FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on FloSports

Hofstra def. Towson 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Hofstra 57.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Hofstra won at Towson 3-0 (25-14, 25-16, 25-19) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Hofstra's Constanza Perez Sain led with 11 kills, and Melis Başaran added 11 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
HOFSTR2525253
TOWSON1416190

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Towson never reached 20 in a set against Hofstra.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.0 points. Towson peaked at 45% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Hofstra 58% before first serve.

HofstraTowson
  • Break %+26.3 pts
    47.921.6

    Points won on own serve: 35 of 73 vs 11 of 51. Towson sided out 52.1% of the time.

  • Hitting+.223
    .353.130

    46 kills, 10 errors vs 32 kills, 19 errors.

  • Longest run+3
    74

    Hofstra scored 7 straight in the second set to go from 5–5 to a 12–5 lead. The set finished 25–16.

Towson above 50Hofstra belowMax swing 3.0%

HofstraTowson

Aces
Hofstra 3·Towson 1
Serve err
Hofstra 6·Towson 6
Blocks
Hofstra 8·Towson 34 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Hofstra 43·Towson 38

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Towson above 50 · Hofstra below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.0% HOFSTRrally 124 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.0% to Hofstra — set 1, HOFSTR 12-10 TOWSON. Kill by Melis Başaran (set by Sonja Rundcrantz). TOWSON win probability 40% → 37%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HOFSTR 59.8%40.2% TOWSON

Hofstra wins

3-0
17.1%
3-1
22.8%
3-2
19.9%

Towson wins

3-0
8.8%
3-1
14.7%
3-2
16.7%
HOFSTR break %
43.4% vs this opp
TOWSON break %
41.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Melis Başaran (set by Sonja Rundcrantz)

    Set 1 · HOFSTR 12-10 TOWSON · HOFSTR 60% → 63%

  2. 02
    Melis BaşaranAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Melis Başaran

    Set 1 · HOFSTR 10-10 TOWSON · TOWSON 39% → 42%

  3. 03

    Kill by Constanza Perez Sain (set by Julia Amorim)

    Set 1 · HOFSTR 8-7 TOWSON · HOFSTR 57% → 60%

  4. 04
    Kaitlyn MoranBad set+2.8%

    Bad set by Kaitlyn Moran

    Set 1 · HOFSTR 13-10 TOWSON · HOFSTR 63% → 66%

  5. 05
    Taylor PaganAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Taylor Pagan

    Set 1 · HOFSTR 9-7 TOWSON · HOFSTR 60% → 63%

  6. 06

    Anna Rice stuffed by Constanza Perez Sain & Julia Amorim

    Set 3 · HOFSTR 20-18 TOWSON · HOFSTR 92% → 95%

  7. 07
    Julia AmorimBlock+2.6%

    Clara Vorel stuffed by Julia Amorim

    Set 1 · HOFSTR 17-13 TOWSON · HOFSTR 67% → 69%

  8. 08

    Kill by Constanza Perez Sain (set by Ellie Pamatat)

    Set 3 · HOFSTR 18-17 TOWSON · HOFSTR 89% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311223.3910002002112
36212.3334032042511
39119.42101111100010
37325.16000070010.57.5
3000–2100800000
2203.667000000002
36112.41700000010.56.5
3102.500112800002
31011.0001610500002
2315.400000000214
1000–100000000
Team totals4610102.353433643148875
Towsonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37419.158001520007
36011.54500110010.56.5
35416.06300130010.55.5
3213.3331400700002
31515-.267303710001
23214.07100000010.53.5
35317.118000000216
31011.00010001000001
3000–010200001
3000–300300000
2204.50000000010.52.5
2000–000000000
Team totals3219100.130301638306349

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Hofstra vs Towson

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 HOFSTR · TOWSON 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 6 HOFSTRTOWSON 2

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 7 HOFSTRTOWSON 2

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 5 HOFSTRTOWSON 4

Bars above the line = Towson leads, below = Hofstra leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Hofstra

SlotSideout %Break %
1
90%9/10
50%7/14
2
58%7/12
56%9/16
3
86%6/7
40%4/10
4
86%6/7
33%3/9
5
86%6/7
33%3/9
6
75%6/8
60%9/15
All
78%40/51
48%35/73

Towson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
0%0/8
2
55%6/11
38%5/13
3
75%6/8
25%2/8
4
60%6/10
0%0/6
5
100%6/6
25%2/8
6
29%6/21
25%2/8
All
52%38/73
22%11/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#HOFSTR-TOWSONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TOWSONHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+1.8
21-1HOFSTRTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Kaitlyn Moran+1.8
31-2TOWSONTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+2.5
42-2TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+1.9
52-3HOFSTRTOWSONServe errJulia Amorim+1.9
63-3TOWSONHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+1.9
73-4HOFSTRTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Kaitlyn Moran+2.0
84-4TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.0
94-5HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.0
105-5TOWSONHOFSTRKillGeovanna Gonçalves Rochaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.0
115-6HOFSTRTOWSONServe errLauren Konzen+2.1
126-6TOWSONHOFSTRAttack errAva Drye+2.0
136-7HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.2
147-7TOWSONHOFSTR×3KillConstanza Perez Sainset Julia Amorim+2.1
158-7HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillConstanza Perez Sainset Julia Amorim+2.8
169-7HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errTaylor Pagan+2.8
179-8HOFSTRTOWSONKillKaitlyn Moranset Taylor Pagan+2.0
1810-8TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+2.1
1910-9HOFSTRTOWSONServe errJulia Amorim+2.1
2010-10TOWSONTOWSONAttack errMelis Başaran+3.0
2111-10TOWSONHOFSTR×3KillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+2.4
2212-10HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillMelis Başaranset Sonja Rundcrantz+3.0
2313-10HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Bad setKaitlyn Moran+2.8
2413-11HOFSTRTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Kaitlyn Moran+1.9
2514-11TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.2
2614-12HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errBeatriz Braga+2.0
2715-12TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.3
2815-13HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+2.0
2916-13TOWSONHOFSTR×4Serve errTowson+2.4
3017-13HOFSTRHOFSTR×4BlockedClara Vorelblk Julia Amorim+2.6
3118-13HOFSTRHOFSTR×4KillBeatriz Bragaset Julia Amorim+2.0
3219-13HOFSTRHOFSTR×4Attack errTaylor Pagan+1.4
3319-14HOFSTRTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Taylor Pagan+0.7
3420-14TOWSONHOFSTR×6KillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+1.0
3521-14HOFSTRHOFSTR×6KillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+0.8
3622-14HOFSTRHOFSTR×6Attack errAnna Rice+0.4
3723-14HOFSTRHOFSTR×6BlockedTaylor Paganblk Julia Amorim+0.1
3824-14HOFSTRHOFSTR×6KillConstanza Perez Sainset Julia Amorim·
3925-14HOFSTRHOFSTR×6Attack errAnna Rice·
Set 2
10-1HOFSTRTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Kaitlyn Moran+1.7
21-1TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Lauren Konzen+1.7
31-2HOFSTRTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.8
42-2TOWSONHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+1.7
52-3HOFSTRTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Megan Platt+1.8
63-3TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+1.8
74-3HOFSTRHOFSTRAceSonja Rundcrantzaced Addison Leber+2.4
84-4HOFSTRTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Megan Platt+1.8
95-4TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.8
105-5HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+1.8
116-5TOWSONHOFSTR×7KillGeovanna Gonçalves Rochaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.9
127-5HOFSTRHOFSTR×7AceLauren Konzenaced Taylor Pagan+2.4
138-5HOFSTRHOFSTR×7KillMelis Başaranset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.3
149-5HOFSTRHOFSTR×7BlockedAva Dryeblk Beatriz Braga, Julia Amorim+2.1
1510-5HOFSTRHOFSTR×7KillSonja Rundcrantzset Peyton Meyer+1.8
1611-5HOFSTRHOFSTR×7KillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.5
1712-5HOFSTRHOFSTR×7BlockedKaitlyn Moranblk Julia Amorim+1.2
1812-6HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errDawn Pena+0.7
1913-6TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz+0.9
2013-7HOFSTRTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Kaitlyn Moran+0.7
2113-8TOWSONTOWSONBlockedJulia Amorimblk Anna Rice, Clara Vorel+1.2
2214-8TOWSONHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+1.1
2315-8HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errAddison Leber+1.1
2415-9HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errConstanza Perez Sain+0.6
2515-10TOWSONTOWSONAceKayla Zanonaced Melis Başaran+1.1
2616-10TOWSONHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+1.1
2716-11HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+0.8
2817-11TOWSONHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+1.1
2917-12HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+0.8
3017-13TOWSONTOWSONKillPeyton Meyerset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.4
3118-13TOWSONHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.4
3218-14HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+1.0
3319-14TOWSONHOFSTR×4KillLauren Konzenset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.4
3420-14HOFSTRHOFSTR×4BlockedClara Vorelblk Julia Amorim+1.2
3521-14HOFSTRHOFSTR×4Attack errTaylor Pagan+0.7
3622-14HOFSTRHOFSTR×4KillJulia Amorimset Sonja Rundcrantz+0.3
3722-15HOFSTRTOWSONBlockedBeatriz Bragablk Tshilanda Diouf, Ava Drye+0.1
3823-15TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz+0.2
3924-15HOFSTRHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+0.1
4024-16HOFSTRTOWSONKillTshilanda Dioufset Kaitlyn Moran·
4125-16TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat·
Set 3
11-0TOWSONHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+1.0
21-1HOFSTRTOWSON×4KillKaitlyn Moranset Taylor Pagan+1.1
31-2TOWSONTOWSON×4Attack errConstanza Perez Sain+1.5
41-3TOWSONTOWSON×4Attack errJulia Amorim+1.5
51-4TOWSONTOWSON×4KillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.5
62-4TOWSONHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+1.0
72-5HOFSTRTOWSONServe errJulia Amorim+1.1
83-5TOWSONHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Ellie Pamatat+1.0
93-6HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+1.2
104-6TOWSONHOFSTR×3KillValentina Lopez Moyaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.1
115-6HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errAddison Leber+1.5
126-6HOFSTRHOFSTR×3AceMelis Başaranaced Addison Leber+1.6
136-7HOFSTRTOWSONServe errMelis Başaran+1.3
146-8TOWSONTOWSONAttack errValentina Lopez Moya+1.7
157-8TOWSONHOFSTRAttack errAva Drye+1.2
167-9HOFSTRTOWSONBlockedBeatriz Bragablk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Ava Drye+1.3
178-9TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.2
189-9HOFSTRHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+1.7
199-10HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+1.4
2010-10TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+1.3
2110-11HOFSTRTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.4
2211-11TOWSONHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+1.4
2311-12HOFSTRTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Megan Platt+1.5
2412-12TOWSONHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+1.4
2512-13HOFSTRTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.5
2613-13TOWSONHOFSTRBlockedAddison Leberblk Dawn Pena, Valentina Lopez Moya+1.5
2714-13HOFSTRHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.0
2814-14HOFSTRTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Peyton Meyer+1.6
2915-14TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+1.6
3015-15HOFSTRTOWSON×3Serve errLauren Konzen+1.6
3115-16TOWSONTOWSON×3KillTaylor Pagan+2.3
3215-17TOWSONTOWSON×3KillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.3
3316-17TOWSONHOFSTR×3KillJulia Amorimset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.6
3417-17HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errTaylor Pagan+2.4
3518-17HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+2.5
3618-18HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+1.9
3719-18TOWSONHOFSTRAttack errAnna Rice+2.1
3820-18HOFSTRHOFSTRBlockedAnna Riceblk Constanza Perez Sain, Julia Amorim+2.6
3920-19HOFSTRTOWSONKillTshilanda Dioufset Kaitlyn Moran+1.8
4021-19TOWSONHOFSTR×5Serve errTowson+2.2
4122-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×5KillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+2.4
4223-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×5KillMelis Başaranset Brooke Wilson+1.5
4324-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×5KillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+0.7
4425-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×5BlockedAddison Leberblk Valentina Lopez Moya, Constanza Perez Sain+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Hofstra first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).