Toledo vs Western Mich. Volleyball: Western Mich. Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026YouTube

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Toledo 67.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Mich. beat visiting Toledo 3-1 (26-24, 25-21, 14-25, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Western Mich.'s Gabby Weihe led with 16 kills, and Carley Piercefield added 19 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 6:30 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
TOLEDO	24	21	25	23	1
W MICH	26	25	14	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.361 on 36 swings: Gabby Weihe and Western Mich. edged Toledo.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Western Mich.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ had Toledo at 67% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Toledo 18–17 Western Mich.
Western Mich. scored 4 straight to turn a 17–18 deficit into a 21–18 lead.
Western Mich. 31% → 48%
Turning point 2: Set 1 · Toledo 23–23 Western Mich.
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Western Mich., enough to take the set 26–24 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Western Mich.
Western Mich. 36% → 54%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · Toledo 22–22 Western Mich.
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Western Mich., enough to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.
Western Mich. 67% → >99%

Western Mich. above 50Toledo belowMax swing 17.5%

ToledoWestern Mich.

Sideout %: Toledo 61.8·Western Mich. 59.6
Break %: Toledo 40.4·Western Mich. 38.2
Hitting: Toledo .226·Western Mich. .220
Longest run: Toledo 9·Western Mich. 4

Gabby Weihe
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 16 K, .361, 18 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Western Mich. above 50 · Toledo below

Biggest swing: 17.5% to Western Mich. — set 4, TOLEDO 23-25 W MICH. Kill by Elana Erickson (set by Leah Richmond). W MICH win probability 83% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TOLEDO 65.1%34.9% W MICH

Toledo wins

3-0

20.1%

3-1

25.0%

3-2

20.1%

Western Mich. wins

3-0

7.1%

3-1

12.5%

3-2

15.3%

TOLEDO break %: 41.7% vs this opp
W MICH break %: 38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Elana EricksonKill+17.5%
Kill by Elana Erickson (set by Leah Richmond)
Set 4 · TOLEDO 23-25 W MICH · W MICH 83% → 100%
02
Jessica CostlowAttack error+16.1%
Attack error by Jessica Costlow
Set 4 · TOLEDO 23-24 W MICH · W MICH 66% → 83%
03
Izzy Swiercz&Gabby WeiheBlock+10.6%
Ava Siefke stuffed by Izzy Swiercz & Gabby Weihe
Set 1 · TOLEDO 24-26 W MICH · W MICH 43% → 54%
04
Sophie CatalanoAttack error+9.9%
Attack error by Sophie Catalano
Set 4 · TOLEDO 22-22 W MICH · W MICH 57% → 67%
05
Olivia HeitkampKill+8.3%
Kill by Olivia Heitkamp (set by Janelle Green)
Set 4 · TOLEDO 23-22 W MICH · TOLEDO 33% → 42%
06
Gabby WeiheKill+8.1%
Kill by Gabby Weihe (set by Leah Richmond)
Set 4 · TOLEDO 23-23 W MICH · W MICH 58% → 66%
07
Annalise PatchettAttack error+7.4%
Attack error by Annalise Patchett
Set 1 · TOLEDO 23-23 W MICH · TOLEDO 56% → 64%
08
Gabby WeiheKill+6.9%
Kill by Gabby Weihe (set by Leah Richmond)
Set 1 · TOLEDO 23-24 W MICH · W MICH 36% → 43%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Toledoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Sierra PertzbornMB	4	13	3	31	.323	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	15
10Kayla OzanichMB	4	7	2	17	.294	0	2	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	11.5
6Jessica CostlowOH	4	6	6	28	.000	0	1	3	17	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
23Lilly MerkMB	4	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
7Avery AdamskiL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	16	3	0	0	0	1
15Madelyn BachS	4	0	0	0	–	22	0	3	6	0	0	0	0	0
16Sophie CatalanoOPP	4	10	2	22	.364	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	11
3Janelle GreenS	4	1	0	2	.500	23	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	1
1Grace FreibergerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	15	1	0	0	0	0
4Olivia HeitkampOH	3	7	2	22	.227	0	0	0	4	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
14Ava SiefkeOH	3	3	3	14	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
Team totals		52	19	146	.226	51	4	9	76	5	4	12	10	93

Western Mich.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Gabby WeiheMB	4	16	3	36	.361	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	18
6Annalise PatchettOH	4	12	7	46	.109	1	1	3	10	0	2	0	2	15
1Izzy SwierczOH	4	10	4	27	.222	0	0	2	8	0	0	4	2	12
12Cassidy PratleyMB	4	7	2	22	.227	1	2	3	1	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
2Elana EricksonL/DS	4	5	3	18	.111	5	2	2	17	2	0	1	0.5	7.5
4Leah RichmondS	4	6	0	12	.500	42	0	2	9	0	0	2	1	7
19Carley PiercefieldL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	19	1	0	0	0	0
9Ella GuilfoyL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
11Bri ZimmermanMB	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Mia JurkovicOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Riley MessengerDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		56	20	164	.220	51	5	15	68	4	2	14	9	90

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Toledo vs Western Mich.

Season series · Western Mich. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Toledo at Western Mich. · Western Mich. won 3-1This match
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Toledo at Western Mich. · Western Mich. won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 TOLEDO · W MICH 4

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 3 TOLEDOW MICH 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 TOLEDOW MICH 4

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 9 TOLEDOW MICH 3

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 3 TOLEDOW MICH 3

Bars above the line = Western Mich. leads, below = Toledo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Toledo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	61%11/18	18%2/11
2	58%11/19	42%8/19
3	59%10/17	27%4/15
4	73%8/11	33%5/15
5	73%8/11	43%6/14
6	54%7/13	65%13/20
All	62%55/89	40%38/94

Western Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%11/15	47%8/17
2	69%11/16	42%8/19
3	69%11/16	27%4/15
4	60%9/15	44%7/16
5	33%7/21	33%4/12
6	64%7/11	30%3/10
All	60%56/94	38%34/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#	TOLEDO-W MICH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
2	2-0	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn		+2.2
3	2-1	TOLEDO	W MICH×4	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+1.5
4	2-2	W MICH	W MICH×4	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+2.3
5	2-3	W MICH	W MICH×4	Ace	Western Mich.	aced Grace Freiberger	+2.5
6	2-4	W MICH	W MICH×4	Bad set	Madelyn Bach		+2.6
7	3-4	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.7
8	3-5	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Elana Erickson	+1.9
9	3-6	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Carley Piercefield	+2.7
10	4-6	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Western Mich.		+1.7
11	4-7	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+1.9
12	5-7	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+1.7
13	6-7	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Avery Adamski	+2.6
14	6-8	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+2.0
15	6-9	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Elana Erickson	+2.9
16	6-10	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Lilly Merk		+2.7
17	7-10	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.6
18	8-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+2.6
19	8-11	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+2.1
20	9-11	W MICH	TOLEDO×3	Serve err	Western Mich.		+1.8
21	10-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+2.9
22	11-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+3.1
23	11-12	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Elana Erickson	set Leah Richmond	+2.3
24	12-12	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.2
25	12-13	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+2.4
26	13-13	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+2.3
27	13-14	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+2.5
28	14-14	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.4
29	14-15	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+2.6
30	15-15	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+2.5
31	16-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Toledo		+3.7
32	16-16	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+2.6
33	17-16	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+2.7
34	17-17	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+2.8
35	18-17	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.9
36	18-18	TOLEDO	W MICH×4	Serve err	Toledo		+2.9
37	18-19	W MICH	W MICH×4	Ace	Western Mich.	aced Avery Adamski	+4.8
38	18-20	W MICH	W MICH×4	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+4.9
39	18-21	W MICH	W MICH×4	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Annalise Patchett	+4.4
40	19-21	W MICH	TOLEDO×3	Serve err	Western Mich.		+2.1
41	20-21	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Annalise Patchett		+4.4
42	21-21	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+5.6
43	21-22	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+4.6
44	21-23	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Leah Richmond		+6.7
45	22-23	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+3.2
46	23-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Annalise Patchett		+7.4
47	23-24	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+6.9
48	24-24	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+6.9
49	24-25	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+6.9
50	24-26	W MICH	W MICH	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Izzy Swiercz, Gabby Weihe	+10.6
Set 2
1	0-1	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+2.1
2	0-2	W MICH	W MICH×3	Ace	Western Mich.	aced Avery Adamski	+3.0
3	0-3	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+3.1
4	1-3	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Western Mich.		+1.9
5	1-4	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Elana Erickson	+2.2
6	1-5	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+3.0
7	2-5	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Western Mich.		+1.9
8	2-6	TOLEDO	W MICH×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+2.2
9	2-7	W MICH	W MICH×4	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+2.9
10	2-8	W MICH	W MICH×4	Kill	Elana Erickson	set Leah Richmond	+2.6
11	2-9	W MICH	W MICH×4	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Izzy Swiercz, Gabby Weihe	+2.2
12	3-9	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Western Mich.		+1.2
13	4-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano		+2.1
14	4-10	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+1.8
15	5-10	W MICH	TOLEDO	Bad set	Leah Richmond		+1.4
16	5-11	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+1.8
17	6-11	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Western Mich.		+1.4
18	6-12	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Annalise Patchett	+1.8
19	6-13	W MICH	W MICH×3	Blocked	Jessica Costlow	blk Leah Richmond, Cassidy Pratley	+2.1
20	6-14	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Elana Erickson	+1.6
21	7-14	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Western Mich.		+0.7
22	7-15	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+1.1
23	8-15	W MICH	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.7
24	9-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.3
25	10-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Grace Freiberger	+1.8
26	11-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	Toledo	aced Elana Erickson	+2.4
27	11-16	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+2.2
28	12-16	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
29	12-17	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+2.2
30	13-17	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.5
31	14-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Izzy Swiercz	blk Olivia Heitkamp, Lilly Merk	+3.0
32	14-18	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+2.8
33	15-18	W MICH	TOLEDO	Blocked	Cassidy Pratley	blk Lilly Merk	+2.0
34	15-19	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+2.8
35	16-19	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Western Mich.		+2.0
36	16-20	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Elana Erickson	set Leah Richmond	+2.9
37	17-20	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.9
38	17-21	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+2.9
39	18-21	W MICH	TOLEDO	Blocked	Gabby Weihe	blk Sierra Pertzborn	+1.7
40	19-21	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+3.8
41	19-22	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+4.0
42	19-23	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+3.8
43	20-23	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.2
44	21-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Annalise Patchett		+3.2
45	21-24	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+4.2
46	21-25	W MICH	W MICH	Ace	Western Mich.	aced Jessica Costlow	+2.4
Set 3
1	0-1	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+2.3
2	1-1	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
3	1-2	TOLEDO	W MICH	Attack err	Olivia Heitkamp		+1.7
4	2-2	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Western Mich.		+1.6
5	2-3	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+1.7
6	3-3	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
7	4-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+2.4
8	4-4	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+1.7
9	5-4	W MICH	TOLEDO	Blocked	Gabby Weihe	blk Kayla Ozanich, Sophie Catalano	+1.7
10	5-5	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+1.7
11	6-5	W MICH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+1.7
12	7-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+2.4
13	8-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Annalise Patchett		+2.2
14	8-6	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+1.4
15	8-7	W MICH	W MICH×3	Blocked	Jessica Costlow	blk Leah Richmond, Cassidy Pratley	+2.4
16	8-8	W MICH	W MICH×3	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Cassidy Pratley, Elana Erickson	+2.6
17	9-8	W MICH	TOLEDO	Bad set	Annalise Patchett		+1.9
18	9-9	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+1.9
19	10-9	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.9
20	11-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+2.7
21	11-10	TOLEDO	W MICH	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+1.8
22	11-11	W MICH	W MICH	Blocked	Sierra Pertzborn	blk Annalise Patchett	+2.9
23	12-11	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Western Mich.		+2.1
24	12-12	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+2.1
25	13-12	W MICH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Gabby Weihe		+2.2
26	14-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Annalise Patchett	blk Kayla Ozanich, Olivia Heitkamp	+3.0
27	14-13	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+2.0
28	15-13	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Western Mich.		+2.1
29	16-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+2.7
30	16-14	TOLEDO	W MICH	Blocked	Kayla Ozanich	blk Izzy Swiercz, Gabby Weihe	+1.7
31	17-14	W MICH	TOLEDO×9	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+2.0
32	18-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Blocked	Cassidy Pratley	blk Sophie Catalano, Lilly Merk	+2.3
33	19-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.6
34	20-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+1.0
35	21-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Ace	Kayla Ozanich	aced Carley Piercefield	+0.5
36	22-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Attack err	Izzy Swiercz		+0.2
37	23-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.1
38	24-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Ace	Kayla Ozanich	aced Elana Erickson	·
39	25-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×9	Attack err	Bri Zimmerman		·
Set 4
1	0-1	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+2.8
2	1-1	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.7
3	1-2	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+2.9
4	2-2	W MICH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Izzy Swiercz		+2.7
5	3-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+3.9
6	3-3	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+2.8
7	4-3	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.7
8	4-4	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+2.8
9	5-4	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.8
10	6-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+3.9
11	6-5	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Elana Erickson	set Cassidy Pratley	+2.7
12	7-5	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+2.8
13	7-6	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+2.7
14	8-6	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+2.8
15	8-7	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+2.8
16	8-8	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+4.5
17	9-8	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Riley Messenger		+3.2
18	9-9	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+3.3
19	10-9	W MICH	TOLEDO	Blocked	Elana Erickson	blk Kayla Ozanich	+3.3
20	11-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Annalise Patchett	blk Olivia Heitkamp, Kayla Ozanich	+4.5
21	11-10	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+3.0
22	11-11	W MICH	W MICH	Blocked	Olivia Heitkamp	blk Izzy Swiercz, Gabby Weihe	+5.0
23	12-11	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Annalise Patchett		+3.5
24	13-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Elana Erickson		+4.8
25	13-12	TOLEDO	W MICH	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+3.2
26	14-12	W MICH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Janelle Green	set Grace Freiberger	+3.5
27	15-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+4.5
28	16-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+3.7
29	16-13	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+2.1
30	16-14	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+4.0
31	17-14	W MICH	TOLEDO×3	Serve err	Izzy Swiercz		+3.3
32	18-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Elana Erickson	blk Sierra Pertzborn	+3.8
33	19-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Izzy Swiercz	blk Lilly Merk, Jessica Costlow	+2.7
34	19-15	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Serve err	Madelyn Bach		+1.3
35	19-16	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Elana Erickson	+2.8
36	19-17	W MICH	W MICH×3	Ace	Elana Erickson	aced Avery Adamski	+4.2
37	20-17	W MICH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Annalise Patchett		+3.7
38	20-18	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Jessica Costlow		+2.9
39	21-18	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+3.9
40	21-19	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+2.9
41	21-20	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Carley Piercefield	+6.3
42	22-20	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Grace Freiberger	+5.7
43	22-21	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+4.6
44	22-22	W MICH	W MICH	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+9.9
45	23-22	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+8.3
46	23-23	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+8.1
47	23-24	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+16.1
48	23-25	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Elana Erickson	set Leah Richmond	+17.5

Score shown after each rally, Toledo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Western Mich. def. Toledo 3–1

.361 on 36 swings: Gabby Weihe and Western Mich. edged Toledo.