Final · 4 setsSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on FloSports

Towson def. Hofstra 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Hofstra 63.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Towson beat visiting Hofstra 3-1 (25-21, 25-21, 24-26, 25-21) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Towson's Ava Drye led with 17 kills, and Kayla Zanon added 15 digs.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set1234Sets
HOFSTR212126211
TOWSON252524253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Malinah Purcell-telefoni served 5 aces, and Towson needed every one.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Towson's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Hofstra was RallyIQ's 64% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Hofstra 11–11 Towson

    From 11–11, Towson scored 5 straight to lead 16–11.

    Towson 58% → 75%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Hofstra 20–18 Towson

    Towson scored 4 straight to turn an 18–20 deficit into a 22–20 lead.

    Towson 57% → 87%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Hofstra 21–22 Towson

    Up 22–21, Towson scored 3 straight to make it 25–21.

    Towson 81% → >99%

Towson above 50Hofstra belowMax swing 9.1%

HofstraTowson

Sideout %
Hofstra 58.2·Towson 64.4
Break %
Hofstra 35.6·Towson 41.8
Hitting
Hofstra .124·Towson .187
Longest run
Hofstra 4·Towson 5

Ava Drye
17 kills on .393, 19 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Towson above 50 · Hofstra below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.1% TOWSONrally 188 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.1% to Towson — set 4, HOFSTR 20-22 TOWSON. Constanza Perez Sain stuffed by Clara Vorel & Taylor Pagan. TOWSON win probability 78% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HOFSTR 59.8%40.2% TOWSON

Hofstra wins

3-0
17.1%
3-1
22.8%
3-2
19.9%

Towson wins

3-0
8.8%
3-1
14.7%
3-2
16.7%
HOFSTR break %
43.4% vs this opp
TOWSON break %
41.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Constanza Perez Sain stuffed by Clara Vorel & Taylor Pagan

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 20-22 TOWSON · TOWSON 78% → 87%

  2. 02
    Ellie PamatatBad set+8.9%

    Bad set by Ellie Pamatat

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 20-21 TOWSON · TOWSON 69% → 78%

  3. 03

    Taylor Pagan stuffed by Valentina Lopez Moya & Dawn Pena

    Set 3 · HOFSTR 26-24 TOWSON · HOFSTR 24% → 32%

  4. 04
    Ava DryeKill+7.7%

    Kill by Ava Drye (set by Peyton Meyer)

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 21-23 TOWSON · TOWSON 81% → 89%

  5. 05
    Beatriz BragaAttack error+7.7%

    Attack error by Beatriz Braga

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 21-24 TOWSON · TOWSON 89% → 97%

  6. 06
    Ava DryeKill+7.6%

    Kill by Ava Drye (set by Peyton Meyer)

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 20-20 TOWSON · TOWSON 61% → 69%

  7. 07

    Taylor Pagan stuffed by Constanza Perez Sain & Valentina Lopez Moya

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 20-18 TOWSON · HOFSTR 37% → 43%

  8. 08
    Beatriz BragaBlock+6.6%

    Malinah Purcell-Telefoni stuffed by Beatriz Braga

    Set 4 · HOFSTR 18-17 TOWSON · HOFSTR 30% → 36%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411840.07510015112213
410727.1110004002111
48526.115000115010.58.5
43413-.07700210254.57.5
4428.25000000132.56.5
4000–2320500002
46215.26700010031.57.5
41011.0001520900003
4011-1.0006001620000
3000–011000001
2315.400100100003
11011.000000000001
1000–100000000
Team totals4730137.12447536394161289
Towsonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417628.3930004004219
410427.2220551008419
411731.12920074031.512.5
43428-.036201800214
4115.00000000010.51.5
4114.0002600500001
410321.33301221010.511.5
4216.1672021400004
4000–1111500001
4000–200400000
3000–000100000
1000–00000010.50.5
Team totals5527150.187539105150201099

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Hofstra vs Towson

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 HOFSTR · TOWSON 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 HOFSTRTOWSON 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 HOFSTRTOWSON 5

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 3 HOFSTRTOWSON 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 2 HOFSTRTOWSON 4

Bars above the line = Towson leads, below = Hofstra leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Hofstra

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
29%4/14
2
46%11/24
54%13/24
3
56%10/18
21%3/14
4
90%9/10
33%5/15
5
62%8/13
38%5/13
6
53%8/15
20%2/10
All
58%57/98
36%32/90

Towson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%12/25
29%4/14
2
69%11/16
48%10/21
3
69%11/16
54%13/24
4
62%8/13
31%4/13
5
80%8/10
11%1/9
6
80%8/10
53%9/17
All
64%58/90
42%41/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

188 rallies

#HOFSTR-TOWSONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TOWSONHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+1.7
22-0HOFSTRHOFSTRAceEllie Pamatataced Taylor Pagan+2.2
32-1HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+1.6
43-1TOWSONHOFSTRAttack errTaylor Pagan+1.7
53-2HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errMelis Başaran+1.7
64-2TOWSONHOFSTRAttack errAva Drye+1.7
74-3HOFSTRTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Addison Leber+1.7
85-3TOWSONHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+1.7
95-4HOFSTRTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.7
106-4TOWSONHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.8
116-5HOFSTRTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Kaitlyn Moran+1.8
126-6TOWSONTOWSONAttack errMelis Başaran+2.6
137-6TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Beatriz Braga+2.0
147-7HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+2.0
157-8TOWSONTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+2.9
168-8TOWSONHOFSTRAttack errAnna Rice+2.1
179-8HOFSTRHOFSTRAceEllie Pamatataced Taylor Pagan+2.8
189-9HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errBeatriz Braga+2.1
1910-9TOWSONHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+2.1
2010-10HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.2
2110-11TOWSONTOWSONBlockedJulia Amorimblk Tshilanda Diouf, Taylor Pagan+3.1
2211-11TOWSONHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+2.3
2312-11HOFSTRHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+3.1
2412-12HOFSTRTOWSONKillPeyton Meyerset Taylor Pagan+2.4
2512-13TOWSONTOWSONAceTowsonaced Melis Başaran+3.4
2613-13TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+2.5
2713-14HOFSTRTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Kaitlyn Moran+2.7
2814-14TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.6
2914-15HOFSTRTOWSON×4KillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+2.8
3014-16TOWSONTOWSON×4Attack errBeatriz Braga+3.8
3114-17TOWSONTOWSON×4KillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+3.6
3214-18TOWSONTOWSON×4BlockedValentina Lopez Moyablk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Addison Leber+3.2
3315-18TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Lauren Konzen+1.8
3415-19HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+2.4
3516-19TOWSONHOFSTR×4Serve errTowson+1.7
3617-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×4BlockedAva Dryeblk Julia Amorim+3.1
3718-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×4KillBeatriz Bragaset Lauren Konzen+3.9
3819-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×4Attack errMalinah Purcell-Telefoni+4.6
3919-20HOFSTRTOWSON×3KillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+3.9
4019-21TOWSONTOWSON×3Attack errBeatriz Braga+5.3
4119-22TOWSONTOWSON×3KillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+4.6
4220-22TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+2.2
4320-23HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+3.6
4420-24TOWSONTOWSONAceTowsonaced Beatriz Braga+2.8
4521-24TOWSONHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+0.6
4621-25HOFSTRTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Peyton Meyer+1.5
Set 2
11-0HOFSTRHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+2.7
21-1HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+2.0
32-1TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+2.0
43-1HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errPeyton Meyer+2.6
53-2HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+1.9
63-3TOWSONTOWSONAceTowsonaced Melis Başaran+2.8
74-3TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+2.1
84-4HOFSTRTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Megan Platt+2.2
94-5TOWSONTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kayla Zanon+3.1
105-5TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.2
115-6HOFSTRTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Kaitlyn Moran+2.4
126-6TOWSONHOFSTRKillGeovanna Gonçalves Rochaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.3
136-7HOFSTRTOWSON×4KillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+2.4
146-8TOWSONTOWSON×4BlockedDawn Penablk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Addison Leber+3.3
156-9TOWSONTOWSON×4AceTowson+3.3
166-10TOWSONTOWSON×4BlockedLauren Konzenblk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Anna Rice+3.1
177-10TOWSONHOFSTR×3Serve errTowson+2.0
188-10HOFSTRHOFSTR×3BlockedAnna Riceblk Melis Başaran, Julia Amorim+3.0
199-10HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+3.3
209-11HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+2.7
2110-11TOWSONHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+2.5
2211-11HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errAddison Leber+3.6
2311-12HOFSTRTOWSON×5KillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+2.9
2411-13TOWSONTOWSON×5KillTaylor Paganset Peyton Meyer+3.9
2511-14TOWSONTOWSON×5Attack errBeatriz Braga+3.8
2611-15TOWSONTOWSON×5Attack errJulia Amorim+3.5
2711-16TOWSONTOWSON×5BlockedConstanza Perez Sainblk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Taylor Pagan+2.9
2812-16TOWSONHOFSTRBlockedAva Dryeblk Julia Amorim, Beatriz Braga+1.6
2913-16HOFSTRHOFSTRAceBrooke Wilsonaced Taylor Pagan+2.8
3013-17HOFSTRTOWSON×3KillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.7
3113-18TOWSONTOWSON×3AceTowsonaced Lauren Konzen+2.9
3213-19TOWSONTOWSON×3KillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.2
3314-19TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+1.0
3415-19HOFSTRHOFSTRAceSonja Rundcrantzaced Taylor Pagan+1.9
3515-20HOFSTRTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Peyton Meyer+2.1
3616-20TOWSONHOFSTRKillMaria Afonsoset Nil Kayaalp+1.3
3717-20HOFSTRHOFSTRKillSonja Rundcrantzset Lauren Konzen+2.6
3817-21HOFSTRTOWSONKillKaitlyn Moranset Addison Leber+2.9
3918-21TOWSONHOFSTRKillMaria Afonsoset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.8
4019-21HOFSTRHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Sonja Rundcrantz+3.7
4119-22HOFSTRTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Kaitlyn Moran+4.0
4220-22TOWSONHOFSTRKillMaria Afonsoset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.6
4320-23HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errConstanza Perez Sain+4.2
4420-24TOWSONTOWSONAttack errConstanza Perez Sain+3.3
4521-24TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+0.7
4621-25HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errBeatriz Braga+1.8
Set 3
11-0TOWSONHOFSTR×3Attack errAva Drye+1.5
22-0HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+2.0
33-0HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errMalinah Purcell-Telefoni+1.8
43-1HOFSTRTOWSONBlockedMelis Başaranblk Ava Drye, Malinah Purcell-Telefoni+1.3
54-1TOWSONHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+1.4
65-1HOFSTRHOFSTRBlockedAva Dryeblk Beatriz Braga, Julia Amorim+1.7
75-2HOFSTRTOWSON×3KillAva Dryeset Taylor Pagan+1.2
85-3TOWSONTOWSON×3Attack errJulia Amorim+1.8
95-4TOWSONTOWSON×3AceTowsonaced Lauren Konzen+2.0
106-4TOWSONHOFSTR×3Attack errAddison Leber+1.6
117-4HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errTaylor Pagan+2.0
128-4HOFSTRHOFSTR×3BlockedTshilanda Dioufblk Valentina Lopez Moya+1.8
138-5HOFSTRTOWSONServe errJulia Amorim+1.2
149-5TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Lauren Konzen+1.3
1510-5HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errAnna Rice+1.6
1610-6HOFSTRTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Kaitlyn Moran+1.0
1711-6TOWSONHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.2
1811-7HOFSTRTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Kaitlyn Moran+1.0
1911-8TOWSONTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoni+1.7
2012-8TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.4
2112-9HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errMelis Başaran+1.3
2213-9TOWSONHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Sonja Rundcrantz+1.5
2313-10HOFSTRTOWSON×4KillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+1.3
2413-11TOWSONTOWSON×4KillTaylor Paganset Peyton Meyer+2.1
2513-12TOWSONTOWSON×4BlockedJulia Amorimblk Ava Drye, Malinah Purcell-Telefoni+2.5
2613-13TOWSONTOWSON×4Attack errConstanza Perez Sain+2.9
2714-13TOWSONHOFSTRAttack errTaylor Pagan+2.2
2814-14HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errConstanza Perez Sain+2.3
2915-14TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+2.3
3015-15HOFSTRTOWSONServe errJulia Amorim+2.4
3116-15TOWSONHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+2.4
3217-15HOFSTRHOFSTRAceSonja Rundcrantzaced Anna Rice+3.2
3317-16HOFSTRTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+2.2
3417-17TOWSONTOWSONKillTshilanda Dioufset Kaitlyn Moran+3.5
3518-17TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.8
3618-18HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errMaria Afonso+2.8
3719-18TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Maria Afonso+3.0
3819-19HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+3.0
3919-20TOWSONTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+4.6
4020-20TOWSONHOFSTR×3KillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz+3.3
4121-20HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+4.9
4222-20HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+4.6
4322-21HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.7
4423-21TOWSONHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+3.8
4523-22HOFSTRTOWSONBlockedBeatriz Bragablk Ava Drye, Malinah Purcell-Telefoni+2.8
4623-23TOWSONTOWSONAttack errConstanza Perez Sain+6.3
4724-23TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+6.1
4824-24HOFSTRTOWSONServe errBrooke Wilson+6.1
4925-24TOWSONHOFSTRBlockedTaylor Paganblk Valentina Lopez Moya, Constanza Perez Sain+6.1
5026-24HOFSTRHOFSTRBlockedTaylor Paganblk Valentina Lopez Moya, Dawn Pena+7.8
Set 4
11-0HOFSTRHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+3.6
21-1HOFSTRTOWSONBad setEllie Pamatat+2.7
32-1TOWSONHOFSTRBlockedMalinah Purcell-Telefoniblk Julia Amorim+2.7
42-2HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.8
53-2TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+2.8
64-2HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errTaylor Pagan+3.6
74-3HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.6
85-3TOWSONHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.7
95-4HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errValentina Lopez Moya+2.7
106-4TOWSONHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Lauren Konzen+2.8
116-5HOFSTRTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+2.8
127-5TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz+2.9
137-6HOFSTRTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+2.8
147-7TOWSONTOWSONAceTowsonaced Melis Başaran+4.2
158-7TOWSONHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+3.1
168-8HOFSTRTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+3.2
178-9TOWSONTOWSONBlockedBeatriz Bragablk Ava Drye, Malinah Purcell-Telefoni+4.6
189-9TOWSONHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+3.3
1910-9HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errAva Drye+4.5
2010-10HOFSTRTOWSON×3KillTaylor Paganset Peyton Meyer+3.4
2110-11TOWSONTOWSON×3KillTaylor Paganset Peyton Meyer+4.9
2210-12TOWSONTOWSON×3AceTowsonaced Melis Başaran+5.0
2311-12TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+3.5
2411-13HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+3.9
2512-13TOWSONHOFSTRKillValentina Lopez Moyaset Sonja Rundcrantz+3.6
2613-13HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errKaitlyn Moran+5.2
2713-14HOFSTRTOWSONAttack errMelis Başaran+4.1
2814-14TOWSONHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Lauren Konzen+4.0
2915-14HOFSTRHOFSTRBlockedAddison Leberblk Julia Amorim, Dawn Pena+5.5
3015-15HOFSTRTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+4.2
3115-16TOWSONTOWSONAttack errDawn Pena+6.1
3216-16TOWSONHOFSTRBlockedAddison Leberblk Dawn Pena, Julia Amorim+4.4
3316-17HOFSTRTOWSONKillKaitlyn Moranset Megan Platt+4.8
3417-17TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+4.7
3518-17HOFSTRHOFSTRBlockedMalinah Purcell-Telefoniblk Beatriz Braga+6.6
3618-18HOFSTRTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+4.9
3719-18TOWSONHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+5.2
3820-18HOFSTRHOFSTRBlockedTaylor Paganblk Constanza Perez Sain, Valentina Lopez Moya+6.7
3920-19HOFSTRTOWSON×4KillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+4.4
4020-20TOWSONTOWSON×4KillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+7.6
4120-21TOWSONTOWSON×4Bad setEllie Pamatat+8.9
4220-22TOWSONTOWSON×4BlockedConstanza Perez Sainblk Clara Vorel, Taylor Pagan+9.1
4321-22TOWSONHOFSTRServe errTowson+5.3
4421-23HOFSTRTOWSON×3KillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+7.7
4521-24TOWSONTOWSON×3Attack errBeatriz Braga+7.7
4621-25TOWSONTOWSON×3AceTowsonaced Melis Başaran+3.2

Score shown after each rally, Hofstra first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).