Northern Colo. def. Air Force 3–1
Northern Colo. beat visiting Air Force 3-1 (25-20, 25-20, 17-25, 25-15) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Northern Colo.'s Alayna Tessena led with 14 kills, and Bella LePore added 19 digs.
Data through · final Sep 18
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIRFOR | 20 | 20 | 25 | 15 | 1 |
| N COLO | 25 | 25 | 17 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 4.1% to Northern Colo. — set 1, AIRFOR 19-21 N COLO. Kill by Alayna Tessena (set by Bella LePore). N COLO win probability 75% → 79%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Air Force wins
Northern Colo. wins
- AIRFOR break %
- 40.0% vs this opp
- N COLO break %
- 44.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Alayna TessenaKill+4.1%
Kill by Alayna Tessena (set by Bella LePore)
Set 1 · AIRFOR 19-21 N COLO · N COLO 75% → 79%
- 02Nerea Alvarez-JorgeAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge
Set 1 · AIRFOR 18-18 N COLO · AIRFOR 25% → 29%
- 03Alayna TessenaKill+3.5%
Kill by Alayna Tessena (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 1 · AIRFOR 16-17 N COLO · N COLO 71% → 74%
- 04Alayna TessenaKill+3.5%
Kill by Alayna Tessena (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 1 · AIRFOR 16-16 N COLO · N COLO 67% → 71%
- 05Northern Colo.Ace+3.3%
Northern Colo. ace
Set 1 · AIRFOR 16-18 N COLO · N COLO 74% → 77%
- 06Nerea Alvarez-JorgeKill+3.2%
Kill by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge (set by Samantha Pope)
Set 1 · AIRFOR 16-15 N COLO · N COLO 64% → 67%
- 07Alayna TessenaKill+3.2%
Kill by Alayna Tessena (set by Leila Ballard)
Set 1 · AIRFOR 19-20 N COLO · N COLO 71% → 75%
- 08Jenness OrcuttAttack error+3.2%
Attack error by Jenness Orcutt
Set 1 · AIRFOR 19-22 N COLO · N COLO 79% → 82%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 42 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 16 | .313 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| 4 | 8 | 2 | 20 | .300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 43 | .047 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 19 | .158 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 45 | 19 | 156 | .167 | 38 | 5 | 5 | 56 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 80 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 5 | 44 | .205 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 2 | 26 | .423 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 8 | 27 | .074 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | .300 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | |
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 9 | .556 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 25 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 23 | 152 | .217 | 49 | 9 | 4 | 66 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 92 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
20-25
Set 3
25-17
Set 4
15-25
Bars above the line = Northern Colo. leads, below = Air Force leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Air Force
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57%8/14 | 30%3/10 |
| 2 | 62%8/13 | 53%9/17 |
| 3 | 44%8/18 | 50%8/16 |
| 4 | 57%8/14 | 53%9/17 |
| 5 | 41%7/17 | 33%4/12 |
| 6 | 33%5/15 | 33%3/9 |
| All | 48%44/91 | 44%36/81 |
Northern Colo.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62%8/13 | 60%9/15 |
| 2 | 44%8/18 | 33%4/12 |
| 3 | 47%8/17 | 38%5/13 |
| 4 | 53%8/15 | 60%12/20 |
| 5 | 88%7/8 | 38%5/13 |
| 6 | 60%6/10 | 67%12/18 |
| All | 56%45/81 | 52%47/91 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
172 rallies
| # | AIRFOR-N COLO | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Blocked | Kylie Cackovic | blk Sonia Okpara, Lainie Stapleton | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Ace | Air Force | aced Bella LePore | +2.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | N COLO | AIRFOR×3 | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Bella LePore | +2.4 |
| 7 | 5-2 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Ace | Air Force | aced Bella LePore | +2.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.6 |
| 9 | 6-3 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Ella Vogel | +1.9 |
| 10 | 6-4 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Attack err | Grace Fiaseu | +1.6 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | N COLO | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Samantha Pope | set Samantha Pope | +1.9 |
| 12 | 8-4 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Karina Mendivil | set Ella Vogel | +2.5 |
| 13 | 9-4 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +2.3 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.4 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.8 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.4 |
| 17 | 11-6 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +1.8 | |
| 18 | 12-6 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Lainie Stapleton | set Mia Loyd | +2.1 |
| 19 | 12-7 | AIRFOR | N COLO×4 | Attack err | Sonia Okpara | +1.2 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.0 |
| 21 | 12-9 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Kylie Cackovic | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.3 |
| 22 | 12-10 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.6 |
| 23 | 13-10 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Blocked | Kylie Cackovic | blk Sonia Okpara | +2.3 |
| 24 | 14-10 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +2.9 |
| 25 | 14-11 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.7 |
| 26 | 15-11 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +2.2 |
| 27 | 15-12 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Kylie Cackovic | set Bella LePore | +1.7 |
| 28 | 15-13 | N COLO | N COLO | Attack err | Grace Fiaseu | +2.8 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +2.5 |
| 30 | 16-14 | AIRFOR | N COLO×5 | Kill | Kylie Cackovic | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.0 |
| 31 | 16-15 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Samantha Pope | +3.2 |
| 32 | 16-16 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.5 |
| 33 | 16-17 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.5 |
| 34 | 16-18 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Ace | Northern Colo. | +3.3 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +2.2 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.8 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.9 |
| 38 | 19-19 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.0 |
| 39 | 19-20 | AIRFOR | N COLO×5 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Leila Ballard | +3.2 |
| 40 | 19-21 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Bella LePore | +4.1 |
| 41 | 19-22 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Attack err | Jenness Orcutt | +3.2 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Karina Mendivil | +2.0 |
| 43 | 19-24 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.9 |
| 44 | 20-24 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Karina Mendivil | set Samantha Pope | +0.2 |
| 45 | 20-25 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Blocked | Lainie Stapleton | blk Summer Snead, Alayna Tessena | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | N COLO | AIRFOR×3 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +1.2 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +1.9 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | AIRFOR | N COLO×3 | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Kennedy Simon | +1.8 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | N COLO | AIRFOR×4 | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +1.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Ace | Air Force | aced Alayna Tessena | +1.9 |
| 10 | 6-4 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Aylani Correa | +2.0 |
| 11 | 7-4 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Blocked | Kylie Cackovic | blk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton | +2.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | AIRFOR | N COLO×6 | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Kylie Cackovic | set Bella LePore | +2.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Attack err | Kennedy Simon | +2.0 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Blocked | Karina Mendivil | blk Maddie Rink | +2.0 |
| 16 | 7-9 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.8 |
| 17 | 7-10 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Gillian Walton | +1.7 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | N COLO | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Grace Fiaseu | +1.2 |
| 19 | 9-10 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | +1.8 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Blocked | Gillian Walton | blk Grace Fiaseu | +2.1 |
| 21 | 10-11 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Kylie Cackovic | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.6 |
| 22 | 11-11 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.6 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | AIRFOR | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Karina Mendivil | +1.6 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Jenness Orcutt | +2.1 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Karina Mendivil | +1.9 |
| 26 | 12-14 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Jenness Orcutt | set Samantha Pope | +1.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | AIRFOR | N COLO×3 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.4 |
| 28 | 12-16 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Bad set | Samantha Pope | +1.6 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.2 |
| 30 | 13-17 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Karina Mendivil | set Samantha Pope | +0.7 |
| 31 | 13-18 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.9 |
| 32 | 14-18 | N COLO | AIRFOR×4 | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +0.6 |
| 33 | 15-18 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Kill | Sonia Okpara | +1.3 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +1.8 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Kill | Lainie Stapleton | set Mia Loyd | +2.5 |
| 36 | 17-19 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.1 |
| 37 | 18-19 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +1.9 |
| 38 | 18-20 | AIRFOR | N COLO×3 | Blocked | Kennedy Simon | blk Summer Snead, Gillian Walton | +2.2 |
| 39 | 18-21 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.5 |
| 40 | 18-22 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Blocked | Grace Fiaseu | blk Maddie Rink | +1.7 |
| 41 | 19-22 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +0.7 |
| 42 | 19-23 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.2 |
| 43 | 19-24 | N COLO | N COLO | Attack err | Kennedy Simon | +0.7 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Samantha Pope | +0.1 |
| 45 | 20-25 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Karina Mendivil | +0.3 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Blocked | Gillian Walton | blk Sonia Okpara, Karina Mendivil | +0.7 |
| 2 | 2-0 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +1.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Kylie Cackovic | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | N COLO | AIRFOR×4 | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +0.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Attack err | Summer Snead | +1.1 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×4 | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +1.0 |
| 9 | 6-3 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.7 |
| 10 | 6-4 | N COLO | N COLO | Attack err | Kennedy Simon | +1.0 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | N COLO | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Lainie Stapleton | set Mia Loyd | +0.8 |
| 12 | 8-4 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Blocked | Kylie Cackovic | blk Grace Fiaseu | +1.1 |
| 13 | 9-4 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Aylani Correa | +1.0 |
| 14 | 9-5 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.6 |
| 15 | 10-5 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +0.8 |
| 16 | 10-6 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.6 |
| 17 | 11-6 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Samantha Pope | +0.8 |
| 18 | 12-6 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Ace | Air Force | aced Jasmine Ogren | +0.9 |
| 19 | 12-7 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.5 |
| 20 | 12-8 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.9 |
| 21 | 13-8 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Samantha Pope | +0.8 |
| 22 | 14-8 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Jenness Orcutt | set Grace Fiaseu | +0.9 |
| 23 | 14-9 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Serve err | Air Force | +0.5 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Karina Mendivil | set Samantha Pope | +0.7 |
| 25 | 16-9 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Lainie Stapleton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.7 |
| 26 | 16-10 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.3 |
| 27 | 16-11 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.6 |
| 28 | 17-11 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +0.7 |
| 29 | 17-12 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.4 |
| 30 | 18-12 | N COLO | AIRFOR×5 | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +0.6 |
| 31 | 19-12 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×5 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +0.6 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×5 | Attack err | Kylie Cackovic | +0.4 | |
| 33 | 21-12 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×5 | Blocked | Kylie Cackovic | blk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton | +0.2 |
| 34 | 22-12 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×5 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +0.1 | |
| 35 | 22-13 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | · |
| 36 | 23-13 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Attack err | Kennedy Simon | · | |
| 37 | 24-13 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Attack err | Leila Ballard | · | |
| 38 | 24-14 | AIRFOR | N COLO×4 | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | · |
| 39 | 24-15 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Bella LePore | · |
| 40 | 24-16 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Ace | Northern Colo. | · | |
| 41 | 24-17 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | · |
| 42 | 25-17 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Ella Vogel | · |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Blocked | Alayna Tessena | blk Lainie Stapleton | +2.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | AIRFOR | N COLO×3 | Blocked | Kennedy Simon | blk Addison Roark | +1.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Kennedy Simon | +2.5 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Mia Loyd | +2.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Karina Mendivil | set Mia Loyd | +1.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.7 |
| 7 | 2-5 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | +2.2 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Grace Fiaseu | set Mia Loyd | +1.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Serve err | Air Force | +1.6 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | N COLO | N COLO | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Kennedy Simon | +2.0 |
| 11 | 4-7 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Jenness Orcutt | set Lainie Stapleton | +1.3 |
| 12 | 5-7 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR | Kill | Jenness Orcutt | set Samantha Pope | +2.2 |
| 13 | 5-8 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Serve err | Air Force | +1.7 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +1.6 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | AIRFOR | N COLO×3 | Serve err | Air Force | +1.7 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Blocked | Karina Mendivil | blk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.1 |
| 17 | 6-11 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.7 |
| 18 | 7-11 | N COLO | AIRFOR×3 | Bad set | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.1 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Kill | Karina Mendivil | set Mia Loyd | +1.9 |
| 20 | 9-11 | AIRFOR | AIRFOR×3 | Ace | Air Force | aced Alayna Tessena | +2.3 |
| 21 | 9-12 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Serve err | Air Force | +1.9 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | N COLO | N COLO | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Karina Mendivil | +2.2 |
| 23 | 10-13 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +1.4 |
| 24 | 10-14 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Sonia Okpara | +1.6 |
| 25 | 11-14 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Sonia Okpara | set Mia Loyd | +1.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.7 |
| 27 | 12-15 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Kennedy Simon | set Mia Loyd | +1.4 |
| 28 | 12-16 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Blocked | Kennedy Simon | blk Summer Snead, Cy Rae Campbell | +1.7 |
| 29 | 13-16 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Blocked | Summer Snead | blk Grace Fiaseu | +1.4 |
| 30 | 13-17 | AIRFOR | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Bella LePore | +1.7 |
| 31 | 13-18 | N COLO | N COLO | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Karina Mendivil | +1.8 |
| 32 | 14-18 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Kill | Karina Mendivil | set Mia Loyd | +1.0 |
| 33 | 14-19 | AIRFOR | N COLO×4 | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.3 |
| 34 | 14-20 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Blocked | Sonia Okpara | blk Leila Ballard | +1.1 |
| 35 | 14-21 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Ace | Northern Colo. | +0.6 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Attack err | Karina Mendivil | +0.3 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | N COLO | AIRFOR | Attack err | Leila Ballard | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | AIRFOR | N COLO×3 | Kill | Addison Roark | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.1 |
| 39 | 15-24 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Ace | Northern Colo. | · | |
| 40 | 15-25 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Blocked | Karina Mendivil | blk Addison Roark | · |
Score shown after each rally, Air Force first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).