Toledo vs Western Mich. Volleyball: Western Mich. Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026YouTube

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Toledo 67.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Mich. beat visiting Toledo 3-0 (25-15, 25-20, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Western Mich.'s Annalise Patchett led with 15 kills, and Leah Richmond added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 6:30 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TOLEDO	15	20	18	0
W MICH	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Annalise Patchett. Western Mich. swept Toledo.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.7 points, and Toledo's high was 65% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Toledo went in at 68% by RallyIQ.

ToledoWestern Mich.

Break %+21.4 pts
25.947.3
35 of 74 on serve vs 14 of 54, so Toledo's sideout was 52.7%.
Hitting+.165
.209.374
Kills and errors: 51–11 vs 37–14.
Longest run+2
35
Western Mich. scored 5 straight in the third set to stretch a 15–12 lead to 20–12. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Western Mich. above 50Toledo belowMax swing 5.7%

ToledoWestern Mich.

Aces: Toledo 2·Western Mich. 2
Serve err: Toledo 8·Western Mich. 3
Blocks: Toledo 5·Western Mich. 71 BS · 8 BA vs 3 BS · 8 BA
Digs: Toledo 37·Western Mich. 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Western Mich. above 50 · Toledo below

Biggest swing: 5.7% to Western Mich. — set 2, TOLEDO 19-22 W MICH. Sierra Pertzborn stuffed by Cassidy Pratley. W MICH win probability 67% → 73%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TOLEDO 65.1%34.9% W MICH

Toledo wins

3-0

20.1%

3-1

25.0%

3-2

20.1%

Western Mich. wins

3-0

7.1%

3-1

12.5%

3-2

15.3%

TOLEDO break %: 41.7% vs this opp
W MICH break %: 38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Cassidy PratleyBlock+5.7%
Sierra Pertzborn stuffed by Cassidy Pratley
Set 2 · TOLEDO 19-22 W MICH · W MICH 67% → 73%
02
Izzy SwierczKill+5.3%
Kill by Izzy Swiercz (set by Carley Piercefield)
Set 2 · TOLEDO 16-18 W MICH · W MICH 59% → 65%
03
Sophie CatalanoAttack error+4.9%
Attack error by Sophie Catalano
Set 2 · TOLEDO 16-19 W MICH · W MICH 65% → 70%
04
Jessica CostlowKill+4.9%
Kill by Jessica Costlow (set by Janelle Green)
Set 2 · TOLEDO 18-19 W MICH · TOLEDO 33% → 38%
05
Cassidy PratleyKill+4.6%
Kill by Cassidy Pratley (set by Leah Richmond)
Set 2 · TOLEDO 19-21 W MICH · W MICH 63% → 67%
06
Ava SiefkeKill+4.5%
Kill by Ava Siefke (set by Grace Freiberger)
Set 2 · TOLEDO 15-15 W MICH · TOLEDO 40% → 44%
07
Cassidy PratleyKill+4.2%
Kill by Cassidy Pratley (set by Leah Richmond)
Set 2 · TOLEDO 18-20 W MICH · W MICH 62% → 66%
08
Leah RichmondBlock+4.2%
Olivia Heitkamp stuffed by Leah Richmond
Set 2 · TOLEDO 11-13 W MICH · W MICH 58% → 62%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Toledoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Jessica CostlowOH	3	9	1	22	.364	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	9
22Sierra PertzbornMB	3	5	2	22	.136	0	1	2	3	0	1	2	2	8
15Madelyn BachS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	7	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Lilly MerkMB	2	3	1	6	.333	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	1	4
10Kayla OzanichMB	2	2	0	8	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
7Avery AdamskiL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Olivia HeitkampOH	3	6	3	16	.188	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
16Sophie CatalanoOPP	3	5	3	19	.105	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
3Janelle GreenS	3	1	0	1	1.000	17	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
1Grace FreibergerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	12	1	0	0	0	0
21Meg JarrettL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
14Ava SiefkeOH	2	4	2	11	.182	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
12Gabbi LeBlancS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Audrey DyasMB	1	1	1	3	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
18Caylee SharkeyOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		37	14	110	.209	36	2	8	37	2	1	8	5	53

Western Mich.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Annalise PatchettOH	3	15	4	35	.314	1	1	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	16.5
10Gabby WeiheMB	3	12	3	19	.474	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	14
12Cassidy PratleyMB	3	11	1	18	.556	1	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	13
4Leah RichmondS	3	5	1	6	.667	36	0	0	12	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
1Izzy SwierczOH	3	5	2	21	.143	0	0	1	9	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
2Elana EricksonL/DS	3	3	0	8	.375	3	1	1	10	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
19Carley PiercefieldL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	7	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	0
3Riley MessengerDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	11	107	.374	48	2	3	47	2	3	8	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Toledo vs Western Mich.

Season series · Western Mich. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Toledo at Western Mich. · Western Mich. won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Toledo at Western Mich. · Western Mich. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 TOLEDO · W MICH 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 TOLEDOW MICH 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 TOLEDOW MICH 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 TOLEDOW MICH 5

Bars above the line = Western Mich. leads, below = Toledo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Toledo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	22%2/9
2	70%7/10	20%2/10
3	55%6/11	30%3/10
4	32%6/19	40%4/10
5	100%6/6	25%2/8
6	55%6/11	14%1/7
All	53%39/74	26%14/54

Western Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	64%14/22
2	88%7/8	22%2/9
3	46%6/13	45%5/11
4	100%6/6	60%9/15
5	75%6/8	45%5/11
6	75%6/8	0%0/6
All	74%40/54	47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#	TOLEDO-W MICH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+2.4
2	0-2	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+2.5
3	0-3	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Carley Piercefield	+2.5
4	1-3	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
5	1-4	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+1.8
6	1-5	W MICH	W MICH×3	Blocked	Sierra Pertzborn	blk Gabby Weihe	+2.5
7	1-6	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Madelyn Bach		+2.3
8	2-6	W MICH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Annalise Patchett		+1.4
9	2-7	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+1.7
10	2-8	W MICH	W MICH	Blocked	Olivia Heitkamp	blk Izzy Swiercz, Gabby Weihe	+2.1
11	3-8	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+1.2
12	3-9	TOLEDO	W MICH×4	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+1.5
13	3-10	W MICH	W MICH×4	Ace	Annalise Patchett	aced Jessica Costlow	+1.8
14	3-11	W MICH	W MICH×4	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+1.4
15	3-12	W MICH	W MICH×4	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+1.1
16	4-12	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Annalise Patchett		+0.5
17	4-13	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+0.7
18	5-13	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.5
19	5-14	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.7
20	6-14	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Izzy Swiercz		+0.4
21	6-15	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+0.6
22	6-16	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Cassidy Pratley	+0.6
23	6-17	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Carley Piercefield	+0.3
24	7-17	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+0.1
25	7-18	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Elana Erickson	+0.2
26	8-18	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Caylee Sharkey	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
27	8-19	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+0.2
28	9-19	W MICH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
29	10-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Gabby Weihe	blk Olivia Heitkamp, Lilly Merk	+0.2
30	11-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+0.3
31	11-20	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+0.3
32	11-21	W MICH	W MICH	Attack err	Lilly Merk		+0.2
33	12-21	W MICH	TOLEDO	Blocked	Izzy Swiercz	blk Lilly Merk, Olivia Heitkamp	+0.1
34	12-22	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Elana Erickson	set Annalise Patchett	+0.1
35	13-22	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	·
36	13-23	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+0.1
37	14-23	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	·
38	14-24	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Elana Erickson	·
39	15-24	W MICH	TOLEDO	Serve err	Elana Erickson		·
40	15-25	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	·
Set 2
1	1-0	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Izzy Swiercz		+2.8
2	1-1	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+2.0
3	2-1	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Jessica Costlow	+1.9
4	3-1	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Sierra Pertzborn	aced Carley Piercefield	+2.7
5	3-2	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+1.9
6	3-3	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+2.9
7	4-3	W MICH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Audrey Dyas	+2.0
8	5-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.8
9	6-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Gabby Weihe		+2.6
10	6-4	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+1.7
11	6-5	W MICH	W MICH	Attack err	Audrey Dyas		+2.8
12	7-5	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Audrey Dyas	set Janelle Green	+2.0
13	7-6	TOLEDO	W MICH×4	Kill	Elana Erickson	set Carley Piercefield	+2.0
14	7-7	W MICH	W MICH×4	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+3.3
15	7-8	W MICH	W MICH×4	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+3.5
16	7-9	W MICH	W MICH×4	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+3.7
17	8-9	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+2.3
18	9-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+3.6
19	9-10	TOLEDO	W MICH	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Elana Erickson, Cassidy Pratley	+2.6
20	10-10	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Sophie Catalano	+2.5
21	11-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Blocked	Leah Richmond	blk Sierra Pertzborn	+3.7
22	11-11	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+2.6
23	11-12	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Annalise Patchett		+4.0
24	11-13	W MICH	W MICH×3	Blocked	Olivia Heitkamp	blk Leah Richmond	+4.2
25	12-13	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.6
26	12-14	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+3.0
27	13-14	W MICH	TOLEDO	Blocked	Gabby Weihe	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Ava Siefke	+2.7
28	13-15	TOLEDO	W MICH	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Leah Richmond, Gabby Weihe	+3.2
29	14-15	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+2.8
30	15-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+4.5
31	15-16	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+3.4
32	16-16	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+3.2
33	16-17	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Leah Richmond	+3.6
34	16-18	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Izzy Swiercz	set Carley Piercefield	+5.3
35	16-19	W MICH	W MICH×3	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+4.9
36	17-19	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+2.6
37	18-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+4.9
38	18-20	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+4.2
39	19-20	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+3.5
40	19-21	TOLEDO	W MICH×4	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+4.6
41	19-22	W MICH	W MICH×4	Blocked	Sierra Pertzborn	blk Cassidy Pratley	+5.7
42	19-23	W MICH	W MICH×4	Attack err	Olivia Heitkamp		+3.8
43	19-24	W MICH	W MICH×4	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+1.8
44	20-24	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Gabbi LeBlanc	+0.3
45	20-25	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.7
Set 3
1	0-1	W MICH	W MICH×4	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Annalise Patchett, Cassidy Pratley	+2.3
2	0-2	W MICH	W MICH×4	Ace	Elana Erickson	aced Grace Freiberger	+2.4
3	0-3	W MICH	W MICH×4	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Carley Piercefield	+2.5
4	0-4	W MICH	W MICH×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+2.4
5	1-4	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+1.5
6	1-5	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+1.7
7	2-5	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.5
8	2-6	TOLEDO	W MICH×3	Serve err	Toledo		+1.7
9	2-7	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+2.3
10	2-8	W MICH	W MICH×3	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Carley Piercefield	+2.1
11	3-8	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+1.1
12	3-9	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+1.4
13	4-9	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+1.1
14	4-10	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+1.5
15	5-10	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.1
16	5-11	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+1.5
17	6-11	W MICH	TOLEDO	Attack err	Cassidy Pratley		+1.1
18	7-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Olivia Heitkamp		+2.0
19	7-12	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+1.7
20	8-12	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+1.3
21	8-13	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+1.7
22	9-13	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Janelle Green	set Grace Freiberger	+1.3
23	9-14	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Leah Richmond	set Elana Erickson	+1.7
24	9-15	W MICH	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Carley Piercefield	+2.0
25	10-15	W MICH	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Janelle Green	+1.0
26	11-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Annalise Patchett		+1.9
27	12-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Annalise Patchett	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Olivia Heitkamp	+2.4
28	12-16	TOLEDO	W MICH×5	Serve err	Toledo		+2.1
29	12-17	W MICH	W MICH×5	Kill	Izzy Swiercz		+2.5
30	12-18	W MICH	W MICH×5	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+1.9
31	12-19	W MICH	W MICH×5	Kill	Elana Erickson	set Leah Richmond	+1.3
32	12-20	W MICH	W MICH×5	Kill	Gabby Weihe		+0.7
33	13-20	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Gabbi LeBlanc	+0.2
34	13-21	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Gabby Weihe	set Leah Richmond	+0.4
35	14-21	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Gabbi LeBlanc	+0.2
36	14-22	TOLEDO	W MICH	Serve err	Toledo		+0.3
37	15-22	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Gabbi LeBlanc	+0.1
38	15-23	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Cassidy Pratley	set Leah Richmond	+0.2
39	16-23	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Janelle Green	+0.1
40	17-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Annalise Patchett		+0.2
41	17-24	TOLEDO	W MICH	Kill	Annalise Patchett	set Leah Richmond	+0.3
42	18-24	W MICH	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	·
43	18-25	TOLEDO	W MICH	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Toledo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Western Mich. def. Toledo 3–0

15 kills in 3 sets for Annalise Patchett. Western Mich. swept Toledo.