FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayCAA

0:3

HomeCAA

Towson def. Northeastern 3–0

(25-13, 28-26, 25-19)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
NOEAST	13	26	19	0
TOWSON	25	28	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TOWSON above 50 · NOEAST below

Biggest swing: 7.1% to Northeastern — set 2, NOEAST 25-24 TOWSON. Kill by Emma Rowell (set by Arina Sosinovica). TOWSON win probability 85% → 77%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NOEAST 25.8%74.2% TOWSON

Northeastern wins

3-0

4.6%

3-1

8.9%

3-2

12.3%

Towson wins

3-0

26.4%

3-1

28.4%

3-2

19.4%

NOEAST break %: 39.5% vs this opp
TOWSON break %: 44.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Emma RowellKill+7.1%
Kill by Emma Rowell (set by Arina Sosinovica)
Set 2 · NOEAST 25-24 TOWSON · NOEAST 15% → 23%
02
Destini PickettKill+6.6%
Kill by Destini Pickett (set by Kaitlyn Moran)
Set 2 · NOEAST 26-27 TOWSON · TOWSON 83% → 89%
03
Beatrice GennariKill+6.4%
Kill by Beatrice Gennari (set by Arina Sosinovica)
Set 2 · NOEAST 24-24 TOWSON · NOEAST 9% → 15%
04
Anna RiceKill+5.8%
Kill by Anna Rice (set by Kaitlyn Moran)
Set 2 · NOEAST 26-28 TOWSON · TOWSON 89% → 95%
05
Destini PickettKill+5.3%
Kill by Destini Pickett (set by Kaitlyn Moran)
Set 2 · NOEAST 25-25 TOWSON · TOWSON 77% → 83%
06
Anna RiceAttack error+5.3%
Anna Rice stuffed by Brynn Smith & Beatrice Gennari
Set 2 · NOEAST 26-25 TOWSON · NOEAST 17% → 23%
07
Anna RiceKill+5.3%
Kill by Anna Rice (set by Kaitlyn Moran)
Set 2 · NOEAST 26-26 TOWSON · TOWSON 77% → 83%
08
Kaitlyn MoranKill+3.2%
Kill by Kaitlyn Moran (set by Anna Rice)
Set 2 · NOEAST 22-24 TOWSON · TOWSON 89% → 93%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Northeasternaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Brynn SmithOH	3	7	4	32	.094	0	0	1	7	2	0	2	1	8
12Valentina MeirellesOH	3	8	3	23	.217	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	8
9Beatrice GennariMB	3	4	3	12	.083	3	0	0	3	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
18Cayenne CemanOH	3	3	3	14	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
11Kaylin DanielsMB	3	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	3
3Sofia KingS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
5Emma RowellOPP	3	7	5	27	.074	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	7
17Iris CankoDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	7	2	0	0	0	2
13Arina SosinovicaS	3	1	0	3	.333	18	0	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
2Abbie CallawayOH	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	6	3	0	0	0	0
1Aven CrosbyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Bryce LeatherwoodMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Elle LucasOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Erikah BuffOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Gabby ReevesS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Jane NelsonOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Kate EwingMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Quinnlin HickmanOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Sophie LasalaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Zehra YilmazMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	20	117	.103	28	3	4	42	9	1	6	4	58

Towsonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Anna RiceOH	3	13	6	35	.200	1	4	0	5	0	1	3	2.5	19.5
18Destini PickettOH	3	8	5	24	.125	2	1	0	9	2	1	2	2	11
23Clara VorelMB	3	8	0	14	.571	0	0	0	2	0	1	4	3	11
16Taylor PaganOH	3	5	2	15	.200	0	1	2	6	1	0	0	0	6
6Malinah Purcell-telefoniOPP	3	5	3	11	.182	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
22Kaitlyn MoranS	3	4	1	8	.375	38	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	5
14Evi PriniotakiOH	3	1	0	2	.500	1	2	2	4	0	0	0	0	3
8Addison LeberOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Ava DryeOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Bjanka StojanovicOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Kamree OrizottiS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Kayla ZanonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	13	0	0	0	0	0
1Lilia DuczekMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Megan PlattL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
3Natalia PebenitoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Nola DuncanOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Tshilanda DioufOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	17	109	.248	43	9	6	49	3	3	10	8	78

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 NOEAST · TOWSON 11

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 4 NOEASTTOWSON 11

Set 2*

26-28

Longest run 4 NOEASTTOWSON 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 NOEASTTOWSON 4

Bars above the line = Towson leads, below = Northeastern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Northeastern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	36%5/14	0%0/3
2	56%5/9	38%3/8
3	43%3/7	17%1/6
4	75%3/4	40%2/5
5	100%3/3	50%3/6
6	23%3/13	25%1/4
All	44%22/50	31%10/32

Towson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	64%9/14
2	83%5/6	44%4/9
3	60%3/5	57%4/7
4	50%3/6	25%1/4
5	75%3/4	0%0/3
6	100%3/3	77%10/13
All	69%22/32	56%28/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	NOEAST-TOWSON	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.9
2	0-2	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Beatrice Gennari		+1.8
3	1-2	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Beatrice Gennari	+1.3
4	2-2	NOEAST	NOEAST	Attack err	Destini Pickett		+2.0
5	2-3	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.4
6	3-3	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Sofia King	+1.5
7	3-4	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.5
8	3-5	TOWSON	TOWSON	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Valentina Meirelles	+2.0
9	4-5	TOWSON	NOEAST	Attack err	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.4
10	4-6	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.4
11	5-6	TOWSON	NOEAST×4	Attack err	Malinah Purcell-telefoni	blk Brynn Smith, Kaylin Daniels	+1.5
12	6-6	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Ace	NOEAST server	aced Destini Pickett	+2.3
13	7-6	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Kill	Beatrice Gennari		+2.5
14	8-6	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Kill	Brynn Smith	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.6
15	8-7	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.7
16	9-7	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.0
17	10-7	NOEAST	NOEAST	Attack err	Anna Rice		+2.7
18	10-8	NOEAST	TOWSON×11	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.7
19	10-9	TOWSON	TOWSON×11	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+2.6
20	10-10	TOWSON	TOWSON×11	Kill	Clara Vorel		+2.6
21	10-11	TOWSON	TOWSON×11	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+2.6
22	10-12	TOWSON	TOWSON×11	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman	blk Clara Vorel, Anna Rice	+2.4
23	10-13	TOWSON	TOWSON×11	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+2.1
24	10-14	TOWSON	TOWSON×11	Attack err	Brynn Smith		+1.8
25	10-15	TOWSON	TOWSON×11	Attack err	Brynn Smith		+1.4
26	10-16	TOWSON	TOWSON×11	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Brynn Smith	+1.0
27	10-17	TOWSON	TOWSON×11	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman		+0.7
28	10-18	TOWSON	TOWSON×11	Attack err	Abbie Callaway		+0.4
29	11-18	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Brynn Smith	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.2
30	11-19	NOEAST	TOWSON×4	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.3
31	11-20	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Beatrice Gennari	blk Clara Vorel, Destini Pickett	+0.2
32	11-21	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles		+0.1
33	11-22	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles		+0.0
34	12-22	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Emma Rowell	+0.0
35	12-23	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
36	13-23	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Arina Sosinovica		+0.0
37	13-24	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.0
38	13-25	TOWSON	TOWSON	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Iris Canko	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	NOEAST	TOWSON×4	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.1
2	0-2	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kayla Zanon	+1.5
3	0-3	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.3
4	0-4	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Iris Canko	+1.2
5	1-4	TOWSON	NOEAST	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.8
6	1-5	NOEAST	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Brynn Smith	blk Clara Vorel, Anna Rice	+0.8
7	1-6	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.0
8	1-7	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Emma Rowell	blk Destini Pickett	+0.8
9	2-7	TOWSON	NOEAST	Attack err	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.5
10	2-8	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Kaitlyn Moran	set Destini Pickett	+0.6
11	2-9	TOWSON	TOWSON	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Abbie Callaway	+0.6
12	3-9	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Brynn Smith	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.4
13	4-9	NOEAST	NOEAST	Ace	NOEAST server	aced Destini Pickett	+0.7
14	4-10	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Kaitlyn Moran	set Destini Pickett	+0.6
15	5-10	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Kaylin Daniels	set Sofia King	+0.5
16	5-11	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.6
17	6-11	TOWSON	NOEAST×3	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Sofia King	+0.5
18	7-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Ace	NOEAST server	aced Taylor Pagan	+0.9
19	8-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Kaitlyn Moran		+1.2
20	8-12	NOEAST	TOWSON	Attack err	Beatrice Gennari	blk Clara Vorel	+1.0
21	9-12	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Iris Canko	+0.9
22	9-13	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.0
23	9-14	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Emma Rowell	blk Anna Rice	+1.1
24	10-14	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.7
25	10-15	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.8
26	11-15	TOWSON	NOEAST×4	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.6
27	12-15	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Kill	Brynn Smith	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.2
28	13-15	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.6
29	14-15	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Beatrice Gennari	+2.1
30	14-16	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.6
31	15-16	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Brynn Smith	set Arina Sosinovica	+1.6
32	15-17	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.7
33	16-17	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Sofia King	+1.6
34	16-18	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.8
35	17-18	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Sofia King	+1.7
36	18-18	NOEAST	NOEAST	Attack err	Taylor Pagan		+3.0
37	18-19	NOEAST	TOWSON×5	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+2.3
38	18-20	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+2.9
39	18-21	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman		+2.4
40	18-22	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Kill	Taylor Pagan	set Kaitlyn Moran	+1.6
41	18-23	TOWSON	TOWSON×5	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.8
42	19-23	TOWSON	NOEAST×4	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.2
43	20-23	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Kill	Beatrice Gennari		+0.7
44	21-23	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Attack err	Anna Rice		+1.4
45	22-23	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Arina Sosinovica	+2.8
46	22-24	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Kaitlyn Moran	set Anna Rice	+3.2
47	23-24	TOWSON	NOEAST×3	Serve err	TOWSON server		+1.8
48	24-24	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Arina Sosinovica	+6.4
49	25-24	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+7.1
50	25-25	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+5.3
51	26-25	TOWSON	NOEAST	Attack err	Anna Rice	blk Brynn Smith, Beatrice Gennari	+5.3
52	26-26	NOEAST	TOWSON×3	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+5.3
53	26-27	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+6.6
54	26-28	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+5.8
Set 3
1	0-1	TOWSON	TOWSON	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles	blk Clara Vorel, Destini Pickett	+0.8
2	1-1	TOWSON	NOEAST	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.6
3	1-2	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.6
4	1-3	TOWSON	TOWSON	Kill	Evi Priniotaki	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.8
5	2-3	TOWSON	NOEAST	Attack err	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.6
6	3-3	NOEAST	NOEAST	Attack err	Malinah Purcell-telefoni		+0.9
7	3-4	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.6
8	4-4	TOWSON	NOEAST	Attack err	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.7
9	4-5	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.6
10	5-5	TOWSON	NOEAST	Attack err	Destini Pickett	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.7
11	5-6	NOEAST	TOWSON	Serve err	NOEAST server		+0.7
12	6-6	TOWSON	NOEAST	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.7
13	6-7	NOEAST	TOWSON	Attack err	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.7
14	7-7	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.7
15	7-8	NOEAST	TOWSON×4	Serve err	NOEAST server		+0.7
16	7-9	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.9
17	7-10	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Brynn Smith	+0.8
18	7-11	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Valentina Meirelles	+0.7
19	8-11	TOWSON	NOEAST×3	Serve err	TOWSON server		+0.5
20	9-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Kill	Brynn Smith	set Beatrice Gennari	+0.8
21	10-11	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Destini Pickett		+1.0
22	10-12	NOEAST	TOWSON×4	Serve err	NOEAST server		+0.7
23	10-13	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.9
24	10-14	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.8
25	10-15	TOWSON	TOWSON×4	Attack err	Brynn Smith	blk Anna Rice, Malinah Purcell-telefoni	+0.6
26	11-15	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.3
27	11-16	NOEAST	TOWSON	Attack err	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.4
28	12-16	TOWSON	NOEAST×3	Kill	Brynn Smith	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.3
29	13-16	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Destini Pickett		+0.6
30	14-16	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Destini Pickett	blk Kaylin Daniels, Arina Sosinovica	+0.9
31	14-17	NOEAST	TOWSON	Serve err	NOEAST server		+0.7
32	14-18	TOWSON	TOWSON	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Abbie Callaway	+0.8
33	15-18	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Kaylin Daniels	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.5
34	15-19	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Malinah Purcell-telefoni	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.6
35	16-19	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.5
36	16-20	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Clara Vorel	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.6
37	17-20	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.4
38	17-21	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Kaitlyn Moran	set Evi Priniotaki	+0.6
39	18-21	TOWSON	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari		+0.4
40	18-22	NOEAST	TOWSON	Kill	Anna Rice	set Kaitlyn Moran	+0.6
41	19-22	TOWSON	NOEAST	Attack err	Malinah Purcell-telefoni	blk Beatrice Gennari	+0.4
42	19-23	NOEAST	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.6
43	19-24	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Ace	TOWSON server	aced Abbie Callaway	+0.3
44	19-25	TOWSON	TOWSON×3	Attack err	Kaylin Daniels		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Northeastern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.