett	blk Lily Mueller, Curry Kendall	+0.8
26	12-14	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+0.8
27	12-15	W MICH	W MICH	Attack err	Ella Scott	blk Gabby Weihe	+1.0
28	13-15	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.6
29	13-16	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.7
30	13-17	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+0.8
31	14-17	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+0.4
32	14-18	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+0.5
33	15-18	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Ella Scott	+0.4
34	16-18	IND ST	IND ST	Ace	IND ST server	aced Carley Piercefield	+0.9
35	16-19	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Annalise Patchett	+0.7
36	16-20	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+0.8
37	17-20	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.4
38	18-20	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.9
39	18-21	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.8
40	18-22	W MICH	W MICH	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.8
41	19-22	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.3
42	19-23	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+0.5
43	20-23	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Kira Holland	+0.2
44	20-24	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.4
45	20-25	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Carley Piercefield	+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	IND ST	W MICH×4	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+0.3
2	0-2	W MICH	W MICH×4	Attack err	Ava Robart		+0.4
3	0-3	W MICH	W MICH×4	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.3
4	0-4	W MICH	W MICH×4	Attack err	Curry Kendall	blk Annalise Patchett, Gabby Weihe	+0.3
5	1-4	W MICH	IND ST	Serve err	W MICH server		+0.2
6	1-5	IND ST	W MICH×3	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.2
7	1-6	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Ella Scott	blk Gabby Weihe, Mia Jurkovic	+0.2
8	1-7	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Curry Kendall		+0.2
9	2-7	W MICH	IND ST×3	Serve err	W MICH server		+0.1
10	3-7	IND ST	IND ST×3	Ace	IND ST server	aced Team	+0.2
11	4-7	IND ST	IND ST×3	Attack err	Izzy Swiercz		+0.3
12	4-8	IND ST	W MICH×3	Kill	Mia Jurkovic	set Leah Richmond	+0.2
13	4-9	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Ava Robart		+0.2
14	4-10	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Carley Piercefield	+0.2
15	5-10	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Avery Hales	+0.1
16	5-11	IND ST	W MICH	Attack err	Ella Scott	blk Izzy Swiercz, Gabby Weihe	+0.1
17	6-11	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.1
18	6-12	IND ST	W MICH	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.1
19	7-12	W MICH	IND ST	Attack err	Izzy Swiercz		+0.1
20	7-13	IND ST	W MICH	Attack err	Curry Kendall	blk Izzy Swiercz, Cassidy Pratley	+0.1
21	8-13	W MICH	IND ST	Attack err	Annalise Patchett		+0.1
22	9-13	IND ST	IND ST	Attack err	Cassidy Pratley	blk Lily Mueller, Ava Robart	+0.2
23	9-14	IND ST	W MICH	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.2
24	10-14	W MICH	IND ST	Serve err	W MICH server		+0.1
25	10-15	IND ST	W MICH×3	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.2
26	10-16	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Curry Kendall	blk Annalise Patchett, Gabby Weihe	+0.2
27	10-17	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Curry Kendall		+0.1
28	11-17	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.0
29	12-17	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Avery Hales	+0.1
30	12-18	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Mia Jurkovic	set Carley Piercefield	+0.1
31	13-18	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Avery Hales	+0.1
32	13-19	IND ST	W MICH	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.1
33	13-20	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.1
34	14-20	W MICH	IND ST	Attack err	Cassidy Pratley		+0.0
35	14-21	IND ST	W MICH	Attack err	Kira Holland	blk Cassidy Pratley, Mia Jurkovic	+0.0
36	15-21	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Taylor Knuth	set Avery Hales	+0.0
37	15-22	IND ST	W MICH	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.0
38	16-22	W MICH	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.0
39	17-22	IND ST	IND ST	Attack err	Annalise Patchett	blk Curry Kendall	+0.0
40	17-23	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.1
41	17-24	W MICH	W MICH	Attack err	Lily Mueller	blk Gabby Weihe	+0.0
42	18-24	W MICH	IND ST×3	Serve err	W MICH server		+0.0
43	19-24	IND ST	IND ST×3	Attack err	Annalise Patchett		+0.0
44	20-24	IND ST	IND ST×3	Attack err	Gabby Weihe		+0.0
45	20-25	IND ST	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Indiana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.